The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Zia Park
Tuesday - October 18, 2022

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ZIA-1   10/18/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:251 :50 1:154 1:29   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING WARRIOR 3 2 3 34 2½ 11 1½ (valdez-cabral jr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 4.50  
SWITCHERONIMO 4 4 5 45 43 42½ (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 123 1.00 46% 1.20 0.70 P
SUN TREADER 5 1 4 5 3 21 31 (van robert)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 11% 8.40 3.30 S
FROGGY 1 5 2nk 13 1½ 34(williams f)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 5.00 10.10  
CEDAR EXTRA BOLD 2 3 1nk 23 57 517½ 532½ (cappellucci dick)PEREZ A 123 2.50 23% 3.40 4.60  
 
ZIA-2   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 2:57
:232 :474       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 3 1 2½ 2nk   11 1(woolley l)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 12% 7.00 4.40 W
MORATTA 1 5 1½ 1nk   21 2(van robert)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 11.20 P
SHE HAD A SECRET 2 4 32 3   33 37 (roberson don)FUENTES A 121 1.80 32% 2.10 1.50 S
K P HARRY KITTY 4 2 42 53   44(gonzalez r)SCRIVER L 121 15.00 5.20  
MIDNIGHTONTHENILE 5 3 5 4   5510 (gonzalez andres)JUAREZ J 121 0.80 34% 1.90 1.30  
 
ZIA-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
:23 :471 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN GLADYS 4 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 1¾ (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 121 2.00 11% 8.10 2.70 W
NATION OF LAWS 1 4 3.2 1nk   2½ 2¾ (gonzalez andres)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 8.00  
JAMAICA JOY 5 6 6 4   332 (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 123 1.40 48% 1.10 0.70 S
LEMON DROP LADY 2 5 4¾ 31   44 4(hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00 13.30  
I'M A GIRAFFE 3 3 5 6   5510½ (cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 4.70  
BINGOS SYSTEM 6 1 2nk 5   6616½ (frias gregorio)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
 
ZIA-4   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
:241 :48 1:131 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITHQAAL 2 1 11 13 15 18 112 (cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 4.80  
WILMAS IRISH ROVER 5 2 3 23 25 28 212 (gonzalez andres)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.80 27% 2.70 1.60 P
SKY JUMPER 3 4 43 44 57 311 318¼ (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 123 1.40 1.00 S
KEARNEY 4 3 21 33 36 412½ 420 (chavez jose)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 17.40  
MAGIC MOSCO 1 5 5 5 4 513½ 526¾ (valdez-cabral jr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 21% 3.70 6.40  
SCR  RISKY REVENGE               (gonzales j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
ZIA-5   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:18
:224 :473       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN IS THE NAME 3 4 32 2½   11 1(fincher w)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 1.10  
MISS FLUFFY 1 3 4 3   21 2(marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00 14% 6.00 2.00 P
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE 4 2 22 42   43 313½ (gonzalez a)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 6.00 2.20 S
SOUTHWEST SILVER 2 1 12 1½   32 413¾ (chavez larry)BARAJAS J 120 15.00 6.30  
SCR  FIRST AGAIN               (morales danny)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 1.80 54% 0.80    
SCR  IMAMONEYMAKER               (cappellucci dick)SCRIVER L 120 6.00    
SCR  STORMY DAME               (zamora chris)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-6   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
:23 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIOT 1 2 1½ 12   12 1(rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.50 19% 4.40 9.00 W
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 2 4 2½ 22   33 2(long vaughn)JUAREZ J 123 12.00 12.10  
DISCREET TIGER 3 1 31 3   22 33 (chacon r)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 10% 9.50 9.70 S
TEQUILA TIME 6 3 6 5   46 45 (rojero c)TOHILL S 123 8.00 7.90  
FEEL THE BERNING 7 7 7 6   55(ashford ray)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 2.50 2.80  
COWBOY COOL 4 6 53 7   79 614 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 1.60 39% 1.50 1.00  
NOT THAT SERIOUS 5 5 43 44   6715 (morales danny)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 9.20  
 
ZIA-7   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:12
:231 :474       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND MINE 4 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 1(munoz jr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00 5% 17.30 17.90 W
OLIVIADIDIT 2 4 4 4   33 2(cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 120 4.00 7.80  
COCKTAILWITHATWIST 6 2 31 3½   2½ 3(fincher w)FUENTES A 120 1.40 49% 1.00 0.60 S
CHAMA STORM 1 6 6 5   55 414½ (olguin ever)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00 5% 17.30 38.50  
AMERICAN CULTURE 5 5 5 66   6515½ (fincher w)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 5.00 3.70  
ABSTRACT LILLY 3 3 1½ 2nk   44 617½ (marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00 3.30  
SCR  LEONAS GIRL               (riddle e)CEBALLOS F 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
 
ZIA-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 35 M/F PT- 5:39
:231 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR TEN ANGELS 6 1 2nk 11   13 1(valdez-cabral jr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 1.50 32% 2.10 0.80 W
HALEY WHO 3 3 3 3   23 2(fincher w)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 11% 7.80 2.20 P
I GET STORMED 4 6 68 4   4311¾ (gonzalez a)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 8.90  
CRYSTAL WHO 2 2 1nk 21   3415½ (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 14.00  
WHAT A MEMORY 5 5 56 57   59 516¼ (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 123 4.50 13% 6.50 7.20  
ANDYMEISTER 1 4 4 614   634 664 (cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 22% 3.50 10.00  
SCR  DIAMOND ONTHE TOE               (smith a)BARAJAS J 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   10/18/2022 4290ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
:231 :462 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE FIREWATER 6 1 1½ 13   14 1(gonzalez r)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 4.50  
LONZO WHO 3 5 5 4   24 2(fincher w)JUAREZ J 121 1.60 9% 10.30 0.50 P
GOLDEN MERGER 7 7 710¼ 7   57 312¾ (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 123 5.00 8% 10.90 4.30 S
GATLING GOLD 1 4 45 23   3413 (gonzalez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 33.70  
DIABOLICAL MIGHT 5 2 2½ 33   46 515½ (morales danny)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 52% 0.90 9.40  
RAISE OUR FLAG 2 6 6 6   6624¾ (garcia harold)PEREZ A 120 6.00 8% 12.30 15.90  
TRUEZER 4 3 35 5   713½ 732½ (lambert t)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 31.80  
SCR  BULLY RIDE               (barrios bernadette)BARAJAS J 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.