Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (12/6/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $14.60 $4.60 46%
    EXA (12/6/10/2/9)-(12/6/10/2/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-12 $44.60 $4.60 12%
    DD (8/3/1/6/7)-(12/6/10/2/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00  8-10 $99.80 $49.80 100%
MVR-4   TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7)-(6/2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-7-6 $12.90 $0.90 8%
    SFT (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7)-(6/2/3/1/7)-(6/2/3/1/7) 48 $0.10 $4.80  2-7-6-1 $10.73 $5.93 124%
    DD (12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00  10-2 $25.00 $5.00 25%
    PK3 (8/3/1/6/7)-(12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00  8-10-2 $57.15 $32.15 129%
MVR-5   PK3 (12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2)-(5/1/4/2/9) 50 $0.50 $25.00  10-2-5/12 $31.50 $6.50 26%
MVR-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.80 $0.80 13%
MVR-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-4 $28.20 $4.20 18%
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/3/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-8 $34.40 $16.40 91%
    PK3 (5/1/4/2/9)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50  5/12-5-8 $54.85 $32.35 144%
MVR-8   EXA (3/6/1/2/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-6 $41.00 $1.00 3%
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/3/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50  5-8-3 $63.25 $40.75 181%
    PK4 (5/1/4/2/9)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 225 $0.50 $112  3/5/12-5-5/8-3 $219.50 $107.00 95%
    PK6 (12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2)-(5/1/4/2/9)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 2250 $0.20 $450  10-2-3/5/12-5-5/8-3 $9387 $8937 1986%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:16 1:303   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWIFT RITHMS 5 1 21 43½ 42 1½ 11½ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★ 4.70  
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 5 77¼ 79 76½ 53 21½ (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 13.70  
3  CHORIST 3 3 52¾ 32½ 21 3½ 32¼ (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 ★ 1.60 S
6  SUSPICIOUS MINDS 6 6 31 21½ 31 2½ 42¾ (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 126 3.00 18% 4.50 2.40  
4  LOVE'S TAVITO 4 2 42½ 64 54 63¼ 57¾ (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 12.00 12% 7.50 24.30  
2  HERO'S DAUGHTER 2 4 11 11½ 11 41½ 611½ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00 7.50  
7  FIONA 7 7 63¼ 53½ 65½ 75¾ 713½ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 44% 1.30 5.60  
 
MVR-2   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GAIL'S DANCER 8 1 3.2 3.2   1nk 11 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 36% 1.70 3.80 W
5  BOOGIE BOOGEE 5 2 52¾ 5¾   2nk 21 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5.70  
4  CARMEN OHIO 4 8 65¼ 63¼   42½ 31¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5.50  
3  CAT'S RHYTHM 3 5 76¾ 75¼   63¾ 44¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 18% 4.40 3.80  
6  NORTHERN JOURNEY 6 3 4¾ 4¼   52¾ 510½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 7% 13.40 4.00  
1  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 1 6 2nk 1nk   32 615¼ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 8% 11.30 3.60  
7  BAY MAGIC 7 4 1nk 2nk   75¼ 717 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 18.40 13.50  
2  BEST OF YOU 2 7 86¾ 88¼   87¼ 818 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00 35.20  
 
MVR-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AGAVE KID 10 2 21 2nk   1½ 11¾ (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 10% 9.20 6.30 W
12  OVERBEARING 11 1 32½ 43¼   31 21¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 35% 1.80 1.80 P
8  THE DRAKE 8 6 77½ 66¾   66 33¼ (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 10.40  
5  KING ANDRES 5 5 54½ 54¼   42½ 44½ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 23.20  
6  TEN TWENTY NINE 6 7 99 78¼   76 58¼ (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 19% 4.20 15.70  
4  LONTANI 4 4 11 1nk   2½ 610 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.50 2.10  
7  SELLING OUT 7 8 88 89¼   86½ 710¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 20.00 38.40  
1  YO BERBS 1 9 44½ 33   53 811¾ (brown t)BRACHO A 124 10.00 13.50  
3  CHROMIUM 3 10 1012 99¼   99½ 916½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 29.90  
9  BUCKY 9 11 1119 1116¾   1117 1021¼ (castillo jabdiel)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 5% 19.00 55.00  
2  AIRWAR 2 3 66 109¾   1013½ 1124½ (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH               (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
 
MVR-4   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:253 :50 1:154 1:302   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHLOES ANGEL 2 4 21½ 22 24 1nk 11¼ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 25% 3.00 0.80 W
7  BEAUTIFUL LASS 7 3 44 44 34½ 3.2 21¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 ★ 5.80 P
6  SEEKING THE MONEY 6 5 11½ 12 14 2nk 34 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 2.50 46% 1.20 4.80 S
1  LATE DATE 1 7 710½ 710½ 613 54¼ 46½ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★ 15.10  
3  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 3 6 55 55 49 44¼ 59¼ (skerrett )CORREA L 124 4.50 ★ 5.20  
5  GIMME CLEARANCE 5 1 32½ 33 513 610¼ 618 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 19.90  
4  SWEETER THAN HONEY 4 2 66½ 69½ 718 714¾ 727¾ (lopez a)DIAZ I 126 10.00 11.40  
 
MVR-5   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRAN MAMIBELLA 4 7 66 42½   3½ 11½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 22% 3.60 3.30 W
6  MOANA'S TALE 5 3 54½ 54½   53¼ 21½ (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 3.60  
10  FREE TO RUN 9 2 11½ 21½   4¾ 34½ (van denni)MUSARRO JOE 124 15.00 34.20  
9  MON PARADIS 8 5 109¾ 86¾   66¼ 46¼ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 10% 9.40 17.40  
8  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 7 4 33 31½   2½ 56¾ (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 30.00 7.50  
11  AWESOME WONDER 10 1 21½ 11½   1½ 66¾ (dacosta ja)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 4.00  
1  DANCE ON OVER 1 10 89½ 76¾   76¾ 714½ (green troy)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90 7.00  
7  BOUJEE KITTEN 6 6 78½ 108   88¾ 815¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 30.30  
2  LINDA LOVES LACE 2 9 99½ 97¾   99¾ 918¾ (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 11% 8.50 4.80  
4  TALK DIRTY 3 8 44 66½   109¾ 1019½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 15% 5.70 20.40  
SCR  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER               (erwin andrew)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  FIVE ROSES LUNA               (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:143 1:283   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAXIMUM IMPACT 5 5 612½ 67 41¼ 1nk 1hd (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 18% 4.70 2.40 W
1  CREDIT RIVER 1 4 2½ 22 31 42 2hd (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 17% 5.00 1.80 P
6  GRAND DEAL 6 1 510 56½ 53¼ 31½ 31½ (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 13.50  
4  SNOWSCAPE 4 3 46½ 44 2nk 2nk 42¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 3.50 39% 1.60 5.10  
3  AGNELLO'S DREAM 3 2 1½ 12 1nk 54 514½ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 118 5.00 ★ 2.30  
2  DUKE OF FENWAY 2 6 33½ 33 64¼ 68 616¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★ 22.30  
 
MVR-7   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :482 1:134 1:272   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TRIGZ TOO 7 3 12½ 14 14 14 12¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 9% 10.50 2.70 W
4  GIANT CRITIC 4 6 43 44½ 24 24 22¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 ★ 3.30 P
1  NOT YET CHARLIE 1 2 53½ 56½ 46 46 34¼ (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5.40  
6  DISTORTED LIMITS 5 5 66 610 610 56½ 49½ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 4.30  
3  JUSTIN'S QUEST 3 1 22½ 24 34½ 35 59½ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
2  MOTAGALLY 2 7 32½ 34 59½ 712½ 618½ (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 42% 1.40 3.30  
7  CANDY KINGDOM 6 4 78½ 710¼ 712½ 610½ 718¾ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 38.60  
SCR  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF               (johnson gary )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TEAM LEYENDECKER 3 5 34 32½   11 13¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 22% 3.50 3.30 W
6  JEBIP 6 7 69 53½   21 23¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 18% 4.70 3.00 P
5  RUN ROCKY 5 3 813 77¼   64¾ 37¼ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 13.10  
4  CONDEMNATION 4 8 56 42½   42½ 49½ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 3.10  
8  COWTOWN BOSS 8 1 12½ 12   31 512 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 7% 13.50 6.80  
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 22½ 22   52¾ 614 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 11% 8.50 4.20  
7  LONE BOY 7 2 45½ 88¾   813¼ 720¾ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 30.40  
1  WILLIE JONES 1 6 79½ 67   79¼ 821 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 13% 6.70 11.80  
SCR  JACKIE DANE               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.