Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (11/6/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $8.44 $8.44  
TP-2   Win (9/5/4/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $47.34  
TP-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $32.52  
TP-4   Win (10/4/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.74  
TP-5   Win (5/2/3/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.12 $4.12  
TP-6   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.08 $4.08  
TP-7   Win (2/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.52 $5.52  
TP-8   Win (11/13/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $22.76  

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134 1:27   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ELLIE DELI 10 7 6 5 2nk 13 12 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50 26% 2.80 3.22 W
HEBRIDES 5 5 9 1011½ 7 56 22 (sherman al)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 18% 4.70 9.32 P
GAMBI 7 9 1010¼ 910½ 6 45 3 (alessi james)HESS SARA 110 15.00 56.19  
10  TWELVE SHARP 9 6 5 4 4 23 46 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 3.07  
PRICELESS PICTURE 4 4 3 24 32 34 511½ (anderson su)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00 51.61  
DARTIGA 1 2 4 66 10 710 612¼ (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 10.00 14.97  
CONNELMAURA 2 1 12 14 1nk 6 718½ (blair jordan)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.70 1.76  
CINNAMON DULCE 6 10 7 8 86 811½ 818½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 11% 7.90 23.60  
BASEBALL PEGGE 8 8 8 7 5 911½ 921¼ (langemeier )BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.57  
RAG TOWN 3 3 22 35 96 1016½ 1048¾ (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 12.91  
SCR  ALI BALI B               (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
 
TP-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P K WOOD 7 8 7 6   31 1¼ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00 22.67  
UNCAPTURED DREAM 4 6 5 31   21 2¼ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 125 6.00 20% 3.90 12.87 P
TIMEHASCOME 8 2 1½ 1nk   11 3¾ (vanden brittany)MOJICA O 125 2.50 27% 2.70 1.50 S
12  CHANNEL Z 10 4 42 5   4 4 (wisner tracey )RAMOS D 125 20.00 55.61  
CHOWMEIN 5 7 6 8   6 52 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 14.21  
THE BOATMAN 2 10 10 9   8 64 (anderson )DE CRUZ 125 5.00 11% 7.80 5.51  
FLAGSTONE 1 11 1111 117   9 75 (shetron ph)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 16.34  
11  HENDRIX 9 1 2½ 4   5 8 (grubbs jami)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 12.00 6.53  
SOUTHERN SENSE 3 9 85 7   7 9 (gowan william)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 5.00 15% 5.80 4.59  
13  WICKED LOLLIPOP 11 5 9 10   10 107 (reed r)FELIX E 125 12.00 6% 16.50 24.83  
CRACK THE MOON 6 3 3½ 2nk   11 1113¼ (davis josep)BERMUDEZ E 118 12.00 17.53  
SCR  DREAMFACTOR               (stinson w)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
SCR  RURAL               (preston randy)ORM CORY 125 15.00    
 
TP-3   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 2 8 8 6   3½ 1nk (bahen)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 12.00 15.26  
MAQAMAT 7 2 4 3½   1½ 2nk (cano muno)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 7.17 P
LAST ROO 1 6 2nk 2nk   2½ 3 (sims matt)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 5% 19.00 6.41 S
GOLDEN SURVIVOR 4 4 3.2 1nk   41 4 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.60 64% 0.60 0.57  
OVER PROTECTIVE 5 3 72 4   52 5 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 15.71  
CONTRACTOR BILL 6 1 5 7   6 68 (kelley a)LEBRON VICTOR 124 12.00 9.58  
MONKEY ZONE 8 7 6 5   7 7 (curtsinger ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00 31.13  
CONGRATS FOR GLORY 3 5 1nk 8   8 819 (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 12.41  
SCR  MASTER LEA               (bahena ismael)MOJICA JR 124 10.00    
SCR  SHERLOCKED               (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 124 8.00    
 
TP-4   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOTYLE 8 5 1½ 1   1 1¼ (devau)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 3.87  
WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 8 6 3   2 2¼ (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 6.48  
11  THETEASERGOTLOOSE 11 4 107 9   6 3 (short thoma)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 15% 5.50 9.98 S
10  HOLD MY CROWN 10 3 5 6   43 44 (walden william)HEARD TYLER 120 4.00 32% 2.20 1.53  
12  THREE SPORT COATS 12 1 7 5   5 54 (hancock john )PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00 16.72  
CINDERELLA STORY 4 10 9 8   7 65 (paquette raymond)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50 23% 3.30 14.01  
MIDNIGHT FAVORITE 2 7 2½ 2   3 7 (cowans will)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 15.85  
TEXAS PRINCESS 6 11 1110½ 11   9 8 (cristel m)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 20.13  
STELLAR LEGACY 7 6 3 4   8 9 (delong ben)HALDAR J 120 6.00 8% 11.50 16.05  
HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP 5 9 8 10   10 1020¾ (hale jr)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 60.58  
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX 9 2 4 7   11 1121¼ (jarvis kat)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 17.50  
WANNAGOCAMPING 1 12 12100 12100   12100 12100 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00 32.37  
 
TP-5   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY COOL 2 2 11 11 11 12 15 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.06 W
SUN DADDY 4 5 6 5 4 5 25 (greenhill jef)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 31% 2.20 2.84 P
WIND TWIST 3 3 86 9 9 7 3 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00 14% 6.00 8.74 S
13  CLEAR FOR ACTION 9 8 21 21 21 43 47 (fletc)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 6% 14.70 7.58  
STORM RISK 6 6 4 43 6 33 5 (short w)MOJICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00 43.03  
NORDIC LIGHT 5 4 3 32 31 22 68 (cano munoz)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 14.23  
BLUEMOON JUSTICE 7 10 10 85 7 6 7 (paquette raymond)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00 10.75  
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 1 1 5 74 8 8 8 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA JR 120 10.00 26.33  
STEWARDS RULES 8 7 7 6 5 9 910¼ (holden jay )BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00 34.69  
14  HERE COMES TREY 10 9 9 10 10 10 1013¼ (fontenot dawn)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00 90.03  
SCR  HIGH POWERED               (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  MASON A. P.               (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN               (norris mike)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  THE BOSS FACTOR               (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
 
TP-6   03/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE GIANT LEAP 1 7 4¾ 42   2 1¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 115 1.60 39% 1.60 1.04 W
GRIMES 2 5 1nk 11   1 2¼ (maker j)OUZTS W 120 10.00 12% 7.30 9.79 P
DRAMA CRITIC 3 8 8 8   44 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 4.13 S
DON'T LET ME DOWN 8 1 7 5   33 4 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 8.20  
BOLD BLUE 5 4 5 7   6 511 (west w)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00 55.25  
AMANWALKSINTOABAR 6 2 6 21   5 612¼ (stidham m)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 27% 2.70 3.00  
MISLEAD 4 6 3½ 6   79 716¾ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 15.00 35.40  
PLATINUM GHOST 7 3 2nk 32   811 825¼ (hansen scott)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 29.48  
 
TP-7   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:123 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE UP 3 2 31 3 11 1 1 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 27% 2.80 1.76 W
11  TRICK HAT 11 9 9 9 7 2 2 (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 10.69  
10  LEGERITY 10 8 11 11 10 5 3 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 7.53 S
PASSO A FRENTE 7 6 7 7 63 35 4 (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 15.00 21.89  
WICKED INTENT 6 11 10 10 9 9 5 (caramori caio)SANJUR SANTO 124 5.00 10% 9.50 6.23  
YA BEAUTY (GB) 2 10 8 8 8 7 69 (reed r)FELIX E 124 3.50 32% 2.10 3.12  
KICK OUT THE JAMS 1 1 5 53 4 45 710¼ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 122 10.00 10.81  
FONSSAGRIVES 4 3 21 21 32 8 811¼ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 15.00 7% 12.80 26.79  
SAVE THE FLAG 9 7 6 6 53 10 914¾ (fernandez edward)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00 48.72  
O'BABE 8 5 11 11 21 66 1015¼ (greenhill)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 14.84  
LILLY CHROME 5 4 4 43 1118¼ 1119¼ 1135¼ (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 117 20.00 51.93  
 
TP-8   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE IT TO KITTEN 5 1 42 5 63 2 1¾ (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 10.38  
T J MUNNINGS 7 5 31 2nk 1½ 1 2¾ (bogle fergus)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 8% 10.80 5.72 P
JUANITA'S EXPRESS 1 3 10 11 10 84 3 (deegan c)LEZCANO ABEL 124 12.00 4.00  
ENGLISH CLASSIC 4 10 11 105 7 7 4 (wong jonath)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 9% 10.30 9.06 DH
BLACKSMITH STRONG 8 6 6 6 4 3 4 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 20.00 63.54 DH
JIMMY DAN 3 2 7 9 8 6 6 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.77  
READY PURSUIT 2 12 128 126 11 9 7 (antonuik jerr)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00 21.37  
SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) 6 4 5 4 3 4 8 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 124 3.50 5.81  
11  PANORAMA TRUCK 10 7 21 31 2½ 5 98 (d'angelo )DE CRUZ 124 3.00 44% 1.30 3.12  
10  NOMADIC FIGHTER 9 11 95 8 9 10 1011½ (delacruz j)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 9.56  
12  ZIPPER ZAPPER 11 8 11 1nk 5 11 1114 (colebrook ben)MCENTEE GRACE 124 20.00 45.34  
13  RED MULE 12 9 84 7 12 12 1216¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 12% 7.50 12.14  
SCR  ROUND OF APPLAUSE               (girten tim)RAMOS D 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.