The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 05, 2023

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MVR-1   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:253 :492 1:16 1:303   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT RITHMS 5 1 21 4 42 1½ 1(spiess m)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 4.70  
PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 5 7 79 7 53 2(flores christian)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 13.70  
CHORIST 3 3 5 3 21 3½ 3(waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 1.60 S
SUSPICIOUS MINDS 6 6 31 2 31 2½ 4(sullivan elliott)BRACHO A 126 3.00 18% 4.50 2.40  
LOVE'S TAVITO 4 2 4 64 54 65(gonzalez donaciano)CORREA L 124 12.00 12% 7.50 24.30  
HERO'S DAUGHTER 2 4 11 1 11 4611½ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00 7.50  
FIONA 7 7 6 5 6 7713½ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 44% 1.30 5.60  
 
MVR-2   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:232 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAIL'S DANCER 8 1 3.2 3.2   1nk 11 (johnson l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 36% 1.70 3.80 W
BOOGIE BOOGEE 5 2 5 5¾   2nk 21 (huffman m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5.70  
CARMEN OHIO 4 8 6 6   43(radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5.50  
CAT'S RHYTHM 3 5 7 7   64(bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 18% 4.40 3.80  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 6 3 4¾ 4¼   5510½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 7% 13.40 4.00  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 1 6 2nk 1nk   32 615¼ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 8% 11.30 3.60  
BAY MAGIC 7 4 1nk 2nk   7717 (castillo jabdiel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 18.40 13.50  
BEST OF YOU 2 7 8 8   8818 (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 124 15.00 35.20  
 
MVR-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:223 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AGAVE KID 10 2 21 2nk   1½ 1(meraz antonio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 10% 9.20 6.30 W
12  OVERBEARING 11 1 3 4   31 2(sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 35% 1.80 1.80 P
THE DRAKE 8 6 7 6   66 3(flores christian)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 10.40  
KING ANDRES 5 5 5 5   44(faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 23.20  
TEN TWENTY NINE 6 7 99 7   76 5(clouston edward)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 19% 4.20 15.70  
LONTANI 4 4 11 1nk   2½ 610 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.50 2.10  
SELLING OUT 7 8 88 8   8710¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 20.00 38.40  
YO BERBS 1 9 4 33   53 811¾ (brown t)BRACHO A 124 10.00 13.50  
CHROMIUM 3 10 1012 9   9916½ (faulkner c)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 29.90  
BUCKY 9 11 1119 1116¾   1117 1021¼ (castillo jabdiel)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 5% 19.00 55.00  
AIRWAR 2 3 66 10   1013½ 1124½ (west m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH               (clouston edward)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
 
MVR-4   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:253 :50 1:154 1:302   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHLOES ANGEL 2 4 2 22 24 1nk 1(romero oscar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 25% 3.00 0.80 W
BEAUTIFUL LASS 7 3 44 44 3 3.2 2(morales m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5.80 P
SEEKING THE MONEY 6 5 1 12 14 2nk 34 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 46% 1.20 4.80 S
LATE DATE 1 7 710½ 710½ 613 54(lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 15.10  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 3 6 55 55 49 45(skerrett jeffrey)CORREA L 124 4.50 5.20  
GIMME CLEARANCE 5 1 3 33 513 610¼ 618 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 19.90  
SWEETER THAN HONEY 4 2 6 6 718 714¾ 727¾ (lopez a)DIAZ I 126 10.00 11.40  
 
MVR-5   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN MAMIBELLA 4 7 66 4   3½ 1(szczepanski emily)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 22% 3.60 3.30 W
MOANA'S TALE 5 3 5 5   52(dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 3.60  
10  FREE TO RUN 9 2 1 2   4¾ 3(van dennis)MUSARRO JOE 124 15.00 34.20  
MON PARADIS 8 5 10 8   64(gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 10% 9.40 17.40  
CLIFTONS BALLERINA 7 4 33 3   2½ 5(crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 30.00 7.50  
11  AWESOME WONDER 10 1 2 1   1½ 6(dacosta jason)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 4.00  
DANCE ON OVER 1 10 8 7   7714½ (green troy)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90 7.00  
BOUJEE KITTEN 6 6 7 108   8815¾ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 30.30  
LINDA LOVES LACE 2 9 9 9   9918¾ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 11% 8.50 4.80  
TALK DIRTY 3 8 44 6   101019½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 15% 5.70 20.40  
SCR  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER               (erwin andrew)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  FIVE ROSES LUNA               (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:244 :482 1:143 1:283   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUM IMPACT 5 5 612½ 67 4 1nk 1hd (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 18% 4.70 2.40 W
CREDIT RIVER 1 4 2½ 22 31 42 2hd (castro a)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 17% 5.00 1.80 P
GRAND DEAL 6 1 510 5 5 33(schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 13.50  
SNOWSCAPE 4 3 4 44 2nk 2nk 4(waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 3.50 39% 1.60 5.10  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 3 2 1½ 12 1nk 54 514½ (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 118 5.00 2.30  
DUKE OF FENWAY 2 6 3 33 6 68 616¼ (atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 22.30  
 
MVR-7   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:251 :482 1:134 1:272   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGZ TOO 7 3 1 14 14 14 1(bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 9% 10.50 2.70 W
GIANT CRITIC 4 6 43 4 24 24 2(sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 3.30 P
NOT YET CHARLIE 1 2 5 5 46 46 3(cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5.40  
DISTORTED LIMITS 5 5 66 610 610 54(galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 124 10.00 4.30  
JUSTIN'S QUEST 3 1 2 24 3 35 5(johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
MOTAGALLY 2 7 3 34 5 712½ 618½ (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 42% 1.40 3.30  
CANDY KINGDOM 6 4 7 710¼ 712½ 610½ 718¾ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 38.60  
SCR  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF               (johnson l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:223 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM LEYENDECKER 3 5 34 3   11 1(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 22% 3.50 3.30 W
JEBIP 6 7 69 5   21 2(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 18% 4.70 3.00 P
RUN ROCKY 5 3 813 7   63(madrigal sr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 13.10  
CONDEMNATION 4 8 56 4   44(hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 3.10  
COWTOWN BOSS 8 1 1 12   31 512 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 7% 13.50 6.80  
GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 2 22   5614 (johnson l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 11% 8.50 4.20  
LONE BOY 7 2 4 8   813¼ 720¾ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 30.40  
WILLIE JONES 1 6 7 67   7821 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 13% 6.70 11.80  
SCR  JACKIE DANE               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.