Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-2   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $13.26 $5.26 66%
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-7 $45.28 $13.28 42%
TP-3   EXA (7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-6 $48.10 $16.10 50%
    TRI (7/1/9/8)-(7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-6-7 $34.05 $10.05 42%
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(7/1/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-9 $43.00 $27.00 169%
TP-4   TRI (11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-1 $72.57 $42.57 142%
    SFT (11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-5-1-7 $67.22 $55.22 460%
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(7/1/9/8)-(11/5/7/4/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-9-4 $78.49 $38.49 96%
TP-5   EXA (11/3/14/9)-(11/3/14/12/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00  11-9 $59.36 $27.36 86%
    TRI (11/3/14/9)-(11/3/14/12/9)-(11/3/14/12/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-9-12 $53.96 $29.96 125%
    PK4 (6/7/3/1)-(7/1/9/8)-(11/5/7/4/1)-(11/3/14/9) 320 $0.50 $160  3-9-4/9-11/13/14 $352.06 $192.06 120%
TP-7   WIN (6/11/12/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $11.86 $1.86 19%
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   01/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET BABY RAY 2 1 11½ 12   12½ 1¼ (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00 11.44  
5  PARTY NEXT DOOR 5 9 86¼ 76   54¼ 2¼ (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50 67% 0.50 1.04 P
10  SIMPLY COMPLICATED 10 4 32½ 32½   22½ 32¾ (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 ★ 4.13 S
3  LUCKY CAT TOO 3 8 96¼ 66   44 44 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
8  AMARI S. 8 2 21½ 22   32½ 54½ (hernandez javi)SANJUR SANTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
6  FUN N TEARS 6 10 54 43   64¾ 68¼ (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00 6% 15.30 32.50  
1  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY 1 6 1010¼ 1010¼   87¼ 710¾ (mcbride barb)RAMOS D 122 3.50 5.29  
4  ARAGON (GB) 4 5 43 54½   76¼ 811½ (short thomas)MUSARRO JOE 122 10.00 17.89  
7  REINA DE LA ROSE 7 3 74¼ 910   98¾ 914 (watkins)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 15.49  
9  FLAT OUT FAY 9 7 64 88   1010¾ 1016½ (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 8.00 30.89  
 
TP-2   01/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:381   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARGENTELLO (IRE) 3 5 43 31½ 31 12 1¾ (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.00 21% 3.70 5.63 W
7  KAZAN (IRE) 7 9 99 97¾ 97½ 75¾ 2¾ (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 22% 3.60 1.51 P
4  YOU'RE IN COREY 4 1 11½ 1nk 1½ 22 32¼ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00 64.35  
2  BLUEBERRY 2 2 32 41¾ 53 43½ 42½ (rodriguez ger)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 24.98  
6  P H FACTOR 6 3 21½ 2nk 2½ 32 53¼ (stinson)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 28% 2.60 3.04  
1  PATRIOT DRIVE 1 4 87 85¾ 76 85¾ 64¼ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.87  
9  IRISH DECLARATION 8 7 65 74¾ 86 64¼ 74½ (mar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 26.53  
10  NEPAL UP 9 8 75½ 64¼ 64½ 54 84½ (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 4.00 ★ 7.41  
5  RIVER REDEMPTION 5 6 53½ 52¼ 42½ 97¼ 99½ (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 11.27  
SCR  SMOKEY LEE               (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
 
TP-3   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BRING ME A CHECK 8 1 31 22½   22½ 1¾ (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 7% 14.30 2.11 W
6  TILTED TOWERS 6 2 1½ 12½   12½ 2¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 3.50 ★ 6.93 P
7  SOLIDIFY 7 3 63½ 66   45½ 34¼ (d'a)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 56% 0.80 2.11 S
5  POLAR WIND 5 8 73¾ 77½   57 46 (klopp r)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 8.86  
2  MERLIN'S SONG 2 4 41 45   33½ 56½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6.67  
1  MALIBU TIME 1 7 51½ 56   67 68½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 7% 12.50 5.72  
4  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 4 6 2½ 34   79½ 714 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 26.37  
3  CAROM 3 5 84¼ 813   812½ 814 (antonuik jer)HALDAR J 120 20.00 34.78  
SCR  SAND MOUNTAIN               (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-4   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEATBOX 4 7 42½ 41½ 2nk 1nk 11¾ (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 13.10 1.72 W
5  TUT'S REVENGE 5 1 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 21¾ (stuart sh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 24% 3.20 8.84 P
1  LEBLON 1 9 95½ 95½ 63¾ 53 32¾ (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.49 S
7  ACCREDIT 7 6 74 74 52¾ 31½ 42¾ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 15% 5.70 5.17  
2  FOUNDER 2 10 108 108 85¾ 64 53¼ (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 8.00 4.85  
11  KOOLHAUS 10 5 53½ 52½ 41¼ 42½ 64¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 27% 2.70 5.13  
3  JUNGLE WARFARE 3 8 84½ 84½ 75¼ 74½ 710½ (romans dale)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 33.14  
6  PINE KNOLL 6 2 21 2½ 31 84¾ 813¼ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 11.96  
10  ROBO MAN 9 4 63½ 64 95¾ 96¾ 920¼ (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 58.79  
8  READTHECLIFFNOTES 8 3 31½ 31 108¼ 1010¼ 1024 (boyce michele)EMIGH A 120 12.00 33.77  
SCR  BANDIT SWANSON               (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
 
TP-5   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EVENT DETAIL 11 7 65 54¼ 1½ 12½ 12¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 65% 0.50 1.05 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BREAKING BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  SMART PRIZE 9 8 77 75¾ 54 33 22¾ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 27.47 P
  (by CONNECT out of PRIZE CATCH by A.P. INDY)
12  MUCINO 12 6 32 22½ 32½ 22½ 32¾ (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 ★ 7.10 S
  (by NYQUIST out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  SCAT TU TAP 5 10 810 88¼ 64 44 46½ (ortiz jo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00 8.82  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
8  LINE OF SIGHT 8 1 42½ 42¾ 43½ 67 511 (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 7.50  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of COPPERMINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  RIVER IN EGYPT 7 12 1012¼ 913¼ 911¾ 79½ 611½ (colebrook)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00 68.29  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
3  DONEGAL DANNY 3 2 2nk 12½ 2½ 55½ 717 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 8% 12.00 5.08  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOST INSPIRING by GIO PONTI)
2  BARRELHOUSE 2 4 54½ 64¾ 710 810 817¼ (mccarthy michae)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 56.08  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SANDY'S SURPRISE by DROSSELMEYER)
6  WISEACRE 6 11 1115¾ 1120¼ 1019¾ 916 918½ (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 14.43  
  (by UNCLE MO out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
10  CROSSING 10 5 1nk 32½ 810¼ 1019½ 1036 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 120 20.00 77.14  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
1  BOUDIN 1 9 912 1020¼ 1125¾ 1126½ 1140½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 23.89  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
4  AERATOR 4 3 12100 12100 12100 12100 12100 (mcpeek ke)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00 29.15  
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLASK by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  BACON               (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  WRITE OFF JERRY               (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
 
TP-6   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:221 :462 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  U SO MONEY BABY 6 3 31½ 41½   21 1½ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.00 33% 2.00 1.04 W
8  WARIS 7 5 75¾ 62¾   42 2½ (beck ro)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 30.47  
5  VAVITE 4 6 54 51¾   32 3¾ (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 10.13  
6  LUCKY US 5 9 86¼ 73¾   63 42½ (adams l)FELIX E 120 20.00 37.54  
1  SEA MONSTER 1 7 42½ 3½   11 52¾ (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 23% 3.30 3.66  
2  LA CUMPARSITA 2 8 96¼ 85¼   73½ 67¼ (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 113 12.00 5% 19.00 23.23  
3  SWEET GINGER 3 4 1nk 2nk   52½ 711 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 4.14  
10  MISS NUCKOLS 9 1 2nk 1nk   85½ 813½ (godsey mars)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 17% 4.90 8.40  
9  HAPPYPLACE 8 2 64¼ 97¾   99½ 918½ (platt noah)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 51.68  
SCR  FLASHY BELLE               (vaughn t)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  PAPPYSAYSYES               (catalano wayne)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  SWEET FRAULEIN               (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  RACE DRIVER 11 1 75¼ 55   21½ 11¼ (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 18% 4.60 4.93 W
10  TIGHTROPE 9 2 12½ 12½   11½ 21¼ (riv)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 5.00 7.13  
11  INFINITE (ARG) 10 3 43½ 44½   54 32¾ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 18% 4.60 13.44 S
3  GREENER PASTURES 2 10 85¾ 67   65½ 44¾ (mccarthy michae)HEARD TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.61  
6  PAGE ONE 5 6 22½ 22½   32 54¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 24% 3.20 1.48  
4  HILARIOUS AFFAIR 3 12 118¼ 119¼   89 65½ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 10.58  
1  FENESTRA 1 5 32½ 34½   42 75¾ (garcia genar)HALDAR J 120 12.00 14% 6.00 19.33  
7  BEARS WATCHING 6 11 107¾ 108¼   77 87¾ (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 7.36  
5  BASEBALL POLITICS 4 8 54½ 87¾   1011¼ 913 (manley steve)EMIGH A 120 20.00 39.63  
9  MY MAN FLINTSTONE 8 9 97¼ 77¼   911 1013 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00 51.72  
8  VASSAR'S BOY 7 7 64¾ 97¾   1213¾ 1116¼ (lyster )DE CRUZ 120 20.00 41.01  
13  AMERICAN ICON 12 4 128¼ 1210¼   1112¼ 1218½ (vasquez ger)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 20.00 30.41  
SCR  A FEW TOO MANY               (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
SCR  HAZEL RAH               (guida anthony )SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEWARDS RULES 1 6 57½ 46½ 23½ 2½ 11½ (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 8.00 21.02  
4  ESTILO PELIGROSO 4 8 811¼ 910¾ 910¼ 64½ 21½ (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 6.00 21% 3.70 8.76 P
11  TORNADO BOY 10 7 911¾ 1011¾ 89¼ 85½ 31½ (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 33.27  
3  AGGRESSIVITY 3 11 1013¼ 810¼ 66¼ 53 41¾ (garcia genar)HALDAR J 123 3.00 27% 2.70 2.75  
5  REUX (GB) 5 2 1nk 1½ 13½ 1½ 52¼ (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 12.00 9.88  
2  PERCENTAGE 2 1 46½ 56½ 54¼ 32½ 64 (cline robert)RAMOS D 123 8.00 7.39  
12  HERE COMES TREY 11 5 69½ 710 1114¼ 117½ 74¾ (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 123 30.00 83.67  
10  SEMI CHARMED DAY 9 4 33 34 43¾ 43 85¼ (anderso)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 6.10  
6  FUTILE 6 9 1113¾ 1113¼ 1011¾ 75 95¾ (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 18.00 16.16  
7  LIZZY'S LURE 7 10 711 68½ 78¼ 107 106 (locker timo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00 97.04  
9  MR. WALSH 8 3 2nk 2½ 33½ 96½ 118½ (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 9% 10.50 1.97  
SCR  TALLESTOFTHETALL               (brownfiel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 5% 17.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.