Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   10/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug21 Aug13 (lavanway dayson)BARAJAS J 123 15.00 6% 16.50    
2  SOLID GOLD BAR Sep30 Sep15       (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 1.20 ★    
SCR  BORTSTEIN Aug27 Jul17 Jul02     (velazquez fer)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
4  WISKEY CROWN Feb22 Jan09       (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 ★    
5  LODE THE GOLD         (lavanway days)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
ZIA-2   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET RIVER BAINES Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 Jun24 Apr30 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 ★    
2  CLAVICHORD Sep23 Sep04 Feb21 Feb02 Jan13 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 123 4.00 ★    
3  MR PAYTIENCE Aug28 Jul31 May14 Apr22 Apr05 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 3.00 ★    
4  BRICKBAT Sep24 Sep05 Aug24 Aug14 Apr03 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00 ★    
5  COMPETITIVE IDEA Sep04 Jul31 May14 Apr22 Jan29 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 0.60 67% 0.50    
 
ZIA-3   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE BRANDI         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 5.00    
2  DUKE CITY KITTY Aug17 May20 Apr29 Apr03 Feb15 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 116 30.00 ★    
3  BIKINILESS Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 May27 May01 (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.40 41% 1.50    
4  ALWAYS PUNCTUAL Jul23 Mar20       (marr h)FUENTES A 121 3.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  E BAR SCOUT Mar26 Jan28 Jan01     (marr h)TOHILL S 121 1.80 26% 2.90    
6  TRAVELIN LADY Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 May29 May07 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 ★    
 
ZIA-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUATRO Aug07 Jul02 Jun11     (buechler si)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 ★    
2  GUARDING ELK CAMP Sep28 Aug24 Aug14 Jul04 Jun10 (mart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
3  GRAN MANNA Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00 ★    
4  ELDORADO DREAM Sep30 Sep04 Apr24 Mar08 Feb11 (martinez fran)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 ★    
5  OUR IRIS ROSE Sep04 Aug06 Jun18 May30 Mar27 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 123 0.60 59% 0.70    
6  GEMSTONE GAL Sep16 Aug06 Mar27 Feb20   (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
ZIA-5   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAILEY'S JEWEL Sep04 Jul21 Jul03     (garza joaquin)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 ★    
2  DASH OF CHROME         (van robe)CHAVEZ R 120 20.00 ★    
3  UNDO THE RIGHT Aug31         (lambert casey )CEBALLOS F 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
4  OCCURRENCE         (summers nan)SCRIVER L 120 8.00    
5  ICE N LEMON Sep10 Aug28       (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 12.00    
6  BOLD CONNECTION Sep18 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02   (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 0.80 41% 1.40    
7  SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST         (marr h)TOHILL S 120 6.00 ★    
 
ZIA-6   10/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIFTER Sep21 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 May22 (rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 ★    
2  B R KIDD ROCK Sep24 Sep04 Aug17 Jul31 Apr02 (buechler si)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 11% 8.00    
3  READS PET ZENON Sep04 Mar27 Feb27 Jan09   (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 1.20 33% 2.00    
4  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Sep24         (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50 ★    
5  DISCOVERY N SIGHT Apr02 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11   (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  M T S RUNNER Sep21 Sep02 Aug10 May29   (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00    
 
ZIA-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($15K) 35 ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORGULLO MIO May01 Feb25 Jan18 Jan04   (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 2.50 ★    
2  MR. BIG RIG Sep17 Aug10 Jul31 May22 Apr30 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 1.20 57% 0.70    
3  SEA OF INDY Sep02 May28 Mar22 Feb25 Jan29 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 4.50    
4  TSUNAMI GOLD Sep04         (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 ★    
5  RARE COIN Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 May22 Apr23 (marquez m)BARAJAS J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CANDY RASCAL         (loma humbert)SALAZAR TERESA 121 15.00 12% 7.30    
7  DEACON BEACON Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 (young a)VILLANUEVA C 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL OCHO Aug24         (pierce thom)SCRIVER L 120 30.00    
2  WEST TEXAS COWBOY         (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 ★    
3  PINEY BLUFF         (van ro)CEBALLOS F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MALMO         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
5  INDIANOFGOLD Sep25 Aug14 Jul30     (chavez artur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 30.00    
6  MINISTER MAZ Sep07 Aug20       (ashford ra)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 8.00    
7  JUST N LOVING Sep03         (munoz guadalu)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 ★    
8  GUITAR BOY Aug20 Jul17       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
ZIA-9   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURL Sep28 Sep14 Aug27 Aug14 Aug07 (martinez frankie )PEREZ A 123 15.00    
2  JASMINE WHO Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Jul30 Jul16 (gonzalez an)SCRIVER L 121 12.00    
3  INDIAN EXCELLENCE Aug10 Apr24 Mar27 Feb20 Feb01 (pier)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
4  EVIL TEMPTATION Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 Jun04   (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 2.50 6% 16.30    
5  BERNICE WHO Aug27 Aug10 Jun19 Mar27 Feb20 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  SHAMEONNATALIE Sep14 Aug03 May21 Apr30 Mar15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 ★    
7  OUR ISLAND GIRL Aug27 Jul02 Jun11 Mar15 Mar01 (riddle e)TORRES J 123 8.00    
8  CLOSING TIME CUTIE Sep21 Sep04 Aug26 Aug03 May28 (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00    
9  GABRIELLA WHO Sep28 Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 Jul02 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
10  CYNICAL GIRL Sep28 Sep04 Aug03 Jun12 May13 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.