Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $7.20 $3.20 80%
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00  4-6 $19.20 $3.20 20%
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.60 $9.60 120%
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-5 $70.20 $38.20 119%
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-5-1 $30.80 $6.80 28%
    SFT (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-5-1-6 $23.60 $14.00 146%
    DD (2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-3 $55.00 $15.00 38%
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00  4-7-3 $50.80 $30.80 154%
MVR-4   DD (1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-5 $55.20 $15.20 38%
    PK3 (2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00  7-3-5 $68.30 $18.30 37%
MVR-5   PK3 (1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1)-(2/5/4/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-5-5 $54.90 $14.90 37%
    PK5 (6/4)-(2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1)-(2/5/4/10) 800 $0.50 $400  4-7-3-5-5 $865.80 $465.80 116%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:254 1:174 1:454     1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOT AS BLUE BLAZES 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3.2 1¾ (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 12% 7.30 2.60 W
  (by NYQUIST out of MIRACLE HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  DONNARUMMA 5 3 31½ 41¼ 3.2 2nk 2¾ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 52% 0.90 1.50 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
3  ASHWICKEN 2 5 64 52¾ 41¼ 1nk 32¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 ★ 1.60 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
5  LITTLE FOUR 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 41¾ 48½ (fiesman r)CORREA L 126 20.00 24.80  
  (by FORTY TALES out of CLEVER ME by CLEVER TRICK)
1  IMA SURE BET 1 4 42 3.2 53¾ 56¾ 515 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 14.40  
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
7  ICY RAIN 6 6 54 65¾ 610¾ 624¾ 638½ (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 126 12.00 ★ 15.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  GRAY FROST               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 1.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED out of SPLENDID SOUND by TRIPPI)
 
MVR-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE 7 1 13 13   13 14 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 11% 8.40 0.90 W
2  I MATTER 2 7 77¾ 49   34 24 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 126 3.00 35% 1.90 5.60 P
4  IRON BERTIE 4 2 23 23   23 37¼ (fiesman l)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 14% 6.10 5.50 S
5  MARIMBA 5 4 33½ 34½   46½ 411¾ (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 13% 6.70 3.90  
3  DANCING FOR MONEY 3 5 44½ 59   512½ 517¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 8.70  
6  PACKIN 6 3 67½ 711¼   718½ 621¾ (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
1  SPYENTIST 1 6 57½ 611   617½ 722¼ (pappada a)DIAZ R 118 10.00 16.00  
 
MVR-3   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:152 1:442   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROAD TEST 2 6 24½ 23 1½ 1nk 1¼ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 19% 4.30 7.80 W
5  PETTIGO GIRL 4 5 48 45½ 31 2nk 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 ★ 1.70 P
1  GOOD ALTERNATIVE 7 7 714½ 812¾ 66 54¼ 35¾ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 30% 2.30 2.20 S
1A  GOLDEN TEMPLE 8 8 814½ 711¾ 43½ 44 48¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 2.20  
6  WOLF EYES 5 4 611½ 56½ 53½ 64¾ 511¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 9% 10.10 12.60  
4  FASHION FRAME 3 2 14½ 13 2½ 33 615½ (galloway )CORREA L 124 4.50 16% 5.10 3.20  
7  MANHATTAN LADY 6 3 510½ 611½ 811½ 712¾ 719½ (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 36.10  
2  NINJA KITTEN 1 1 35 35½ 79 813¾ 821½ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 9.60  
 
MVR-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:014     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SMOOCHER 5 7 69½ 46¼   31 16½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 31% 2.20 2.80 W
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of KISSY SUZUKI by SUMMER BIRD)
3  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 3 5 710½ 711½   59½ 26½ (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 17.20  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
2  OHIO RIVER 2 3 1½ 1nk   11 38¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 2.00 12% 7.10 5.70 S
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
4  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 4 2 2½ 2nk   21 48¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 11% 8.00 1.40  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
6  JOHN'S WILD RIVER 6 4 3½ 3.2   42½ 514½ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 3.00 18% 4.60 4.10  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MARCASITE by WILD ZONE)
1  WHY KENNY WHY 1 6 56½ 611¼   614½ 625¾ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 7% 12.90 6.20  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  NEW YORK MIRACLE 7 1 45½ 511¼   717½ 736½ (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 122 15.00 43.20  
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of NEW YORK GEM by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
MVR-5   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:153 1:294   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 4 2 3½ 3.2 1nk 12½ 11¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00 W
9  RED HEAD KID 8 3 2nk 2nk 35 34 21¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 8.40  
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 9 54 4¼ 2nk 22½ 34¾ (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 116 4.50 47% 1.10 1.50 S
4  TWINSPIREDJOEY 3 4 1nk 1nk 47 46 47½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 16.20 5.80  
8  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 1 815½ 810¼ 511 512 59¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 10.30  
3  MUCH TIMES TWO 2 6 43½ 53¼ 713½ 615 619 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 ★ 10.30  
6  JUST INSPIRED 5 8 79 75¼ 612½ 720 724¼ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 53.20  
10  GOING PRIMETIME 9 5 916 911¼ 917½ 824 827½ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 17.90 34.40  
7  SWEET JILL'S JACK 6 7 65 64¼ 815½ 925 931½ (campbell anthony)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 43.30  
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL               (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TWICE AS SMART 6 1 2nk 2nk   11½ 12½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 3.90  
3  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 2 4 3.2 33   42½ 22½ (zook w)BRACHO A 124 4.50 19% 4.30 1.10 P
6  INGERSOLL 4 2 1nk 1nk   21½ 34 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 44% 1.30 3.40 S
5  EL SICARIO 3 3 51¼ 45   31½ 45½ (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 11% 8.00 14.10  
2  COAL TOWN ROAD 1 5 4¾ 57½   56 56 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★ 3.40  
7  GOLDEN OAK 5 6 610¼ 615½   614 612½ (fi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  SUNNY BEAST               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  THE EQUINEST               (brown glenro)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CALL PAPA 6 8 89½ 57   51¾ 1¼ (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 15.20  
9  BOURBON TEDDY 8 1 11½ 12   1nk 2¼ (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 5.30  
5  PERFECT PICTURE 4 5 21½ 22   2nk 3¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 65% 0.50 1.20 S
4  A LATE ONE 3 9 912½ 79   62¼ 4½ (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
6  BEYOND MY DREAMS 5 4 63½ 68½   41¾ 52 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 ★ 14.50  
2  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 2 7 75½ 89¼   31½ 65½ (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 34.20  
8  CUGINE 7 3 53 44½   72½ 77 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 4.50 ★ 14.30  
10  GET ALONG 9 2 42½ 34½   83½ 87½ (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 20.00 8.30  
1  BRYTON'S D J 1 6 32 912¼   928½ 935½ (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 49.30  
SCR  LILY'S TRUMPET               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR. LUCKY 7 1 3.2 11   1½ 12½ (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 ★ 5.80  
10  COPPER HARBOR 10 4 63¾ 42½   3½ 22½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 4.60  
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 6 1nk 21   2½ 34¾ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 25% 3.00 3.40 S
8  RESERVATION 8 2 75¾ 77½   44 48½ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 8.00 ★ 6.90  
9  BUILT LIKE TARZAN 9 3 53¼ 54½   66¼ 513¾ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00 19.30  
5  AWESOME BREAK 4 8 86¼ 912½   76¼ 615 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 6.00 12.10  
6  PERFECT SPLIT 6 7 4¼ 31½   54¼ 717¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 23.30  
1  BENEVOLENT AUSTIN 5 10 107¾ 1013   1014½ 823¼ (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 51% 1.00 11.90  
2  PAPER FLOWERS 1 9 97¼ 810½   88¼ 924¼ (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.50 ★ 3.00  
3  OLD MAN MAC 2 5 2nk 64½   914¼ 1030¾ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 15.00 17.00  
SCR  TACOMA AUSTIN               (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.