Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (11/2/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/6/7/9)-(11/2/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/6/7/9)-(11/2/6/7/9)-(11/2/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/6/7/9)-(9/5/4/3/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/2/6/7/9)-(9/5/4/3/13)-(5/1/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-2   WIN (9/5/4/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/3/13)-(9/5/4/3/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/3/13)-(9/5/4/3/13)-(9/5/4/3/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/4/3/13)-(5/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/3/13)-(5/1/6)-(10/4/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(10/4/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(10/4/11/7)-(5/2/3/13/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (10/4/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/11/7)-(10/4/11/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/11/7)-(10/4/11/7/2)-(10/4/11/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/11/7)-(5/2/3/13/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/11/7)-(5/2/3/13/7)-(1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (5/2/3/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/13/7)-(5/2/3/13/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/13/7)-(5/2/3/13/7)-(5/2/3/13/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/3/13/7)-(1/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/13/7)-(1/6/2)-(2/3/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/8/3)-(1/6/2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(2/3/6/4)-(11/13/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (2/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4/10)-(2/3/6/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/6/4)-(11/13/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/13/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/13/4/8/3)-(11/13/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/13/4/8/3)-(11/13/4/8/3)-(11/13/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARTIGA Feb08 Dec11       (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 10.00    
2  CONNELMAURA Feb15 Jan05 Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 (blair jordan)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
3  RAG TOWN Nov11 Oct11       (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
SCR  ALI BALI B Jan26 Jan11       (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
5  PRICELESS PICTURE Jan01 Dec11 Oct10 Sep21   (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00    
6  HEBRIDES         (sherman )RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 18% 4.70    
7  CINNAMON DULCE         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
8  GAMBI Feb15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov06 Oct11 (alessi james)HESS SARA 110 15.00    
9  BASEBALL PEGGE         (langemeie)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWELVE SHARP Feb08 Jan05 Nov10 Oct01   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50    
11  ELLIE DELI Jan13 Dec29 Dec07 Oct06 Sep14 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
TP-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAMFACTOR Feb02 Jan13 Jul30 Jul16   (stinson)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
2  FLAGSTONE Feb09 Jan20 Jan01 Dec22 Oct26 (shetron )RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
3  THE BOATMAN Feb17 Jan19       (anderson l)FELIX E 125 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  SOUTHERN SENSE Feb04 Jan01 Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 (gowan willia)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  UNCAPTURED DREAM Feb26 Mar26 Mar05 Feb18   (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 125 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  CHOWMEIN Feb22 Feb03 Jan20     (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
7  CRACK THE MOON Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec09 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 118 12.00    
8  P K WOOD Jan26 Dec30 Oct31 Aug21   (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00    
9  TIMEHASCOME Feb22 Jan12 Nov19 May07 Mar05 (vanden britta)MOJICA O 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  RURAL Feb22 Jan19 Dec29 Nov30   (preston randy)ORM CORY 125 15.00    
11  HENDRIX Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 12.00    
12  CHANNEL Z Sep23         (wisner trace)RAMOS D 125 20.00    
13  WICKED LOLLIPOP         (reed r)FELIX E 125 12.00 6% 16.50    
 
TP-3   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ROO Feb22 Jan28 May13 Apr08 Mar16 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Feb11 Feb04 Dec31 Nov06 Oct11 (bah)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 12.00    
3  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Feb22 Feb03 Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  SHERLOCKED Feb22 Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 124 8.00    
5  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Feb18 Jan19 Dec31 Dec07 Oct17 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
6  OVER PROTECTIVE Feb11 Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 Dec28 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONTRACTOR BILL Jan07 Dec17 Nov03 Oct06 Aug22 (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 124 12.00    
8  MAQAMAT Feb18 Feb11 Jan28 Jan19 Jan04 (cano mu)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 ★    
9  MONKEY ZONE Mar04 Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 Jul05 (curtsinger )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00    
SCR  MASTER LEA Feb18 Feb03 Jan12 Dec17 Oct26 (bahena ismael)MOJICA JR 124 10.00 ★    
 
TP-4   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WANNAGOCAMPING         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
2  MIDNIGHT FAVORITE Feb09         (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 ★    
3  WITCH OF NOVEMBER         (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
4  CINDERELLA STORY Feb08 Jan01 Dec15     (paquette raymo)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
5  HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP         (hale ron )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
6  TEXAS PRINCESS         (cristel)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
7  STELLAR LEGACY Feb15 Feb01       (delong ben)HALDAR J 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
8  KOTYLE Feb15         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
9  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Feb15         (jarvis k)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
10  HOLD MY CROWN Sep05 Aug28       (walden william)HEARD TYLER 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
11  THETEASERGOTLOOSE Feb09         (short tho)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
12  THREE SPORT COATS Feb23 Feb09 Jan05 Nov20 Jul31 (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00    
 
TP-5   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Feb03 Dec14 Nov20 Nov13 Oct22 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
2  KENTUCKY COOL Feb22 Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  WIND TWIST Feb01 Dec15 Sep22 Sep13 Aug25 (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  THE BOSS FACTOR Feb23 Feb03 Jan04 Nov13 Oct30 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
5  SUN DADDY Feb23 Feb01 Dec16 Oct18 Oct03 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  NORDIC LIGHT Feb11 Jan05 Dec09 Oct19 Aug30 (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
7  STORM RISK Dec28 Nov28 Nov08 Oct26 Sep30 (short w)MOJICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Feb23 Jan30 Jan11 Nov21 Nov02 (paquette raymo)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
9  STEWARDS RULES Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 Nov09 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
SCR  HIGH POWERED Feb22 Feb04 Oct11 Sep16 Aug26 (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  MR. PETERKIN Feb04 Jul07 Jun23 Mar13 Feb20 (norris mike)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  MASON A. P. Dec29 Nov30 Nov12 Oct27 Oct05 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
13  CLEAR FOR ACTION Mar04 Dec03 Oct12 Aug02 Apr01 (fle)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 6% 14.70    
14  HERE COMES TREY Feb10 Jan27 Dec15 Oct24 Oct13 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
 
TP-6   03/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE GIANT LEAP Oct28         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 1.60 39% 1.60    
2  GRIMES Feb17 Nov23 Nov09 Oct14   (maker j)OUZTS W 120 10.00 12% 7.30    
3  DRAMA CRITIC Feb24 Sep14 Aug27 Jul30   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 ★    
4  MISLEAD Dec29         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 15.00    
5  BOLD BLUE Feb04         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
6  AMANWALKSINTOABAR Feb04 Jan07 Dec26 Nov27 Oct13 (stidham)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  PLATINUM GHOST         (hansen scott)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
8  DON'T LET ME DOWN Feb04 Dec29 Dec01 Nov06 Oct13 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
 
TP-7   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK OUT THE JAMS Feb15 Jan05 Dec08 Oct13 Sep29 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
2  YA BEAUTY (GB) Dec04 Oct27 Aug20 Apr21 Mar19 (reed r)FELIX E 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  BE UP Feb02 Jan13 Oct13     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
4  FONSSAGRIVES Oct13 Aug16 Jun29 May18 Mar24 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 15.00 7% 12.80    
5  LILLY CHROME Jan02 Nov27 Nov14 Nov01 Sep19 (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 117 20.00    
6  WICKED INTENT Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 Oct24 Aug25 (caramori caio)SANJUR SANTO 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
7  PASSO A FRENTE Dec06 Oct18 Aug28 Jul19 Jun13 (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 15.00    
8  O'BABE Jan14 Dec14       (greenhi)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
9  SAVE THE FLAG Feb23 Dec15 Dec01 Nov22 Oct22 (fernandez edwa)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00    
10  LEGERITY Feb18 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Oct21 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 ★    
11  TRICK HAT Feb04 Jan14 Dec28 Sep30 Sep16 (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
 
TP-8   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Feb09 Jan14 Dec08 Nov19 Mar04 (deegan joseph )LEZCANO ABEL 124 12.00    
2  READY PURSUIT Feb25 Feb02 Jan07 Dec22 Dec08 (antonuik je)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
3  JIMMY DAN Feb25 Dec30 Sep01 Aug06 Jul18 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ENGLISH CLASSIC Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec02 Oct03 (wong jona)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Feb22 Jan28 Jan12 Dec09 Oct19 (girten tim)RAMOS D 124 12.00    
6  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Feb25 Feb09 Jan19 Dec30 Jul20 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00    
7  SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Feb09 Jan19 Dec08 Nov09 Jun15 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50    
8  T J MUNNINGS Feb25 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 (bogle ferg)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
9  BLACKSMITH STRONG Feb22 Jan21 Jun17 May21 May12 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 20.00    
10  NOMADIC FIGHTER Feb25 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 (delacruz mejia)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
11  PANORAMA TRUCK Feb25 Jan06 Dec01 Jun30 Apr24 (d'angel)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
12  ZIPPER ZAPPER Feb25 Nov19 Oct12 Sep22 Sep09 (colebrook ben)MCENTEE GRACE 124 20.00    
13  RED MULE Feb16 Dec22 Dec01 Oct13 Sep18 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.