Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Tuesday - November 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   11/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ABSTRACT LILLY 4 3 31½ 21   11 1¼ (marr h)FUENTES A 120 3.00 26% 2.90 2.20 W
8  I WIN LIKA GIRL 5 4 42½ 32   21 2¼ (cappellucci)SCRIVER L 120 5.00 ★ 2.40 P
9  COCKTAILWITHATWIST 6 5 53½ 42½   31½ 32¾ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20 0.90 S
2  MS MERAZ 1 1 1½ 11   42½ 411¼ (graham clifford )MEDELLIN A 120 15.00 28.30  
5  LA NUBE 2 2 2½ 65½   55½ 517½ (quiroz fi)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 20.00 46.80  
6  WINNING ATTITUDE 3 6 66 54½   66 618¼ (morales danny)CHAVEZ R 120 12.00 11.30  
SCR  DESERT PEPPER               (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 15.00    
SCR  MARQUEE'S STORM               (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 8.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  VIPERS PRINCESS               (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00 ★    
 
ZIA-2   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  IZERIGHT 8 3 42 42   1½ 1¼ (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 4.60  
8  GO RED RASCAL 6 2 2nk 2½   2½ 2¼ (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 ★ 6.10 P
9  CERVEZA 7 5 31 31½   31½ 33¼ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30 S
2  STORM BAYOU 2 6 62¾ 64   53 44¼ (buechler si)SCRIVER L 123 10.00 6.30  
3  ALL CHROME 3 8 83¾ 53½   43 54¾ (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 6.00 4.80  
4  ATTILIANNO 4 4 73¼ 74½   63½ 66 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 3.50 ★ 1.80  
6  AWESOME STORM 5 1 1nk 1½   75½ 713¾ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00 72% 0.40 5.70  
1  EFFORT N RESULTS 1 7 52½ 85½   88½ 815¼ (marr h)TOHILL S 123 15.00 ★ 45.90  
SCR  BESITOS CRIMINALES               (martinez frankie )PEREZ A 123 20.00    
SCR  HALF COURT SAM               (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:232 :451 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BAYTOWN MACCA 7 4 2½ 42   21 1¼ (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 10% 9.30 14.00 W
2  DIRT ROAD RED 2 6 63¾ 52¼   31½ 2¼ (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00 24% 3.20 1.90 P
6  KEEN CAT 5 1 3½ 3½   11 3½ (green greg)PEREZ A 121 8.00 5.30  
7  WILMAS IRISH ROVER 6 8 84¾ 75¼   63 41 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 ★ 13.50  
9  SLY 8 5 53¼ 62¼   52 52½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 27% 2.70 2.00  
4  NORTHVALE ROAD 4 3 4¾ 2nk   41½ 63½ (cappellucci)SCRIVER L 121 1.80 3.30  
1  FINGLAS LAD 1 2 1½ 1nk   74 79¾ (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 30.00 42.00  
3  GRAN MANNA 3 7 74¼ 89¼   89 815 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 120 20.00 42.80  
SCR  NUMEROLOGIST               (buechler j)TOHILL S 123 15.00 11% 8.20    
 
ZIA-4   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:22 :434 :563     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING CONNECTION 1 4 2nk 11   12 13¼ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 116 1.80 ★ 0.40  
6  DIAMONDS DANZING 6 1 31½ 21   22 23¼ (hernandez miguel)MEDELLIN A 118 5.00 20% 4.00 5.50 P
4  BOLD CONNECTION 4 3 41¾ 43   34 38¾ (fincher todd)FUENTES A 116 3.00 15% 5.60 7.00 S
5  WILLOWMYGIRL 5 5 54¾ 57   56½ 412 (woolley l)TOHILL S 116 10.00 60.50  
3  MO BONITA 3 2 1nk 31½   46 513½ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 116 2.50 32% 2.10 3.40  
7  ICE N LEMON 7 6 67¼ 69½   611½ 620¼ (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 15.00 55.40  
2  MISFIRED 2 7 714¼ 715½   715½ 723¾ (rust terri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 116 12.00 11% 8.10 ######  
 
ZIA-5   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW DID HE DO THAT 1 2 2½ 2½   1½ 12½ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 116 1.60 37% 1.70 1.30 W
4  FLEET OF FLAGS 4 4 41½ 42   32 22½ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 116 3.50 28% 2.60 4.90 P
2  U. S. ARMY 2 1 1½ 1½   2½ 32¾ (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 116 4.00 ★ 5.00 S
5  HA HA FOR YOU 5 7 65 64½   64½ 46 (roberso)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 116 20.00 61.00  
3  GUITAR BOY 3 3 31 31½   42½ 57 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 116 5.00 5% 17.20 2.90  
7  MALMO 7 5 53½ 52½   54 68½ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 116 8.00 8% 11.00 6.40  
6  ZIA ZAPPER 6 8 810½ 87½   89½ 711½ (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 15.20  
8  OHHH DADDY 8 6 75½ 75½   78½ 813¾ (rust)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 15.00 ######  
 
ZIA-6   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :441 :554     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAMURAI CHARM 5 4 2½ 2nk   1½ 12½ (miller peter)FUENTES A 123 0.80 ★ 0.20  
3  OUR IRIS ROSE 3 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 22½ (fincher )SANTANA JR 123 4.00 58% 0.70 3.30 P
1  FLYIN FALYNN 1 2 32 53½   33½ 38 (zamora chri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 7% 12.40 20.70 S
6  REVENOOR WOMAN 6 7 52¼ 42½   44 49 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00 70.80  
2  SUNDAY FLASHBACK 2 6 73¾ 75½   76½ 510 (trout r)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 12% 7.50 9.90  
4  DISTORTED FLASH 4 1 42 64½   65½ 610 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 ★ 42.00  
7  RANEEM 7 5 62¾ 32   55 710½ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 25.90  
 
ZIA-7   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:22 :433 :552     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COMPETITIVE IDEA 7 6 2½ 2½   2½ 1nk (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 44% 1.30 3.30 W
1  EMPIRE OF GOLD 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (eoff terry)LUZZI J 121 1.60 19% 4.30 1.90 P
8  MR PAYTIENCE 8 5 41½ 42   31½ 3½ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00 15.60  
4  TUT'S REVENGE 4 4 73¾ 77   55 43 (ashford ray)TOHILL S 119 4.00 9% 10.00 3.00  
2  IT MAKES SENSE 2 1 3½ 31½   43 55 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00 3.90  
5  SWEET RIVER BAINES 5 7 52 54   76 67¾ (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 15.30  
3  MIGHTY MISCHIEF 3 3 62¼ 65   65½ 79¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 6% 16.20 10.70  
6  OVER EZ 6 8 85¾ 812   821 833¼ (honesto joe )SALAZAR TERESA 119 50.00 ★ 63.90  
 
ZIA-8   11/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:102 1:343   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SOY TAPATIO 6 1 42 31½ 41¾ 1½ 11 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 123 6.00 49% 1.10 2.10 W
4  LOGICAL MYTH 4 2 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 21 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 117 20.00 14.50  
1  MINE THAT STAR 1 5 53 53 51¾ 32½ 38½ (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 4.50 9% 10.00 2.60 S
2  TRIPOLI 2 4 31½ 42½ 2nk 43 49 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 121 0.80 0.90  
3  ZESTFUL 3 3 11 1½ 3.2 64½ 512¼ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 ★ 17.10  
5  JET N G 5 6 64½ 63½ 63¼ 54½ 613¼ (cross gary)TOHILL S 121 30.00 8% 11.60 78.40  
SCR  SILVER PROSPECTOR               (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 10% 9.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:114 1:354   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BELLA RUNNER 6 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 11½ 14 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 1.80 34% 1.90 1.20 W
4  KIRSTENBOSCH 4 5 31½ 3½ 4¾ 33½ 24 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 119 2.50 ★ 0.90 P
5  CORRINA CORRINA 5 6 52½ 42 61¼ 44 34 (cross gary)TOHILL S 121 10.00 18% 4.40 9.50 S
3  HITS PRICEY LEGACY 3 2 42 62¾ 2nk 21½ 45¼ (trout r)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50 23% 3.40 6.60  
1  CLEOPATRAS CHARGE 1 4 63 52½ 51¼ 55 57½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 33.60  
2  AMERICAN COALMINER 2 1 1½ 1nk 3.2 66 621¼ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 ★ 47.80  
 
ZIA-10   11/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PERFECT FLIGHT 2 6 63½ 31 31 11 12¾ (miller p)SANTANA JR 118 1.80 19% 4.30 4.70 W
5  APPREHEND 5 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 22¾ (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.40 37% 1.70 0.30 P
1  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) 1 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 31½ 33¼ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 123 5.00 12% 7.40 7.30 S
3  BYE BYE BOBBY 3 5 52½ 41½ 52¼ 44 47¼ (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 6.00 ★ 6.90  
6  SENATE CHAMBER 6 4 31½ 52½ 41¼ 55 59¾ (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 ★ 14.30  
4  I THINK I'M HERE 4 3 42 62½ 64¾ 67 613¾ (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 121 20.00 53.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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