Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/10/3)-(5/6/8/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/8/3)-(6/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/3)-(6/7/3/1)-(7/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1/10)-(6/7/3/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(7/1/9)-(11/5/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/9)-(7/1/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/9)-(7/1/9/6)-(7/1/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/9)-(11/5/7/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9)-(11/5/7/4/1)-(11/3/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-4   WIN (11/5/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1)-(11/5/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/5/7/4/1)-(11/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/5/7/4/1)-(11/3/9)-(7/1/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (11/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/3/9)-(11/3/12/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/3/9)-(11/3/12/9)-(11/3/12/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/3/9)-(7/1/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/3/9)-(7/1/10/2)-(6/11/12/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (7/1/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/10/2)-(7/1/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/10/2)-(7/1/10/2)-(7/1/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/10/2)-(6/11/12/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/10/2)-(6/11/12/1/3)-(3/4/9/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (6/11/12/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/12/1/3)-(6/11/12/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/12/1/3)-(6/11/12/1/3)-(6/11/12/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/12/1/3)-(3/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/6)-(3/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/6)-(3/4/9/6)-(3/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 Nov10 Oct27 (mcbride barb)RAMOS D 122 3.50    
2  SWEET BABY RAY Nov18 Apr23       (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
3  LUCKY CAT TOO Dec01 Oct06 Sep06     (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARAGON (GB) Jan06 Aug18 Jul19 Jun24 May11 (short thomas)MUSARRO JOE 122 10.00    
5  PARTY NEXT DOOR Feb17         (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50 67% 0.50    
6  FUN N TEARS         (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00 6% 15.30    
7  REINA DE LA ROSE Jan04 Jul30 Jul16 Jun04 May19 (watkins)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
8  AMARI S. Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 Nov16 Oct21 (hernandez javi)SANJUR SANTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  FLAT OUT FAY Dec30 Oct07       (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 8.00    
10  SIMPLY COMPLICATED Jul12 Jun23 May30 May12 Apr20 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 ★    
 
TP-2   01/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOT DRIVE Jan01 Nov18 Oct17 Sep29 Sep13 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUEBERRY Dec09 Oct19 Oct05 Aug30 Jul29 (rodriguez ger)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
3  ARGENTELLO (IRE) Sep01 Apr20       (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  YOU'RE IN COREY Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Oct29 Oct15 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
5  RIVER REDEMPTION Jan06 Dec11 Oct05 Aug23 Jul19 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
6  P H FACTOR Jan14 Dec01 Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 (stinson)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  KAZAN (IRE) Dec09 Nov04 Oct01 Sep05 Aug05 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Dec22 Nov30 Nov03 Oct04 Sep21 (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
9  IRISH DECLARATION Dec04 Nov16 Oct28 Oct17 Sep16 (mar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
10  NEPAL UP Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul10 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 4.00 ★    
 
TP-3   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU TIME Jan07 Dec29 Nov11 Oct12 Sep28 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 7% 12.50    
2  MERLIN'S SONG Dec03 Oct10 May31 May15   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
3  CAROM Jan14 Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Mar17 (antonuik jer)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
4  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Dec31 Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Sep04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
5  POLAR WIND Dec21 Dec03 Nov09 Oct17 Sep22 (klopp r)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
6  TILTED TOWERS Dec30 Mar18 Feb24     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 3.50 ★    
7  SOLIDIFY Dec21 Jun26 Jun11 May15 Apr24 (d'a)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  SAND MOUNTAIN Nov09 Jun24 May20     (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRING ME A CHECK Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 7% 14.30    
 
TP-4   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEBLON Jan07 Dec11 Nov23 Oct23 Oct02 (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOUNDER Dec28 Nov06 Sep16 Aug21 Aug06 (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
3  JUNGLE WARFARE Jan07 Nov04 Oct03 May10 Mar26 (romans dale)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
4  BEATBOX Dec17 Apr02 Feb19 Jan16   (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 13.10    
5  TUT'S REVENGE Jan06 Nov22 Oct27 Sep14 Aug07 (stuart sh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  PINE KNOLL Jan07 May21 Apr20 Mar19 Jan13 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
7  ACCREDIT Dec17 Dec01 Oct14 Sep14 Sep01 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
8  READTHECLIFFNOTES Nov13 Oct29 Oct15     (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 12.00    
SCR  BANDIT SWANSON Jan04 Nov24 Nov13 Oct20 Aug02 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
10  ROBO MAN Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Jul24 (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
11  KOOLHAUS Dec17 Jun17 May12 Mar24 Feb28 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TP-5   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUDIN Nov17 Oct28 Sep30     (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
2  BARRELHOUSE Dec16 Oct21       (mccarthy michae)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SANDY'S SURPRISE by DROSSELMEYER)
3  DONEGAL DANNY Dec29         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 8% 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOST INSPIRING by GIO PONTI)
4  AERATOR Dec29 Nov24 Nov05 Oct09   (mcpeek ke)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLASK by MARIA'S MON)
5  SCAT TU TAP Jan05 Nov18 Oct23 Oct02 Aug27 (ortiz jo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
6  WISEACRE         (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
7  RIVER IN EGYPT         (colebrook)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
8  LINE OF SIGHT         (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of COPPERMINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  SMART PRIZE Jan01 Nov06 Jun26     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PRIZE CATCH by A.P. INDY)
10  CROSSING Jan01         (lauer michael)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
11  EVENT DETAIL Jan01 Nov19       (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BREAKING BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
12  MUCINO Jan01 Dec09 Oct29 Oct10 Sep03 (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  BACON Jan06         (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  WRITE OFF JERRY Jan06         (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
 
TP-6   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA MONSTER Jan06 Oct08 Sep05 Aug22 Jul20 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  LA CUMPARSITA Jan13 Dec28 Oct06 Sep22 Sep01 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET GINGER Dec28 Nov22 Sep30 Sep15 Aug09 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00    
SCR  PAPPYSAYSYES Dec28 Sep30 Sep15 Apr10 Feb11 (catalano wayne)MILLER CHASE 120 8.00 ★    
5  VAVITE Jan06 Dec09 Nov28 Nov11 Aug24 (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
6  LUCKY US Jan05 Dec09 Nov30 Nov05 Oct15 (adams l)FELIX E 120 20.00    
7  U SO MONEY BABY Jan05 Sep17 Sep01 Aug14 Jul31 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
8  WARIS Jan06 Dec28 Sep27 Aug31 Jul28 (beck ro)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
9  HAPPYPLACE Mar01 Feb22 Jan22     (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 120 20.00    
10  MISS NUCKOLS Jan05 Nov28 Oct10 Aug23 Aug01 (godsey mars)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FLASHY BELLE Jan06 Oct18 Jul08 Jun02 May17 (vaughn t)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  SWEET FRAULEIN Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FENESTRA Dec30 Sep23 Sep02 Jul31 Jun11 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  A FEW TOO MANY Dec16 Nov17 Nov08 Oct27 Oct17 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
3  GREENER PASTURES Jun19 May30 Apr02     (mccarthy michae)HEARD TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HILARIOUS AFFAIR Nov06 Sep25 Sep04 Jul31 Jul17 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
5  BASEBALL POLITICS Dec30 Dec10 Nov25 Jul08 Jun03 (manley steve)EMIGH A 120 20.00    
6  PAGE ONE Nov04 Sep22       (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  BEARS WATCHING         (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
8  VASSAR'S BOY Dec16 Sep29 Aug17 Jul22 Jun30 (lyster )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
9  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Jan01 Dec03 Nov11 Oct01 Aug26 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00    
10  TIGHTROPE Dec17 Nov27 Apr09     (riv)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 5.00    
11  INFINITE (ARG) Sep05 Apr09       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 18% 4.60    
12  RACE DRIVER Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 Aug26 Jul23 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
13  AMERICAN ICON Dec31 Dec14 Nov27 Nov16 Nov09 (vasquez)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  HAZEL RAH Dec16 Nov27 Oct19 Oct05 Aug03 (guida anthony )SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEWARDS RULES Jan14 Dec15 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 8.00    
2  PERCENTAGE Jan07 Dec21 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 (cline robert)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
3  AGGRESSIVITY Dec30 Nov13 Oct15 Sep23 Aug26 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  ESTILO PELIGROSO Jan14 Dec15 May05 Mar17 Mar02 (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
5  REUX (GB) Jan11 Dec16 Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 12.00    
6  FUTILE Jan11 Nov02 Oct08 Sep23 Aug31 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 18.00    
7  LIZZY'S LURE Jan14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 (locker timo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00    
SCR  TALLESTOFTHETALL Jan14 Dec15 Nov20 Nov06 Oct09 (brownfiel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 5% 17.20    
9  MR. WALSH Nov30 Nov14 Nov03 May06 Feb18 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 9% 10.50    
10  SEMI CHARMED DAY Jan07 Dec15 Oct27 Sep25 Aug27 (anderso)DE CRUZ 123 4.50    
11  TORNADO BOY Jan14 Dec15 Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
12  HERE COMES TREY Dec15 Oct24 Oct13 Oct04 Sep13 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.