Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - December 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK ENGINE LIGHT Jul31         (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00    
GERMANY JAYVO Nov27         (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00    
ALLAMERICANBEAUTY         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 119 1.60 52% 0.90    
HERECOMES SCARLETT         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16% 5.40    
LA GROTTE Oct23 Aug07       (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
DIVINE CROSS Oct14         (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 2.50    
 
AQU-2   12/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPPLY CHAIN Nov18 Oct31 Aug21 Jul30 Jun16 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 7% 13.50    
CARIBBEAN (AUS) Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00    
ITS ALL RELEVANT Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Jun24 May27 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
LIAM'S FIRE May21 May06 Apr03 Feb25 Jan13 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00    
UMBRIA Oct27 Oct13 Sep17 Jul09 May30 (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.50 9% 10.30    
GOLDINI Nov17 Oct21 Oct09 Aug04 Jun10 (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCOTTY Nov18 Oct06 Aug31 May07 Apr14 (diprim)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00    
 
AQU-3   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY ALEX Nov25 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Sep05 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
GOING IN STYLE Oct28 Sep18 Aug22     (camejo jose)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
BOBBY THE TANK Nov27 Oct16 Sep04 Jul29   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
ROL AGAIN DANCER Oct31 Oct02 Aug27 Jul02 Jun04 (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
VALENZAN DAY Nov19 Oct27 Sep22 Aug13 Jul16 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 35% 1.90    
VICTIM OF THE NITE Nov13 Oct15       (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
 
AQU-4   12/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISRUPTION Oct30 Sep22 Jul27     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
LOCKBOX Nov08         (d'alessand)DAVIS A 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
HIGHWAY HARMONY Nov04 Aug12       (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
BANTERRA Oct30 Oct01 Sep02 Jul27   (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SECURITY CODE Nov20 Oct30 Sep23 Sep02 Aug10 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00    
PEBBLE LANE Oct23 Sep22 Aug10     (schosberg richard)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-5   12/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNT TRAVERS Nov12 Oct21 Sep25 Aug24 Jul22 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
LAFITTE'S FLEET Nov05 Sep25 Aug14 May27 Apr21 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
MUSICAL AMERICA Nov10 Oct27 Oct16 Sep17 Sep01 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 110 20.00 8% 10.80    
RAGTIME BLUES Nov12 Oct21 Sep01 Aug05 May15 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60    
SOUTH AFRICA Nov15 Oct24 Aug17 Jul18 Jun13 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
RISK PROFILE Oct07 Aug24 Aug20 Mar11 Feb12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
PRINCE JAMES Jul20 Jun18 May21 Apr28 Mar26 (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-6   12/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOLAMO Nov20 Nov05 Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
PAVE MY WAY Nov07 Oct24 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30    
JULIANA'S ROSE Oct22 Sep05 Feb11 Jan02   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
DUFRESNE Nov19 Oct23 Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
GRINGOTTS Nov04 Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
MIA BEA STAR Nov11 Nov04 Oct27 Oct09 Sep15 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00    
 
AQU-7   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALAXINA Aug26 Jul25 Jun19 Apr24 Feb26 (bond james)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  YO CUZ May30 Apr24 Mar27 Feb21   (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
SILKEN DOLLAR Nov06 Oct23 Sep23 Aug17 Jul29 (schosberg richa)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SEDONA ROCKS Nov19 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul10 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
BANK ON ANNA Oct06 Aug12 Jul23 May20 Apr24 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
IMPAZIBLE DONNA Sep02 Aug06 Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 7% 12.40    
SCR  BUNTY WINDERMERE Nov18 Oct09 Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 (ryan derek)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
 
AQU-8   12/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
OCALA DREAM Oct30 Sep29 Sep05 Jul31 Jul03 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  CICCIOBELLO Nov11         (ryan derek)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  DREAMER'S DISEASE Nov05 Oct23 Sep16 Aug07   (courville ricky)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
MY BOY TATE Oct30 Oct10 Aug12 Mar20 Feb19 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 12% 7.30    
SCR  NEURO Nov18 Oct22 Aug13 Jul17   (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHOWDA May15 Apr20 Mar27 Feb05 Jan08 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
BANKIT Aug26 Aug12 Feb19     (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-9   12/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMINENCY Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 Jul10 May28 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
SINFUL DANCER Nov13 Oct14 Oct07 Aug31 Jul28 (kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Nov10 Oct07 Sep17 Aug15 Jun23 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
CAN'T BEAT ME Nov11 Oct06 Sep03 Aug03 Jul13 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
GOLQUIST Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Oct20 Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (sells)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
KINGSTOWN Nov12 Oct16 Aug24 Jun10 May15 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
AMEDEUS MUSIC Nov10 Sep17 Aug09 Jul24 Jul15 (englehart jeffre)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
GINNSU WARRIOR Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 Aug03 Jul28 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.