Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-4   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $6.56 $0.56 9%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISS SOVELIA 7 1 2 3½   21 1¼ (edgell )DE CRUZ 125 3.50 13% 6.80 1.55 W
LADY LIVERMORE 4 5 3 2½   11 2¼ (pitts helen)MOJICA JR 125 2.50 26% 2.90 2.20 P
FINAL SURGE 6 4 43 4   31 31 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 13% 6.70 4.53 S
FUN N TEARS 5 3 1 1½   42 4 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 125 15.00 12.82  
HUSH HUSH 1 7 8 6   5 511 (williamson bri)MILLER CHASE 125 3.00 24% 3.20 6.26  
C C'S WORLD 2 6 6 5   6 612 (gon)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 15.00 10.31  
BASILICA D ORO 3 8 7 810¾   7 714¼ (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 30.00 63.02  
11  MAYA'S WISH 8 2 55 7   8 817½ (delacruz me)PETERSON FERRIN 125 20.00 65.95  
SCR  LA CUERVA               (oviedo jose)MARCANO Y 115 30.00    
SCR  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY               (mcbride barb)RAMOS D 125 5.00    
SCR  SAUNTER               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-2   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FLUTE MASTER 7 7 6 44 4 2 1½ (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 2.07  
OFF THE CUFF 3 3 1 13 1 1 2½ (maker m)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 37% 1.70 2.78 P
HE'S A ANGEL 2 2 45 610¼ 5 5 3 (macias ad)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 20.00 21.08 S
KINISON 5 5 34 23 2 34 4 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 125 4.00 31% 2.30 3.00  
MANCHESTER 6 6 5 34 3 44 5 (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 8.70  
BRAILLE 1 1 77 5 6 6 611¾ (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00 6.10  
MY BOY IZZY 4 4 2 712¼ 712¼ 722½ 763 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 10.82  
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton tr)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE               (curtsinger )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 125 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
TP-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:131 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN POINTE 6 5 33 3 2 21 1 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 122 3.50 4.75  
SPEED WARNING 1 1 1 1nk 1 11 2 (stidham m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50 35% 1.80 4.17 P
SATURN BOY 5 4 2 2nk 3 33 3 (davis joseph )CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 4.51 S
11  HILL OF TARA 8 6 6 6 43 44 4 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 14.60  
10  HURRY HURRY 7 7 7 7 8 7 5 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 40% 1.50 2.55  
12  PIGALLE 9 9 8 8 7 5 6 (dru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 117 10.00 5.71  
RIVER BOY 2 3 43 4 5 6 7 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 7.85  
NIKOLAS ARTHUR 3 2 54 5 6 8 812½ (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 23.84  
FRADY 4 8 9 9 9 910¼ 917½ (adams nancy)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 59.47  
SCR  FAST GAL               (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 115 30.00    
SCR  FASTBYTE               (leit)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00    
SCR  LIFE AND LIGHT               (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
 
TP-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEST LIFE 5 6 5 4   4¾ 1½ (contreras ci)HALDAR J 123 3.00 44% 1.30 2.28 W
10  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 8 1 4¼ 3.2   1nk 2½ (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00 3.79 P
JUDY'S MS. OFFICER 6 3 2nk 1nk   3.2 3 (cristel)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 25% 2.90 2.52 S
11  DALTON'S LOVE 9 2 6 5   5 4 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 123 15.00 13.78  
SURE ENOUGH 2 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 5 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 12.00 7.53  
THIS MASQUERADE 1 9 9 9   7 6 (minnock wayn)MARCANO Y 113 20.00 58.55  
MRS. K 7 7 72 6   6 78 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 15.00 10.94  
SPARE A DIME 3 8 82 8   8 812 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 15.00 5% 18.00 11.31  
BOLD AND BOSSY 4 4 3.2 7   9 916 (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 15.00 19.63  
SCR  QUEEN OF CHILL               (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 117 20.00    
SCR  WORLD UNITE               (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 117 2.50    
 
TP-5   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURRENT CLIMATE 7 3 1nk 12   1 1 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 12.10  
YOUR SO SILLEA 3 9 9 8   2 2 (sims matthew )GILLIGAN JACK 123 3.50 1.91  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 5 11 1111½ 1111¼   8 3 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.50 26% 2.80 3.72 S
RICHIES GREAT GIRL 8 4 6 7   7 412 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 123 8.00 11% 7.80 7.87  
13  HABOBANERO 11 8 3 33   3 512 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00 52.81  
MADRILENA (ARG) 6 5 8 6   6 614 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 10.44  
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 1 7 5 5   9 714½ (decker anna)MARCANO Y 113 30.00 81.33  
MADEMOISELLE NOVA 4 6 7 9   5 814¾ (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00 7% 14.20 13.51  
10  LAUGH AND PLAY 9 1 4 22   43 915¾ (maker m)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 34% 2.00 4.39  
MS TEMPTATION 2 10 108 10   10 1016½ (brownfield c)RAMOS D 123 15.00 12.37  
12  MIMAJOON 10 2 2nk 4   11 1123 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 30.00 46.49  
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY               (reed r)FELIX E 123 10.00    
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH               (thomas mark)MCKEE J 123 30.00    
 
TP-6   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:12 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINE KNOLL 5 3 11 11 1nk 1 1 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 8.52  
HAZEL RAH 3 6 7 5 5 43 2 (guida ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 30.00 58.64  
BE HERE 2 2 65 75 7 7 3 (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 1.97 S
KOUFAX 1 1 4 43 42 3 4 (foley greg)RAMOS D 124 6.00 7.55  
BULLSEYE BUN 7 4 31 32 2nk 2 5 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 30.00 29.20  
SHORTLIST 4 7 5 6 63 5 6 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 7.18  
WAR CAMPAIGN 6 5 21 21 3½ 6 7 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 15% 5.60 1.07  
SCR  BOHEMIAN BOY               (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  BUCK MOON               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
 
TP-7   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMPAGE 8 5 94 7   4 1¼ (matthews ran)RAMOS D 123 8.00 12.55  
ARMY SCOUT 7 12 118 105   5 2¼ (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 6.08  
ALFIE SOLOMONS 3 6 1 11   1 3 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 18% 4.70 7.10 S
11  MARKET DEVELOPMENT 11 2 3 21   2 44 (edwards w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 6.00 10% 8.60 2.14  
12  STRETCH RUNNER 12 3 6 6   8 5 (shetron)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 8.08  
10  AMANI'S KITTEN 10 1 10 115   10 65 (castillo ri)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 30.00 34.52  
TOPPING 4 7 2 31   3 75 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00 12.60  
THIS ILL DEFEND 6 10 129 1210   12 8 (wells david)MOJICA O 123 15.00 10% 9.10 24.58  
REMEMBER THE MAINE 5 9 8 8   7 9 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 13% 6.70 5.86  
HEAVENLY TRIP 9 4 42 4   95 10 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 9.85  
RAF 1 8 5 5   6 11 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 20.00 20.35  
FEELING IT 2 11 7 9   11 12 (sherman justin)FELIX E 123 20.00 48.87  
SCR  APACHE               (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 8.00    
SCR  GOOD ON YA               (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 1.60 22% 3.60    
 
TP-8   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WEST WARPATH 9 4 4 2½   1nk 1hd (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 123 1.20 47% 1.10 0.63 W
ENGLISH TIDE 7 1 3½ 1½   2nk 2hd (hester )DE CRUZ 123 4.00 11% 7.90 4.35 P
10  SARGEANT BARGER 8 2 8 53   3 3.15 (danner d)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 7.41  
FARZIN 6 7 10 10   4 4 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 20.00 63.58  
12  Z U AT THE RACES 10 3 9 9   6 513½ (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00 11.36  
KICK IT CHARLIE 5 5 5 7   7 616 (raines lindsey )MOJICA JR 123 50.00 53.58  
CHIEF HOWCOME 1 8 1nk 3½   5 717¼ (delong ben)HALDAR J 123 6.00 13.35  
MISTER MAN 3 9 6 66   810¼ 818¾ (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 12.00 28.55  
TOHUI 2 6 2nk 4   912¾ 926½ (jurado luis)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 6% 14.70 17.93  
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY 4 10 7 8   1015¼ 1034 (alamo miguel)MARCANO Y 113 50.00 44.64  
SCR  RED MULE               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  SPEED BOAT               (hugo l)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
SCR  THING               (howard d)MCKEE J 123 20.00    
SCR  TRIKITRAKI               (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.