Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (5/2/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/10)-(5/2/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/10)-(5/2/7/10)-(5/2/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/10)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/10)-(5/7)-(10/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-2   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/2/10)-(5/7/2/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(10/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(10/1)-(6/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-3   WIN (10/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/1)-(10/1/7/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/1)-(10/1/7/2/8)-(10/1/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/1)-(6/8/3)-(10/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-4   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/10)-(6/8/3/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(10/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(10/5/9/4)-(7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-5   WIN (10/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/4)-(10/5/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/4)-(10/5/9/4/7)-(10/5/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/9/4)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/4)-(7)-(3/5/11/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-6   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(3/5/11/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7)-(3/5/11/6)-(11/8/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/5/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/11/6)-(3/5/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/11/6)-(3/5/11/6)-(3/5/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/11/6)-(11/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/8/2)-(11/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/8/2)-(11/8/2)-(11/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAUNTER         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HUSH HUSH Jul30 Jun24 May04 Mar19 Jan06 (williamson bri)MILLER CHASE 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  C C'S WORLD Jun12 May10 Apr18     (gon)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 15.00    
4  BASILICA D ORO Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 Oct21 Sep29 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 30.00    
5  LADY LIVERMORE Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 May24   (pitts helen)MOJICA JR 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  FUN N TEARS Mar04 Feb11 Jan27     (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00    
7  FINAL SURGE Jul05         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  LA CUERVA Feb11 Aug26       (oviedo jose)MARCANO Y 115 30.00    
SCR  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Feb11 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 (mcbride barb)RAMOS D 125 5.00    
10  MISS SOVELIA Mar04 Feb08 Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 (edgell )DE CRUZ 125 3.50 13% 6.80    
11  MAYA'S WISH Aug21 Jul03       (delacruz me)PETERSON FERRIN 125 20.00    
 
TP-2   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAILLE Mar02 Feb11 Jun18 May15 Apr02 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00    
2  HE'S A ANGEL Jan11 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 (macias ad)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 20.00 ★    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK Oct05 Jul11 Jun05 Apr28   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 125 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  BOCO Feb10 Jan11 Dec28 Oct29 Sep18 (hamilton tr)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00    
5  OFF THE CUFF Feb10 Jan11 Nov11 Feb16   (maker m)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  MY BOY IZZY         (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
7  KINISON Feb10 Jan04 Nov22     (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 125 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 Jan05 Dec09 (curtsinger )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
9  MANCHESTER Mar02 Feb16 Jan26     (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00    
10  FLUTE MASTER Feb16 Jan25 Nov27 Sep05 Aug10 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
 
TP-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED WARNING Jan21 Dec16 Nov18     (stidham m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50 35% 1.80    
2  RIVER BOY Jan29 Dec19 Nov25 Oct23 Oct05 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 ★    
3  NIKOLAS ARTHUR Feb10 Jan08 Nov09     (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  LIFE AND LIGHT Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 Dec11 Oct27 (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
5  FRADY Feb24 Feb15 Jan19 Dec02 Oct18 (adams nancy)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
SCR  FASTBYTE Mar04 Dec02 Oct29 Aug18 Jul24 (leit)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00    
7  SATURN BOY Feb11 Jan21 Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00 ★    
8  OCEAN POINTE Feb03 Jan01 Dec11 Sep30 Sep08 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  FAST GAL Jan25 Jan05 Jul17     (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 115 30.00    
10  HURRY HURRY Feb17         (sims ma)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
11  HILL OF TARA Feb02 Jan15 Nov27 Oct28 Aug06 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
12  PIGALLE Feb16 Jan18       (dru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 117 10.00    
 
TP-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS MASQUERADE May27 Apr28 Mar24 Feb16 Jan23 (minnock wayn)MARCANO Y 113 20.00    
2  SURE ENOUGH Dec11 Nov11 Oct21 Sep02 Aug14 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 12.00    
3  SPARE A DIME Feb22 Jan12 Dec16 Nov09 Oct11 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 15.00 5% 18.00    
4  BOLD AND BOSSY Feb22 Sep13 Aug08 Jul05   (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF CHILL Feb22 Jan11 Dec29 Nov11 Sep30 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 117 20.00    
6  BLEST LIFE Mar09 Feb08 Jun21 May23 May04 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  WORLD UNITE Feb23 Jan23 Dec31 Nov15 Nov01 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 117 2.50 ★    
8  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Feb22 Jan20 Dec21 Nov27 Oct28 (cristel)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 25% 2.90    
9  MRS. K Feb01 Jan12 Dec01 Oct03 Sep12 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 15.00    
10  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Feb23 Dec30 Nov11 Oct13   (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00 ★    
11  DALTON'S LOVE Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 Nov10 Sep13 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 123 15.00    
 
TP-5   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Aug09 Jul18 Jun08 May20 May04 (decker anna)MARCANO Y 113 30.00    
2  MS TEMPTATION Jan25 Dec21 Dec01 Oct25 Oct03 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 123 15.00    
3  YOUR SO SILLEA Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Nov21 Oct15 (sims matthew )GILLIGAN JACK 123 3.50    
4  MADEMOISELLE NOVA Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Jun11 May14 (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 123 30.00 7% 14.20    
5  MY KENTUCKY GIRL Jan04 Nov21 Oct29 Sep04 Jul23 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY Jan12 Nov30 Oct17 Aug08 May30 (reed r)FELIX E 123 10.00    
7  MADRILENA (ARG) Nov17 Sep13 Jul09     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 ★    
8  CURRENT CLIMATE Jan25 Jan12 Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
9  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Feb18 Jan12 Dec09 Oct16 Sep21 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
10  LAUGH AND PLAY Feb18 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 Oct19 (maker m)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH Dec15 Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 123 30.00    
12  MIMAJOON Feb16 Jan09 Dec01 Jan08   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 30.00    
13  HABOBANERO Feb08 Jan20 Oct07 Sep24 Sep08 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
 
TP-6   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUCK MOON Jun10 May13 Apr13 Mar26 Feb26 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
2  KOUFAX Jan28 Dec21 Oct02 Aug22 Jul15 (foley greg)RAMOS D 124 6.00 ★    
3  BE HERE Feb04 Jan07 Dec01 Oct23 Oct07 (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 ★    
4  HAZEL RAH Feb25 Dec16 Nov27 Oct19 Oct05 (guida ant)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
5  SHORTLIST Dec15 Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
6  PINE KNOLL Jan27 Jan07 May21 Apr20 Mar19 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00    
7  WAR CAMPAIGN Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 Aug20 Jul04 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
8  BULLSEYE BUN Feb22 Jan21 Dec28 Dec01 Nov18 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 30.00    
SCR  BOHEMIAN BOY Jan01 Dec03 Oct30 Sep18 Aug14 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 5.00 ★    
 
TP-7   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAF Jan18 Dec21 Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 20.00    
2  FEELING IT Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Oct13 Oct05 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 123 20.00    
3  ALFIE SOLOMONS Feb02 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 Oct07 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  TOPPING Feb17 Nov30 Nov21 Oct05 Sep27 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00    
5  REMEMBER THE MAINE Feb17 Feb02 Jan11 Nov26 Nov13 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 13% 6.70    
6  THIS ILL DEFEND Jan18 Jan07 Dec19 Dec12 Nov22 (wells david)MOJICA O 123 15.00 10% 9.10    
7  ARMY SCOUT Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50    
8  RAMPAGE Feb17 Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
9  HEAVENLY TRIP Dec17 Oct11 Sep21 Aug19 Jul29 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
10  AMANI'S KITTEN Feb17 Jan11 Sep23 Sep09 Aug10 (castillo ri)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 30.00    
11  MARKET DEVELOPMENT Jan18 Dec21 Sep30 Sep13 Aug31 (edwards w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
12  STRETCH RUNNER Feb02 Jan11 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (shetron)DE CRUZ 123 5.00    
SCR  APACHE Feb15 Jan04 Dec12 Nov21 May11 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 8.00    
SCR  GOOD ON YA Feb08 Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Nov09 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 1.60 22% 3.60    
 
TP-8   03/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF HOWCOME Feb16 Jan05 Dec07 Nov09 Sep30 (delong ben)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
2  TOHUI Feb23 Jan01       (jurado luis)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  THING Feb23 Feb02 Dec01 Nov14 Oct31 (howard d)MCKEE J 123 20.00    
4  MISTER MAN Jan06 Dec08 Nov22 Oct31 Sep13 (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 12.00    
5  CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Feb07 Jan28 Sep28 Sep12 Aug03 (alamo miguel)MARCANO Y 113 50.00    
6  KICK IT CHARLIE Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 (raines lindsey )MOJICA JR 123 50.00    
7  FARZIN Jan14 Dec07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep13 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 20.00    
8  ENGLISH TIDE Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Jun29 (hester )DE CRUZ 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  SPEED BOAT Feb23 Dec14 Nov25 Nov03 Oct06 (hugo l)RAMOS D 123 8.00 ★    
10  SARGEANT BARGER Feb23 Feb09 Jan06 Dec28 Dec07 (danner d)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
11  WEST WARPATH Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Nov17 Oct14 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 123 1.20 47% 1.10    
12  Z U AT THE RACES Oct05 Sep02 Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00    
SCR  TRIKITRAKI Feb04 Jan07 Nov25 Sep02 May27 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00    
SCR  RED MULE Mar15 Feb16 Dec22 Dec01 Oct13 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.