The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - January 30, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MVR-1   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:231 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHEN IN ROME 4 2 11½ 12½   14 16 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.10 W
2  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 2 5 54 54½   44¼ 26 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 26% 2.90 3.60 P
3  BUILT LIKE TARZAN 3 6 65½ 65½   66¾ 38¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 36.20  
7  COPPER HARBOR 7 4 78 78   710¼ 49¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 ★ 1.20  
1  OLD MAN MAC 1 7 21½ 43½   24 510 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
5  ROGERS GINGER 5 1 31½ 22½   34 613¼ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 34% 2.00 2.90  
6  GANSITO 6 3 43 33½   54¼ 714¼ (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 5.00 30.60  
 
MVR-2   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:252 :50 1:161 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRESCIENCE 5 3 55 65 4¼ 1½ 13¾ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 10.00  
6  TURN TO ME SUCREE 6 5 32 3½ 2nk 2½ 23¾ (west m)PEREZ E 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.10 P
2  NO SNIVELING 2 4 11 2nk 3.2 32 34¼ (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 7% 12.60 5.10 S
1  PRANCIPANTS 1 7 65½ 53 5¾ 43½ 44½ (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 6.10  
7  GALILEO'S AFFAIR 7 1 42½ 41½ 61¼ 63¾ 54¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 13% 6.70 5.40  
3  KEYPIT 3 2 21 1nk 1nk 53½ 66¾ (pappada julie )AYALA J 124 8.00 8% 12.10 10.30  
4  FLECK 4 6 711½ 712 78¼ 79¾ 79½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 5.00 8.00  
 
MVR-3   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:491 1:143 1:274   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  INHERENT POWERS 6 4 2nk 21½ 2nk 1nk 11 (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 34% 1.90 6.40 W
6  PATIO PARTY 5 3 1nk 11½ 1nk 2nk 21 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★ 4.50 P
4  SCORSESE 4 7 41¼ 53¼ 31½ 32½ 34½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 9% 10.40 5.50 S
2  WISE KHOZAN 2 2 73¼ 74¼ 44 42¾ 45 (brown glenroy)PEREZ E 124 15.00 7.00  
8  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 7 6 3.2 31½ 54¼ 57¼ 515½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 5.40  
3  FIGHTVILLE 3 5 63¼ 43 64¾ 68¼ 620½ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 4.50  
1  SEMINOLE JUSTICE 1 1 52¼ 63¼ 79¼ 722¼ 746¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.30  
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-4   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:232 :48 1:011     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOPS PETUNIA 2 3 11½ 12   14 1½ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 8% 11.50 3.50 W
5  IRON WILMA 4 5 41¾ 32   24 2½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 4.00 16% 5.20 3.00 P
1A  MARIMBA 7 7 63¼ 52¾   44¼ 33½ (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 14% 6.30 7.10  
7  IRON BERTIE 6 2 21½ 42¼   34 45¼ (fiesman rob)CORREA L 121 5.00 6% 15.30 4.80  
4  STRAIGHT TO GO 3 4 85¾ 65¼   65¼ 56¼ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 9.90  
2  FRANCIA (PER) 1 6 51¾ 22   54¼ 68½ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00 14.70  
9  KILLOEAN ROSE 10 1 74¼ 97¾   915¼ 716½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 29.60  
8  WINEDOWN 8 10 97¼ 75¾   711¼ 817¼ (west m)PEREZ E 126 6.00 31% 2.30 3.70  
2B  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT 9 8 31½ 85¾   813¼ 925 (pizzurro joseph)DIAZ R 126 20.00 14.70  
6  TEST YOUR FAITH 5 9 1011¼ 1019¾   1033¼ 1064¼ (campbell antho)KEISER CHELSEY 126 10.00 14.90  
SCR  SOULSTONE               (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:221 :464       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KAPHAVATA 8 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 11¼ (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 4.50 ★ 1.50  
2  THE COACHMAN 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 21¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 43% 1.30 3.70 P
4  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 2 9 52 31½   31½ 32½ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 15% 5.70 2.50 S
5  THE EQUINEST 3 4 31½ 41¾   43 42¾ (brown gle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 33.00  
7  SUNNY BEAST 6 2 95¾ 86¼   76¼ 54½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 11.10  
8  COAL TOWN ROAD 7 5 42 53¾   64¾ 65¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.20  
1  SOUPER PRONTO 5 6 72¾ 63¾   54½ 78½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 4.50 1.50  
6  BAHAMIAN BEAT 4 8 85¾ 96¾   87¾ 89¼ (londono odi)CORREA L 124 20.00 7% 14.00 60.30  
9  FARMHAND 9 7 62½ 74¼   98¾ 912½ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 16.50  
SCR  BAYOU SHACK               (zook w)BRACHO A 126 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-6   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:244 :483 1:151 1:292   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWIFT RITHMS 2 3 25 27 23½ 2nk 11¼ (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 2.70  
6  MON PARADIS 6 6 711½ 611½ 57 32½ 21¼ (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 41% 1.40 3.50 P
8  LADY MECHANIC 8 4 15 17 13½ 1nk 31½ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 7.60  
1  CAIRO SUMMER 1 8 47½ 49½ 46 42¾ 42¾ (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 16% 5.30 2.00  
7  PRINCESS MORO 7 5 610 510½ 79¼ 77¼ 56½ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.30 5.00  
3  TICKLISH 4 1 58½ 711½ 69 65¾ 68 (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 19.20  
9  WICKED VALENTINE 9 9 917½ 916 810¼ 89¼ 79½ (mcdonald willia)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.70  
1A  BEING CREATIVE 3 7 37 39 36 55¼ 811 (sanchez osc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 2.00  
4  PEACH BELLINI 5 2 813 814 910¾ 910¼ 917½ (norris stephan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 20.20  
SCR  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN               (childers vance)DIAZ R 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
 
MVR-7   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REINVESTEDINTEREST 1 4 1nk 1½   2nk 12¼ (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 3.00 18% 4.50 1.20 W
7  HIP HIP HOORAY 5 3 32½ 2½   1nk 22¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.80 P
5  BLOOD MOON 3 6 46½ 46½   45 38 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 15.00  
4  DOCTOR WU 2 7 611 67½   56½ 48 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 11.90 9.80  
6  CHACO SPIRIT 4 2 57½ 57   68½ 510 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00  
9  RUN BUBBA RUN 7 5 711¼ 79   710½ 612 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18.60  
8  MUTINY 6 1 2nk 3½   34½ 719 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 8.00 12.10  
SCR  BULLION               (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  WAR NOVEL               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:25 :483 1:133 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COME SEE ABOUT IT 5 3 11½ 11 12 14½ 110¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 1.60 W
7  BLUEMOON JUSTICE 7 2 54 75 98¼ 99½ 210¾ (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 22.60  
9  THRU THE VINE 9 1 64¼ 53 65 67¾ 311 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 ★ 4.80 S
3  RAISON KARTER 3 7 44 31½ 32 24½ 411 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 4.50 23% 3.40 3.00  
1  ACROSS THE AISLE 1 9 75¾ 64 54½ 46½ 511¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00 25.20  
2  TRIGZ TOO 2 4 21½ 21 22 34½ 612½ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 ★ 6.00  
4  BOURBON WISDOM 4 8 87¼ 95½ 75¼ 56¾ 714½ (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
8  ROYAL DRAGOON 8 6 97¾ 85 86¼ 77¾ 815 (urieta joha)CORREA L 126 8.00 21.10  
6  MY REDEMPTION 6 5 33½ 42 43½ 88 916 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 13.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.