Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-4   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICK YOUR BID Sep10 Aug27 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (chattong vich)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00    
2  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Sep05 Aug22 Jul11 Apr18 Mar21 (elston brent)ELLIS DEVON 122 15.00    
3  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul18 Jun27 (villamar candelari)LULL E 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  WESTFEST Sep05 Aug22 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  CHEF Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 May02 Mar22 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.50 ★    
6  REDACTION Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Apr18 Apr01 (campo stacy)LEON A 122 6.00 ★    
7  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Sep05 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 Apr12 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
AZD-5   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBANY FRONT Aug22 Aug13 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
2  SECRET LIFE STYLE Apr09 Mar03 Jan15     (roberson don)BARBER R 124 15.00    
3  CURRENTLY KRAZY Aug29 Aug15 Jun25 May02 Apr21 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 ★    
4  GO FOR A RIDE Aug22 Aug08 Jul23 Jul11 May06 (alvarez serg)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 1.80 19% 4.40    
SCR  WINNING MAGIC Sep10 Jul18 Jun27 May02 Apr20 (gutierrez j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 ★    
6  CAUSE AND EFFECT Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
7  INDY MOON Aug14 Aug03       (blea jr)LULL E 124 20.00    
8  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Aug29 May07 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 (campo stacy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
 
AZD-6   09/17/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADIGAN SQUEEZE Sep03 Apr08 Apr01 Mar16 Feb22 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 ★    
2  FIGHT ME Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 (reyes nor)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
3  HARROVIAN Aug29 Aug15 Jul30 Jul04 May27 (villamar cande)BELLOC AARON 124 8.00    
4  J T'S LA NENA Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 Jun27 May14 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
5  AUTISM CAN DO Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 Apr18 Feb14 (wolf ashlee)OSUNA MARTIN 124 6.00 ★    
6  MASTER RULER Sep03 Aug22 Jul18     (salas eliazar)LEON A 124 0.80 39% 1.60    
7  D K'S CROWN Sep03 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 Jul04 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
 
AZD-7   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AND EZ         (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 8.00 ★    
2  BELLE MY BELLE Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 May07 Apr10 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  SHE HAD A SECRET Aug29         (roberson don)BARBER R 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 Apr10 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 ★    
5  C'MON LETS SWITCH         (whitehous)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00    
6  DOWNTOWN CUTIE Aug29 May07 Apr07 Mar17   (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 15.00    
7  LEGAL MISCHIEF         (campo stacy)LEON A 120 10.00 ★    
 
AZD-8   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDONA Aug27 Jul19 Jun28 Jun18 May27 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
2  LADY M Aug13 Jul30 Apr25 Apr07 Mar17 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  ASEAAWINNER Apr08 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan10 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 ★    
4  MIDNIGHT BABY Sep10 Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 Apr21 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
5  DONA FLAMA May20 May08 Apr10 Mar27   (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 120 20.00    
6  STORMY GALE Aug27 Aug13 Jun27 Apr21 Apr11 (barraza rafael )LEON A 124 6.00 17% 5.10    
7  FACE OF GRACE Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Jun27 Jan24 (scott jr)LULL E 120 20.00    
8  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 May22 (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00    
 
AZD-9   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZY EINSTEIN Aug15 Apr05 Feb16 Feb08   (finch she)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 8% 10.90    
2  PERFECT EDITION Aug15 Jul09 Apr14 Mar14 Jan21 (jensen loren)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Aug15 Jul30 Jul16 Apr28 Apr06 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 120 20.00    
4  SPICY SOMMELIER Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul11 Mar16 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50    
5  KID CAT Aug29 Jul16 May03 Apr11 Feb09 (whitehouse )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  JOY IN THE BATTLE Aug15 Jul30 Jun26 May28 Apr29 (evans justin)LEON A 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Sep03 Aug22 May07 Apr26 Mar24 (gutierrez ju)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
8  LOVE YA MOST Aug29 Apr05 Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
9  PARTY POLICE Sep10 Aug22 Jul30 Jul11 Apr22 (villamar candelari)LULL E 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.