The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Zia Park
Tuesday - October 04, 2022

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ZIA-7   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:12
:223 :453       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW MEXICO JEREMY 1 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 1(hone bart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 1.60 15% 5.90 0.60 W
PAGOSA DREAM 7 6 4 42   42(hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 3.00 19% 4.20 2.30 P
READS CODIGO 6 4 2nk 3½   1nk 32 (barton j)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 12.00 6.70 DQ↓4
HENNESSY LOOKER RF 5 1 1nk 1nk   3½ 4(lambert t)VILLANUEVA C 120 8.00 30.90  
RYDERS UP 3 3 5 5   553 (marr h)JUAREZ J 120 4.00 44% 1.30 10.00  
PAINTED SMOKE 2 5 6 6   64 63 (fincher w)FUENTES A 120 15.00 13.60  
EL RAFA Q 4 7 711¾ 717¼   714 714 (quiroz filiberto)VASQUEZ JOSE 120 20.00 38.60  
SCR  MILD DISTRACTION               (valdez-cabral jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
:231 :46 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO REGRETS N LOVE 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 11 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 1.80 12% 7.10 1.30 W
SHOULDABEENACOWGAL 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 21 (marr h)JUAREZ J 123 1.00 59% 0.70 2.00 P
MISS BRIGHT TOWN 5 5 52 31   31 33 (gonzalez sal)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 4.30  
MISS ABILITY 3 3 4 5   54(buechler j)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00 6% 16.00 12.30  
SUERTUDA 2 4 31 4   43 58 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 6.00 3.40  
SCR  WILEO PROCEED               (sedillo e)CHAVEZ R 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-9   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 6:06
:223 :454       1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE PROSPECTING 5 5 6 42   31¾ (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 120 2.00 59% 0.70 1.10 W
ATTILAS TORNADO 7 3 31 31   1½ 2¾ (buechler j)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00 17.50  
LAUGHTEN 1 1 11 11   2½ 32 (riddle e)TORRES J 120 8.00 13.50 S
VALENTINO WHO 4 6 4 21   44(fincher w)JUAREZ J 120 2.50 16% 5.40 1.50  
OL' MCCLINTOCK 6 2 21 5   554 (lambert t)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 3.50 7.10  
SHAME ON SAM 3 7 7 76   66(lambert t)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 12.00 9.60  
TOP HAT VISCOUNT 2 4 52 6   79 712¾ (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 20.00 28.90  
SCR  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY               (vaughn lonnie)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 8.00    
 
ZIA-10   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
:222 :443 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYIN FALYNN 3 5 33 42   2½ 1¾ (zamora chris)FUENTES A 123 4.00 29% 2.50 5.20 W
RANEEM 2 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 2¾ (cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 16% 5.30 2.70 P
BRAVE CINDERELLA 6 2 65 3   42 32 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 123 12.00 9.00  
REVENOOR WOMAN 4 7 55 53   54(gonzalez andres)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00 6.00  
HARKING 1 4 1½ 1nk   31 5(woolley l)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 1.60 29% 2.40 1.50  
SHUGS CHARLIE 5 6 78 77   6613¼ (quiroz filiberto)VASQUEZ JOSE 123 5.00 6.90  
PEARL DRAGON 7 1 44 66   711 718¼ (smith a)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
 
ZIA-11   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:223 :444 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO RED RASCAL 1 3 21 2½   1½ 1(munoz jr)FUENTES A 121 5.00 4.30  
KISS ME D ORO 5 2 31 3   32 2(loma p)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 35% 1.90 4.00 P
HENNESSY'S SQUIRT 6 7 64 5   43 3(chadborn k)PEREZ A 123 6.00 15% 5.70 6.20 S
DANZ AT COLFAX 3 1 11 1½   2½ 4(morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 21% 3.80 3.50  
AISLE RUNNER 7 5 53 64   54 5(quiroz filiberto)VASQUEZ JOSE 123 20.00 26.60  
LIFE JACKET 4 4 42 4   65 6(rojero c)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
BODIE GOT GOLD 2 6 7 77   77 711 (hone bart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00 1.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.