Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   WIN (5/8/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $12.00 $2.00 20%
MVR-4   DD (5/8/7/1/3)-(2/1) 10 $2.00 $20.00  8-2 $45.00 $25.00 125%
MVR-5   DD (2/1)-(3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2-3 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    PK3 (5/8/7/1/3)-(2/1)-(3/7) 20 $0.50 $10.00  8-2-3 $31.35 $21.35 214%
MVR-6   DD (3/7)-(4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3-6 $13.40 $5.40 68%
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/7)-(4/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00  2-3-6 $6.90 $2.90 73%
MVR-7   PK3 (3/7)-(4/6)-(3/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00  3-5/6-2 $6.00 $2.00 50%
MVR-8   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/10/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-4 $28.20 $4.20 18%
    DD (3/2)-(2/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-8 $15.20 $3.20 27%
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/2)-(2/4/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00  6-2-8 $9.05 $3.05 51%
    PK4 (3/7)-(4/6)-(3/2)-(2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2/3-5/6-1/2/5-8 $27.40 $15.40 128%
    PK6 (5/8/7/1/3)-(2/1)-(3/7)-(4/6)-(3/2)-(2/4/8) 240 $0.20 $48.00  8-2-2/3-5/6-1/2/5-8 $74.42 $26.42 55%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :47 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIERRA DIAMOND 3 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1hd (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80 W
AUNT STELLA 4 2 31 31   3 2hd (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 15% 5.80 4.20 P
AVASARALA 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 1.50 S
GRAND PRIZE 2 1 4 4   45 410½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 15% 5.60 2.50  
SCR  GRAY ROYALITY               (st david)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 10% 8.90    
 
MVR-2   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 5 1 12 14   19 14 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 10.10  
BOOT LEGGER 3 4 4 5   510½ 24 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 34% 1.90 2.30 P
THIS MAN CAN 1 5 5 4   39 3 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 3.50 11% 8.20 1.90 S
OHIO CAUSE 6 2 22 24   29 47 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 3.60  
CANT BUY COOL 4 3 3 35   410 510 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 26% 2.80 11.80  
JACK BE FAST 2 6 610 6   612½ 613¼ (castillo ja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 4.10  
 
MVR-3   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:23 :473       1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYING BALL 7 2 4 2   26 14 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 16% 5.10 5.00 W
PALACE TEMPTATION 4 4 26 4   39 24 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 8.00 8.50  
FAST AS FAST CAN B 6 1 16 1   16 35 (guidry terra)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 11% 7.80 1.40 S
OXBOW'S RIDE 2 5 36 611   613 46 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 9.60  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 5 6 6 58   511 5 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 118 12.00 28.10  
WHISKEY HELPS 1 7 7 3   410½ 69 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 10% 9.40 3.90  
A K A FIBBER MCGEE 3 3 5 713   716 710¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 8% 11.90 3.60  
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT               (erdel john)DIAZ I 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-4   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ABRIL 2 3 3 3   2½ 1 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 1.20 55% 0.80 1.10 W
SHADY BABY 4 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 2.80 P
BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 6 5 5 45   4 314¾ (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 10.00 3.40 S
WAR MOON 3 2 1nk 2nk   3 415¼ (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14.00  
LACY QUEEN 5 4 4 6   6 516¼ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 5.50  
ALL THE BEST 1 6 66 5   56 618¾ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 17.20 19.80  
 
MVR-5   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSTHECROSS 2 4 2 2   3 1¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 68% 0.50 1.10 W
APPEALING SENORITA 7 8 56 4   2nk 2¼ (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 9.70  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 5 34 3   46 3 (vickers r)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 58.50  
BAREFOOT BEACH 6 3 7 7   88 43 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.50 7% 14.20 4.20  
PRICEY APPEAL 5 9 916½ 910¾   7 5 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 34.10  
10  GLIMMERGLASS 9 1 1 1   1nk 6 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 3.00  
MILWAUKEE CAT 8 2 4 67   5 75 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 23.10  
EASTER PRIDE 1 7 8 8   99 8 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 22.60  
ONLY ONE BOSS LADY 3 6 66 5   6 9 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 10.00  
SCR  SASSY POWER               (radosevich ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 5 1 3 3.2   13 1 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 W
WINE ME UP BABY 1 2 11 1nk   23 2 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 2.30 P
TEMPLEMENT 4 5 44 5   411½ 3 (van den)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 43% 1.30 2.20 S
BAREBACK FUN 2 3 21 2nk   36 410¼ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 11.10  
CEVICHE 3 4 54 4   512½ 511¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 5.00 12.40  
SCR  CONTENT (IRE)               (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
 
MVR-7   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:023     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTI LOU 1 6 6 47   4 1 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 25% 3.00 0.60 W
TITEBLUEJEANS 5 1 3 33   2½ 2 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 8.20 P
MUSIC CITY DANCER 2 4 11 13   1½ 3 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 126 1.60 47% 1.10 2.30 S
SHANGHAI ROYALTY 6 2 4 5   5 49 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.00 10.20  
BRICK OF HEARTS 4 3 21 23   31 512¼ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 6.00 13.60  
MOTOWN HARBOR 3 5 5 617¼   627½ 630½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 27.30  
SCR  MARIANA (FR)               (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
SCR  OH EYE SEE               (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YIPPEE KI YAY 8 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 4.00 10% 9.40 2.50 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
CAVALETTO 4 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¾ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 3.00 30% 2.40 3.40 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
TIER ONE 9 3 4 4¾   3 3 (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00 16.80  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
SLICK EDDIE 2 6 54 6   510½ 4 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
  (by PALACE out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
10  RAY'S EMPIRE 10 8 6 3½   4 510¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 8.00  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
HARSH TRUTH 3 5 813¼ 810¾   815¼ 615½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 20.70  
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PAYMASTER GENERAL 5 9 915¼ 910¾   714¾ 721¾ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 15.50  
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
CONSTITUTION COAL 7 2 3½ 5   610¾ 822¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 46.00  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
MOONLIGHT MEISTER 1 10 1019¼ 1018¾   923¼ 936¾ (faulkner )CORREA L 122 20.00 44.00  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of MOONLIGHT SHEA by COLONEL JOHN)
COUNCIL OF FOUR 6 7 7 7   1024¼ 1039 (radosev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 7.10  
  (by MASTERY out of ENTERPRISING LADY by FIRST DUDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.