Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $14.80 $6.80 85%
MVR-2   TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5/6/2)-(4/1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-1 $18.60 $6.60 55%
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(4/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  7-4 $46.40 $30.40 190%
MVR-3   PK3 (7/6/1/4)-(4/1)-(11/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-4-6/11 $36.00 $24.00 200%
MVR-6   TRI (10/9/8/4)-(10/9/8/4/6)-(10/9/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-10-6 $31.60 $7.60 32%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENDIPITOUS   (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 34% 1.90 6.40 W
TAMMY'S TOY   (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.50 3.60  
THANKSDAD   (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 4.10  
TEQUILA FLATS   (helmbrecht w)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.10  
PLAYING BALL   (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
WHO CAN WIN   (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 15.70  
DAVIS HAT   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 11% 8.10 16.20  
 
MVR-2   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYWING   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 41% 1.50 0.80 W
WELLMAN   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 4.00 P
CENTSOFWANDER   (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 34% 2.00 7.50 S
CINDY'S STORM   (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 23.80  
BAD LITTLE BEAST   (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5.00  
ATLANTIC FIRESTORM   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 6.50  
SHARKS COVE   (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 20.00 34.90  
 
MVR-3   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS L J   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 21% 3.70 1.10 W
JOES A ROCKIN   (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 8.70  
CAPTAIN RILEY   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 52.80  
C K'S LUCKY DUCK   (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 8.70  
THE MAN CAN   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 126 20.00 21.40  
10  ONE CRAZY RIDE   (brown glenro)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00 45.40  
JUST CHESTER   (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 81.10  
12  NAMBITI   (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 35.20  
WEST LEONARD   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20  
CADILLAC RIDE   (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 17.00  
THIS MAN CAN   (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 8.00 4.90  
SCR  HANSENATION   (juarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-4   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY   (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 1.00  
SCRATCHOFF   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 61% 0.60 1.60  
TONKAWA SPRINGS   (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 8.80  
WICKED CHANCE   (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 15.00 12% 7.60 14.60  
MO HEAT   (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 33.20  
FIRST CROWNED   (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 7.70  
PERJURY   (cross r)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 19.80  
2B  TRAPPE THE GOLD   (sanchez jimenez)DIAZ R 124 5.00 7.70  
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40    
 
MVR-5   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUVESAIDITALL   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 28% 2.50 2.50 W
PERFETTO   (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 6.50  
11  BLAME IT ON EDDIE   (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 2.60  
TIP SHEET   (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70 2.40  
LUCKY JUNIOR   (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 9.00  
IMTHEPRINCE   (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 26.20  
10  ALGORIX   (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.40 20.50  
PONT DU GARD   (walker a)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 19.10  
SCR  GAGE HAS A GRAY   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  KITCHI   (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  KRAMDEN   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 21% 3.80 3.20 W
10  TURNING PAGES   (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.10 P
MUCHO PRIMO   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 4.00 4.50 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS   (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 13.30  
THE PINK Z   (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 13% 6.70 7.80  
VICTORY DIVISION   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.50 9.90  
IMA BELIEVER   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 4.70  
DEXQUIRE   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00 14.10  
ZAROSHA   (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 35.40  
HEIDI'S SINATRA   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 50.50  
 
MVR-7   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMIC TREASURE   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.50 46% 1.20 1.50 W
CHASING VINNY   (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30 P
12  GET HAMMERED   (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 2.60  
GEH SCHNELL   (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.20  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 22.70  
GOTSOMEMOJO   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 91.80  
DETERMINATOR   (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
AMERICAN FLEET   (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 20.00 43.60  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR   (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 11.00  
10  GRANDGRAN   (meyers shane)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 21% 3.80 6.50  
11  LEVANTO (ARG)   (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.80 28.30  
SCR  BIG FRANK   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSHI Q   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 5.40  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS   (cline c)PEREZ E 124 5.00 3.00 P
MOBIL CHIC   (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 17% 4.80 4.20 S
LA ROSA   (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 3.60  
ANGEL WINGS   (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE   (vazquez i)CORREA L 124 10.00 19.60  
SPICE ICE   (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 16% 5.30 4.60  
STATE OF GRACE   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 39% 1.50 8.50  
OPHA MAY   (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 20.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.