Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/3/5)-(7/6/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(8/3/1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(8/3/1/6/7)-(12/6/10/2/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-2   WIN (8/3/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/6/7)-(8/3/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/6/7)-(8/3/1/6/7)-(8/3/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/1/6/7)-(12/6/10/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/6/7)-(12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
MVR-3   WIN (12/6/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/6/10/2/9)-(12/6/10/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/6/10/2/9)-(12/6/10/2/9)-(12/6/10/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (12/6/10/2/9)-(6/2)-(5/1/4/2/9) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7)-(6/2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/1/4/2/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/1/4/2/9)-(4/5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/1/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2/9)-(5/1/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2/9)-(5/1/4/2/9)-(5/1/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2/9)-(4/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2/9)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/3/2)-(4/5/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/3/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/6/4)-(2/3/8/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2/8)-(3/6/1/2/8)-(3/6/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER Dec14 Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
2  HERO'S DAUGHTER Dec28 Sep20 Aug17 Apr02 Feb03 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00    
3  CHORIST Dec22 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 Aug10 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 ★    
4  LOVE'S TAVITO Dec28 Dec11 Nov28 Nov22 Oct30 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
5  SWIFT RITHMS Nov30 Oct12 Sep15 Aug29 Aug16 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
6  SUSPICIOUS MINDS Dec08 Nov05 Sep05 Aug18 Jul09 (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  FIONA Dec15 Nov16 Oct17 Sep30   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
MVR-2   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Dec21 Dec05 Nov22 Nov03 Oct05 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 8% 11.30    
2  BEST OF YOU Dec21 Nov23 Nov16 Oct29 Sep22 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
3  CAT'S RHYTHM Dec21 Nov29 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
4  CARMEN OHIO Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 Aug13 Jul15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
5  BOOGIE BOOGEE Dec13 Nov23 Nov03 Oct12 Sep07 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
6  NORTHERN JOURNEY Dec21 Nov29 Nov17 Oct11 Sep07 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 7% 13.40    
7  BAY MAGIC Dec27 Dec05 Nov17 Nov01 Sep26 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 18.40    
8  GAIL'S DANCER Dec21 Dec13 Dec05 Nov23 Sep08 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 36% 1.70    
 
MVR-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO BERBS Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 Jul12 Jun27 (brown t)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
2  AIRWAR Nov30 Oct21 Sep14 Aug11 Jul29 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHROMIUM Dec12 Dec04 Oct11 Sep27 Sep01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
4  LONTANI Dec14 Nov30 Oct27 Oct11 Sep22 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 2.50    
5  KING ANDRES Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 Oct27 Sep26 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
6  TEN TWENTY NINE Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  SELLING OUT Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Oct31 Oct09 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
8  THE DRAKE Dec14 Nov15 Oct12 Sep21 Aug29 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00    
9  BUCKY Jul26 Jul11 Jun30 Jun08 May31 (castillo jabdiel)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  AGAVE KID Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct16 Oct01 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH Dec12 Nov27 Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
12  OVERBEARING Nov17 Oct04 Sep06 Aug22 Jul19 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
MVR-4   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE DATE Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 Aug31 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
2  CHLOES ANGEL Dec21 Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 Oct05 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
3  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Sep07 (skerrett )CORREA L 124 4.50 ★    
4  SWEETER THAN HONEY Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 (lopez a)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
5  GIMME CLEARANCE Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
6  SEEKING THE MONEY Dec12 Nov23 Oct25 Oct12 Sep07 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  BEAUTIFUL LASS Dec21 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE ON OVER Dec05 Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 (green troy)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
2  LINDA LOVES LACE Oct24 Oct17 Oct03 Sep27 Sep06 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  FIVE ROSES LUNA Dec20 Dec10 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
4  TALK DIRTY Aug23 Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  GRAN MAMIBELLA Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  MOANA'S TALE Dec15 Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 Aug29 (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00    
7  BOUJEE KITTEN Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 Sep13 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
8  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Dec03 Nov19 Nov03 Oct25 Sep12 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 30.00    
9  MON PARADIS Dec15 Nov30 Nov02 Oct23 Oct10 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
10  FREE TO RUN Dec12 Nov29 Nov23 Nov13 Oct11 (van denni)MUSARRO JOE 124 15.00    
11  AWESOME WONDER Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 Sep26 (dacosta ja)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
SCR  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Dec12 Nov30 Nov22 Nov08 Sep27 (erwin andrew)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREDIT RIVER Dec13 Nov04 Oct21 Jul23 May20 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 17% 5.00    
2  DUKE OF FENWAY Dec13 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★    
3  AGNELLO'S DREAM Dec22 Dec07 Oct27 Aug23 Jul14 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 118 5.00 ★    
4  SNOWSCAPE Dec20 Nov10 Aug22 Jul19 Jun08 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  MAXIMUM IMPACT Dec20 Nov25 Oct27 Oct20 Sep24 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  GRAND DEAL Dec19 Sep21 Aug16 Jul05 Jun22 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT YET CHARLIE Dec20 Dec03 Nov03 Oct14 Sep11 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
2  MOTAGALLY Dec20 Dec10 Nov16 Oct13   (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  JUSTIN'S QUEST Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Oct02 Aug30 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  GIANT CRITIC Dec15 Dec02 Nov04 Sep22 Sep05 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Dec27 Dec03 Nov12 Oct15 Sep21 (johnson gary )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
6  DISTORTED LIMITS Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 Nov02 Oct11 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
7  CANDY KINGDOM Dec20 Dec03 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00    
8  TRIGZ TOO Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 Oct24 Oct09 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 9% 10.50    
 
MVR-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIE JONES Dec06 Sep27 Sep01 Aug04 May06 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ Dec06 Nov07 Oct13 Aug25 Aug17 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
3  TEAM LEYENDECKER Dec06 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug23 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  CONDEMNATION Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Aug26 Aug09 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
5  RUN ROCKY Nov30 Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
6  JEBIP Dec21 Dec06 Nov17 Nov01 Oct13 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
7  LONE BOY Nov07 Jul04 Jun14 May26 May16 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
8  COWTOWN BOSS Dec06 Nov22 Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  JACKIE DANE Dec06 Oct31 Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.