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Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


AZD-4			09/17/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Optional Claiming ($4K)					Purse ($13.025K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	DON'TTEASETHETIGER									(barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124						1.40		36%		1.80		1.10	W
3	FAMOUS ROCK STAR									(villamar candelari)LULL E 122						3.00		22%		3.60		1.90	P
5	CHEF									(ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 122						4.50		★				8.60	S
1	PICK YOUR BID									(chattong vich)BAZAN ANTONIO 124						20.00						14.20
6	REDACTION									(campo stacy)LEON A 122						6.00		★				10.00
4	WESTFEST									(nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122						4.00		19%		4.30		7.00
2	ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE									(elston brent)ELLIS DEVON 122						15.00						16.30

AZD-5			09/17/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($3K)					Purse ($9.525K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	CAUSE AND EFFECT									(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124						2.00		38%		1.60		0.50	W
1	ALBANY FRONT									(gutierrez juan )LEON A 124						5.00		16%		5.10		3.20	P
2	SECRET LIFE STYLE									(roberson don)BARBER R 124						15.00						32.60
4	GO FOR A RIDE									(alvarez serg)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124						1.80		19%		4.40		3.60
7	INDY MOON									(blea jr)LULL E 124						20.00						23.30
8	MONUMENTAL SEVEN									(campo stacy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124						20.00						32.50
3	CURRENTLY KRAZY									(jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124						20.00		★				23.70
SCR	WINNING MAGIC									(gutierrez j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124						3.00		★

AZD-6			09/17/2022		1320ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($15K)					Purse ($15.025K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MASTER RULER									(salas eliazar)LEON A 124						0.80		39%		1.60		1.00	W
5	AUTISM CAN DO									(wolf ashlee)OSUNA MARTIN 124						6.00		★				15.90	P
7	D K'S CROWN									(villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 124						4.50		10%		9.30		1.40	S
1	MADIGAN SQUEEZE									(wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 121						10.00		★				12.70
3	HARROVIAN									(villamar candelari)LULL E 124						8.00						18.20
2	FIGHT ME									(reyes nor)KELLENBERGER KODY 124						15.00						18.40
4	J T'S LA NENA									(nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121						5.00		28%		2.60		7.90

AZD-7			09/17/2022		3630ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Mdn Opt Clm ($30K)					Purse ($14.025K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BOISTEROUSLY IRISH									(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124						3.50		★				2.40
3	SHE HAD A SECRET									(roberson don)BARBER R 120						2.00		42%		1.40		3.00	P
2	BELLE MY BELLE									(story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120						1.80		32%		2.10		3.10	S
6	DOWNTOWN CUTIE									(o'brien debbie)LULL E 124						15.00						34.00
1	SWEET AND EZ									(kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120						8.00		★				3.60
5	C'MON LETS SWITCH									(whitehouse wilt)ELLIS DEVON 124						6.00						5.90
7	LEGAL MISCHIEF									(campo stacy)LEON A 120						10.00		★				11.80

AZD-8			09/17/2022		3630ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($3.5K)					Purse ($8.525K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MIDNIGHT BABY									(campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124						3.50		15%		5.60		8.20	W
2	LADY M									(rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 120						2.00		19%		4.40		0.30	P
7	FACE OF GRACE									(scott jr)LULL E 120						20.00						42.80
6	STORMY GALE									(barraza rafael )LEON A 124						6.00		17%		5.10		8.10
5	DONA FLAMA									(ortiz manuel )BAZAN ANTONIO 120						20.00						35.90
1	MANDONA									(barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124						4.00		13%		6.60		12.80
8	CLASSIC CALIFORNIA									(blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 120						3.00						6.10
3	ASEAAWINNER									(wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 124						15.00		★				18.20

AZD-9			09/17/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($3.5K)					Purse ($9.525K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	JOY IN THE BATTLE									(evans justin)LEON A 120						4.00		17%		4.80		1.70	W
9	PARTY POLICE									(villamar candelari)LULL E 120						10.00						9.80
8	LOVE YA MOST									(wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124						6.00						5.50
4	SPICY SOMMELIER									(rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124						3.50						2.30
3	UPTOWN RHAPSODY									(perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 120						20.00						19.10
2	PERFECT EDITION									(jensen loren)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124						20.00		5%		19.00		22.30
5	KID CAT									(whitehouse )MORALES ALLYSSA 124						5.00		12%		7.10		7.70
1	JAZZY EINSTEIN									(finch she)KELLENBERGER KODY 124						20.00		8%		10.90		6.60
SCR	WORKIN NINETOFIVE									(gutierrez ju)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120						1.80		31%		2.20



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.