Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turfway Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TP-2   Win (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-3   Win (8/1/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TP-4   Win (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TP-5   Win (6/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TP-6   Win (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TP-7   Win (8/2/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TP-8   Win (2/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TP-1   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUN N TEARS Jan27         (medina tomas)MORALES JOSHUA 125 15.00    
LUCKY CAT TOO Jan27 Dec01 Oct06 Sep06   (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50 5% 17.50    
SWIGERT Dec22 Dec01 Aug31     (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 125 6.00    
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Jan27 Jul12 Jun23 May30 May12 (mullins scott )BURGOS ALBERTO 125 3.00 8% 11.20    
LIL RED CLOUD Jan13 Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 Nov03 (forston roy)HALDAR J 125 15.00    
MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 Nov10 (mcbride barbara )SANJUR SANTO 125 10.00    
SCR  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 Nov17 Nov10 (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 118 50.00    
SLENDER BETSY Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 Oct13 Sep29 (raines m)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00    
QUEEN IN THE NORTH Feb03 Jan06 Sep26 Aug18 Jul11 (girten tim)RAMOS D 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
10  REINA DEL BALI May21 May03 Mar24 Feb11   (monday kevin)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 50.00    
11  LA CUERVA Aug26         (oviedo jose)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00    
 
TP-2   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YONO Jan25 Dec29 Oct09 Sep18 Aug03 (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 2.50    
KEEN RESPONSE Dec17 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Oct22 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
NORDIC LIGHT Jan05 Dec09 Oct19 Aug30 Aug04 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
MR. CUNNINGHAM Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 Dec16 Nov03 (meredith char)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 15.00    
KING SHAMAN Jan12 Dec30 Nov19 Sep10 Aug24 (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
JAY VEE BEE Jan25 Dec30 Apr03 Mar18 Mar06 (van th)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
SIMON PETER Aug09 Jul12 May11 Mar17 Feb23 (bergin tom)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
GUN RUSH Jan28 Dec31 Dec16 Apr21 Apr02 (corrig)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 6.00    
 
TP-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOROS Dec28 Oct23 Oct14 Oct01 Aug25 (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 10.00    
ON K P Dec30 Nov25 Oct20 Oct02 Sep15 (rednour john)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 6% 15.70    
JUULSTONE Jul15 Jun16 May27 May05 Mar04 (maker mic)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Jan14 Dec17 Dec07 Oct26 Aug17 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50 6% 15.10    
ARTIE'S LADY Feb02 Jan06 Dec17 Dec03 Nov10 (schwarm lou)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
CHASIN CHARLIE Jan07 Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 Oct14 (richardson ti)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
ONE LAST HAND Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Mar12 Feb12 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
TP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIMB TO GLORY         (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
SCR  COLONEL GRACE Dec28 Oct26       (correas ignacio)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 15.00    
VOTARY Jan21 Dec22       (peach a)MOJICA JR 126 30.00    
MISS HOLLY Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Aug05   (lepiane paul)CORRALES GERARDO 126 15.00    
PARTYLINE Jan01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Sep14 (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.50 13% 7.00    
SWEETS MAKER Dec15 Nov18 Apr10 Mar12   (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 126 8.00    
JUNGLE CAT         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 126 4.50 25% 3.00    
FIDDLE Dec15 Oct28 Sep14 Aug27   (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
LILY'S HOME Jan21 Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 Oct12 (elliott michelle)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00    
10  MEGAN'S NOEL Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 Jun22 May25 (dobbs)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 15.00    
11  OLIVE'S CANDY         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00    
 
TP-5   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 7:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SALLY'S SASSY Jan16 Nov25 Oct29 Sep10 Aug25 (wong jonathan)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN LOVELY Dec31 Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00    
LILIESFORMILLIE Dec31 Dec07 Oct22     (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
JILL JITTERBUG Jan04 Oct03 Sep19     (walsh ryan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
B G WARRIOR Jan26 Dec31 Dec09 Nov15 Oct24 (kahles ronald)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
STROKES (IRE) Jan04 Oct23 Sep24 Aug20 Jul22 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Jan04 Dec09 Nov19 Oct26 Sep16 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
ALWAYS AT EASE Jan08 Nov25 Oct29 Oct08 Aug20 (desormeaux k)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
MURKY Jan26 Oct28 Sep08     (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
10  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP Jan21         (bauer)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
11  T MAX Nov26 Oct30 Sep15 Aug21   (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 4.50    
 
TP-6   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAILLE Jun18 May15 Apr02     (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00    
THE THUNDERER Dec31 Oct09 Aug21 Feb25   (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00    
SUMMER COUNTRY Dec11         (nesbitt amy)ULLOA JOAN 125 20.00    
RETAINED Jan07 Dec09 Oct14 Sep11 Aug06 (west w)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 1.60 73% 0.40    
BROKENHEARTED         (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00    
AMERICAN TRIUMPH         (devau)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 8.00    
GAMER         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
KANSAS COMET May21 Apr16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 6.00    
GO BALI GO Dec28 Oct06 Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 (nance jonathan)RAMOS D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EYE WITNESS Jan01 Sep23       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
MIRANDA RIGHTS Jan05 Dec02 Oct15 Sep03 Jul16 (casse)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
HUNTERTOWN Jan19 Nov04 Sep29 May11   (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00    
CLEAR THE AIR Jan06 Aug28       (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
MENDEL'S SECRET Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 Oct29 Sep01 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
FIRST STRIKE Dec16 Oct18       (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
SCR  BALLESTEROS Jan13 Oct18 Sep14     (delgado gustavo)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
WADSWORTH Dec31 Oct19 Sep16 Aug06   (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
STORM DADDY Dec09         (elliott mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 50.00    
10  SATURN BOY Jan21 Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct13 (davis jos)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
11  PHANTOM RIDE Jan01 Nov14 Oct18 Sep21   (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
12  SCOOBIE QUANDO Jan07         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
 
TP-8   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT OF RUSH Dec28 Dec17 Nov27 Nov02 Oct09 (brenklin em)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
SEVEN AND SEVEN Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Nov02   (galind)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  DROP ANCHOR Feb04 Jan19 Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MONEY PIT Jan21 Jan06 Nov27 Oct05 Sep12 (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00    
MAQAMAT Jan28 Jan19 Jan04 Dec21 Oct09 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00    
RAL COPPERHEADROAD Jan21 Dec07 Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 124 5.00    
FATHER PATRICK Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep27 Sep09 (newton troy)FELIX E 124 6.00    
OVER PROTECTIVE Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 Dec28 Dec02 (kinmon keith)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Feb04 Jan05 Dec22 Nov17 Sep09 (hernandez javie)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 52% 0.90    
10  THISPOINTINTIME Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 Dec02 Nov03 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 Nov03 Oct07 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 124 15.00    
SCR  CHEEKERS Dec30 Oct14 Sep06 Jun14 May21 (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00    
13  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Feb04 Dec31 Nov06 Oct11 Sep16 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.