The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Arizona Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022

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AZD-4   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:224 :452 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 7 4 32 21   21 1¾ (barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.40 36% 1.80 1.10 W
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 3 1 1 11   11 2¾ (villamar candelario)LULL E 122 3.00 22% 3.60 1.90 P
CHEF 5 5 5 57   335 (ortiz sr)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.50 8.60 S
PICK YOUR BID 1 2 43 4   54(chattong vichien)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 14.20  
REDACTION 6 7 710 711   69 56 (campo stacy)LEON A 122 6.00 10.00  
WESTFEST 4 3 2 3   46 66 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 4.00 19% 4.30 7.00  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 2 6 67 68   7710¾ (elston brent)ELLIS DEVON 122 15.00 16.30  
 
AZD-5   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
:222 :45 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE AND EFFECT 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 11 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 38% 1.60 0.50 W
ALBANY FRONT 1 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 21 (gutierrez quintana)LEON A 124 5.00 16% 5.10 3.20 P
SECRET LIFE STYLE 2 4 43 45   43(roberson don)BARBER R 124 15.00 32.60  
GO FOR A RIDE 4 1 3 34   33 4(alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 1.80 19% 4.40 3.60  
INDY MOON 6 6 78 710   65(blea jr)LULL E 124 20.00 23.30  
MONUMENTAL SEVEN 7 7 6 6   7610¼ (campo stacy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 32.50  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 3 5 5 57   5711¼ (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 23.70  
SCR  WINNING MAGIC               (gutierrez quintana)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00    
 
AZD-6   09/17/2022 1320ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
:222         :222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER RULER 6 1       1½ 1¾ (salas eliazar)LEON A 124 0.80 39% 1.60 1.00 W
AUTISM CAN DO 5 2       2½ 2¾ (wolf ashlee)OSUNA MARTIN 124 6.00 15.90 P
D K'S CROWN 7 5       43(villamar candelario)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 10% 9.30 1.40 S
MADIGAN SQUEEZE 1 3       31 4(wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 12.70  
HARROVIAN 3 6       63 5(villamar candelario)LULL E 124 8.00 18.20  
FIGHT ME 2 4       53 6(reyes norma)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 18.40  
J T'S LA NENA 4 7       774 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 5.00 28% 2.60 7.90  
 
AZD-7   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
:22 :452 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 4 4 55 3   22 1(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 2.40  
SHE HAD A SECRET 3 3 2 1nk   12 2(roberson don)BARBER R 120 2.00 42% 1.40 3.00 P
BELLE MY BELLE 2 5 44 4   333 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 1.80 32% 2.10 3.10 S
DOWNTOWN CUTIE 6 2 1 2nk   4411½ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 15.00 34.00  
SWEET AND EZ 1 7 66 5   510 514¼ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 8.00 3.60  
C'MON LETS SWITCH 5 1 3 6   617 631 (whitehouse r)ELLIS DEVON 124 6.00 5.90  
LEGAL MISCHIEF 7 6 7100 7100   7100 7100 (campo stacy)LEON A 120 10.00 11.80  
 
AZD-8   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
:221 :451 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT BABY 4 2 4 3   22 1(campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 15% 5.60 8.20 W
LADY M 2 4 1 1   12 2(rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 2.00 19% 4.40 0.30 P
FACE OF GRACE 7 6 5 5   46 3(scott jr)LULL E 120 20.00 42.80  
STORMY GALE 6 1 2 2   34(barraza s)LEON A 124 6.00 17% 5.10 8.10  
DONA FLAMA 5 7 711¾ 715½   713½ 511¼ (ortiz sr)BAZAN ANTONIO 120 20.00 35.90  
MANDONA 1 3 3 4   5611¾ (barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 13% 6.60 12.80  
CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 8 5 6 611   612 714¾ (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 6.10  
ASEAAWINNER 3 8 811¾ 817   822½ 824¾ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 18.20  
 
AZD-9   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
:241 :48 1:131 1:261   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN THE BATTLE 6 1 2nk 12 111 111 112¼ (evans justin)LEON A 120 4.00 17% 4.80 1.70 W
PARTY POLICE 8 3 3 44 211 211 212¼ (villamar candelario)LULL E 120 10.00 9.80  
LOVE YA MOST 7 7 7 89 513½ 314½ 314½ (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 5.50  
SPICY SOMMELIER 4 4 43 3 311½ 415 416¾ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 2.30  
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 3 5 6 6 615½ 620½ 520 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 120 20.00 19.10  
PERFECT EDITION 2 2 1nk 22 413 516½ 620¼ (jensen loren)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
KID CAT 5 6 5 5 715½ 723½ 732 (whitehouse r)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 12% 7.10 7.70  
JAZZY EINSTEIN 1 8 810½ 79 819 8100 8100 (finch sherry)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 8% 10.90 6.60  
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE               (gutierrez quintana)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.