The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
MVR-1   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:233 :48 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SERENDIPITOUS 7 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 14¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 34% 1.90 6.40 W
3  TAMMY'S TOY 3 4 63¼ 1nk   1nk 24¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.50 3.60  
2  THANKSDAD 2 7 42½ 4¾   32 35¼ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 4.10  
6  TEQUILA FLATS 6 5 52¾ 61¾   63¼ 48½ (helmbrecht r)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.10  
4  PLAYING BALL 4 3 1nk 3½   42¼ 59½ (murillo alejandro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
5  WHO CAN WIN 5 1 2nk 5¾   53¼ 613 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 ★ 15.70  
1  DAVIS HAT 1 6 79¼ 78¾   78¼ 714¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 11% 8.10 16.20  
 
MVR-2   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAYWING 4 5 1½ 1½   12 14¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 41% 1.50 0.80 W
5  WELLMAN 5 4 32 31   32 24¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★ 4.00 P
1  CENTSOFWANDER 1 6 54 53   42½ 36¼ (huffman m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 34% 2.00 7.50 S
3  CINDY'S STORM 3 3 2½ 2½   22 46¾ (ramos francisco)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 23.80  
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST 6 2 64½ 64   65 57 (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 ★ 5.00  
2  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM 2 7 42½ 42½   53 67 (pizzurro joseph)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 ★ 6.50  
7  SHARKS COVE 7 1 76 76   77 714¾ (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 124 20.00 34.90  
 
MVR-3   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:223 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RECKLESS L J 6 1 22 1½   12 13¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 21% 3.70 1.10 W
4  JOES A ROCKIN 4 6 44 31½   22 23¼ (hernandez ricardo)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 8.70  
3  CAPTAIN RILEY 3 8 99¼ 94¼   46½ 37¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 52.80  
1  C K'S LUCKY DUCK 1 11 1111¼ 116½   57 48 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 ★ 8.70  
9  THE MAN CAN 9 3 77¼ 83¼   35½ 58¾ (faulkner c)DIAZ I 126 20.00 21.40  
10  ONE CRAZY RIDE 10 4 87¾ 73¼   77½ 612½ (brown glenroy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00 45.40  
7  JUST CHESTER 7 9 64¼ 52½   67½ 715¼ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 81.10  
12  NAMBITI 11 5 54¼ 42½   88 817¼ (juarez lorenzo)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 35.20  
2  WEST LEONARD 2 10 109¾ 106¼   109¼ 918 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20  
5  CADILLAC RIDE 5 2 12 2½   98¼ 1024¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 17.00  
8  THIS MAN CAN 8 7 34 62¾   1110¾ 1125¾ (gonzalez donaciano)CORREA L 126 8.00 ★ 4.90  
SCR  HANSENATION               (juarez lorenzo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-4   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 4 2 2½ 12   13 14½ (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★ 1.00  
1  SCRATCHOFF 1 5 31½ 22   23 24½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 61% 0.60 1.60  
6  TONKAWA SPRINGS 7 4 53½ 46½   35 37¾ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 8.80  
7  WICKED CHANCE 8 1 63¾ 56½   66 410¼ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 15.00 12% 7.60 14.60  
4  MO HEAT 5 8 77¼ 66¾   45½ 510¼ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 ★ 33.20  
2  FIRST CROWNED 2 3 1½ 32½   55½ 616¾ (sanchez jimenez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★ 7.70  
5  PERJURY 6 6 87¼ 88¼   79 717¾ (cross r)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 19.80  
2B  TRAPPE THE GOLD 3 7 41½ 77¼   818 852¼ (sanchez jimenez)DIAZ R 124 5.00 7.70  
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:25 :493 1:151 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUVESAIDITALL 1 2 32½ 41½ 32½ 1½ 1hd (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 28% 2.50 2.50 W
7  PERFETTO 4 3 21½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 2hd (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 6.50  
11  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 8 89 75½ 53¼ 32 3¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 2.60  
8  TIP SHEET 5 6 54 63½ 42¾ 54 42 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70 2.40  
9  LUCKY JUNIOR 6 7 43 31 2nk 43 52¾ (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 9.00  
6  IMTHEPRINCE 3 5 77 86½ 87¾ 65½ 66 (radosevich justin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 26.20  
10  ALGORIX 7 4 64½ 52½ 74¾ 76½ 77¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.40 20.50  
5  PONT DU GARD 2 1 11½ 2nk 63¾ 88½ 817½ (walker a)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 19.10  
SCR  GAGE HAS A GRAY               (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  KITCHI               (gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  KRAMDEN               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:224 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NEBULOSA 9 1 1½ 12   13½ 14¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 21% 3.80 3.20 W
10  TURNING PAGES 10 2 43 34   45 24¾ (trevino g)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.10 P
6  MUCHO PRIMO 6 5 2½ 22   23½ 34¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 4.00 ★ 4.50 S
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 6 53 44   34 47¾ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 13.30  
4  THE PINK Z 4 4 32½ 57   57½ 58 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 13% 6.70 7.80  
8  VICTORY DIVISION 8 7 85¾ 67¼   610 69¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.50 9.90  
3  IMA BELIEVER 3 8 75½ 77¾   711 712½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 4.70  
7  DEXQUIRE 7 3 64 87¾   813 814¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 10.00 14.10  
1  ZAROSHA 1 10 96¼ 99¾   914 915 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 35.40  
5  HEIDI'S SINATRA 5 9 1010¼ 1012¼   1017 1017½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 50.50  
 
MVR-7   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:233 :471 1:131 1:413   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COSMIC TREASURE 7 2 23½ 22 21 13½ 15 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.50 46% 1.20 1.50 W
6  CHASING VINNY 5 7 35½ 34 34 35 25 (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30 P
12  GET HAMMERED 11 4 13½ 12 11 23½ 35¼ (murillo alejandro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 2.60  
1  GEH SCHNELL 1 10 810¼ 79½ 66½ 45 45¾ (manning c)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.20  
7  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 6 9 1012¾ 1013½ 710½ 56½ 510¼ (morales m)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 22.70  
2  GOTSOMEMOJO 2 11 1116¾ 1117 1115¼ 1012½ 613½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 91.80  
4  DETERMINATOR 3 3 45½ 44 56 79 714¾ (buttigieg kevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
9  AMERICAN FLEET 8 8 911¾ 911 811½ 810 815¼ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 124 20.00 43.60  
5  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 4 1 55¾ 55 44 68½ 917 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 11.00  
10  GRANDGRAN 9 5 67¾ 810½ 1012¼ 912 1020 (meyers shane)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 21% 3.80 6.50  
11  LEVANTO (ARG) 10 6 77¾ 69 911¾ 1114½ 1126¼ (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.80 28.30  
SCR  BIG FRANK               (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:243 :483 1:141 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUSHI Q 8 1 12 11½ 11 1½ 1¾ (morales m)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 5.40  
2  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 2 4 45 43 42 3½ 2¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★ 3.00 P
4  MOBIL CHIC 4 3 33 31½ 31 4¾ 31¼ (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 17% 4.80 4.20 S
9  LA ROSA 9 2 22 21½ 21 2½ 42½ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 3.60  
3  ANGEL WINGS 3 9 67½ 56 54 64¼ 54¾ (flores israel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
7  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 7 8 99½ 77¼ 67 52¼ 65 (vazquez ivan)CORREA L 124 10.00 19.60  
6  SPICE ICE 6 7 88 98¾ 78½ 76¼ 710 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 16% 5.30 4.60  
1  STATE OF GRACE 1 5 56½ 67 810 87¾ 814¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 39% 1.50 8.50  
5  OPHA MAY 5 6 77½ 88¾ 910½ 99¾ 917¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 20.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.