Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   09/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE   (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.20 W
4  PACIFIC HARBOR   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 18% 4.50 5.30 P
5  SENTIMENTAL CROSS   (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 5% 18.00 6.50 S
2  TAP A MIRACLE   (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 ★ 26.10  
3  DIABLO CUERNO   (haar robert )BETHKE A 124 4.50 ★ 8.00  
 
ARP-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BIND ME UP   (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 ★ 21.60  
2  SWEET TATUM   (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50 ★ 2.80 P
3  LIL MISS DE BUY   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 50% 1.00 9.60 S
5  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH   (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 19% 4.40 1.20  
1  ISABELLE'S JOY   (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 1.50  
 
ARP-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE TASK   (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 12.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
6  BARLOWS PRIDE   (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 8.00 11% 8.30 5.60 P
4  FRIENDLY FOE   (parsons riley)WALES T 117 2.50 ★ 8.70 S
3  OUR BUBBY BOY   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 35% 1.80 0.70  
5  PARABELLUM   (williams ste)BETHKE A 124 4.50 11.80  
2  BAR ROOM BRAWL   (arjon jose)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 ★ 14.60  
 
ARP-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAME DAY DECISION   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 0.80  
3  SILVER AND ACES   (williams f)RAMOS B 124 8.00 3.70  
1  THAT'S ALL RIGHT   (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 ★ 5.50 S
5  MASTERPIECE DAY   (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 6.00 15% 5.70 2.90  
2  BEHOLD DE FLAME   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 121 3.50 41% 1.40 10.30  
SCR  CREAKY CRICKET   (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
ARP-7   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BULL RING   (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 W
1  WALKIN TALKIN BOB   (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 117 4.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
5  BENTLEY   (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 11.60 12.10 S
7  SUPER CREATIVE   (davis j)RAMOS B 120 20.00 26.40  
3  DADDY JACK   (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 21.50  
2  SWAY BACK WHEN   (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 ★ 11.70  
4  DEACON BEACON   (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 57.60  
6  FROG WALKER   (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 3.50 9% 10.80 6.20  
 
ARP-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILD SAINT   (hall monk)WALES T 121 3.00 39% 1.60 2.30 W
6  ABUELA CORI   (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★ 6.70 P
8  WHO B DAT   (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 12.00 10% 8.60 3.10 S
4  SEGOVIANA   (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
5  OUTLAW QUEEN   (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 4.50 ★ 5.00  
1  MYSTIC WIND   (jenkins reed)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 31.60  
7  EPWORTH   (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 15.30  
3  COUVERTURE   (mitchell stetso)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27.80  
 
ARP-9   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STILLWATER BROWN   (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 52% 0.90 1.20 W
8  EL JEFE COBB   (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00 2.40  
7  CASH CRUZER   (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 7% 14.30 6.80 S
2  SOUTHERN SMOKE   (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.80  
10  ITS YOUR THING   (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 15.00 41.20  
5  TATES QUIK START   (pokorny foster)RAMOS B 121 20.00 ★ 36.00  
11  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY   (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 117 5.00 23.20  
3  REAL BULL   (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 43.30  
SCR  GOSPEL DANDY   (williams ste)BETHKE A 120 20.00    
SCR  OUR HALF FIRST   (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TANDEM DRIVE   ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.