Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $7.20 $3.20 80%
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00  4-6 $19.20 $3.20 20%
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.60 $9.60 120%
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-5 $70.20 $38.20 119%
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-5-1 $30.80 $6.80 28%
    SFT (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-5-1-6 $23.60 $14.00 146%
    DD (2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-3 $55.00 $15.00 38%
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00  4-7-3 $50.80 $30.80 154%
MVR-4   DD (1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-5 $55.20 $15.20 38%
    PK3 (2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00  7-3-5 $68.30 $18.30 37%
MVR-5   PK3 (1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1)-(2/5/4/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-5-5 $54.90 $14.90 37%
    PK5 (6/4)-(2/4/5/7/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(5/6/2/4/1)-(2/5/4/10) 800 $0.50 $400  4-7-3-5-5 $865.80 $465.80 116%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT AS BLUE BLAZES   (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 12% 7.30 2.60 W
  (by NYQUIST out of MIRACLE HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DONNARUMMA   (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 52% 0.90 1.50 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
ASHWICKEN   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 1.60 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
LITTLE FOUR   (fiesman r)CORREA L 126 20.00 24.80  
  (by FORTY TALES out of CLEVER ME by CLEVER TRICK)
IMA SURE BET   (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 14.40  
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
ICY RAIN   (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 126 12.00 15.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  GRAY FROST   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 1.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SPLENDID SOUND by TRIPPI)
 
MVR-2   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS SOLITAIRE   (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 11% 8.40 0.90 W
I MATTER   (gorham robert)BRACHO A 126 3.00 35% 1.90 5.60 P
IRON BERTIE   (fiesman l)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 14% 6.10 5.50 S
MARIMBA   (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 13% 6.70 3.90  
DANCING FOR MONEY   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 8.70  
PACKIN   (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
SPYENTIST   (pappada a)DIAZ R 118 10.00 16.00  
 
MVR-3   01/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TEST   (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 19% 4.30 7.80 W
PETTIGO GIRL   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 1.70 P
GOOD ALTERNATIVE   (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 30% 2.30 2.20 S
1A  GOLDEN TEMPLE   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 2.20  
WOLF EYES   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 9% 10.10 12.60  
FASHION FRAME   (galloway )CORREA L 124 4.50 16% 5.10 3.20  
MANHATTAN LADY   (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 36.10  
NINJA KITTEN   (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 9.60  
 
MVR-4   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHER   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 31% 2.20 2.80 W
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of KISSY SUZUKI by SUMMER BIRD)
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE   (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 17.20  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
OHIO RIVER   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 2.00 12% 7.10 5.70 S
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
IPPOLITO'S WONDER   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 11% 8.00 1.40  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
JOHN'S WILD RIVER   (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 3.00 18% 4.60 4.10  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MARCASITE by WILD ZONE)
WHY KENNY WHY   (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 7% 12.90 6.20  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
NEW YORK MIRACLE   (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 122 15.00 43.20  
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of NEW YORK GEM by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
MVR-5   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVIN'S EXPRESS   (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00 W
RED HEAD KID   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 8.40  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET   (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 116 4.50 47% 1.10 1.50 S
TWINSPIREDJOEY   (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 16.20 5.80  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 10.30  
MUCH TIMES TWO   (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 10.30  
JUST INSPIRED   (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 53.20  
10  GOING PRIMETIME   (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 17.90 34.40  
SWEET JILL'S JACK   (campbell anthony)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 43.30  
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL   (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE AS SMART   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 3.90  
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT   (zook w)BRACHO A 124 4.50 19% 4.30 1.10 P
INGERSOLL   (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 44% 1.30 3.40 S
EL SICARIO   (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 11% 8.00 14.10  
COAL TOWN ROAD   (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 3.40  
GOLDEN OAK   (fi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  SUNNY BEAST   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  THE EQUINEST   (brown glenro)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PAPA   (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 15.20  
BOURBON TEDDY   (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 5.30  
PERFECT PICTURE   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 65% 0.50 1.20 S
A LATE ONE   (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
BEYOND MY DREAMS   (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 14.50  
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD   (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 34.20  
CUGINE   (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 4.50 14.30  
10  GET ALONG   (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 20.00 8.30  
BRYTON'S D J   (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 49.30  
SCR  LILY'S TRUMPET   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. LUCKY   (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 5.80  
10  COPPER HARBOR   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 4.60  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS   (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 25% 3.00 3.40 S
RESERVATION   (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 8.00 6.90  
BUILT LIKE TARZAN   (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00 19.30  
AWESOME BREAK   (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 6.00 12.10  
PERFECT SPLIT   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 23.30  
BENEVOLENT AUSTIN   (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 51% 1.00 11.90  
PAPER FLOWERS   (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.50 3.00  
OLD MAN MAC   (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 15.00 17.00  
SCR  TACOMA AUSTIN   (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.