The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-3   09/27/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:23 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE 1 1 1½     12 17¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.20 W
4  PACIFIC HARBOR 4 2 2½     22 27¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 18% 4.50 5.30 P
5  SENTIMENTAL CROSS 5 4 31     32½ 38¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 5% 18.00 6.50 S
2  TAP A MIRACLE 2 3 411     410½ 413¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 ★ 26.10  
3  DIABLO CUERNO 3 5 512     522½ 528¾ (haar j)BETHKE A 124 4.50 ★ 8.00  
 
ARP-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:222 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BIND ME UP 4 5 53¾ 42   2nk 13½ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 ★ 21.60  
2  SWEET TATUM 2 2 43¼ 21½   3.2 23½ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50 ★ 2.80 P
3  LIL MISS DE BUY 3 4 33 32   42¼ 36¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 50% 1.00 9.60 S
5  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 5 1 13 11½   1nk 47¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 19% 4.40 1.20  
1  ISABELLE'S JOY 1 3 23 53½   54¼ 514 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 1.50  
 
ARP-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:222 :461 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE TASK 1 3 1½ 11   11 11½ (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 12.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
6  BARLOWS PRIDE 6 1 2½ 21   21 21½ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 8.00 11% 8.30 5.60 P
4  FRIENDLY FOE 4 2 43 33½   32½ 34½ (parsons riley)WALES T 117 2.50 ★ 8.70 S
3  OUR BUBBY BOY 3 5 32½ 43½   44 47½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 35% 1.80 0.70  
5  PARABELLUM 5 4 54 54½   57 511 (williams f)BETHKE A 124 4.50 11.80  
2  BAR ROOM BRAWL 2 6 69 610½   613 622½ (arjon nava)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 ★ 14.60  
 
ARP-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:222 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAME DAY DECISION 4 2 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 0.80  
3  SILVER AND ACES 3 3 44 33   21 2½ (williams f)RAMOS B 124 8.00 3.70  
1  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 1 5 32½ 44½   42 37 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 ★ 5.50 S
5  MASTERPIECE DAY 5 1 2nk 2nk   32 48 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 6.00 15% 5.70 2.90  
2  BEHOLD DE FLAME 2 4 55½ 55½   54 58¼ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 121 3.50 41% 1.40 10.30  
SCR  CREAKY CRICKET               (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
ARP-7   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:242 :482 1:152 1:292   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BULL RING 8 7 712 613½ 67 33½ 1¾ (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 W
1  WALKIN TALKIN BOB 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 13 2¾ (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 117 4.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
5  BENTLEY 5 2 33½ 35½ 33½ 23 32½ (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 11.60 12.10 S
7  SUPER CREATIVE 7 5 58½ 511½ 56 44½ 412¼ (davis j)RAMOS B 120 20.00 26.40  
3  DADDY JACK 3 8 818 825½ 820 811 512¼ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 21.50  
2  SWAY BACK WHEN 2 6 611½ 719½ 712 67 614½ (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 ★ 11.70  
4  DEACON BEACON 4 3 2½ 2½ 21 56½ 724¾ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 57.60  
6  FROG WALKER 6 4 45½ 47½ 44 77 827¼ (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 3.50 9% 10.80 6.20  
 
ARP-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:223 :461 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILD SAINT 2 3 64½ 55   34½ 1¼ (hall monk)WALES T 121 3.00 39% 1.60 2.30 W
6  ABUELA CORI 6 2 21 22   22½ 2¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★ 6.70 P
8  WHO B DAT 8 7 76½ 68   68 38¾ (christian billy)MARTIN A 124 12.00 10% 8.60 3.10 S
4  SEGOVIANA 4 1 11 12   12½ 48¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
5  OUTLAW QUEEN 5 4 32½ 44   58 514½ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 4.50 ★ 5.00  
1  MYSTIC WIND 1 8 810½ 810   710 615 (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 31.60  
7  EPWORTH 7 6 43½ 33½   47½ 719¾ (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 15.30  
3  COUVERTURE 3 5 54 79   813 830 (mitchell stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.80  
 
ARP-9   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
:224 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STILLWATER BROWN 4 2 2nk 3½   1nk 12¾ (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 52% 0.90 1.20 W
8  EL JEFE COBB 6 4 4¼ 1½   2nk 22¾ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 2.40  
7  CASH CRUZER 5 3 3.2 2½   3.2 34¾ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 7% 14.30 6.80 S
2  SOUTHERN SMOKE 1 8 62¾ 66   66¾ 48¼ (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.80  
10  ITS YOUR THING 7 5 5¾ 54½   55¼ 513 (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 15.00 41.20  
5  TATES QUIK START 3 1 1nk 43½   44¼ 613¼ (pokorny foster)RAMOS B 121 20.00 ★ 36.00  
11  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 8 6 73¼ 78   79¾ 718¾ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 117 5.00 23.20  
3  REAL BULL 2 7 87¼ 816   817¾ 830¼ (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 43.30  
SCR  GOSPEL DANDY               (williams f)BETHKE A 120 20.00    
SCR  OUR HALF FIRST               (mcdonald j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANDEM DRIVE               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.