Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DIVINE CROSS 6 3 21 21½   1nk 1hd (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 2.50 ★ 5.60  
5  LA GROTTE 5 2 11 11½   2nk 2hd (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 11.70  
1  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 1 1 51¾ 43   31 31¾ (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 ★ 1.80 S
3  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 3 5 31½ 53½   410 412¾ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 119 1.60 52% 0.90 1.25  
4  HERECOMES SCARLETT 4 4 41½ 32½   511½ 515½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16% 5.40 7.00  
2  GERMANY JAYVO 2 6 68¾ 611   613½ 617¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 ★ 23.30  
 
AQU-2   12/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:384   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOLDINI 6 5 43½ 44 31 1nk 11¾ (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 ★ 7.00  
3  ITS ALL RELEVANT 3 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 21¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 59% 0.70 2.40 P
2  CARIBBEAN (AUS) 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 33½ 33¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 ★ 2.90 S
5  UMBRIA 5 4 32½ 33 42 45 46¾ (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.50 9% 10.30 3.30  
4  LIAM'S FIRE 4 3 54½ 57 55 57½ 59¼ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 12.60  
7  SCOTTY 7 6 77 712 712½ 612½ 613 (dipr)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 19.50  
1  SUPPLY CHAIN 1 7 66½ 68 68½ 714½ 719¼ (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 7% 13.50 5.00  
 
AQU-3   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VALENZAN DAY 5 1 2½ 1nk   12½ 17 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 35% 1.90 0.50 W
3  BOBBY THE TANK 3 2 31½ 41¼   22½ 27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 18% 4.50 4.50 P
6  VICTIM OF THE NITE 6 6 52 31   33 39¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★ 6.40 S
2  GOING IN STYLE 2 4 41½ 51¼   45 413¾ (camejo jo)VARGAS A 120 5.00 ★ 13.80  
4  ROL AGAIN DANCER 4 3 1½ 2nk   55½ 516½ (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 18% 4.50 8.70  
1  FLASHY ALEX 1 5 612 610¼   68½ 616¾ (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 19.80  
 
AQU-4   12/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :464 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BANTERRA 4 1 3½ 1½   14 16 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 ★ 3.25  
6  PEBBLE LANE 6 4 52 42   34 26 (schosberg richa)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 21.80  
2  LOCKBOX 2 3 2nk 31   24 36¾ (d'alessa)DAVIS A 122 10.00 17% 4.90 16.20 S
5  SECURITY CODE 5 6 63 63   65¾ 46¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 ★ 3.15  
1  DISRUPTION 1 5 41½ 52   54¾ 58 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00 2.65  
3  HIGHWAY HARMONY 3 2 1nk 2½   44½ 69 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 27% 2.80 1.90  
 
AQU-5   12/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET 2 4 51¾ 51¾   33 1nk (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 18% 4.70 2.70 W
6  RISK PROFILE 6 2 41½ 4¾   2½ 2nk (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 3.20  
4  RAGTIME BLUES 4 1 2nk 1½   1½ 3½ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60 ★ 1.60 S
3  MUSICAL AMERICA 3 7 62¼ 62¾   56 47¾ (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 110 20.00 8% 10.80 54.25  
7  PRINCE JAMES 7 5 3½ 3½   45½ 59¼ (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 4.50 29% 2.50 5.60  
5  SOUTH AFRICA 5 6 74¾ 77¾   711 616½ (huertas )DAVIS A 122 20.00 29.25  
1  MOUNT TRAVERS 1 3 1nk 2½   67½ 719¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 16% 5.40 8.40  
 
AQU-6   12/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DUFRESNE 4 1 31½ 3½ 2nk 2½ 1½ (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 29% 2.40 2.75 W
3  JULIANA'S ROSE 3 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1½ 2½ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 24% 3.20 3.10 P
6  MIA BEA STAR 6 4 53 52 3½ 31½ 33 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 ★ 1.10 S
1  SHADOLAMO 1 6 42 41 41 42 43 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 ★ 9.30  
5  GRINGOTTS 5 5 64 62¼ 55 57½ 59¼ (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 123 8.00 19.70  
2  PAVE MY WAY 2 2 1½ 1nk 65½ 614 632½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30 14.30  
 
AQU-7   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IMPAZIBLE DONNA 4 2 31 31   1nk 11¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 7% 12.40 1.35 W
3  SILKEN DOLLAR 1 1 2½ 1½   2nk 21¾ (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 2.90  
5  BANK ON ANNA 3 3 1½ 2½   34½ 311¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 34% 1.90 1.15 S
4  SEDONA ROCKS 2 4 42½ 44   413½ 420 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 118 30.00 18.40  
SCR  BUNTY WINDERMERE               (ryan der)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 ★    
SCR  GALAXINA               (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  YO CUZ               (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-8   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BANKIT 5 1 2nk 2nk   12 13¼ (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 36% 1.80 2.45 W
1  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN 1 2 1nk 1nk   22 23¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.70 P
5  MY BOY TATE 3 3 42 31   34 36½ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 12% 7.30 1.40 S
2  OCALA DREAM 2 5 55½ 55¾   47½ 47¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 ★ 10.60  
7  CHOWDA 4 4 31½ 41¼   59½ 513¼ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 24.25  
SCR  CICCIOBELLO               (ryan der)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  DREAMER'S DISEASE               (courville ricky)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
SCR  NEURO               (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-9   12/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SINFUL DANCER 2 3 51¾ 31   31 1½ (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 122 3.50 37% 1.70 4.90 W
6  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE 6 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 2½ (sel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.90 5.30 P
1  EMINENCY 1 6 73¼ 72½   2½ 3¾ (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 25% 3.00 9.30 S
8  AMEDEUS MUSIC 8 9 84¼ 83   51½ 41 (englehart jeff)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 12.10  
4  CAN'T BEAT ME 4 8 96¾ 94½   82¼ 51 (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 28.25  
9  GINNSU WARRIOR 9 7 62¾ 62¼   61¾ 62¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★ 3.35  
5  GOLQUIST 5 1 1½ 1nk   41 79¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 ★ 2.25  
7  KINGSTOWN 7 5 31½ 41¼   72¼ 812¼ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 12.80  
3  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 3 4 41½ 51¼   92¾ 916¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 18.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.