Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   09/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE 1 1 1½     12 17¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.20 W
4  PACIFIC HARBOR 4 2 2½     22 27¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 18% 4.50 5.30 P
5  SENTIMENTAL CROSS 5 4 31     32½ 38¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 5% 18.00 6.50 S
2  TAP A MIRACLE 2 3 411     410½ 413¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 ★ 26.10  
3  DIABLO CUERNO 3 5 512     522½ 528¾ (haar robert )BETHKE A 124 4.50 ★ 8.00  
 
ARP-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BIND ME UP 4 5 53¾ 42   2nk 13½ (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 ★ 21.60  
2  SWEET TATUM 2 2 43¼ 21½   3.2 23½ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50 ★ 2.80 P
3  LIL MISS DE BUY 3 4 33 32   42¼ 36¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 50% 1.00 9.60 S
5  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 5 1 13 11½   1nk 47¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 19% 4.40 1.20  
1  ISABELLE'S JOY 1 3 23 53½   54¼ 514 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 1.50  
 
ARP-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE TASK 1 3 1½ 11   11 11½ (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 12.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
6  BARLOWS PRIDE 6 1 2½ 21   21 21½ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 8.00 11% 8.30 5.60 P
4  FRIENDLY FOE 4 2 43 33½   32½ 34½ (parsons riley)WALES T 117 2.50 ★ 8.70 S
3  OUR BUBBY BOY 3 5 32½ 43½   44 47½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 35% 1.80 0.70  
5  PARABELLUM 5 4 54 54½   57 511 (williams ste)BETHKE A 124 4.50 11.80  
2  BAR ROOM BRAWL 2 6 69 610½   613 622½ (arjon jose)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 ★ 14.60  
 
ARP-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAME DAY DECISION 4 2 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 0.80  
3  SILVER AND ACES 3 3 44 33   21 2½ (williams f)RAMOS B 124 8.00 3.70  
1  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 1 5 32½ 44½   42 37 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 ★ 5.50 S
5  MASTERPIECE DAY 5 1 2nk 2nk   32 48 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 6.00 15% 5.70 2.90  
2  BEHOLD DE FLAME 2 4 55½ 55½   54 58¼ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 121 3.50 41% 1.40 10.30  
SCR  CREAKY CRICKET               (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
ARP-7   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:152 1:292   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BULL RING 8 7 712 613½ 67 33½ 1¾ (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 W
1  WALKIN TALKIN BOB 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 13 2¾ (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 117 4.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
5  BENTLEY 5 2 33½ 35½ 33½ 23 32½ (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 11.60 12.10 S
7  SUPER CREATIVE 7 5 58½ 511½ 56 44½ 412¼ (davis j)RAMOS B 120 20.00 26.40  
3  DADDY JACK 3 8 818 825½ 820 811 512¼ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 21.50  
2  SWAY BACK WHEN 2 6 611½ 719½ 712 67 614½ (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 ★ 11.70  
4  DEACON BEACON 4 3 2½ 2½ 21 56½ 724¾ (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 57.60  
6  FROG WALKER 6 4 45½ 47½ 44 77 827¼ (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 3.50 9% 10.80 6.20  
 
ARP-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILD SAINT 2 3 64½ 55   34½ 1¼ (hall monk)WALES T 121 3.00 39% 1.60 2.30 W
6  ABUELA CORI 6 2 21 22   22½ 2¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★ 6.70 P
8  WHO B DAT 8 7 76½ 68   68 38¾ (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 12.00 10% 8.60 3.10 S
4  SEGOVIANA 4 1 11 12   12½ 48¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
5  OUTLAW QUEEN 5 4 32½ 44   58 514½ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 4.50 ★ 5.00  
1  MYSTIC WIND 1 8 810½ 810   710 615 (jenkins reed)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 31.60  
7  EPWORTH 7 6 43½ 33½   47½ 719¾ (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 15.30  
3  COUVERTURE 3 5 54 79   813 830 (mitchell stetso)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.80  
 
ARP-9   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STILLWATER BROWN 4 2 2nk 3½   1nk 12¾ (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 52% 0.90 1.20 W
8  EL JEFE COBB 6 4 4¼ 1½   2nk 22¾ (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 2.40  
7  CASH CRUZER 5 3 3.2 2½   3.2 34¾ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 7% 14.30 6.80 S
2  SOUTHERN SMOKE 1 8 62¾ 66   66¾ 48¼ (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.80  
10  ITS YOUR THING 7 5 5¾ 54½   55¼ 513 (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 15.00 41.20  
5  TATES QUIK START 3 1 1nk 43½   44¼ 613¼ (pokorny foster)RAMOS B 121 20.00 ★ 36.00  
11  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 8 6 73¼ 78   79¾ 718¾ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 117 5.00 23.20  
3  REAL BULL 2 7 87¼ 816   817¾ 830¼ (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 43.30  
SCR  GOSPEL DANDY               (williams ste)BETHKE A 120 20.00    
SCR  OUR HALF FIRST               (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANDEM DRIVE               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.