Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $14.80 $6.80 85%
MVR-2   TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5/6/2)-(4/1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-1 $18.60 $6.60 55%
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(4/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  7-4 $46.40 $30.40 190%
MVR-3   PK3 (7/6/1/4)-(4/1)-(11/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-4-6/11 $36.00 $24.00 200%
MVR-6   TRI (10/9/8/4)-(10/9/8/4/6)-(10/9/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-10-6 $31.60 $7.60 32%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SERENDIPITOUS 7 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 14¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 34% 1.90 6.40 W
3  TAMMY'S TOY 3 4 63¼ 1nk   1nk 24¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.50 3.60  
2  THANKSDAD 2 7 42½ 4¾   32 35¼ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 4.10  
6  TEQUILA FLATS 6 5 52¾ 61¾   63¼ 48½ (helmbrecht w)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.10  
4  PLAYING BALL 4 3 1nk 3½   42¼ 59½ (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
5  WHO CAN WIN 5 1 2nk 5¾   53¼ 613 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 ★ 15.70  
1  DAVIS HAT 1 6 79¼ 78¾   78¼ 714¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 11% 8.10 16.20  
 
MVR-2   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAYWING 4 5 1½ 1½   12 14¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 41% 1.50 0.80 W
5  WELLMAN 5 4 32 31   32 24¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★ 4.00 P
1  CENTSOFWANDER 1 6 54 53   42½ 36¼ (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 34% 2.00 7.50 S
3  CINDY'S STORM 3 3 2½ 2½   22 46¾ (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 23.80  
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST 6 2 64½ 64   65 57 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 ★ 5.00  
2  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM 2 7 42½ 42½   53 67 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 ★ 6.50  
7  SHARKS COVE 7 1 76 76   77 714¾ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 20.00 34.90  
 
MVR-3   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RECKLESS L J 6 1 22 1½   12 13¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 21% 3.70 1.10 W
4  JOES A ROCKIN 4 6 44 31½   22 23¼ (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 8.70  
3  CAPTAIN RILEY 3 8 99¼ 94¼   46½ 37¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 52.80  
1  C K'S LUCKY DUCK 1 11 1111¼ 116½   57 48 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 ★ 8.70  
9  THE MAN CAN 9 3 77¼ 83¼   35½ 58¾ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 126 20.00 21.40  
10  ONE CRAZY RIDE 10 4 87¾ 73¼   77½ 612½ (brown glenro)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00 45.40  
7  JUST CHESTER 7 9 64¼ 52½   67½ 715¼ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 81.10  
12  NAMBITI 11 5 54¼ 42½   88 817¼ (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 35.20  
2  WEST LEONARD 2 10 109¾ 106¼   109¼ 918 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20  
5  CADILLAC RIDE 5 2 12 2½   98¼ 1024¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 17.00  
8  THIS MAN CAN 8 7 34 62¾   1110¾ 1125¾ (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 8.00 ★ 4.90  
SCR  HANSENATION               (juarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-4   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 4 2 2½ 12   13 14½ (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★ 1.00  
1  SCRATCHOFF 1 5 31½ 22   23 24½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 61% 0.60 1.60  
6  TONKAWA SPRINGS 7 4 53½ 46½   35 37¾ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 8.80  
7  WICKED CHANCE 8 1 63¾ 56½   66 410¼ (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 15.00 12% 7.60 14.60  
4  MO HEAT 5 8 77¼ 66¾   45½ 510¼ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 ★ 33.20  
2  FIRST CROWNED 2 3 1½ 32½   55½ 616¾ (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★ 7.70  
5  PERJURY 6 6 87¼ 88¼   79 717¾ (cross r)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 19.80  
2B  TRAPPE THE GOLD 3 7 41½ 77¼   818 852¼ (sanchez jimenez)DIAZ R 124 5.00 7.70  
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:151 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUVESAIDITALL 1 2 32½ 41½ 32½ 1½ 1hd (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 28% 2.50 2.50 W
7  PERFETTO 4 3 21½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 2hd (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 6.50  
11  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 8 89 75½ 53¼ 32 3¼ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 2.60  
8  TIP SHEET 5 6 54 63½ 42¾ 54 42 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70 2.40  
9  LUCKY JUNIOR 6 7 43 31 2nk 43 52¾ (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 9.00  
6  IMTHEPRINCE 3 5 77 86½ 87¾ 65½ 66 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 26.20  
10  ALGORIX 7 4 64½ 52½ 74¾ 76½ 77¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.40 20.50  
5  PONT DU GARD 2 1 11½ 2nk 63¾ 88½ 817½ (walker a)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 19.10  
SCR  GAGE HAS A GRAY               (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  KITCHI               (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  KRAMDEN               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NEBULOSA 9 1 1½ 12   13½ 14¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 21% 3.80 3.20 W
10  TURNING PAGES 10 2 43 34   45 24¾ (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.10 P
6  MUCHO PRIMO 6 5 2½ 22   23½ 34¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 4.00 ★ 4.50 S
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 6 53 44   34 47¾ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 13.30  
4  THE PINK Z 4 4 32½ 57   57½ 58 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 13% 6.70 7.80  
8  VICTORY DIVISION 8 7 85¾ 67¼   610 69¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.50 9.90  
3  IMA BELIEVER 3 8 75½ 77¾   711 712½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 4.70  
7  DEXQUIRE 7 3 64 87¾   813 814¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00 14.10  
1  ZAROSHA 1 10 96¼ 99¾   914 915 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 35.40  
5  HEIDI'S SINATRA 5 9 1010¼ 1012¼   1017 1017½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 50.50  
 
MVR-7   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:131 1:413   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COSMIC TREASURE 7 2 23½ 22 21 13½ 15 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.50 46% 1.20 1.50 W
6  CHASING VINNY 5 7 35½ 34 34 35 25 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30 P
12  GET HAMMERED 11 4 13½ 12 11 23½ 35¼ (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 2.60  
1  GEH SCHNELL 1 10 810¼ 79½ 66½ 45 45¾ (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.20  
7  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 6 9 1012¾ 1013½ 710½ 56½ 510¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 22.70  
2  GOTSOMEMOJO 2 11 1116¾ 1117 1115¼ 1012½ 613½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 91.80  
4  DETERMINATOR 3 3 45½ 44 56 79 714¾ (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
9  AMERICAN FLEET 8 8 911¾ 911 811½ 810 815¼ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 20.00 43.60  
5  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 4 1 55¾ 55 44 68½ 917 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 11.00  
10  GRANDGRAN 9 5 67¾ 810½ 1012¼ 912 1020 (meyers shane)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 21% 3.80 6.50  
11  LEVANTO (ARG) 10 6 77¾ 69 911¾ 1114½ 1126¼ (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.80 28.30  
SCR  BIG FRANK               (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:141 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUSHI Q 8 1 12 11½ 11 1½ 1¾ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 5.40  
2  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 2 4 45 43 42 3½ 2¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★ 3.00 P
4  MOBIL CHIC 4 3 33 31½ 31 4¾ 31¼ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 17% 4.80 4.20 S
9  LA ROSA 9 2 22 21½ 21 2½ 42½ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 3.60  
3  ANGEL WINGS 3 9 67½ 56 54 64¼ 54¾ (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
7  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 7 8 99½ 77¼ 67 52¼ 65 (vazquez i)CORREA L 124 10.00 19.60  
6  SPICE ICE 6 7 88 98¾ 78½ 76¼ 710 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 16% 5.30 4.60  
1  STATE OF GRACE 1 5 56½ 67 810 87¾ 814¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 39% 1.50 8.50  
5  OPHA MAY 5 6 77½ 88¾ 910½ 99¾ 917¾ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 20.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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