The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Zia Park
Monday - October 17, 2022

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ZIA-1   10/17/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:244 :50 1:16 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'MAGAMBLER 6 2 21 21 2nk 2nk 1½ (valdez-cabral jr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 19% 4.40 0.80 W
SIXTH GEAR 5 5 4 42 1nk 1nk 2½ (douglas natalie)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 22.10 P
CHIPPSTER 1 3 32 32 31 33(lambert t)TOHILL S 121 3.50 21% 3.70 5.00 S
C D POLDARC 3 1 11 11 5 44(valdez-cabral jr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.20 24% 3.20 2.20  
MARK'S WARRIOR 4 6 55 5 42 5511½ (munoz jr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 20.50  
SNOW IN THE NORTH 2 4 69 612½ 617½ 625½ 651 (henry larry)PEREZ A 123 15.00 7.10  
 
ZIA-2   10/17/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
:233 :471       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH BLUES 3 5 3 1nk   11 14 (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 123 5.00 18% 4.60 18.80 W
AISLE RUNNER 4 4 1½ 3½   21 24 (quiroz filiberto)CEBALLOS F 123 1.40 44% 1.30 0.10 P
BLACK EYED BANDIT 2 6 6 4   32 35 (quiroz filiberto)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50 7.80 S
ZESTY JAZZMAN 1 3 2½ 2nk   44(villalobos a)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 32.90  
ROAD TO HEAT 6 1 52 52   54 57 (villalobos a)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 2.50 8.60  
MICKEYS GOLD 5 2 42 6   64 6(lambert t)TOHILL S 123 8.00 12.50  
 
ZIA-3   10/17/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 ALL PT- 3:24
:251 :503 1:172 1:301   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATRAKA 4 1 12 12 1 16 113½ (valdez-cabral jr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 9% 9.90 4.80 W
LEA COSTA ME 3 2 22 22 2 26 213½ (marquez l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 4.90  
CATTY DOM 6 4 6 4 56 410 315 (summers nancy)SALAZAR TERESA 115 0.60 46% 1.20 1.20 S
FEISTY TOWN 2 3 4 6 3 39 415¾ (gonzalez r)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 11.40  
RIO HATO 1 6 55 5 6 515 534 (valdez-cabral jr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.50 18% 4.60 2.00  
TAKE THE CASH 5 5 32 32 4 617 641¾ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 24.30  
 
ZIA-4   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
:244 :484 1:132     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE IT 5 2 2nk 2nk   11 1(summers nancy)SCRIVER L 121 3.00 2.00  
MISS BRIGHT TOWN 4 3 4 3½   21 2(gonzalez sal)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 1.80 21% 3.70 0.60 P
GOSPEL GINA 3 1 1nk 1nk   34 37 (williams f)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 10.00  
KEEP IT ROLLIN 2 4 31 4   46 49 (buechler j)TOHILL S 121 8.00 17.70  
LEMON ICE 1 5 5 58   512 520¼ (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 123 4.00 4.90  
SCR  GEE ETTA               (rust terri)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
ZIA-5   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
:222 :461       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTIAGO'S TOWER 2 6 58 46   31½ (vega v)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00 4.60  
BONFIRE PARTY 1 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 2½ (valdez-cabral jr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 18% 4.60 3.50 P
BESITOS CRIMINALES 3 4 2nk 2nk   1½ 3(martinez h)SCRIVER L 123 3.00 17% 4.90 3.60 S
HOT CHARLIE 5 1 32 33   43 4(aldavaz hermengildo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 3.30  
FLYING FALCON 6 3 47 58   55 511½ (fincher w)JUAREZ J 123 1.60 35% 1.80 1.80  
ZIVA DA'VID 4 5 612 613   69 614¾ (marquez l)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 12.00 22.40  
 
ZIA-6   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 4:45
:224 :463       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZTEC SUN 7 7 4 32   21 1(marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.50 22% 3.60 1.30 W
SMOKE STACK 2 5 2nk 11   11 2(amparan alberto)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 8.70 P
ZEE CARROT EAGLE 8 3 3 42   34 3(hone bart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.50 10% 8.90 16.70 S
FLYING FRED 1 8 78 67   54(valdez-cabral jr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.60 37% 1.70 2.10  
ANNA'S IRON MAN 5 2 53 56   46 5(marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 6.30  
GUY IN THE SKY 6 6 66 7   7619 (chavez larry)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 10.00 8% 12.30 13.20  
THIRSTY ECHO 3 1 1nk 21   68 720 (martinez e)TORRES J 121 10.00 9.00  
OLIVER TWISTED 4 4 8 813½   824½ 849¾ (smith a)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 30.00 38.80  
 
ZIA-7   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDDING GROOM 6 1 1½ 12   11(fincher leroy)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.00 20% 3.90 2.20 W
DIA DE PAGO 1 8 53 3   22(hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 1.40 34% 2.00 1.30 P
K P AIM HIGH 3 3 3 4   338 (gonzalez r)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 8% 11.20 10.00 S
JERSEY JOE 2 4 64 54   4412½ (green greg)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 19.10  
I'M A COOL CAT 7 5 4 7   7518¼ (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 7.10  
JEEBAR 5 7 7 6   6619¼ (morales danny)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00 14% 6.20 5.50  
RAPID EXPANSION 4 2 2½ 22   5720 (crawford cole)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 38.70  
TRIPPLE SHAKE 8 6 8 8   823½ 846 (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 123 10.00 14.20  
 
ZIA-8   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
:223 :462 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE OF URGENCY 3 6 4 2   21(fincher w)FUENTES A 120 12.00 3.50  
READS CODIGO 4 4 12 1   12(barton j)CEBALLOS F 120 3.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
TATAS JOE MARK 1 7 6 34   34 3(gonzalez c)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 4.50 7% 13.00 6.50 S
RYDERS UP 2 8 7 7   69 49 (marr h)TOHILL S 120 8.00 7% 12.80 14.10  
TARDY CAT 5 3 22 5   59 5(riddle e)SCRIVER L 120 20.00 34.50  
PAGOSA DREAM 6 2 32 4   48 611¼ (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 2.00 49% 1.10 2.30  
PLAYTHEMARKER 7 1 54 6   713 716¾ (fincher w)JUAREZ J 120 5.00 11% 7.80 2.90  
BEVERLY WHO 8 5 8 810   815½ 821¼ (rojero c)RODRIGUEZ H 117 20.00 74.60  
SCR  MILD DISTRACTION               (valdez-cabral jr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
 
ZIA-9   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
:234 :474 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATENITE SLEWZY 3 7 72 4   11 1(cappellucci dick)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 22% 3.50 3.70 W
TIZ FOR REAL 9 6 94 95   52(carter e)FUENTES A 123 5.00 19% 4.30 4.70 P
THE TIME'S RIGHT 5 12 12 106   734 (vega v)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 13.30  
NAVARONES SPARKLE 4 9 104 8   104(woolley l)TOHILL S 123 20.00 66.00  
NOWORRIESTODAY 2 11 11 5   659 (summers nancy)SCRIVER L 123 15.00 23.40  
10  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE 10 8 5 127   116(rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 6.00 4.50  
HOLLYWOOD PRINCESS 8 10 83 74   87(gonzalez sal)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
11  EMOTIONAL INTEL 11 2 2½ 21   4810½ (lambert t)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 12.00 12.90  
RUN LIKE KATE 7 5 3½ 63   9913¼ (quiroz filiberto)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00 22% 3.50 6.00  
12  GRACEANNE 12 3 4¾ 32   31013½ (buechler j)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 5.20  
GEORGIANO 6 4 6 11   121115¼ (williams f)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00 38.40  
INDIAN DIVA 1 1 1½ 11   21 1217 (lambert t)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00 7% 13.50 35.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.