Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
MVR-2   Win (2/4/5/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
MVR-3   Win (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $17.60 $17.60 9.60
MVR-4   Win (5/6/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
MVR-5   Win (2/5/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
MVR-6   Win (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.80  
MVR-7   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $32.40  
MVR-8   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $13.60  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:254 1:174 1:454     1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT AS BLUE BLAZES 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3.2 1¾ (johnson jennif)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 12% 7.30 2.60 W
DONNARUMMA 5 3 3 4 3.2 2nk 2¾ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 52% 0.90 1.50 P
ASHWICKEN 2 5 64 5 4 1nk 3 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 1.60 S
LITTLE FOUR 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 4 4 (fiesman rob)CORREA L 126 20.00 24.80  
IMA SURE BET 1 4 42 3.2 5 5 515 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 14.40  
ICY RAIN 6 6 54 6 610¾ 624¾ 638½ (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 126 12.00 15.30  
SCR  GRAY FROST               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 1.00    
 
MVR-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS SOLITAIRE 7 1 13 13   13 14 (buttigie)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 11% 8.40 0.90 W
I MATTER 2 7 7 49   34 24 (gorham m)BRACHO A 126 3.00 35% 1.90 5.60 P
IRON BERTIE 4 2 23 23   23 3 (fiesman l)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 14% 6.10 5.50 S
MARIMBA 5 4 3 3   4 411¾ (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 13% 6.70 3.90  
DANCING FOR MONEY 3 5 4 59   512½ 517¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 8.70  
PACKIN 6 3 6 711¼   718½ 621¾ (norris stephan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
SPYENTIST 1 6 5 611   617½ 722¼ (pappada a)DIAZ R 118 10.00 16.00  
 
MVR-3   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:152 1:442   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TEST 2 6 2 23 1½ 1nk 1¼ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 19% 4.30 7.80 W
PETTIGO GIRL 4 5 48 4 31 2nk 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 1.70 P
GOOD ALTERNATIVE 7 7 714½ 812¾ 66 5 3 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 30% 2.30 2.20 S
1A  GOLDEN TEMPLE 8 8 814½ 711¾ 4 44 4 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 2.20  
WOLF EYES 5 4 611½ 5 5 6 511¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 9% 10.10 12.60  
FASHION FRAME 3 2 1 13 2½ 33 615½ (galloway kh)CORREA L 124 4.50 16% 5.10 3.20  
MANHATTAN LADY 6 3 510½ 611½ 811½ 712¾ 719½ (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 36.10  
NINJA KITTEN 1 1 35 3 79 813¾ 821½ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 9.60  
 
MVR-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:014     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHER 5 7 6 4   31 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 31% 2.20 2.80 W
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 3 5 710½ 711½   5 2 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 17.20  
OHIO RIVER 2 3 1½ 1nk   11 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 2.00 12% 7.10 5.70 S
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 4 2 2½ 2nk   21 4 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 11% 8.00 1.40  
JOHN'S WILD RIVER 6 4 3½ 3.2   4 514½ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 3.00 18% 4.60 4.10  
WHY KENNY WHY 1 6 5 611¼   614½ 625¾ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 7% 12.90 6.20  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 7 1 4 511¼   717½ 736½ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 122 15.00 43.20  
 
MVR-5   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:153 1:294   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVIN'S EXPRESS 4 2 3½ 3.2 1nk 1 1 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00 W
RED HEAD KID 8 3 2nk 2nk 35 34 2 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 8.40  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 9 54 4¼ 2nk 2 3 (radosevich jake)BRACHO A 116 4.50 47% 1.10 1.50 S
TWINSPIREDJOEY 3 4 1nk 1nk 47 46 4 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 16.20 5.80  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 1 815½ 810¼ 511 512 5 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 10.30  
MUCH TIMES TWO 2 6 4 5 713½ 615 619 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 10.30  
JUST INSPIRED 5 8 79 7 612½ 720 724¼ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 53.20  
10  GOING PRIMETIME 9 5 916 911¼ 917½ 824 827½ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 17.90 34.40  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 6 7 65 6 815½ 925 931½ (campbell l)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 43.30  
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL               (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE AS SMART 6 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 3.90  
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 2 4 3.2 33   4 2 (zook w)BRACHO A 124 4.50 19% 4.30 1.10 P
INGERSOLL 4 2 1nk 1nk   2 34 (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 44% 1.30 3.40 S
EL SICARIO 3 3 5 45   3 4 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 11% 8.00 14.10  
COAL TOWN ROAD 1 5 4¾ 5   56 56 (meraz an)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 3.40  
GOLDEN OAK 5 6 610¼ 615½   614 612½ (fies)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  SUNNY BEAST               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  THE EQUINEST               (brown glenroy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PAPA 6 8 8 57   5 1¼ (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 15.20  
BOURBON TEDDY 8 1 1 12   1nk 2¼ (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 5.30  
PERFECT PICTURE 4 5 2 22   2nk 3¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 65% 0.50 1.20 S
A LATE ONE 3 9 912½ 79   6 4½ (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
BEYOND MY DREAMS 5 4 6 6   4 52 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 14.50  
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 2 7 7 8   3 6 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 34.20  
CUGINE 7 3 53 4   7 77 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 4.50 14.30  
10  GET ALONG 9 2 4 3   8 8 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 20.00 8.30  
BRYTON'S D J 1 6 32 912¼   928½ 935½ (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 49.30  
SCR  LILY'S TRUMPET               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. LUCKY 7 1 3.2 11   1½ 1 (flores christi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 5.80  
10  COPPER HARBOR 10 4 6 4   3½ 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 4.60  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 3 6 1nk 21   2½ 3 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 25% 3.00 3.40 S
RESERVATION 8 2 7 7   44 4 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 8.00 6.90  
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 9 3 5 5   6 513¾ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00 19.30  
AWESOME BREAK 4 8 8 912½   7 615 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 6.00 12.10  
PERFECT SPLIT 6 7 4¼ 3   5 717¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 23.30  
BENEVOLENT AUSTIN 5 10 10 1013   1014½ 823¼ (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 51% 1.00 11.90  
PAPER FLOWERS 1 9 9 810½   8 924¼ (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.50 3.00  
OLD MAN MAC 2 5 2nk 6   914¼ 1030¾ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 15.00 17.00  
SCR  TACOMA AUSTIN               (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.