Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   10/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:154 1:29   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING WARRIOR 3 2 3 34 2½ 11 1½ (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 4.50  
SWITCHERONIMO 4 4 5 45 43 4 2½ (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 123 1.00 46% 1.20 0.70 P
SUN TREADER 5 1 4 5 3 21 31 (van r)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 11% 8.40 3.30 S
FROGGY 1 5 2nk 13 1½ 3 4 (williams)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 5.00 10.10  
CEDAR EXTRA BOLD 2 3 1nk 23 57 517½ 532½ (cappellucci dick)PEREZ A 123 2.50 23% 3.40 4.60  
 
ZIA-2   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 3 1 2½ 2nk   11 1 (woolle)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 12% 7.00 4.40 W
MORATTA 1 5 1½ 1nk   21 2 (van r)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 11.20 P
SHE HAD A SECRET 2 4 32 3   33 37 (roberson don)FUENTES A 121 1.80 32% 2.10 1.50 S
K P HARRY KITTY 4 2 42 53   4 4 (gonzalez jose)SCRIVER L 121 15.00 5.20  
MIDNIGHTONTHENILE 5 3 5 4   5 510 (gonzalez andres)JUAREZ J 121 0.80 34% 1.90 1.30  
 
ZIA-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:23 :471 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN GLADYS 4 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 1¾ (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 121 2.00 11% 8.10 2.70 W
NATION OF LAWS 1 4 3.2 1nk   2½ 2¾ (gonzalez an)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 8.00  
JAMAICA JOY 5 6 6 4   3 32 (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 123 1.40 48% 1.10 0.70 S
LEMON DROP LADY 2 5 4¾ 31   44 4 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00 13.30  
I'M A GIRAFFE 3 3 5 6   5 510½ (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 4.70  
BINGOS SYSTEM 6 1 2nk 5   6 616½ (frias gre)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
 
ZIA-4   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITHQAAL 2 1 11 13 15 18 112 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 4.80  
WILMAS IRISH ROVER 5 2 3 23 25 28 212 (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.80 27% 2.70 1.60 P
SKY JUMPER 3 4 43 44 57 311 318¼ (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 123 1.40 1.00 S
KEARNEY 4 3 21 33 36 412½ 420 (chavez jo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 17.40  
MAGIC MOSCO 1 5 5 5 4 513½ 526¾ (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 21% 3.70 6.40  
SCR  RISKY REVENGE               (gonzales j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
ZIA-5   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN IS THE NAME 3 4 32 2½   11 1 (fincher todd )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 1.10  
MISS FLUFFY 1 3 4 3   21 2 (marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00 14% 6.00 2.00 P
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE 4 2 22 42   43 313½ (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 6.00 2.20 S
SOUTHWEST SILVER 2 1 12 1½   32 413¾ (chavez larry)BARAJAS J 120 15.00 6.30  
SCR  FIRST AGAIN               (morales )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 1.80 54% 0.80    
SCR  IMAMONEYMAKER               (cappellucci d)SCRIVER L 120 6.00    
SCR  STORMY DAME               (zamora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-6   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIOT 1 2 1½ 12   12 1 (rojero luis )RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.50 19% 4.40 9.00 W
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 2 4 2½ 22   33 2 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 123 12.00 12.10  
DISCREET TIGER 3 1 31 3   22 33 (chacon sebede)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 10% 9.50 9.70 S
TEQUILA TIME 6 3 6 5   46 45 (rojero c)TOHILL S 123 8.00 7.90  
FEEL THE BERNING 7 7 7 6   5 5 (ashford ray)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 2.50 2.80  
COWBOY COOL 4 6 53 7   79 614 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 1.60 39% 1.50 1.00  
NOT THAT SERIOUS 5 5 43 44   6 715 (morales )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 9.20  
 
ZIA-7   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND MINE 4 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (munoz gu)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00 5% 17.30 17.90 W
OLIVIADIDIT 2 4 4 4   33 2 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 120 4.00 7.80  
COCKTAILWITHATWIST 6 2 31 3½   2½ 3 (fincher w)FUENTES A 120 1.40 49% 1.00 0.60 S
CHAMA STORM 1 6 6 5   55 414½ (olguin ev)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00 5% 17.30 38.50  
AMERICAN CULTURE 5 5 5 66   6 515½ (fincher w)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 5.00 3.70  
ABSTRACT LILLY 3 3 1½ 2nk   44 617½ (marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00 3.30  
SCR  LEONAS GIRL               (riddle e)CEBALLOS F 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
 
ZIA-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 35 M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:231 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR TEN ANGELS 6 1 2nk 11   13 1 (valdez-c)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 1.50 32% 2.10 0.80 W
HALEY WHO 3 3 3 3   23 2 (fincher w)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 11% 7.80 2.20 P
I GET STORMED 4 6 68 4   4 311¾ (gonzalez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 8.90  
CRYSTAL WHO 2 2 1nk 21   3 415½ (rojero luis )RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00 14.00  
WHAT A MEMORY 5 5 56 57   59 516¼ (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 123 4.50 13% 6.50 7.20  
ANDYMEISTER 1 4 4 614   634 664 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 22% 3.50 10.00  
SCR  DIAMOND ONTHE TOE               (smith a)BARAJAS J 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   10/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE FIREWATER 6 1 1½ 13   14 1 (gonzalez jose)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 4.50  
LONZO WHO 3 5 5 4   24 2 (fincher w)JUAREZ J 121 1.60 9% 10.30 0.50 P
GOLDEN MERGER 7 7 710¼ 7   57 312¾ (rojero luis )RODRIGUEZ H 123 5.00 8% 10.90 4.30 S
GATLING GOLD 1 4 45 23   3 413 (gonzalez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 33.70  
DIABOLICAL MIGHT 5 2 2½ 33   46 515½ (morales )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 52% 0.90 9.40  
RAISE OUR FLAG 2 6 6 6   6 624¾ (garcia harold)PEREZ A 120 6.00 8% 12.30 15.90  
TRUEZER 4 3 35 5   713½ 732½ (lambert casey)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 31.80  
SCR  BULLY RIDE               (barrios bernadette)BARAJAS J 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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