Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   10/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROGGY Sep20 Aug23 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 5.00 ★    
2  CEDAR EXTRA BOLD Oct05 Sep16 Aug07 Jun12   (cappellucci dick)PEREZ A 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  FLYING WARRIOR Sep16 Aug07 May20 Apr22 Mar05 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 ★    
4  SWITCHERONIMO Oct05 Sep16 Sep02 Aug07 Jun12 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 1.00 46% 1.20    
5  SUN TREADER Jun12 Feb08 Jan11     (van crowell)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 11% 8.40    
 
ZIA-2   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORATTA Apr02 Mar15       (van crowell)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 ★    
2  SHE HAD A SECRET Sep17 Aug29       (roberson don)FUENTES A 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Sep10 Aug24 Jun26 Jun09 May21 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 12% 7.00    
4  K P HARRY KITTY         (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 121 15.00 ★    
5  MIDNIGHTONTHENILE Sep08 Aug20 Jul31 Jun04 Feb08 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 121 0.80 34% 1.90    
 
ZIA-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATION OF LAWS Aug14 May14 Apr02     (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
2  LEMON DROP LADY Mar17 Mar04 Feb02 Jan06   (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00 ★    
3  I'M A GIRAFFE Aug20 Jul31       (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 ★    
4  QUEEN GLADYS Jan30         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 2.00 11% 8.10    
5  JAMAICA JOY Oct01 May12 Mar22 Jan30   (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 1.40 48% 1.10    
6  BINGOS SYSTEM Sep23 Sep16 Sep04 Aug24 Aug14 (frias gregor)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-4   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RISKY REVENGE Oct16 Jun26 Mar27 Feb13 Jan29 (gonzales joel)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 12% 7.20    
2  MAGIC MOSCO Sep15 Aug14 Aug05 Jun17 May15 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  MITHQAAL May15 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Mar01 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 ★    
4  SKY JUMPER Sep24 Sep07 May29 Apr22 Mar19 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 1.40 ★    
5  KEARNEY Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
6  WILMAS IRISH ROVER Sep23 Aug27 Aug05 Jun26 Jun17 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
ZIA-5   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST AGAIN Sep25         (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 1.80 54% 0.80    
2  MISS FLUFFY Oct05 Aug24       (marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  SOUTHWEST SILVER Sep10 Aug31       (chavez larry)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 15.00    
SCR  IMAMONEYMAKER         (cappellucci)SCRIVER L 120 6.00 ★    
5  QUEEN IS THE NAME         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 ★    
6  SHAME ON CHARLOTTE Sep25         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  STORMY DAME Oct10 Aug14 Jul29 Jul17 Jun24 (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-6   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOT Sep17 Aug20 Aug03 Jul04 Mar06 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
2  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Oct03 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 123 12.00    
3  DISCREET TIGER Sep03 Aug14 May07 Apr23 Mar19 (chacon sebe)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 10% 9.50    
4  COWBOY COOL Sep03 Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 1.60 39% 1.50    
5  NOT THAT SERIOUS Aug20 Apr25 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 ★    
6  TEQUILA TIME Sep16 Aug26 May08 Mar15 Feb22 (rojero c)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
7  FEEL THE BERNING Sep28 Sep03 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (ashford ra)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 2.50 ★    
 
ZIA-7   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMA STORM         (olguin ever)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 15.00 5% 17.30    
2  OLIVIADIDIT         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 4.00    
3  ABSTRACT LILLY Oct05         (marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00    
4  DIAMOND MINE         (munoz )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00 5% 17.30    
5  AMERICAN CULTURE         (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  LEONAS GIRL         (riddle jackie )CEBALLOS F 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
7  COCKTAILWITHATWIST         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 1.40 49% 1.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 35 M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDYMEISTER         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  CRYSTAL WHO Feb18 Jan18 Jan01     (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00    
3  HALEY WHO Sep24 Sep08 Jul31 Jun26 Apr02 (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  DIAMOND ONTHE TOE Jul03 Jun04 Feb22 Jan04   (smith a)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 20.00 ★    
5  I GET STORMED Oct01 Sep08 Aug20 Aug03 May27 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
6  WHAT A MEMORY         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
7  OUR TEN ANGELS Sep24 Jul03 Jun12 May08   (valdez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 1.50 32% 2.10    
 
ZIA-9   10/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATLING GOLD Oct10 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May15 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00    
2  RAISE OUR FLAG Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug12 (garcia harold)PEREZ A 120 6.00 8% 12.30    
3  LONZO WHO Sep04 Aug05 Jun11 May29 Mar27 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.60 9% 10.30    
4  TRUEZER Oct09 Aug14 Jul02 Jun17 Mar08 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
5  DIABOLICAL MIGHT Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 Jul02 Jun17 (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  BULLY RIDE Oct09 Sep14 Aug10 Aug03 May27 (barrios bernadett)BARAJAS J 123 20.00    
7  MORE FIREWATER Sep10 Aug15 Aug01 May20 Feb15 (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 ★    
8  GOLDEN MERGER Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug10 Jul30 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 5.00 8% 10.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.