The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
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MVR-1   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:224 :47 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIERRA DIAMOND 3 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1hd (casalinova tina)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80 W
5  AUNT STELLA 4 2 31 31   31½ 2hd (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 15% 5.80 4.20 P
1  AVASARALA 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 32¼ (meraz antonio)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 ★ 1.50 S
3  GRAND PRIZE 2 1 43½ 42½   45 410½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 15% 5.60 2.50  
SCR  GRAY ROYALITY               (st david)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 10% 8.90    
 
MVR-2   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:231 :47 :594     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 5 1 12 14   19 14 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 ★ 10.10  
3  BOOT LEGGER 3 4 46½ 57½   510½ 24 (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 34% 1.90 2.30 P
1  THIS MAN CAN 1 5 57½ 47½   39 35½ (gonzalez donaciano)CORREA L 124 3.50 11% 8.20 1.90 S
6  OHIO CAUSE 6 2 22 24   29 47 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 3.60  
4  CANT BUY COOL 4 3 33½ 35   410 510 (johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 26% 2.80 11.80  
2  JACK BE FAST 2 6 610 67¾   612½ 613¼ (castillo jabdiel)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 ★ 4.10  
 
MVR-3   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:23 :473       1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PLAYING BALL 7 2 46¼ 24½   26 14 (murillo alejandro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 16% 5.10 5.00 W
4  PALACE TEMPTATION 4 4 26 47½   39 24 (faulkner c)TOLEDO S 118 8.00 8.50  
7  FAST AS FAST CAN B 6 1 16 14½   16 35 (guidry terrance)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 11% 7.80 1.40 S
2  OXBOW'S RIDE 2 5 36 611   613 46 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 9.60  
6  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 5 6 68¼ 58   511 57¼ (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 118 12.00 28.10  
1  WHISKEY HELPS 1 7 78¼ 37½   410½ 69 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 10% 9.40 3.90  
3  A K A FIBBER MCGEE 3 3 57¼ 713   716 710¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 8% 11.90 3.60  
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT               (erdel john)DIAZ I 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-4   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:231 :481 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY ABRIL 2 3 32½ 31½   2½ 14¼ (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 1.20 55% 0.80 1.10 W
4  SHADY BABY 4 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 24¼ (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★ 2.80 P
6  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 6 5 55½ 45   45½ 314¾ (urieta johanna)CORREA L 124 10.00 ★ 3.40 S
3  WAR MOON 3 2 1nk 2nk   35½ 415¼ (doering mark)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14.00  
5  LACY QUEEN 5 4 43½ 65¼   67½ 516¼ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 ★ 5.50  
1  ALL THE BEST 1 6 66 55¼   56 618¾ (trevino g)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 17.20 19.80  
 
MVR-5   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
:23 :473 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KISSTHECROSS 2 4 22½ 21½   31½ 1¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 68% 0.50 1.10 W
8  APPEALING SENORITA 7 8 56 42½   2nk 2¼ (gonzalez donaciano)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 9.70  
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 5 34 31½   46 32¾ (vickers t)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 58.50  
7  BAREFOOT BEACH 6 3 76½ 77¼   88 43 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.50 7% 14.20 4.20  
6  PRICEY APPEAL 5 9 916½ 910¾   77¾ 53¾ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 34.10  
10  GLIMMERGLASS 9 1 12½ 11½   1nk 64¼ (johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 ★ 3.00  
9  MILWAUKEE CAT 8 2 44½ 67   57½ 75 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 23.10  
1  EASTER PRIDE 1 7 87½ 89¼   99 87¼ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 22.60  
4  ONLY ONE BOSS LADY 3 6 66 56½   67¾ 98¼ (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★ 10.00  
SCR  SASSY POWER               (radosevich s)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:223 :463 :593     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RENO TOUCH 5 1 31½ 3.2   13 11½ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 W
1  WINE ME UP BABY 1 2 11 1nk   23 21½ (rivera nestor)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★ 2.30 P
4  TEMPLEMENT 4 5 44 55¾   411½ 36¼ (van dennis)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 43% 1.30 2.20 S
2  BAREBACK FUN 2 3 21 2nk   36 410¼ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 ★ 11.10  
3  CEVICHE 3 4 54 45¾   512½ 511¼ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 5.00 12.40  
SCR  CONTENT               (bernardini p)DIAZ I 126 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:233 :482 1:023     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PATTI LOU 1 6 66½ 47   42½ 14¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 25% 3.00 0.60 W
7  TITEBLUEJEANS 5 1 31½ 33   2½ 24¼ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 ★ 8.20 P
3  MUSIC CITY DANCER 2 4 11 13   1½ 38¾ (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 126 1.60 47% 1.10 2.30 S
8  SHANGHAI ROYALTY 6 2 43½ 57¼   57½ 49 (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.00 ★ 10.20  
6  BRICK OF HEARTS 4 3 21 23   31 512¼ (anderson l)BRACHO A 126 6.00 13.60  
4  MOTOWN HARBOR 3 5 55½ 617¼   627½ 630½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 27.30  
SCR  MARIANA               (maddox rachael)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00 ★    
SCR  OH EYE SEE               (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:01
:23 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YIPPEE KI YAY 8 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 4.00 10% 9.40 2.50 W
4  CAVALETTO 4 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¾ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 122 3.00 30% 2.40 3.40 P
9  TIER ONE 9 3 43½ 4¾   33½ 33½ (fletcher jeff)HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00 16.80  
2  SLICK EDDIE 2 6 54 66¾   510½ 46¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
10  RAY'S EMPIRE 10 8 64¼ 3½   47½ 510¾ (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★ 8.00  
3  HARSH TRUTH 3 5 813¼ 810¾   815¼ 615½ (skerrett jeffrey)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 20.70  
5  PAYMASTER GENERAL 5 9 915¼ 910¾   714¾ 721¾ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 ★ 15.50  
7  CONSTITUTION COAL 7 2 3½ 52¾   610¾ 822¼ (faulkner c)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 46.00  
1  MOONLIGHT MEISTER 1 10 1019¼ 1018¾   923¼ 936¾ (faulkner c)CORREA L 122 20.00 44.00  
6  COUNCIL OF FOUR 6 7 74¼ 79¾   1024¼ 1039 (radosevich jeff)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 7.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.