The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Zia Park
Sunday - October 09, 2022

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ZIA-8   10/09/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:232 :462 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD MONTEREY 3 2 3.2 1½   1nk 1nk (fincher w)FUENTES A 121 1.50 55% 0.80 2.50 W
GREENBRIER 6 4 5 4   2nk 2nk (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 123 3.50 1.20 P
SILVER DADDY 7 5 6 52   33(hudson jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 3.00 17% 5.00 2.40 S
CHIPPSTER 1 7 7 75   5410 (lambert t)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 21.10  
PALICE REVENGE 5 3 2nk 31   4510¼ (van robert)TORRES J 123 20.00 35.40  
PHANTOMOFTHEOPERE 2 6 4 62   6611 (cappellucci dick)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 25.00  
JAZZ MAN DO 4 1 1nk 2½   711½ 740½ (lambert t)CEBALLOS F 121 6.00 5% 18.20 7.90  
 
ZIA-9   10/09/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
:241 :473 1:12     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASAMONTE MAN 3 5 5 4   311 (ashford ray)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 1.40 48% 1.10 1.20 W
ONOMATOPOEIA 4 1 2nk 1nk   11 21 (williams f)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 5.70  
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE 7 3 31 31   21 33 (valdez-cabral jr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 1.90 S
STELLARSBLUERIBBON 6 4 4 5   545 (riddle e)TORRES J 123 20.00 16.50  
LOVER BOY BOB 1 6 6 6   656 (hudson jeff)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 10% 8.70 20.50  
YANO'S WAY 5 7 7 7   76(baldwin lynette)CEBALLOS F 120 15.00 5% 18.00 15.10  
ROCKTHEPULPIT 2 2 1nk 2nk   47(valdez-cabral jr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 10% 9.40 6.90  
 
ZIA-10   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12K) 35 M/F PT- 6:33
:223 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANIEL'S GIRL 2 2 2½ 2½   11 1(gonzalez sal)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.50 48% 1.10 1.30 W
HEMATITE 5 4 4 43   43 2(marquez l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.50 16% 5.40 6.20 P
FANCY DIVA 3 6 511½ 56   55 3(williams f)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 21.10 S
INDIAN AFFAIR 4 3 3 3   345 (hudson jeff)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.00 12% 7.00 2.90  
STELLA WHEAT 1 1 1½ 1½   21 5(rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 8.00 4.50  
LATIGO STAR 7 5 612½ 610   620 645¾ (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 123 20.00 13.50  
REBEL RYETTE 6 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (barrios bernadette)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 6.50  
 
ZIA-11   10/09/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:221 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CHARLIE 6 1 2 22   21½ (aldavaz hermengildo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 2.50 31% 2.20 3.00 W
BRON AND THE BROW 7 7 4 4   32½ (lavanway dayson)BARAJAS J 123 6.00 2.90  
JORNALERO 8 3 1 12   132 (ascencio jr)BENN J 123 10.00 6% 14.90 2.30 S
M G M'S LUCKY 3 5 54 56   44(hudson jeff)SCRIVER L 123 5.00 7% 12.60 8.90  
TRUEZER 2 4 6 6   555 (lambert t)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 9.30  
BULLY RIDE 4 6 7 79   79 6(barrios bernadette)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 29.50  
GUSHER 5 2 33 34   68 710¼ (gomez alfredo)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.00 22% 3.60 5.10  
DIRT BIKE SLADE 1 8 8 8   810 812 (smith a)CHAVEZ R 121 30.00 20.60  
SCR  SEVEN YEAR ACHE               (alvarez arroyo)TORRES J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.