Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Tuesday - November 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   11/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DESERT PEPPER Nov14 Nov02 Sep25 Aug30   (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 15.00    
MS MERAZ Oct31         (graham clifford )MEDELLIN A 120 15.00    
SCR  MARQUEE'S STORM         (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 8.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  VIPERS PRINCESS Oct23 Oct10 Aug24 Jul29 Jun10 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
LA NUBE Nov14         (quiroz fi)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 20.00    
WINNING ATTITUDE Nov06         (morales danny)CHAVEZ R 120 12.00    
ABSTRACT LILLY Oct18 Oct05       (marr h)FUENTES A 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Oct05 Sep25 Aug24     (cappellucci)SCRIVER L 120 5.00    
COCKTAILWITHATWIST Oct31 Oct18       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
ZIA-2   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EFFORT N RESULTS Apr23 Mar27 Feb27     (marr h)TOHILL S 123 15.00    
STORM BAYOU Oct30 Oct01 Sep14 Mar27 Feb27 (buechler si)SCRIVER L 123 10.00    
ALL CHROME Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 Aug27 May07 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 6.00    
ATTILIANNO Oct10 Sep03 Apr22     (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 3.50    
SCR  BESITOS CRIMINALES Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 (martinez frankie )PEREZ A 123 20.00    
AWESOME STORM         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00 72% 0.40    
SCR  HALF COURT SAM Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 Aug12 Aug06 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
GO RED RASCAL Oct30 Oct04 Aug07 Jun11 May08 (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
CERVEZA Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Aug06 Jun12 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  IZERIGHT Oct30 Oct10 May07 Feb27 Jan30 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINGLAS LAD Nov08 Oct24 Sep23 Sep10 Aug25 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 30.00    
DIRT ROAD RED Nov07 Oct23 Oct01 Aug27 Aug05 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
GRAN MANNA Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 Jul16 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 120 20.00    
NORTHVALE ROAD Oct09 Sep02 Aug14 Jul16 May28 (cappellucci)SCRIVER L 121 1.80    
SCR  NUMEROLOGIST Nov07 Sep23 Sep04 Jun25 May14 (buechler j)TOHILL S 123 15.00 11% 8.20    
KEEN CAT Aug28 Jul30 Jun24 May21 May08 (green greg)PEREZ A 121 8.00    
WILMAS IRISH ROVER Oct18 Sep23 Aug27 Aug05 Jun26 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
BAYTOWN MACCA Oct23 Aug05 May15 Apr03   (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 10% 9.30    
SLY Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 May29 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
ZIA-4   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING CONNECTION Nov07 Aug14 Jul23     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 116 1.80    
MISFIRED Sep18 Jul24 Jul10     (rust terri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 116 12.00 11% 8.10    
MO BONITA Sep14 Jul04 Jun19 May26   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 116 2.50 32% 2.10    
BOLD CONNECTION Oct11 Sep18 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 116 3.00 15% 5.60    
WILLOWMYGIRL Oct04 Jul04       (woolley l)TOHILL S 116 10.00    
DIAMONDS DANZING Nov04 Sep18 May07 Apr13   (hernandez miguel)MEDELLIN A 118 5.00 20% 4.00    
ICE N LEMON Oct24 Oct11 Sep10 Aug28   (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 15.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW DID HE DO THAT Oct28 Sep30 Aug28 Jun23   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 116 1.60 37% 1.70    
U. S. ARMY Sep25 Sep07       (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 116 4.00    
GUITAR BOY Oct11 Aug20 Jul17     (fincher todd)FUENTES A 116 5.00 5% 17.20    
FLEET OF FLAGS Sep18 Aug20       (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 116 3.50 28% 2.60    
HA HA FOR YOU Sep19         (roberso)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 116 20.00    
ZIA ZAPPER Oct28 Sep18 Sep03     (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
MALMO Oct25 Oct11       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 116 8.00 8% 11.00    
OHHH DADDY Sep18 Jul24 Jul10     (rust)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 15.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYIN FALYNN Oct04 Jul02 Jun17 Mar08 Feb20 (zamora chri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
SUNDAY FLASHBACK Oct21 Sep29 Sep03     (trout r)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
OUR IRIS ROSE Oct31 Oct11 Sep04 Aug06 Jun18 (fincher todd)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.00 58% 0.70    
DISTORTED FLASH Sep25 Jun24 May30 May02 Apr11 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
SAMURAI CHARM Oct31 Oct02 Sep05 Jul04 Jun04 (miller peter)FUENTES A 123 0.80    
REVENOOR WOMAN Oct04 Sep16 Aug06 Mar08 Feb05 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00    
RANEEM Oct31 Oct04 Sep16 Aug06 May21 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE OF GOLD Sep25 Sep01 Jul16 May30 May06 (eoff terry)LUZZI J 121 1.60 19% 4.30    
IT MAKES SENSE Sep25 Sep01 May30 May06 Mar03 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00    
MIGHTY MISCHIEF Sep01 Jan08       (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 6% 16.20    
TUT'S REVENGE Oct27 Sep14 Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 (ashford ray)TOHILL S 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
SWEET RIVER BAINES Oct31 Oct11 Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
OVER EZ Aug28 Jul30 May30 Mar26 Mar15 (honesto joe )SALAZAR TERESA 119 50.00    
COMPETITIVE IDEA Oct31 Oct11 Sep04 Jul31 May14 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
MR PAYTIENCE Oct31 Oct11 Aug28 Jul31 May14 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00    
 
ZIA-8   11/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE THAT STAR Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 May30 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 4.50 9% 10.00    
TRIPOLI Nov06 Oct01 Jul30 Jun19   (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 121 0.80    
ZESTFUL Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 May29 Apr02 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00    
LOGICAL MYTH Oct27 Sep25 Apr21 Mar12 Jan30 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 117 20.00    
JET N G Oct30 Oct01 Sep14 Aug28 May29 (cross gary)TOHILL S 121 30.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SILVER PROSPECTOR Oct01 Aug06 Jul09 May30 May01 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 10% 9.00    
SOY TAPATIO Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 Aug01 Jul01 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 123 6.00 49% 1.10    
 
ZIA-9   11/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEOPATRAS CHARGE Oct14 Sep25 Sep09 Aug06 May21 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 8.00    
AMERICAN COALMINER Oct06 Sep03 Aug07 Jun17 May27 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00    
HITS PRICEY LEGACY Oct21 Sep25 Sep09     (trout r)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
KIRSTENBOSCH Oct15 Sep05 Aug21 Jun12 May08 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 119 2.50    
CORRINA CORRINA Oct30 Sep17 Sep04 Aug07 May29 (cross gary)TOHILL S 121 10.00 18% 4.40    
BELLA RUNNER Oct23 Sep18 Aug26 Mar05 Jan01 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
ZIA-10   11/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) Sep25 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 May07 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
PERFECT FLIGHT Oct29 Oct09 Sep11 Aug07 Jun26 (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 19% 4.30    
BYE BYE BOBBY Oct31 May07 Mar27 Feb27 Jan30 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 6.00    
I THINK I'M HERE Oct30 Sep30 Sep04 Aug06 May22 (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 121 20.00    
APPREHEND Oct08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun17   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
SENATE CHAMBER Oct12 Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 May29 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.