Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - January 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
MVR-2   Win (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $22.00  
MVR-3   Win (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 6.80
MVR-4   Win (8/5/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.00 $9.00  
MVR-5   Win (2/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.00  
MVR-6   Win (6/1/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $7.40  
MVR-7   Win (6/7/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
MVR-8   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN IN ROME 4 2 1 1   14 16 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.10 W
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 2 5 54 5   4 26 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 26% 2.90 3.60 P
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 3 6 6 6   6 3 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 36.20  
COPPER HARBOR 7 4 78 78   710¼ 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 1.20  
OLD MAN MAC 1 7 2 4   24 510 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
ROGERS GINGER 5 1 3 2   34 613¼ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 34% 2.00 2.90  
GANSITO 6 3 43 3   5 714¼ (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 5.00 30.60  
 
MVR-2   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:161 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESCIENCE 5 3 55 65 4¼ 1½ 1 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 10.00  
TURN TO ME SUCREE 6 5 32 3½ 2nk 2½ 2 (west m)PEREZ E 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.10 P
NO SNIVELING 2 4 11 2nk 3.2 32 3 (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 7% 12.60 5.10 S
PRANCIPANTS 1 7 6 53 5¾ 4 4 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 6.10  
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 7 1 4 4 6 6 5 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 13% 6.70 5.40  
KEYPIT 3 2 21 1nk 1nk 5 6 (pappada julie )AYALA J 124 8.00 8% 12.10 10.30  
FLECK 4 6 711½ 712 7 7 7 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 5.00 8.00  
 
MVR-3   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:491 1:143 1:274   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INHERENT POWERS 6 4 2nk 2 2nk 1nk 11 (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 34% 1.90 6.40 W
PATIO PARTY 5 3 1nk 1 1nk 2nk 21 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 4.50 P
SCORSESE 4 7 4 5 3 3 3 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 9% 10.40 5.50 S
WISE KHOZAN 2 2 7 7 44 4 45 (brown glenroy)PEREZ E 124 15.00 7.00  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 7 6 3.2 3 5 5 515½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 5.40  
FIGHTVILLE 3 5 6 43 6 6 620½ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 4.50  
SEMINOLE JUSTICE 1 1 5 6 7 722¼ 746¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.30  
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-4   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:011     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPS PETUNIA 2 3 1 12   14 1½ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 8% 11.50 3.50 W
IRON WILMA 4 5 4 32   24 2½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 4.00 16% 5.20 3.00 P
1A  MARIMBA 7 7 6 5   4 3 (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 14% 6.30 7.10  
IRON BERTIE 6 2 2 4   34 4 (fiesman rob)CORREA L 121 5.00 6% 15.30 4.80  
STRAIGHT TO GO 3 4 8 6   6 5 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 9.90  
FRANCIA (PER) 1 6 5 22   5 6 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00 14.70  
KILLOEAN ROSE 10 1 7 9   915¼ 716½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 29.60  
WINEDOWN 8 10 9 7   711¼ 817¼ (west m)PEREZ E 126 6.00 31% 2.30 3.70  
2B  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT 9 8 3 8   813¼ 925 (pizzurro joseph)DIAZ R 126 20.00 14.70  
TEST YOUR FAITH 5 9 1011¼ 1019¾   1033¼ 1064¼ (campbell antho)KEISER CHELSEY 126 10.00 14.90  
SCR  SOULSTONE               (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00    
 
MVR-5   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:221 :464       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KAPHAVATA 8 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 4.50 1.50  
THE COACHMAN 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 43% 1.30 3.70 P
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 2 9 52 3   3 3 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 15% 5.70 2.50 S
THE EQUINEST 3 4 3 4   43 4 (brown gle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 33.00  
SUNNY BEAST 6 2 9 8   7 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 11.10  
COAL TOWN ROAD 7 5 42 5   6 6 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.20  
SOUPER PRONTO 5 6 7 6   5 7 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 4.50 1.50  
BAHAMIAN BEAT 4 8 8 9   8 8 (londono odi)CORREA L 124 20.00 7% 14.00 60.30  
FARMHAND 9 7 6 7   9 912½ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 16.50  
SCR  BAYOU SHACK               (zook w)BRACHO A 126 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-6   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:151 1:292   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT RITHMS 2 3 25 27 2 2nk 1 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 2.70  
MON PARADIS 6 6 711½ 611½ 57 3 2 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 41% 1.40 3.50 P
LADY MECHANIC 8 4 15 17 1 1nk 3 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 7.60  
CAIRO SUMMER 1 8 4 4 46 4 4 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 16% 5.30 2.00  
PRINCESS MORO 7 5 610 510½ 7 7 5 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.30 5.00  
TICKLISH 4 1 5 711½ 69 6 68 (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 19.20  
WICKED VALENTINE 9 9 917½ 916 810¼ 8 7 (mcdonald willia)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.70  
1A  BEING CREATIVE 3 7 37 39 36 5 811 (sanchez osc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 2.00  
PEACH BELLINI 5 2 813 814 910¾ 910¼ 917½ (norris stephan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 20.20  
SCR  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN               (childers vance)DIAZ R 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
 
MVR-7   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINVESTEDINTEREST 1 4 1nk 1½   2nk 1 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 3.00 18% 4.50 1.20 W
HIP HIP HOORAY 5 3 3 2½   1nk 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.80 P
BLOOD MOON 3 6 4 4   45 38 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 15.00  
DOCTOR WU 2 7 611 6   5 48 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 11.90 9.80  
CHACO SPIRIT 4 2 5 57   6 510 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00  
RUN BUBBA RUN 7 5 711¼ 79   710½ 612 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18.60  
MUTINY 6 1 2nk 3½   3 719 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 8.00 12.10  
SCR  BULLION               (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  WAR NOVEL               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:133 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME SEE ABOUT IT 5 3 1 11 12 1 110¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 1.60 W
BLUEMOON JUSTICE 7 2 54 75 9 9 210¾ (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 22.60  
THRU THE VINE 9 1 6 53 65 6 311 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 4.80 S
RAISON KARTER 3 7 44 3 32 2 411 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 4.50 23% 3.40 3.00  
ACROSS THE AISLE 1 9 7 64 5 4 511¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00 25.20  
TRIGZ TOO 2 4 2 21 22 3 612½ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 6.00  
BOURBON WISDOM 4 8 8 9 7 5 714½ (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
ROYAL DRAGOON 8 6 9 85 8 7 815 (urieta joha)CORREA L 126 8.00 21.10  
MY REDEMPTION 6 5 3 42 4 88 916 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 13.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.