Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   10/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLID GOLD BAR 2 2 21 1nk   11 1¼ (chavez ar)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 1.20 1.60  
LODE THE GOLD 4 1 11 2nk   21 2¼ (lavanway dayson)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 2.50 25% 3.00 2.10 P
WISKEY CROWN 3 3 3 3.2   3 3½ (danley)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 1.00 S
KICK IT 1 4 4 410¼   412½ 414 (lavanway dayson)BARAJAS J 123 15.00 6% 16.50 14.20  
SCR  BORTSTEIN               (velazquez ferna)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
ZIA-2   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPETITIVE IDEA 5 1 11 11   1 12 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 123 0.60 67% 0.50 0.70 W
SWEET RIVER BAINES 1 4 5 4   33 22 (cappel)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 12.80 P
MR PAYTIENCE 3 2 21 21   2 3 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 3.00 2.00 S
CLAVICHORD 2 3 3 3   4 4 (buechler simon)FUENTES A 123 4.00 3.30  
BRICKBAT 4 5 42 5   5 5 (barrios bernadette)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00 43.10  
 
ZIA-3   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:222 :46       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIKINILESS 3 1 2½ 2nk   11 1hd (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.40 41% 1.50 1.50 W
BYE BYE BRANDI 1 3 1½ 1nk   3 2hd (fincher w)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 0.60  
ALWAYS PUNCTUAL 4 2 3½ 3.2   21 3¾ (marr h)FUENTES A 121 3.00 12% 7.10 4.50 S
TRAVELIN LADY 5 4 412½ 515¾   416½ 417¼ (chavez ar)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 43.00  
DUKE CITY KITTY 2 5 514 415¼   517½ 522¼ (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 116 30.00 28.50  
SCR  E BAR SCOUT               (marr h)TOHILL S 121 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
ZIA-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:23 :453 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR IRIS ROSE 5 1 11 11   1 11 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 123 0.60 59% 0.70 0.90 W
GEMSTONE GAL 6 2 21 3   2 21 (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 123 3.00 19% 4.30 1.50 P
ELDORADO DREAM 4 3 32 4   32 3 (martinez franki)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 5.70 S
QUATRO 1 5 43 21   4 44 (buechler simo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 14.00  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 2 6 65 64   5 5 (martin)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 14.20  
GRAN MANNA 3 4 53 5   66 68 (rojero luis )RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00 21.30  
 
ZIA-5   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD CONNECTION 6 1 1½ 1½   12 1 (fincher w)FUENTES A 120 0.80 41% 1.40 0.30 W
UNDO THE RIGHT 3 4 4 2½   22 2 (lambert t)CEBALLOS F 120 4.00 34% 2.00 10.30 P
ICE N LEMON 5 5 31 31   3 39 (woolle)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 12.00 50.60  
OCCURRENCE 4 6 64 66   68 416½ (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 120 8.00 20.90  
HAILEY'S JEWEL 1 2 52 54   5 517¾ (garza e)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 38.00  
SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST 7 3 2½ 42   4 624½ (marr h)TOHILL S 120 6.00 2.80  
DASH OF CHROME 2 7 78 79   713 728½ (van robert)CHAVEZ R 120 20.00 25.70  
 
ZIA-6   10/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOVERY N SIGHT 5 3 21 21   2 1¼ (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 24% 3.20 1.90 W
B R KIDD ROCK 2 1 11 11   1 2¼ (buechler simo)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 11% 8.00 7.00 P
READS PET ZENON 3 6 5 32   3 3 (barton j)CEBALLOS F 121 1.20 33% 2.00 0.60 S
M T S RUNNER 6 5 6 6   65 4 (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00 23.70  
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE 4 4 42 5   5 5 (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50 15.70  
GRIFTER 1 2 3 42   43 6 (rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 13.80  
 
ZIA-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($15K) 35 ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:223 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG RIG 2 7 2 21   11 1 (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 123 1.20 57% 0.70 0.70 W
TSUNAMI GOLD 4 1 1 11   21 2 (valdez)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 4.60 P
DEACON BEACON 7 3 4 42   32 3 (young a)TORRES J 123 20.00 38.80  
SEA OF INDY 3 2 3 31   43 4 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 4.50 6.30  
RARE COIN 5 5 6 6   57 512 (marquez m)BARAJAS J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
CANDY RASCAL 6 4 720½ 717½   714 621¼ (loma humberto )SALAZAR TERESA 121 15.00 12% 7.30 10.80  
ORGULLO MIO 1 6 53 54   610 721½ (villalobos )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 2.50 5.00  
 
ZIA-8   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:222 :454       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR BOY 8 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 14 (fincher w)FUENTES A 120 1.60 42% 1.40 1.20 W
MALMO 4 3 3 3   31 24 (fincher w)JUAREZ J 120 1.20 31% 2.20 1.80 P
MINISTER MAZ 6 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 37 (ashford ray)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 8.00 6.70  
PINEY BLUFF 3 6 7 78   5 416¾ (van robe)CEBALLOS F 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
WEST TEXAS COWBOY 2 7 54 4   48 521 (lamber)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 8.40  
EL OCHO 1 4 6 56   6 625½ (pierce thomas)SCRIVER L 120 30.00 25.60  
JUST N LOVING 7 5 4 67   717½ 744¾ (munoz guadalupe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 14.10  
INDIANOFGOLD 5 8 820¼ 823   823½ 845 (chavez ar)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 30.00 31.70  
 
ZIA-9   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVIL TEMPTATION 4 2 43 4   2½ 11 (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 121 2.50 6% 16.30 4.90 W
GABRIELLA WHO 9 5 2nk 2nk   1½ 21 (rojero luis )RODRIGUEZ H 121 4.50 34% 1.90 2.50 P
INDIAN EXCELLENCE 3 7 6 6   4 34 (pierce)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00 3.00  
BERNICE WHO 5 8 9 10   7 4 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 121 3.50 25% 3.00 5.60  
10  CYNICAL GIRL 10 10 8 8   6 5 (olguin ev)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
OUR ISLAND GIRL 7 3 1nk 1nk   31 6 (riddle e)TORRES J 123 8.00 18.20  
CLOSING TIME CUTIE 8 4 5 5   55 7 (silva n)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00 14.90  
JASMINE WHO 2 6 107 9   87 8 (gonzalez andr)SCRIVER L 121 12.00 20.50  
SHAMEONNATALIE 6 1 31 34   9 915½ (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 8.40  
CURL 1 9 7 7   1011 1021½ (martinez h)PEREZ A 123 15.00 31.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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