Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   09/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ARTIE Sep13 Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
TAP A MIRACLE Sep20 Aug28 Jul19 Jul05 Apr30 (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
DIABLO CUERNO Aug10 Jul09 Jun11 May25   (haar j)BETHKE A 124 4.50    
PACIFIC HARBOR Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul24 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
SENTIMENTAL CROSS Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun12 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00 5% 18.00    
 
ARP-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLE'S JOY Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
SWEET TATUM Sep13 Jul25 Jul11 May21 Apr22 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50    
LIL MISS DE BUY Sep06 Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 3.50 50% 1.00    
BIND ME UP Sep20 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 Apr26 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
ARP-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE TASK Sep18 Aug29 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 121 12.00 29% 2.40    
BAR ROOM BRAWL Aug29 Jul26       (arjon n)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00    
OUR BUBBY BOY Sep18 Sep06 Jul10 Jun26   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
FRIENDLY FOE Sep13 Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 (parsons riley)WALES T 117 2.50    
PARABELLUM Sep20 Sep13 Aug29 Jul19 Jul12 (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 4.50    
BARLOWS PRIDE Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (parsons riley)RAMOS B 117 8.00 11% 8.30    
 
ARP-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S ALL RIGHT Sep13 Aug30 Aug21 Jul02 Jun17 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50    
BEHOLD DE FLAME Sep11 Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
SILVER AND ACES Sep19 Jul30 Jul02 Apr09 Mar18 (williams f)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
GAME DAY DECISION Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun17 May27 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
MASTERPIECE DAY Sep12 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  CREAKY CRICKET Jul19 Apr10 Feb25     (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
ARP-7   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKIN TALKIN BOB Sep19 Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
SWAY BACK WHEN Sep13 Aug30 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
DADDY JACK Sep16 Sep10 Jul11 Jun11 Apr23 (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
DEACON BEACON Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 May20 (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
BENTLEY Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (ness john)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 11.60    
FROG WALKER Sep05 Aug09 Mar28 Mar07   (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 3.50 9% 10.80    
SUPER CREATIVE Sep05 Aug09 Jul19     (davis j)RAMOS B 120 20.00    
BULL RING Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
ARP-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC WIND Sep12 Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00    
WILD SAINT Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17   (hall monk)WALES T 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
COUVERTURE Aug23 Jul24 Jul03 May21 Apr29 (mitchell stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
SEGOVIANA Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
OUTLAW QUEEN Sep12 Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jun22 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 4.50    
ABUELA CORI Sep12 Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
EPWORTH Jun11 May16 Apr24 Mar17 Feb11 (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00    
WHO B DAT Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 May02 Apr21 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
ARP-9   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOSPEL DANDY Jul18 Jul05 Apr20 Apr11   (williams steve)BETHKE A 120 20.00    
SOUTHERN SMOKE Sep16 Sep03 Aug12     (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
REAL BULL Sep13 Aug02 Jul24     (chavez juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00    
TATES QUIK START Sep13 Aug28 Aug02 Jul24   (pokorny foster)RAMOS B 121 20.00    
STILLWATER BROWN Sep14 Sep01 Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 (christian billy)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
CASH CRUZER Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 May29 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 4.50 7% 14.30    
EL JEFE COBB Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jun19   (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 6.00    
SCR  OUR HALF FIRST Sep13 Aug30 Jul19 Jul05 Jun17 (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  ITS YOUR THING Aug30 Jul17       (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 15.00    
11  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY Sep13 Aug30 Jul17     (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 117 5.00    
SCR  TANDEM DRIVE Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Mar08   ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.