Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-6   10/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. LEA 2 5 54 31   1 1 (van robe)CHAVEZ R 123 2.00 30% 2.40 2.10 W
SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE 4 2 1½ 2nk   2 2 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.00 35% 1.80 1.90 P
POW WOW 1 3 3 1nk   3 313½ (olguin ever)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 11% 8.00 2.80 S
TRICKING TRIXIE 3 4 4 5   4 413¾ (muno)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 2.50 4.20  
NICOLE'S TALES 5 1 2½ 4   513½ 530¼ (chadborn kenneth )BARAJAS J 121 12.00 6.70  
SCR  UNDER RAPPES               (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-7   10/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:144 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT POCKETS 2 2 5 5 42 21 1 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 4.00 18% 4.50 2.10 W
INQUISITEUR 1 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 2 (marquez j)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 20.00 19.20  
CLIFTON PARK 5 3 32 4 31 3 3 (williams f)TOHILL S 123 15.00 24.50  
DIGGER'S GOLD 3 6 7 7 75 5 4 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 3.30  
GLENDORA MINECAT 6 7 43 2nk 2½ 42 5 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 8.00 2.70  
ME AND JACK 4 4 6 6 6 7 610¼ (armstrong s)SCRIVER L 123 3.00 48% 1.10 11.50  
TRUST MANDO 7 5 2 3.2 53 6 711½ (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 2.50 9% 10.10 2.90  
SCR  PAPA JUSTICE               (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:24 1:163       1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCTHANKS 5 3 31 1nk   13 13 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 13% 6.40 14.20 W
DADDY WHAT IF 2 7 7 6   23 23 (cross gary)SCRIVER L 123 6.00 24% 3.20 3.20 P
HENRY ON THE RUN 3 2 21 4¼   45 3 (buechler j)TOHILL S 123 5.00 6.50  
SHIO 7 5 5 5¾   3 49 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 1.80 30% 2.30 2.80  
FRANKS DEHERE 6 4 11 3.2   5 5 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 1.60  
RISKY REVENGE 1 1 4 2nk   66 610 (gonzales joel)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 9.60  
ARCH CITY 4 6 6 7   79 713½ (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00 14.90  
 
ZIA-9   10/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN SOLO 7 3 3 2nk   13 1 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 12.00 12% 7.50 3.90 W
DAN WHO 2 5 6 7   3 2 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 27% 2.70 6.50 P
STYLE BENDER 3 1 2nk 1nk   23 3 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 2.50 1.60 S
PANCHO LEFT ME 5 4 42 5   65 4 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 1.40 28% 2.50 4.00  
REVOLT AND RIOT 4 7 7 6   44 56 (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 121 4.50 3.80  
PARABELLUM 1 2 1nk 4   5 6 (williams f)TOHILL S 123 15.00 15.10  
DIAMOND RAPPER 6 6 5 31   76 7 (singh johnny)TORRES J 121 20.00 16.50  
SCR  TIGER HUNTER               (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-10   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
See original race card.
:231 :472       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESA PROSPECTOR 9 10 10 10   4 1 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 3.00 52% 0.90 2.00 W
SOLID GOLD BAR 7 1 4¾ 3   1nk 2 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 6.90  
QUANTICO JOE 8 9 8 8   31 3 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
GO FOR THE LAUGH 2 6 1nk 1½   2nk 43 (marquez c)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 30.00 45.90  
10  CHAMPITO 10 2 7 74   7 5 (lambert t)TOHILL S 123 6.00 6.40  
FULL OF DRIVE 6 3 3½ 4   5 6 (cappellucci dick)PEREZ A 123 10.00 19% 4.30 4.30  
INFINITE CROWN 1 8 9 9   9 77 (danley i)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 12.20  
LAUGHING STORM 4 5 5 52   8 88 (madrid e)BENN J 121 30.00 55.90  
DECK HUMOR 3 7 2nk 2½   6 99 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 5.90  
QUIEN ES 5 4 6 63   10 1011½ (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 17.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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