Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/5/4)-(7/6/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/4)-(4/1)-(6/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/5/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5/6/2)-(4/1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/2)-(1/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/7)-(1/8/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(7/3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/8/10)-(10/9/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/10)-(1/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/10)-(1/8/10)-(1/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/10)-(10/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/10)-(10/9/8/4)-(8/10/11/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (10/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/8/4)-(10/9/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/8/4)-(10/9/8/4/6)-(10/9/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/8/4)-(8/10/11/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/8/4)-(8/10/11/6/4)-(1/4/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/10/11/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/11/6/4)-(8/10/11/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/11/6/4)-(8/10/11/6/4)-(8/10/11/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/11/6/4)-(1/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/2/3)-(1/4/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVIS HAT Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Oct31 Oct22 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 11% 8.10    
2  THANKSDAD Nov15 Oct22 Oct13 Sep20 Sep05 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
3  TAMMY'S TOY Nov14 Oct22 Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.50    
4  PLAYING BALL Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 Nov29 Nov09 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHO CAN WIN Dec13 Nov14 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 ★    
6  TEQUILA FLATS Dec22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug23 (helmbrecht w)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
7  SERENDIPITOUS Oct22 Sep23 Aug30     (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-2   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTSOFWANDER Aug16 Jul06 Jun16 May16 Apr28 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 34% 2.00    
2  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 May17 Apr16 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 ★    
3  CINDY'S STORM Dec31 Dec10 Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 124 6.00    
4  GRAYWING Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 Jul09 Jun05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 41% 1.50    
5  WELLMAN Dec17 Oct28 Sep13 Aug11 Jul05 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★    
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 Oct06 Sep15 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 ★    
7  SHARKS COVE Dec05 Aug16       (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C K'S LUCKY DUCK Aug25 Jul26 Jun08 May24 May02 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 ★    
2  WEST LEONARD Dec03 Oct24 Sep29 Sep15 Aug30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  CAPTAIN RILEY Nov03 Jun27 May25 Apr27 Apr06 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
4  JOES A ROCKIN Dec30 Dec12 Nov12 Nov03 Oct11 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00    
5  CADILLAC RIDE Oct27 Sep08 Aug24 Jun25 Jun08 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
6  RECKLESS L J Dec27 Oct11 Sep20 Sep02 Aug16 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  JUST CHESTER Dec12 Oct10 Sep22 Sep07   (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
8  THIS MAN CAN Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 Nov03 (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 8.00 ★    
9  THE MAN CAN Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 Oct10 Sep22 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
10  ONE CRAZY RIDE Dec30 Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 Sep27 (brown glenro)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
SCR  HANSENATION Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jul19 Jun30 (juarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
12  NAMBITI Dec30 Dec06 Nov28 Nov03 Sep26 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRATCHOFF Dec30 Nov10 Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 61% 0.60    
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER Dec22 Dec13 Nov14 Nov02 Oct27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 ★    
2  FIRST CROWNED Nov30 Nov17 Nov01 Sep20 Aug08 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
2B  TRAPPE THE GOLD Jan07 Nov27 Oct27 Oct11   (sanchez jimenez)DIAZ R 124 5.00    
3  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Jan02 Dec15 Nov17 Oct22 Oct08 (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★    
4  MO HEAT May30 Apr10 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 ★    
5  PERJURY Dec31 Dec06 Nov14 Oct28 Oct06 (cross r)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
6  TONKAWA SPRINGS Aug03 Jul05 Jun22 May30 May12 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
7  WICKED CHANCE Dec06 Jul10 Mar15     (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 15.00 12% 7.60    
 
MVR-5   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUVESAIDITALL Jan03 Nov28 Nov08 Aug31 Aug16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  KRAMDEN Jan10 Dec18 Dec02 Nov26 Nov12 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  GAGE HAS A GRAY Dec29 Dec13 Nov28 Nov08 Oct31 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  KITCHI Jan09 Dec28 Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
5  PONT DU GARD Dec07 Nov27 Sep18 Sep06 Aug07 (walker a)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00    
6  IMTHEPRINCE Dec13 Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 Oct14 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
7  PERFETTO Dec12 Nov07 Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50    
8  TIP SHEET Dec29 Dec13 Nov19 Nov07 Oct24 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
9  LUCKY JUNIOR Dec28 Dec13 Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
10  ALGORIX Dec29 Nov29 Nov07 Oct19 Oct05 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.40    
11  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Dec29 Dec21 Nov29 Nov16 Nov03 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50    
 
MVR-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAROSHA Dec14 Dec01 Nov15 Oct26 Oct14 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec29 Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 Nov12 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  IMA BELIEVER Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 Oct14 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
4  THE PINK Z Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 13% 6.70    
5  HEIDI'S SINATRA Dec14 Dec01 Nov12 Nov03 Sep21 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
6  MUCHO PRIMO Dec14 Dec06 Oct22 Oct10 Sep13 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
7  DEXQUIRE Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 Sep23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
8  VICTORY DIVISION Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 Sep22 Aug23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
9  NEBULOSA Dec22 Dec06 Oct24 Sep28 Sep01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
10  TURNING PAGES Dec14 Nov22 Oct26 Aug30 Jul28 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
MVR-7   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEH SCHNELL Dec29 Dec14 Nov19 Oct13 Oct05 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
2  GOTSOMEMOJO Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Aug08 Jul20 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
SCR  BIG FRANK Jan02 Dec03 Nov19 Oct19 Aug09 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
4  DETERMINATOR Dec29 Dec14 Nov12 Oct17 Sep27 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Dec29 Dec21 Nov15 Nov08 Oct12 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
6  CHASING VINNY Dec27 Dec15 Oct16 Oct04 Sep13 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Jan02 Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00    
8  COSMIC TREASURE Dec29 Dec03 Nov08 Oct14 Jul12 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
9  AMERICAN FLEET Dec29 Dec03 Nov04 Oct17 Oct05 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
10  GRANDGRAN Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Oct24 Sep19 (meyers shane)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
11  LEVANTO (ARG) Dec06 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Oct16 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.80    
12  GET HAMMERED Jan03 Dec14 Dec08 Oct25 Oct10 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Sep29 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
2  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Dec30 Nov12 Oct10 Sep23 Aug30 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★    
3  ANGEL WINGS Dec15 Nov16 Oct31 Jul25 Jul07 (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOBIL CHIC Dec30 Dec20 Dec03 Nov16 Oct05 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  OPHA MAY Aug30 Jul19 Jul12 Jun23 Jun02 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
6  SPICE ICE Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 Oct26 Oct04 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
7  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Dec30 Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 Aug25 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
8  SUSHI Q Jan03 Oct05 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
9  LA ROSA Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 Aug26 Jul20 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.