Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   EXA (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-2 $25.52 $1.52 6%
    TRI (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/6)-(9/4/2/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  9-2-6 $48.71 $30.71 171%
TP-2   WIN (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $21.90 $13.90 174%
    EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-1 $54.02 $22.02 69%
    TRI (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/1)-(6/5/3/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-1-5 $143.35 $119.35 497%
    SFT (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/1)-(6/5/3/7/1)-(6/5/3/7/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  7-1-5-3 $85.52 $75.92 791%
    DD (9/4/2)-(6/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-7 $41.92 $29.92 249%
TP-3   DD (6/5/3/7)-(8/1/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $42.79 $22.79 114%
    PK3 (9/4/2)-(6/5/3/7)-(8/1/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-7-8 $51.67 $21.67 72%
TP-4   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $6.98 $0.98 16%
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/11/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-5 $25.28 $1.28 5%
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/11/6)-(8/7/5/11/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-5-6 $27.89 $9.89 55%
    PK3 (6/5/3/7)-(8/1/4/5/3)-(8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-8-8 $102.11 $72.11 240%
TP-6   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00  9 $38.46 $34.46 862%
TP-7   TRI (1/8/2/12)-(1/8/2/12/4)-(1/8/2/12/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-12-2 $25.72 $1.72 7%
    SFT (1/8/2/12)-(1/8/2/12/4)-(1/8/2/12/4)-(1/8/2/12/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-12-2-4 $15.42 $5.82 61%
    DD (4/9)-(1/8/2/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00  9-8 $81.40 $73.40 918%
TP-8   WIN (9/2/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    EXA (9/2/3/10)-(9/2/3/10/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-6 $41.88 $9.88 31%
    DD (1/8/2/12)-(9/2/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-2 $23.17 $7.17 45%
    PK3 (4/9)-(1/8/2/12)-(9/2/3/10) 32 $0.50 $16.00  9-8-2 $170.95 $154.95 968%
    PK3 (4/9)-(1/8/2/12)-(9/2/3/10) 32 $0.50 $16.00  9-8-3 $30.05 $14.05 88%
    PK5 (8/7/5)-(6/9/10/3)-(4/9)-(1/8/2/12)-(9/2/3/10) 384 $0.50 $192  2/8-5-9-1/7/8-2/3/9/12 $381.84 $189.84 99%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN IN THE NORTH 8 1 5 4   41 1 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 1.80 61% 0.60 0.91 W
LUCKY CAT TOO 2 8 43 3   2½ 2 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50 5% 17.50 8.20 P
MRSINATRAGLORYLADY 6 5 9 8   63 3 (mcbride barbar)SANJUR SANTO 125 10.00 19.11 S
SWIGERT 3 9 6 6   31 4 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 125 6.00 9.21  
SIMPLY COMPLICATED 4 6 2½ 2   5 5 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 3.00 8% 11.20 4.30  
FUN N TEARS 1 7 1½ 1   1½ 66 (medina tomas)MORALES JOSHUA 125 15.00 17.28  
SLENDER BETSY 7 10 75 7   7 78 (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 8.12  
10  REINA DEL BALI 9 2 8 9   87 88 (monday kevin)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 50.00 62.97  
11  LA CUERVA 10 3 10 10   9 9 (oviedo jose)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00 35.35  
LIL RED CLOUD 5 4 3 53   1010 1013½ (forston roy)HALDAR J 125 15.00 25.71  
SCR  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC               (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 118 50.00    
 
TP-2   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:252 :512 1:161 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMON PETER 7 7 6 6 6 5 1hd (bergin tom)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00 10% 8.70 9.95 W
YONO 1 1 3 5 4 32 2hd (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 2.50 1.42 P
KING SHAMAN 5 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 31 (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 22% 3.60 9.70 S
NORDIC LIGHT 3 6 7 7 7 43 4 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 19% 4.40 4.29  
JAY VEE BEE 6 5 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 5 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00 25% 3.00 3.52  
GUN RUSH 8 8 4 31 3 6 6 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 6.00 14.51  
KEEN RESPONSE 2 2 5 42 5 7 7 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 12.00 8.71  
MR. CUNNINGHAM 4 4 8 8 8 8 810½ (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 15.00 25.76  
 
TP-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LAST HAND 7 1 4 32   3 1nk (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 3.50 25% 2.90 2.45 W
ON K P 2 3 1 1   1 2nk (rednour jo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 6% 15.70 4.05 P
ARTIE'S LADY 5 2 3 2   2 3 (schwarm l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00 19.94  
SOROS 1 4 2 4   4 4 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 24% 3.10 4.20  
JUULSTONE 3 5 54 54   5 511 (maker m)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 16% 5.40 2.92  
CHASIN CHARLIE 6 7 6 610   610 611¼ (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00 45.98  
STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 4 6 734½ 755   7100 7100 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50 6% 15.10 3.80  
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY               (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 10.00    
 
TP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIDDLE 7 2 1 1 1 12 11 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 126 2.50 40% 1.50 2.49 W
  (by ASTERN out of BANJO LESSON by LANGFUHR)
PARTYLINE 4 5 8 86 5 4 21 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.50 13% 7.00 2.94 P
  (by DIALED IN out of HUMORISTIC by SEFAPIANO)
SWEETS MAKER 5 1 3 32 2 32 32 (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 126 8.00 7.12 S
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LOOKOUT SISTER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MISS HOLLY 3 4 54 54 33 22 4 (lepiane pa)CORRALES GERARDO 126 15.00 10.46  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of HASILAH by HARD SPUN)
JUNGLE CAT 6 6 43 43 43 5 5 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 126 4.50 25% 3.00 5.33  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
10  MEGAN'S NOEL 9 7 7 75 7 68 6 (dob)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 15.00 22.31  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PRACTICALY PERFECT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
11  OLIVE'S CANDY 10 10 10 108 9 7 711½ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 4.65  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
CLIMB TO GLORY 1 9 6 64 88 910¾ 816¼ (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 45.01  
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
LILY'S HOME 8 3 2 2 6 8 917 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00 39.45  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNOWDUST by THE FACTOR)
VOTARY 2 8 9 9 1011½ 1013¾ 1018¾ (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 126 30.00 25.29  
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  COLONEL GRACE               (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CINCY by QUEEN CITY LAD)
 
TP-5   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B G WARRIOR 3 6 1nk 1nk   1 1¾ (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 120 20.00 41.88  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
MURKY 7 2 3½ 2nk   2 2¾ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 18% 4.60 0.84 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of EXAGGERATED by BLAME)
10  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP 8 7 8 8   77 3 (bau)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 11% 8.00 9.14 S
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of PAY LADY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
JILL JITTERBUG 2 8 42 5   44 4 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 16.12  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
ALWAYS AT EASE 6 3 9 9   87 5 (desormeaux j)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00 25.82  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LAID BACK LADY by HOLD ME BACK)
11  T MAX 9 1 7 7   6 64 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 4.50 5.42  
  (by CONNECT out of PLEASANT DRIVE by SALEM DRIVE)
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 5 4 53 6   55 7 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 78.55  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MOON STRUCK NEMI by MALIBU MOON)
LILIESFORMILLIE 1 9 6 42   33 8 (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 10% 8.90 5.01  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TIGER CAT LILLY by TALE OF THE CAT)
STROKES (IRE) 4 5 2nk 31   910 917¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 40% 1.50 7.47  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BEST OF MY LOVE by BEST TURN)
SCR  BAYTOWN LOVELY               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of MEU AMOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SALLY'S SASSY               (wong jonathan)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SHARP SALLY by POSSE)
 
TP-6   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO BALI GO 9 1 54 5   4 11 (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 18.23 W
  (by BAL A BALI out of SALLY'S DREAM by UTOPIA (JPN))
GAMER 7 5 4 4   3 21 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00 6.74  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
KANSAS COMET 8 3 1nk 3½   21 3 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 6.00 5.66 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of EASY FEELING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
RETAINED 4 2 2nk 1nk   11 4 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 1.60 73% 0.40 0.92  
  (by BAYERN out of RARITIES by CITY ZIP)
THE THUNDERER 2 8 8 7   66 5 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 8.55  
  (by BLAME out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
BRAILLE 1 6 66 66   7 6 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00 11.26  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TEXTING by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BROKENHEARTED 5 4 31 2nk   5 711¼ (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 11.72  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of HEARTBROKEN HILL by BROKEN VOW)
AMERICAN TRIUMPH 6 9 9 8   811 814½ (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 8.00 11.25  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of YO ALI by QUIET AMERICAN)
SUMMER COUNTRY 3 7 77 9   914 918¾ (nesbitt amy)MCKEE J 125 20.00 71.33  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of WONDER COUNTRY by CAPE TOWN)
 
TP-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WADSWORTH 6 5 64 5 5 1nk 1 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 21% 3.70 1.53 W
12  SCOOBIE QUANDO 10 10 75 6 3.2 2nk 2 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 6% 16.90 5.98 P
MIRANDA RIGHTS 1 6 87 8 6 41 3 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 18% 4.40 3.17 S
CLEAR THE AIR 3 2 33 4 7 6 4 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 4.97  
FIRST STRIKE 5 9 10 10 8 7 57 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 8.61  
11  PHANTOM RIDE 9 8 9 9 9 8 6 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 17.26  
10  SATURN BOY 8 4 4 31 2nk 52 7 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 79.40  
MENDEL'S SECRET 4 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 3½ 8 (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 12.66  
HUNTERTOWN 2 7 5 7 10 10 919½ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00 98.14  
STORM DADDY 7 1 2½ 2nk 4 9 1022 (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 118 50.00 71.41  
SCR  BALLESTEROS               (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
TP-8   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:123 1:252   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN AND SEVEN 2 1 1 11 1 13 1 (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 13% 7.00 3.30 W
RAL COPPERHEADROAD 5 3 2 21 2 23 2 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 124 5.00 5.60 P
MONEY PIT 3 2 34 36 34 33 34 (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00 24.29  
OVER PROTECTIVE 7 4 44 4 4 46 410¼ (kinmon keit)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00 17.73  
MAQAMAT 4 6 7 68 57 57 510¾ (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00 3.57  
RIGHT OF RUSH 1 5 55 8 6 6 613 (brenklin )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 9.55  
13  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 10 10 9 9 89 812½ 714½ (bahena ismae)HALDAR J 124 15.00 5.97  
10  THISPOINTINTIME 8 7 6 58 7 711½ 814¾ (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 39.08  
11  DOWN TO BIZZNESS 9 9 8 7 911 914 916¼ (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 124 15.00 13.01  
FATHER PATRICK 6 8 10 1014¾ 1014½ 1015½ 1016½ (newton troy)FELIX E 124 6.00 4.48  
SCR  CHEEKERS               (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  DROP ANCHOR               (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED               (hernandez jav)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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