Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ARTIE 1 1 1½     12 1 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.20 W
PACIFIC HARBOR 4 2 2½     22 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 18% 4.50 5.30 P
SENTIMENTAL CROSS 5 4 31     3 3 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 5% 18.00 6.50 S
TAP A MIRACLE 2 3 411     410½ 413¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 26.10  
DIABLO CUERNO 3 5 512     522½ 528¾ (haar j)BETHKE A 124 4.50 8.00  
 
ARP-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIND ME UP 4 5 5 42   2nk 1 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 21.60  
SWEET TATUM 2 2 4 2   3.2 2 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50 2.80 P
LIL MISS DE BUY 3 4 33 32   4 3 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 50% 1.00 9.60 S
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 5 1 13 1   1nk 4 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 19% 4.40 1.20  
ISABELLE'S JOY 1 3 23 5   5 514 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 1.50  
 
ARP-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE TASK 1 3 1½ 11   11 1 (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 12.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
BARLOWS PRIDE 6 1 2½ 21   21 2 (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 8.00 11% 8.30 5.60 P
FRIENDLY FOE 4 2 43 3   3 3 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 2.50 8.70 S
OUR BUBBY BOY 3 5 3 4   44 4 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 35% 1.80 0.70  
PARABELLUM 5 4 54 5   57 511 (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 4.50 11.80  
BAR ROOM BRAWL 2 6 69 610½   613 622½ (arjon n)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 14.60  
 
ARP-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME DAY DECISION 4 2 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 0.80  
SILVER AND ACES 3 3 44 33   21 2½ (williams f)RAMOS B 124 8.00 3.70  
THAT'S ALL RIGHT 1 5 3 4   42 37 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 5.50 S
MASTERPIECE DAY 5 1 2nk 2nk   32 48 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 6.00 15% 5.70 2.90  
BEHOLD DE FLAME 2 4 5 5   54 5 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 121 3.50 41% 1.40 10.30  
SCR  CREAKY CRICKET               (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
ARP-7   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:152 1:292   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULL RING 8 7 712 613½ 67 3 1¾ (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 W
WALKIN TALKIN BOB 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 13 2¾ (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 117 4.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
BENTLEY 5 2 3 3 3 23 3 (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 11.60 12.10 S
SUPER CREATIVE 7 5 5 511½ 56 4 412¼ (davis j)RAMOS B 120 20.00 26.40  
DADDY JACK 3 8 818 825½ 820 811 512¼ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 21.50  
SWAY BACK WHEN 2 6 611½ 719½ 712 67 614½ (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11.70  
DEACON BEACON 4 3 2½ 2½ 21 5 724¾ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 57.60  
FROG WALKER 6 4 4 4 44 77 827¼ (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 3.50 9% 10.80 6.20  
 
ARP-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD SAINT 2 3 6 55   3 1¼ (hall monk)WALES T 121 3.00 39% 1.60 2.30 W
ABUELA CORI 6 2 21 22   2 2¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 6.70 P
WHO B DAT 8 7 7 68   68 3 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 12.00 10% 8.60 3.10 S
SEGOVIANA 4 1 11 12   1 4 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
OUTLAW QUEEN 5 4 3 44   58 514½ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 4.50 5.00  
MYSTIC WIND 1 8 810½ 810   710 615 (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 31.60  
EPWORTH 7 6 4 3   4 719¾ (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 15.30  
COUVERTURE 3 5 54 79   813 830 (mitchell stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.80  
 
ARP-9   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILLWATER BROWN 4 2 2nk 3½   1nk 1 (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 52% 0.90 1.20 W
EL JEFE COBB 6 4 4¼ 1½   2nk 2 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 2.40  
CASH CRUZER 5 3 3.2 2½   3.2 3 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 7% 14.30 6.80 S
SOUTHERN SMOKE 1 8 6 66   6 4 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.80  
10  ITS YOUR THING 7 5 5¾ 5   5 513 (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 15.00 41.20  
TATES QUIK START 3 1 1nk 4   4 613¼ (pokorny foster)RAMOS B 121 20.00 36.00  
11  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 8 6 7 78   7 718¾ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 117 5.00 23.20  
REAL BULL 2 7 8 816   817¾ 830¼ (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 43.30  
SCR  GOSPEL DANDY               (williams steve)BETHKE A 120 20.00    
SCR  OUR HALF FIRST               (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANDEM DRIVE               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.