Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - January 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-2   Win (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-3   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-4   Win (8/5/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-5   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-6   Win (6/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-7   Win (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-8   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD MAN MAC Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov22 Nov06 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jan12 Dec19 Nov17 Nov02 Oct10 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
BUILT LIKE TARZAN Jan12 Dec06 Nov23 Nov08 Oct27 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
WHEN IN ROME Jan23 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct03 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
ROGERS GINGER Jan02 Dec06 Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
GANSITO Jan11         (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 5.00    
COPPER HARBOR Jan12 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep09 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
 
MVR-2   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCIPANTS Jan10 Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 Nov26 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
NO SNIVELING Jan04 Oct11 Sep16 Sep01 Jul13 (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 7% 12.60    
KEYPIT Dec29 Dec07 Oct24 Oct06 Sep22 (pappada julie )AYALA J 124 8.00 8% 12.10    
FLECK Jan10 Dec22 Dec05 Oct17 Sep12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 5.00    
PRESCIENCE Dec29 Dec15 Nov15 Oct29 Oct12 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
TURN TO ME SUCREE Jan10 Dec22 Nov14 Oct03 Sep20 (west m)PEREZ E 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
GALILEO'S AFFAIR Jan10 Dec22 Dec05 Nov22 Oct31 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-3   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEMINOLE JUSTICE Jan18 Jan03 Dec15 Oct26 Oct13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
WISE KHOZAN Jan03 Nov14 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 (brown glenroy)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
FIGHTVILLE Jan07 Oct10 Sep21 Sep13 Aug25 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00    
SCORSESE Dec27 Dec15 Nov19 Oct24 Aug31 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL Jan03 Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 May24 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
PATIO PARTY Jan11 Dec20 Dec03 Nov14 Oct24 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
INHERENT POWERS Jan05 Dec22 Oct24 Sep08 Aug12 (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-4   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MARIMBA Jan12 Dec28 Nov16 Nov04 Oct18 (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SOULSTONE Jan09 Dec15 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00    
FRANCIA (PER) Jan09 Jul27 Jun18     (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
2B  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT Dec15 Nov28 Aug30 Aug01   (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
HOPS PETUNIA Jan09 Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 Nov16 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 8% 11.50    
STRAIGHT TO GO Nov09 Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
IRON WILMA Jan09 Dec28 Dec21 Nov23 Nov09 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 4.00 16% 5.20    
TEST YOUR FAITH Dec21 Dec05 Nov28 Nov16 Nov02 (campbell antho)KEISER CHELSEY 126 10.00    
IRON BERTIE Jan12 Dec11 Nov25 Oct29 Oct15 (fiesman l)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 6% 15.30    
WINEDOWN Aug06 Jun26 Feb16     (west m)PEREZ E 126 6.00 31% 2.30    
KILLOEAN ROSE Jul11 Jun29 Jun01     (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER PRONTO Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 Nov17 Oct24 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 4.50    
1A  KAPHAVATA Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 Oct26 Oct04 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 4.50    
THE COACHMAN Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Aug20 Jul15 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  BAYOU SHACK Jan16 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct08 (zook w)BRACHO A 126 3.00 11% 7.90    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Nov30 Nov17 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
THE EQUINEST Dec20 Dec13 Nov17 Sep11 Aug22 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
BAHAMIAN BEAT Jan02 Dec06 Oct12 Oct05 Sep20 (londono odi)CORREA L 124 20.00 7% 14.00    
SUNNY BEAST Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 Sep26 Sep08 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
COAL TOWN ROAD Jan12 Dec30 Dec16 Nov20 Oct23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
FARMHAND Nov14 Oct27 Oct11 Aug08 Jul25 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO SUMMER Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 Nov27 Nov18 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
1A  BEING CREATIVE Jan18 Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 Nov06 (sanchez oscar)PAUCAR E 124 3.50    
SWIFT RITHMS Jan05 Nov30 Oct12 Sep15 Aug29 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
TICKLISH Jan18 Dec12 Dec07 Nov23 Nov13 (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
PEACH BELLINI Jan03 Dec05 Nov28 Nov01 Oct11 (norris stephan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
SCR  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 (childers vance)DIAZ R 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
MON PARADIS Jan18 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Nov02 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 41% 1.40    
PRINCESS MORO Jan03 Dec15 Dec05 Nov15 Oct11 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
LADY MECHANIC Jan03 Dec11 Nov09 Nov01 Oct09 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
WICKED VALENTINE Jan18 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Nov02 (mcdonald willia)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BULLION Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 6% 17.20    
REINVESTEDINTEREST Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 Sep15 Aug16 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  WAR NOVEL Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
DOCTOR WU Jan16 Dec13 Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 11.90    
BLOOD MOON Jan10 Dec27 Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
CHACO SPIRIT Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct03 Aug31 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
HIP HIP HOORAY Jan11 Dec29 Nov29 Oct29 Jun03 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
MUTINY Jan11 Dec20 Nov29 Nov07 Oct14 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
RUN BUBBA RUN Dec27 Dec01 Aug24 Jun29 Apr09 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACROSS THE AISLE Jan02 Dec11 Nov14 Nov02 Oct25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
TRIGZ TOO Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 Oct24 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00    
RAISON KARTER Jan18 Dec28 Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
BOURBON WISDOM Jan10 Dec20 Dec03 Aug14 Jul23 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
COME SEE ABOUT IT Dec05 Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 Jul22 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
MY REDEMPTION Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 Oct30 Oct03 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
BLUEMOON JUSTICE Jan11 Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
ROYAL DRAGOON Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 Nov03 Oct27 (urieta joha)CORREA L 126 8.00    
THRU THE VINE Jan09 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Oct31 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.