Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/4/1)-(8/7/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/2/5)-(3/4/1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(8/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(8/7/1/3)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/3)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/3)-(2/1)-(3/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/5/6/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/5/6/1/4)-(2/5/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/7)-(4/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/10/4)-(3/7/10/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(4/6)-(3/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/2)-(2/4/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/8/7)-(3/2/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/10/5)-(2/4/8/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVASARALA Dec18 Nov27 Oct23 Sep24 Jun24 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 ★    
SCR  GRAY ROYALITY Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 Sep15 (st david)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 10% 8.90    
3  GRAND PRIZE Dec19 Nov14 Sep13 Aug16 Jul17 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  SIERRA DIAMOND Dec06 Nov19 Nov09 Oct25 Oct11 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  AUNT STELLA Dec04 Nov11 Sep17 Sep02 Aug02 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-2   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS MAN CAN Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 Nov03 Oct12 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
2  JACK BE FAST Dec21 Dec06 Nov12 Oct12 Sep19 (castillo ja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 ★    
3  BOOT LEGGER Dec06 Nov12 Oct12 Sep26 Sep08 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  CANT BUY COOL Dec06 Oct22 Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul06 Jun20 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
6  OHIO CAUSE Dec06 Sep01 Aug02 Jun27 Jun02 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY HELPS Dec28 Nov10 Oct07 Aug19 Aug03 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 10% 9.40    
2  OXBOW'S RIDE Dec12 Nov29 Nov10 Oct27   (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00    
3  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Sep21 Sep07       (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
4  PALACE TEMPTATION Dec03 Sep06       (faulkner c)VELEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT Dec22 Nov29 Oct05 Sep19 Sep01 (erdel john)DIAZ I 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Dec19 Dec03       (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 118 12.00    
7  FAST AS FAST CAN B Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 Jun21 Jan25 (guidry terra)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 11% 7.80    
8  PLAYING BALL Dec22 Dec07 Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
MVR-4   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THE BEST Dec19 Aug04 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 17.20    
2  LADY ABRIL Dec27 Nov28 Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 1.20 55% 0.80    
3  WAR MOON Dec19 Dec12 Nov16 Oct24 Oct06 (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
4  SHADY BABY Dec19 Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★    
5  LACY QUEEN Nov28 Nov12 Nov03 Sep22 Sep06 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 ★    
6  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA Sep21 Aug23 Jun25 Jun03 May25 (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER PRIDE Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Oct06 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  SASSY POWER Dec07 Nov19 Oct24 Oct13 Sep27 (radosevich ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 ★    
3  KISSTHECROSS Nov19 Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 Jul26 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
4  ONLY ONE BOSS LADY Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Sep28 Aug29 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★    
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep22 Aug31 (vickers r)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00    
6  PRICEY APPEAL Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28 Aug23 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00    
7  BAREFOOT BEACH Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep27 Aug23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.50 7% 14.20    
8  APPEALING SENORITA Dec21 Dec05 Nov19 Oct25 Sep27 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
9  MILWAUKEE CAT Aug12 Jul26 Jun23 Jun02 May04 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
10  GLIMMERGLASS Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 Aug09 Jul07 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE ME UP BABY Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 Oct06 Sep08 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★    
2  BAREBACK FUN Dec08 Dec02 Nov03 Oct10 Sep20 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 ★    
3  CEVICHE Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 5.00    
4  TEMPLEMENT Nov15 Oct24 Aug15 Jul05 Jun08 (van den)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  CONTENT (IRE) Dec06 Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 3.50 ★    
6  RENO TOUCH Dec19 Nov19 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-7   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OH EYE SEE Dec19 Nov16 Jul05 Jun13   (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 15.00    
2  PATTI LOU Dec19         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  MUSIC CITY DANCER Nov23 Nov08       (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
4  MOTOWN HARBOR Dec21 Dec06 Nov16 Oct22 Oct06 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
SCR  MARIANA (FR) Dec19         (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00 ★    
6  BRICK OF HEARTS Dec06 Nov16 Jun03 May10 Apr13 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
7  TITEBLUEJEANS Dec06 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Jan19 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 ★    
8  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Sep14 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT MEISTER Dec03 Nov16 Oct12     (faulkner c)VELEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of MOONLIGHT SHEA by COLONEL JOHN)
2  SLICK EDDIE Dec19 Dec03       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by PALACE out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
3  HARSH TRUTH Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  CAVALETTO Dec03 Nov01 Oct12     (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
5  PAYMASTER GENERAL         (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
6  COUNCIL OF FOUR         (radosev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ENTERPRISING LADY by FIRST DUDE)
7  CONSTITUTION COAL Dec19 Nov01 Oct12     (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
8  YIPPEE KI YAY         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
9  TIER ONE Dec19         (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
10  RAY'S EMPIRE         (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.