Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - October 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   10/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPPSTER Oct09 Aug31 Aug14 Jul30 Jun12 (lambert t)TOHILL S 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  SNOW IN THE NORTH Aug05 May15 Jan30     (henry larry)PEREZ A 123 15.00 ★    
3  C D POLDARC Oct05 Sep21 Aug17 Jun26   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.20 24% 3.20    
4  MARK'S WARRIOR Aug31 Aug12 Jul02 Jun17 May20 (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
5  SIXTH GEAR Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May29 May20 (douglas)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 ★    
6  I'MAGAMBLER Sep30 Sep15 Aug10 May29 May22 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
ZIA-2   10/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZESTY JAZZMAN Aug31 Aug14 May01 Mar22 Jan25 (vill)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
2  BLACK EYED BANDIT Aug31 Aug12 May07 Apr22 Mar20 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50 ★    
3  SMOOTH BLUES Sep30 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul30 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  AISLE RUNNER Oct04 May27 May21 Apr24 Apr03 (quiroz filiber)CEBALLOS F 123 1.40 44% 1.30    
5  MICKEYS GOLD Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul02 Apr03 (lambert t)TOHILL S 123 8.00 ★    
6  ROAD TO HEAT Sep14 Aug26 Apr30 Mar15 Feb15 (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 2.50 ★    
 
ZIA-3   10/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIO HATO Sep17 Jun11 May21 May08 May01 (valdez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.50 18% 4.60    
2  FEISTY TOWN Sep28 Sep02 Aug10 Aug03   (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 ★    
3  LEA COSTA ME Sep17 Aug31 Aug24 Aug05 May20 (marquez l)VASQUEZ L 121 15.00    
4  KATRAKA Aug24 Jun30       (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 9% 9.90    
5  TAKE THE CASH Sep28         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 ★    
6  CATTY DOM Sep21 Sep08 Aug27 Aug03 May20 (summers nanc)SALAZAR TERESA 115 0.60 46% 1.20    
 
ZIA-4   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON ICE Sep21 Aug27 Aug10 Jul02   (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 123 4.00 ★    
2  KEEP IT ROLLIN Sep28 Aug27 Jul30 May29 May14 (buechler j)TOHILL S 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  GEE ETTA Sep28 Sep04 May14 Apr02   (rust terri)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  GOSPEL GINA Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 Jun27 (william)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
5  MISS BRIGHT TOWN Oct04 Sep04 Aug05 Apr24 Mar27 (gonzalez sal)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 1.80 21% 3.70    
6  LEAVE IT Sep16 Sep08 Aug20 Jul31   (summers nan)SCRIVER L 121 3.00 ★    
 
ZIA-5   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONFIRE PARTY Aug26 Jun26 May08 Feb08 Jan18 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  SANTIAGO'S TOWER Sep28 Aug10 Jun12 May21 Apr30 (vega v)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00    
3  BESITOS CRIMINALES Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 Aug03 May28 (martinez fr)SCRIVER L 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  ZIVA DA'VID Sep30 Sep18 Aug24 Aug12 Apr24 (marquez jose)SIGALA ALFREDO 120 12.00 ★    
5  HOT CHARLIE Oct09 Sep08 Aug26 Aug06 May01 (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 ★    
6  FLYING FALCON Sep15 Jan25 Jan04     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
ZIA-6   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING FRED Sep10 Jul30 Jul10 Apr29 Mar11 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  SMOKE STACK Sep30 Aug31 Jul30 Jun18 Apr30 (amparan alber)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 ★    
3  THIRSTY ECHO Apr30 Mar05 Jan28     (martinez e)TORRES J 121 10.00    
4  OLIVER TWISTED         (smith p)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 30.00    
5  ANNA'S IRON MAN         (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
6  GUY IN THE SKY Apr22 Feb01 Jan09     (chavez larry)SIGALA ALFREDO 123 10.00 8% 12.30    
7  AZTEC SUN Jul30         (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  ZEE CARROT EAGLE Sep30         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
ZIA-7   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIA DE PAGO Oct01 Aug20 Aug03 Jun23 May08 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 1.40 34% 2.00    
2  JERSEY JOE Sep30 Aug31 Jul23 Jun18   (green g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
3  K P AIM HIGH Oct01 Aug20 Jul30     (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 8% 11.20    
4  RAPID EXPANSION Oct06 May18 Apr26 Mar27 Mar13 (crawford )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
5  JEEBAR Aug31 May22 Apr24     (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00 14% 6.20    
6  WEDDING GROOM Oct01 Aug25 Jul30 Jun12   (fincher leroy)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
7  I'M A COOL CAT Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul16 May29 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 ★    
8  TRIPPLE SHAKE         (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATAS JOE MARK Sep25 Aug24 Aug14 Jul30 May20 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 4.50 7% 13.00    
2  RYDERS UP Oct04 Aug14       (marr h)TOHILL S 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
3  SENSE OF URGENCY Jul29 Jun10       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 12.00    
4  READS CODIGO Oct04 Sep10       (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  TARDY CAT Sep10 Jul29 Jun19     (riddle jack)SCRIVER L 120 20.00    
SCR  MILD DISTRACTION         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
7  PAGOSA DREAM Oct04 Sep25 Aug14     (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 2.00 49% 1.10    
8  PLAYTHEMARKER Sep25 Aug24 Jul29 Jun10   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
9  BEVERLY WHO Sep25         (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 117 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN DIVA Jun18 Mar13 Feb15 Jan22   (lambert casey )CEBALLOS F 123 12.00 7% 13.50    
2  NOWORRIESTODAY Sep21 May01 Feb11 Jan18   (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 15.00    
3  LATENITE SLEWZY Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug12 Jun18 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  NAVARONES SPARKLE Aug14 Jun05 May06 Apr11 Mar21 (woolley l)TOHILL S 123 20.00    
5  THE TIME'S RIGHT Oct01 Sep21 Sep04 Aug27 Aug17 (vega v)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
6  GEORGIANO Sep25 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May16 (william)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
7  RUN LIKE KATE Sep21 Aug24 Aug10 Jul24 Apr24 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
8  HOLLYWOOD PRINCESS Sep23 Mar20 Feb20 Feb01 Jan08 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TIZ FOR REAL Sep23 Aug28 Jul24 Jun18 Mar06 (carter royce)FUENTES A 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 Jun26 Jun05 (rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 6.00    
11  EMOTIONAL INTEL Aug27 Jul16 Jul02 Jun09 May29 (lambert case)VILLANUEVA C 121 12.00    
12  GRACEANNE Sep23 Aug24 Jul31 Jul01 Jun19 (buechler simo)JUAREZ J 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.