The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Zia Park
Tuesday - October 11, 2022

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ZIA-1   10/11/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:224 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLID GOLD BAR 2 2 21 1nk   11 1¼ (chavez arturo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 1.20 1.60  
LODE THE GOLD 4 1 11 2nk   21 2¼ (lavanway dayson)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 2.50 25% 3.00 2.10 P
WISKEY CROWN 3 3 3 3.2   33½ (danley i)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 1.00 S
KICK IT 1 4 4 410¼   412½ 414 (lavanway dayson)BARAJAS J 123 15.00 6% 16.50 14.20  
SCR  BORTSTEIN               (velazquez fernando)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
ZIA-2   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
:224 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPETITIVE IDEA 5 1 11 11   112 (cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 123 0.60 67% 0.50 0.70 W
SWEET RIVER BAINES 1 4 5 4   33 22 (cappellucci dick)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 12.80 P
MR PAYTIENCE 3 2 21 21   23(hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 3.00 2.00 S
CLAVICHORD 2 3 3 3   44(buechler j)FUENTES A 123 4.00 3.30  
BRICKBAT 4 5 42 5   55(barrios bernadette)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00 43.10  
 
ZIA-3   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 3:24
:222 :46       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIKINILESS 3 1 2½ 2nk   11 1hd (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.40 41% 1.50 1.50 W
BYE BYE BRANDI 1 3 1½ 1nk   32hd (fincher w)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 0.60  
ALWAYS PUNCTUAL 4 2 3½ 3.2   21 3¾ (marr h)FUENTES A 121 3.00 12% 7.10 4.50 S
TRAVELIN LADY 5 4 412½ 515¾   416½ 417¼ (chavez arturo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 43.00  
DUKE CITY KITTY 2 5 514 415¼   517½ 522¼ (salazar michelle)SALAZAR TERESA 116 30.00 28.50  
SCR  E BAR SCOUT               (marr h)TOHILL S 121 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
ZIA-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
:23 :453 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR IRIS ROSE 5 1 11 11   111 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 123 0.60 59% 0.70 0.90 W
GEMSTONE GAL 6 2 21 3   221 (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 123 3.00 19% 4.30 1.50 P
ELDORADO DREAM 4 3 32 4   32 3(martinez h)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 5.70 S
QUATRO 1 5 43 21   444 (buechler j)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 14.00  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 2 6 65 64   55(martinez h)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 14.20  
GRAN MANNA 3 4 53 5   66 68 (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00 21.30  
 
ZIA-5   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 4:18
:23 :47       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD CONNECTION 6 1 1½ 1½   12 1(fincher w)FUENTES A 120 0.80 41% 1.40 0.30 W
UNDO THE RIGHT 3 4 4 2½   22 2(lambert t)CEBALLOS F 120 4.00 34% 2.00 10.30 P
ICE N LEMON 5 5 31 31   339 (woolley l)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 12.00 50.60  
OCCURRENCE 4 6 64 66   68 416½ (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 120 8.00 20.90  
HAILEY'S JEWEL 1 2 52 54   5517¾ (garza e)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 38.00  
SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST 7 3 2½ 42   4624½ (marr h)TOHILL S 120 6.00 2.80  
DASH OF CHROME 2 7 78 79   713 728½ (van robert)CHAVEZ R 120 20.00 25.70  
 
ZIA-6   10/11/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 4:45
:234 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOVERY N SIGHT 5 3 21 21   21¼ (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 24% 3.20 1.90 W
B R KIDD ROCK 2 1 11 11   12¼ (buechler j)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 11% 8.00 7.00 P
READS PET ZENON 3 6 5 32   33(barton j)CEBALLOS F 121 1.20 33% 2.00 0.60 S
M T S RUNNER 6 5 6 6   65 4(salazar michelle)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00 23.70  
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE 4 4 42 5   55(morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50 15.70  
GRIFTER 1 2 3 42   43 6(rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 13.80  
 
ZIA-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($15K) 35 ALL PT- 5:12
:223 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG RIG 2 7 2 21   11 1(summers nancy)SCRIVER L 123 1.20 57% 0.70 0.70 W
TSUNAMI GOLD 4 1 1 11   21 2(valdez-cabral jr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 4.60 P
DEACON BEACON 7 3 4 42   32 3(young a)TORRES J 123 20.00 38.80  
SEA OF INDY 3 2 3 31   43 4(hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 4.50 6.30  
RARE COIN 5 5 6 6   57 512 (marquez m)BARAJAS J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
CANDY RASCAL 6 4 720½ 717½   714 621¼ (loma p)SALAZAR TERESA 121 15.00 12% 7.30 10.80  
ORGULLO MIO 1 6 53 54   610 721½ (villalobos a)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 2.50 5.00  
 
ZIA-8   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
:222 :454       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR BOY 8 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 14 (fincher w)FUENTES A 120 1.60 42% 1.40 1.20 W
MALMO 4 3 3 3   31 24 (fincher w)JUAREZ J 120 1.20 31% 2.20 1.80 P
MINISTER MAZ 6 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 37 (ashford ray)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 8.00 6.70  
PINEY BLUFF 3 6 7 78   5416¾ (van robert)CEBALLOS F 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
WEST TEXAS COWBOY 2 7 54 4   48 521 (lambert t)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 8.40  
EL OCHO 1 4 6 56   6625½ (pierce w)SCRIVER L 120 30.00 25.60  
JUST N LOVING 7 5 4 67   717½ 744¾ (munoz jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 14.10  
INDIANOFGOLD 5 8 820¼ 823   823½ 845 (chavez arturo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 30.00 31.70  
 
ZIA-9   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
:221 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVIL TEMPTATION 4 2 43 4   2½ 11 (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 121 2.50 6% 16.30 4.90 W
GABRIELLA WHO 9 5 2nk 2nk   1½ 21 (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 121 4.50 34% 1.90 2.50 P
INDIAN EXCELLENCE 3 7 6 6   434 (pierce w)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00 3.00  
BERNICE WHO 5 8 9 10   74(fincher w)CEBALLOS F 121 3.50 25% 3.00 5.60  
10  CYNICAL GIRL 10 10 8 8   65(olguin ever)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
OUR ISLAND GIRL 7 3 1nk 1nk   31 6(riddle e)TORRES J 123 8.00 18.20  
CLOSING TIME CUTIE 8 4 5 5   55 7(silva n)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00 14.90  
JASMINE WHO 2 6 107 9   87 8(gonzalez andres)SCRIVER L 121 12.00 20.50  
SHAMEONNATALIE 6 1 31 34   9915½ (cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 8.40  
CURL 1 9 7 7   1011 1021½ (martinez h)PEREZ A 123 15.00 31.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.