Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUBHOUSE Nov19 Oct16 Sep01 Jul22   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.40 20% 4.00    
2  FAST BOAT TO SKYE Oct22         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
3  VENGE         (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  LOGIN REQUIRED Nov06 Aug22       (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
5  PAXSATIONAL         (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 ★    
6  KOOL KATHMANDU Nov06         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAYSENBRYN Nov11 Oct27 Aug24 Jun02 Apr29 (kantarmac)VARGAS A 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  BLUE PAYNT Nov10 Oct28 Aug01 Jun27 May31 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 1.80 ★    
2  MON PETIT CHOU Nov26 Sep02 Aug04 Jun10 May21 (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 ★    
3  SWEET MIA Nov26 May13 Apr03 Mar26 Feb27 (baker charlto)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Nov25 Oct28 Jul23 Jun02 May08 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 ★    
5  CHLOE ROSE Nov17 Sep22 Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 6.00 ★    
6  GAME THEORY Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 Aug07 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
 
AQU-3   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCH (GB) Nov18 Oct22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul21 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00    
2  OUTASITE Nov18 Feb20       (de horaci)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50 ★    
3  UPPER LEVEL Oct20 Sep30 Aug28 Aug03 Jun26 (lynch natalia)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
4  COUSIN ANDREW Dec01 Aug10 Jul28 Jun25 May27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  CEES GET DEGREES Nov16 Oct28 Sep18 Aug25 Aug13 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  HOLEY MATRIMONY Nov26 Nov04 Oct15     (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6% 15.30    
7  JET SPEED Oct23 Oct02 Aug27 Aug06 Jul30 (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 14% 5.90    
 
AQU-4   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL AMERICA Dec04 Nov10 Oct27 Oct16 Sep17 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 49% 1.00    
2  REUX (GB) Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 Jul10 Jun09 (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 17.90    
3  ACALTEQUE Dec02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 (chin peter)FUENTES ERICK 110 10.00    
4  EXXTOP Nov20 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
5  FIRST DEPUTY Nov16 Nov07 Oct03 Sep17 Aug10 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
6  CAVARADOSSI         (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 ★    
7  TRIGGER PULL Dec08 Nov22 Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 (loaiza i)DAVIS A 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
8  SON OF DARKNESS Nov09 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
 
AQU-5   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAIRO SUGAR Nov29 Nov08 Oct14     (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 8.00 ★    
2  SILVER SKILLET Oct30 Sep22 Jul27     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.20 30% 2.40    
3  LAVON Oct30 Sep02       (coffey m)DAVIS A 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
4  MISS BARB Nov04         (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
5  LA CONQUISTADORA Oct30 Sep22       (breen kelly )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  NEVER PERSONAL Oct28 Aug12       (levine br)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
7  MISCHIEVOUS MOLLY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 ★    
8  MISS FASHIONISTA Nov18 Oct01       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
9  THE SPLENDID ONE Nov04 Sep22 Aug24 Jul15   (hennig mark)HARKIE K 119 10.00    
 
AQU-6   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BON ADIEU         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 ★    
2  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Dec02         (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
3  PHOTON Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 (breen kelly )CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  SHE'S A NATURAL Nov26 Oct29 May30     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
5  GRANNYS CONNECTION         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00    
6  SPOOKY LADY Nov17 Sep25 Jul10 Jun18   (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
7  FRANNIE LEW         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 15.00    
8  VOLEUSE Nov17 Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
9  SHINFULL Nov17 Sep17 Aug20 Jun19 Jun04 (schosberg richa)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 8% 11.20    
 
AQU-7   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY JOKE Dec01 Oct08 Sep24 Aug28 Jul04 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 ★    
2  PRINTRACK Oct25 Sep24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 67% 0.50    
3  SALUTE TO AMERICA Nov19 Oct15 Apr30 Apr07 Feb05 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
4  LORD GATLING Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 Jul28 May08 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
5  GOOD SKATE Sep29 Aug07 Jul04 May21 Apr08 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 118 6.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER Dec03 Oct22 Oct08 Aug10 Jul22 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 ★    
7  CATCHING CUPID Dec02 Sep24 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Aug03 Jun22 May07 Apr13 Mar12 (engl)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SWEET WIFE Nov10 Oct13 Aug04 Jun26 Apr01 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 ★    
2  VIENNA CODE Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 Sep05 Jul10 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
SCR  CAIRONI Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug19 Jul24 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★    
4  JANE GREY Nov13 Oct02 Sep05 Jul23 Jun10 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.00 70% 0.40    
5  FLASHNDYNAMITE Nov15 Oct26 Oct01 Aug04 Jul12 (moore mi)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 ★    
6  CHOOSE HAPPINESS Sep25 Aug14 Jul01 Apr23 Mar13 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 ★    
7  FIRENZE FREEDOM Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 May08   (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
8  SWEET SURPRISE Nov27 Oct31 Sep10 Aug12 Jul10 (hill)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 10.00    
 
AQU-9   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HONEST BANKER         (atras rob)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
SCR  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Nov08         (d'alessa)DAVIS A 119 10.00    
2  FOLLOW THE FED Dec02 Oct23 Sep30     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
SCR  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Nov30 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12   (chicha)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 12.00    
4  PRETTY MISS KEENS Dec03 Oct01 Sep02     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
5  SLOW DOWN SUMMER Nov19 Sep30 Jul28     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  KNOWING YOU         (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN Nov26 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00    
SCR  PAUCILOQUENT         (bond harold )HARKIE K 119 15.00    
9  KARA PARA Nov18 Nov04 Oct06 Sep05   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
10  JOEYBIGNOSE         (joseph s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 ★    
11  FOREVER AMY Oct30         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.