Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-7   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW MEXICO JEREMY Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 1.60 15% 5.90    
SCR  MILD DISTRACTION         (valdez-cabral)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00 ★    
3  PAINTED SMOKE Sep10 Aug14 Jul29     (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 15.00    
4  RYDERS UP Aug14         (marr h)JUAREZ J 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
5  EL RAFA Q         (quiroz filiber)VASQUEZ JOSE 120 20.00 ★    
6  HENNESSY LOOKER RF Aug14 Jul29 Jul03 Jun19   (lambert case)VILLANUEVA C 120 8.00    
7  READS CODIGO Sep10         (barton dalla)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 12.00    
8  PAGOSA DREAM Sep25 Aug14       (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
ZIA-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO REGRETS N LOVE Aug31 Aug05 Jun04 Apr02   (marr h)FUENTES A 123 1.80 12% 7.10    
2  SUERTUDA Aug05 May07 Feb25 Feb01 Jan16 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 6.00 ★    
3  MISS ABILITY Sep17 Aug31 May07 Mar20 Feb18 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00 6% 16.00    
4  SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Aug13 Apr02 Mar06 Feb13 Jan02 (marr h)JUAREZ J 123 1.00 59% 0.70    
5  MISS BRIGHT TOWN Sep04 Aug05 Apr24 Mar27 Feb18 (gonzalez sal)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
SCR  WILEO PROCEED Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 Jun25 (sedillo e)CHAVEZ R 121 10.00 ★    
 
ZIA-9   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHTEN Sep03 Jul29       (riddle e)TORRES J 120 8.00 ★    
2  TOP HAT VISCOUNT Aug14         (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 20.00    
3  SHAME ON SAM Jun10 May08 Apr02     (lambert casey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 12.00    
4  VALENTINO WHO Sep10 Aug14 Jul29     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Sep25         (vaughn )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 8.00 ★    
6  GONE PROSPECTING Aug24 Jul30 Jul03     (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
7  OL' MCCLINTOCK Sep10 Jun10       (lambert case)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 3.50 ★    
8  ATTILAS TORNADO Sep25 Aug14 Jul29 Jul03   (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-10   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARKING Aug21 Jul17 Jun25 May26 Mar11 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 1.60 29% 2.40    
2  RANEEM Sep16 Aug06 May21 May07 Mar08 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  FLYIN FALYNN Jul02 Jun17 Mar08 Feb20 Feb05 (zamora chris)FUENTES A 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  REVENOOR WOMAN Sep16 Aug06 Mar08 Feb05   (gonzalez and)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00    
5  SHUGS CHARLIE Sep16 Aug27 May27 May21 Mar06 (quiroz filiber)VASQUEZ JOSE 123 5.00 ★    
6  BRAVE CINDERELLA Sep16 Aug24 Mar08     (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
7  PEARL DRAGON Jun10 Feb06 Jan28 Jan08   (smith a)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-11   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO RED RASCAL Aug07 Jun11 May08 Feb27 Feb08 (munoz guadal)FUENTES A 121 5.00    
2  BODIE GOT GOLD Sep04 Aug26 May29 May01 Mar27 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00 ★    
3  DANZ AT COLFAX Aug21 Aug06 May22 Apr22 Mar15 (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  LIFE JACKET Sep18 Aug07 Jun11 May22 Feb01 (rojero luis )SIGALA ALFREDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  KISS ME D ORO Sep15 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 May01 (loma humberto)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Sep18 Aug10 May22 Feb26 Feb08 (chadborn kenneth )PEREZ A 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  AISLE RUNNER May27 May21 Apr24 Apr03 Mar19 (quiroz filiber)VASQUEZ JOSE 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.