The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Zia Park
Sunday - October 16, 2022

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ZIA-6   10/16/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 M/F PT- 4:45
:241 :484 1:14     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. LEA 2 5 54 31   11(van robert)CHAVEZ R 123 2.00 30% 2.40 2.10 W
SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE 4 2 1½ 2nk   22(cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 121 3.00 35% 1.80 1.90 P
POW WOW 1 3 3 1nk   3313½ (olguin ever)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 11% 8.00 2.80 S
TRICKING TRIXIE 3 4 4 5   4413¾ (munoz jr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 2.50 4.20  
NICOLE'S TALES 5 1 2½ 4   513½ 530¼ (chadborn k)BARAJAS J 121 12.00 6.70  
SCR  UNDER RAPPES               (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-7   10/16/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
:243 :493 1:144 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT POCKETS 2 2 5 5 42 21 1(cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 120 4.00 18% 4.50 2.10 W
INQUISITEUR 1 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 2(marquez l)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 20.00 19.20  
CLIFTON PARK 5 3 32 4 31 33(williams f)TOHILL S 123 15.00 24.50  
DIGGER'S GOLD 3 6 7 7 75 54(cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 3.30  
GLENDORA MINECAT 6 7 43 2nk 2½ 42 5(rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 8.00 2.70  
ME AND JACK 4 4 6 6 6 7610¼ (armstrong sherry)SCRIVER L 123 3.00 48% 1.10 11.50  
TRUST MANDO 7 5 2 3.2 53 6711½ (armstrong sherry)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 2.50 9% 10.10 2.90  
SCR  PAPA JUSTICE               (green greg)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/16/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:24 1:163       1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCTHANKS 5 3 31 1nk   13 13 (gonzalez a)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 13% 6.40 14.20 W
DADDY WHAT IF 2 7 7 6   23 23 (cross gary)SCRIVER L 123 6.00 24% 3.20 3.20 P
HENRY ON THE RUN 3 2 21 4¼   45 3(buechler j)TOHILL S 123 5.00 6.50  
SHIO 7 5 5 5¾   349 (cappellucci dick)FUENTES A 123 1.80 30% 2.30 2.80  
FRANKS DEHERE 6 4 11 3.2   55(armstrong sherry)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 1.60  
RISKY REVENGE 1 1 4 2nk   66 610 (gonzales j)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 9.60  
ARCH CITY 4 6 6 7   79 713½ (buechler j)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00 14.90  
 
ZIA-9   10/16/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
:241 :483 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN SOLO 7 3 3 2nk   13 1(gonzalez c)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 12.00 12% 7.50 3.90 W
DAN WHO 2 5 6 7   32(gonzalez a)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 27% 2.70 6.50 P
STYLE BENDER 3 1 2nk 1nk   23 3(fincher w)FUENTES A 121 2.50 1.60 S
PANCHO LEFT ME 5 4 42 5   65 4(cappellucci dick)JUAREZ J 121 1.40 28% 2.50 4.00  
REVOLT AND RIOT 4 7 7 6   44 56 (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 121 4.50 3.80  
PARABELLUM 1 2 1nk 4   56(williams f)TOHILL S 123 15.00 15.10  
DIAMOND RAPPER 6 6 5 31   76 7(singh johnny)TORRES J 121 20.00 16.50  
SCR  TIGER HUNTER               (woolley l)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-10   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
:231 :472       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESA PROSPECTOR 9 10 10 10   41(marr h)FUENTES A 123 3.00 52% 0.90 2.00 W
SOLID GOLD BAR 7 1 4¾ 3   1nk 2(chavez arturo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 6.90  
QUANTICO JOE 8 9 8 8   31 3(baldwin lynette)CEBALLOS F 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
GO FOR THE LAUGH 2 6 1nk 1½   2nk 43 (marquez d)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 30.00 45.90  
10  CHAMPITO 10 2 7 74   75(lambert t)TOHILL S 123 6.00 6.40  
FULL OF DRIVE 6 3 3½ 4   56(cappellucci dick)PEREZ A 123 10.00 19% 4.30 4.30  
INFINITE CROWN 1 8 9 9   977 (danley i)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 12.20  
LAUGHING STORM 4 5 5 52   888 (madrid enrique)BENN J 121 30.00 55.90  
DECK HUMOR 3 7 2nk 2½   699 (lambert t)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 5.90  
QUIEN ES 5 4 6 63   101011½ (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 17.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.