The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Friday - December 16, 2022

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AQU-1   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
:224 :47 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOOL KATHMANDU 6 2 1 1   11(baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 7.30  
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 2 4 32 2   22(donk david)VARGAS A 119 15.00 24.50  
VENGE 3 5 6 65   53(ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 39% 1.60 2.05 S
PAXSATIONAL 5 3 5 5   4411½ (barker r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 12.40  
CLUBHOUSE 1 1 2 3   3513¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.40 20% 4.00 0.95  
LOGIN REQUIRED 4 6 4 43   611¼ 626¼ (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.50 6.90  
 
AQU-2   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:234 :48 1:134     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 4 6 6 68   41(noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 7.10  
GAME THEORY 6 1 11 1   11 2(jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 15.70  
SWEET MIA 2 3 21 32   32 3(baker charlton)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50 19% 4.20 3.15 S
CHAYSENBRYN 3 4 42 44   545 (kantarmaci mertkan)VARGAS A 122 1.80 42% 1.40 3.40  
CHLOE ROSE 5 2 31 2   21 5(rodriguez gustavo)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 6.00 5.70  
MON PETIT CHOU 1 5 5 56   69 614¼ (abreu fernando)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 1.50  
SCR  BLUE PAYNT               (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 1.80    
 
AQU-3   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
:224 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEES GET DEGREES 5 1 1nk 1½   11(jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 26% 2.80 0.90 W
COUSIN ANDREW 4 5 75 3   22(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 26% 2.80 3.10 P
UPPER LEVEL 3 2 2nk 2½   34 38 (lynch natalia)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11.60  
JET SPEED 7 3 5 76   58 412¾ (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 14% 5.90 18.10  
HOLEY MATRIMONY 6 6 64 6   4513 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6% 15.30 9.80  
HATCH 1 4 42 43   68 617½ (martin f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00 8.90  
OUTASITE 2 7 3 55   713 742¼ (de horacio)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50 8.40  
 
AQU-4   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
:231 :471 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACALTEQUE 3 3 2nk 1   14 11 (chin peter)FUENTES ERICK 110 10.00 15.60  
FIRST DEPUTY 5 7 6 5   24 21 (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 3.05  
MUSICAL AMERICA 1 4 1nk 2   310 313½ (jones e)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 49% 1.00 3.95 S
TRIGGER PULL 7 8 8 6   613 414 (loaiza ilmar)DAVIS A 122 5.00 10% 9.00 3.55  
CAVARADOSSI 6 2 5 44   412½ 519¼ (englehart chris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 4.10  
SON OF DARKNESS 8 1 3.2 3   512½ 622¾ (breed jr)GOMEZ O 120 5.00 11% 7.70 9.10  
EXXTOP 4 6 7 710¼   717 724 (thompson george)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 41.00  
REUX (GB) 2 5 4 813¾   828½ 847¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 17.90 5.60  
 
AQU-5   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:14
:233 :482 1:153     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER SKILLET 1 3 1½ 12 14 110 114½ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.20 30% 2.40 1.15 W
LAVON 2 7 75 77 24 210 214½ (coffey marialice)DAVIS A 119 12.00 20% 4.10 16.80 P
THE SPLENDID ONE 7 4 3 3 3 314 315¼ (hennig mark)HARKIE K 119 10.00 9.00  
LA CONQUISTADORA 4 1 2½ 22 48 416 419 (breen j)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5.90  
MISS BARB 3 2 64 56 510½ 623 530½ (nevin michelle)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00 28.75  
MISS FASHIONISTA 6 5 5 6 612 523 633¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 24% 3.10 2.85  
MISCHIEVOUS MOLLY 5 6 4 46 712½ 726½ 747 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 6.10  
SCR  CAIRO SUGAR               (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 8.00    
SCR  NEVER PERSONAL               (levine bruce)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
 
AQU-6   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
:23 :47 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINFULL 9 1 1nk 11   11(schosberg richard)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 8% 11.20 2.80 W
GRANNYS CONNECTION 5 5 41 21   22(morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 15.50  
VOLEUSE 8 3 7 56   37 3(clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 33% 2.10 5.60 S
SHE'S A NATURAL 4 6 6 67   514 415 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 122 30.00 48.25  
PHOTON 3 4 2nk 4   411½ 516¼ (breen j)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.80  
BON ADIEU 1 9 8 8   715½ 616¼ (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5.10  
SPOOKY LADY 6 2 3½ 3   614½ 726 (rodriguez r)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7.60  
FRANNIE LEW 7 8 54 7   820½ 829¼ (donk david)VARGAS A 122 15.00 19.80  
VIRTUAL BEAUTY 2 7 911¼ 917½   932½ 957 (goberdhan chandradat)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 54.25  
 
AQU-7   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 3:12
:231 :463 1:124     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD GATLING 4 2 3½ 3   1½ 1¼ (pringle edmund)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 18.10  
GOOD SKATE 5 4 1nk 1½   2½ 2¼ (giangiulio michelle)HARKIE K 118 6.00 5.80  
FUNNY JOKE 1 5 5 4   35 3(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 2.70 S
SALUTE TO AMERICA 3 3 6 6   4410¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5.80  
PRINTRACK 2 1 2nk 2½   56 511¾ (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 67% 0.50 1.90  
CATCHING CUPID 6 6 42 53   612 622 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 3.30  
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE               (englehart chris)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
 
AQU-8   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:233 :473 1:134     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SURPRISE 7 1 4 4 45 31¾ (hills a)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 10.00 4.40  
MY SWEET WIFE 1 6 2nk 2nk 3 21 2¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 2.85 P
FLASHNDYNAMITE 4 3 1nk 1nk 11 11 3(moore m)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 11.50 S
VIENNA CODE 2 5 5 54 510 56 49 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 27.75  
JANE GREY 3 4 3½ 3 21 4512 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.00 70% 0.40 1.05  
FIRENZE FREEDOM 6 2 63 65 612 6613¼ (breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 40.50  
CHOOSE HAPPINESS 5 7 78 711 712½ 710½ 719¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 6.80  
SCR  CAIRONI               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
 
AQU-9   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 4:08
:23 :473 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HONEST BANKER 7 4 3 1½   11(atras rob)VARGAS A 119 10.00 15.60  
SLOW DOWN SUMMER 3 1 11 2½   22(rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 33% 2.00 3.45 P
FOLLOW THE FED 1 6 6 6   639 (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 8.70  
KARA PARA 4 3 4 46   37 410¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.20  
PRETTY MISS KEENS 2 2 21 3   48 512¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 6.80  
11  FOREVER AMY 6 7 5 58   58 612¼ (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00 21.90  
10  JOEYBIGNOSE 5 5 716½ 722½   719½ 719¼ (joseph a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 4.40  
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schettino a)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00    
SCR  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST               (d'alessandro ralph)DAVIS A 119 10.00    
SCR  KNOWING YOU               (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY               (chichakly amira)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 12.00    
SCR  PAUCILOQUENT               (bond james)HARKIE K 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.