Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/6)-(9/4/2/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/4/2)-(6/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2)-(6/5/3/7)-(8/1/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-2   WIN (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/1)-(6/5/3/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/7)-(8/1/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/7)-(8/1/4/5/3)-(8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/1/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/5/3)-(8/1/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/5/3)-(8/1/4/5/3)-(8/1/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/4/5/3)-(8/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/5/3)-(8/7/5)-(6/9/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/11/6)-(8/7/5/11/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(6/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(6/9/10/3)-(4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-5   WIN (6/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/10/3)-(6/9/10/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/10/3)-(6/9/10/3/11)-(6/9/10/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/10/3)-(4/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/9/10/3)-(4/9)-(8/2/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/2/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/2/1/8)-(4/9/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9)-(8/2/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/9)-(8/2/12)-(2/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-7   WIN (8/2/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/12)-(8/2/12/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/12)-(8/2/12/4)-(8/2/12/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/12)-(2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TP-8   WIN (2/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/10)-(2/10/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/10)-(2/10/6)-(2/10/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUN N TEARS Jan27         (medina tomas)MORALES JOSHUA 125 15.00    
2  LUCKY CAT TOO Jan27 Dec01 Oct06 Sep06   (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50 5% 17.50    
3  SWIGERT Dec22 Dec01 Aug31     (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 125 6.00    
4  SIMPLY COMPLICATED Jan27 Jul12 Jun23 May30 May12 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 3.00 8% 11.20    
5  LIL RED CLOUD Jan13 Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 Nov03 (forston roy)HALDAR J 125 15.00    
6  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 Nov10 (mcbride barbar)SANJUR SANTO 125 10.00 ★    
SCR  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 Nov17 Nov10 (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 118 50.00    
8  SLENDER BETSY Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 Oct13 Sep29 (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 ★    
9  QUEEN IN THE NORTH Feb03 Jan06 Sep26 Aug18 Jul11 (girten tim)RAMOS D 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
10  REINA DEL BALI May21 May03 Mar24 Feb11   (monday kevin)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 50.00    
11  LA CUERVA Aug26         (oviedo jose)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00    
 
TP-2   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YONO Jan25 Dec29 Oct09 Sep18 Aug03 (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 2.50 ★    
2  KEEN RESPONSE Dec17 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Oct22 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
3  NORDIC LIGHT Jan05 Dec09 Oct19 Aug30 Aug04 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  MR. CUNNINGHAM Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 Dec16 Nov03 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 15.00    
5  KING SHAMAN Jan12 Dec30 Nov19 Sep10 Aug24 (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  JAY VEE BEE Jan25 Dec30 Apr03 Mar18 Mar06 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  SIMON PETER Aug09 Jul12 May11 Mar17 Feb23 (bergin tom)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
8  GUN RUSH Jan28 Dec31 Dec16 Apr21 Apr02 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 6.00    
 
TP-3   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOROS Dec28 Oct23 Oct14 Oct01 Aug25 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 10.00    
3  ON K P Dec30 Nov25 Oct20 Oct02 Sep15 (rednour jo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 6% 15.70    
4  JUULSTONE Jul15 Jun16 May27 May05 Mar04 (maker m)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Jan14 Dec17 Dec07 Oct26 Aug17 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50 6% 15.10    
6  ARTIE'S LADY Feb02 Jan06 Dec17 Dec03 Nov10 (schwarm l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
7  CHASIN CHARLIE Jan07 Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 Oct14 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
8  ONE LAST HAND Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Mar12 Feb12 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
TP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLIMB TO GLORY         (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  COLONEL GRACE Dec28 Oct26       (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CINCY by QUEEN CITY LAD)
3  VOTARY Jan21 Dec22       (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 126 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  MISS HOLLY Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Aug05   (lepiane pa)CORRALES GERARDO 126 15.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of HASILAH by HARD SPUN)
5  PARTYLINE Jan01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Sep14 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.50 13% 7.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of HUMORISTIC by SEFAPIANO)
6  SWEETS MAKER Dec15 Nov18 Apr10 Mar12   (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 126 8.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LOOKOUT SISTER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  JUNGLE CAT         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 126 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
8  FIDDLE Dec15 Oct28 Sep14 Aug27   (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by ASTERN out of BANJO LESSON by LANGFUHR)
9  LILY'S HOME Jan21 Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 Oct12 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNOWDUST by THE FACTOR)
10  MEGAN'S NOEL Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 Jun22 May25 (dob)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PRACTICALY PERFECT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
11  OLIVE'S CANDY         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
TP-5   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SALLY'S SASSY Jan16 Nov25 Oct29 Sep10 Aug25 (wong jonathan)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SHARP SALLY by POSSE)
SCR  BAYTOWN LOVELY Dec31 Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of MEU AMOR by BERNARDINI)
3  LILIESFORMILLIE Dec31 Dec07 Oct22     (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TIGER CAT LILLY by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  JILL JITTERBUG Jan04 Oct03 Sep19     (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
5  B G WARRIOR Jan26 Dec31 Dec09 Nov15 Oct24 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  STROKES (IRE) Jan04 Oct23 Sep24 Aug20 Jul22 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BEST OF MY LOVE by BEST TURN)
7  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Jan04 Dec09 Nov19 Oct26 Sep16 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MOON STRUCK NEMI by MALIBU MOON)
8  ALWAYS AT EASE Jan08 Nov25 Oct29 Oct08 Aug20 (desormeaux j)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LAID BACK LADY by HOLD ME BACK)
9  MURKY Jan26 Oct28 Sep08     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of EXAGGERATED by BLAME)
10  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP Jan21         (bau)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of PAY LADY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
11  T MAX Nov26 Oct30 Sep15 Aug21   (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 4.50 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of PLEASANT DRIVE by SALEM DRIVE)
 
TP-6   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAILLE Jun18 May15 Apr02     (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TEXTING by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  THE THUNDERER Dec31 Oct09 Aug21 Feb25   (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 ★    
  (by BLAME out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
3  SUMMER COUNTRY Dec11         (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 125 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of WONDER COUNTRY by CAPE TOWN)
4  RETAINED Jan07 Dec09 Oct14 Sep11 Aug06 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 1.60 73% 0.40    
  (by BAYERN out of RARITIES by CITY ZIP)
5  BROKENHEARTED         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of HEARTBROKEN HILL by BROKEN VOW)
6  AMERICAN TRIUMPH         (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of YO ALI by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  GAMER         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
8  KANSAS COMET May21 Apr16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 6.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of EASY FEELING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  GO BALI GO Dec28 Oct06 Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 (nance jonath)RAMOS D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SALLY'S DREAM by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
TP-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EYE WITNESS Jan01 Sep23       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  MIRANDA RIGHTS Jan05 Dec02 Oct15 Sep03 Jul16 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
3  HUNTERTOWN Jan19 Nov04 Sep29 May11   (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00    
4  CLEAR THE AIR Jan06 Aug28       (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 ★    
5  MENDEL'S SECRET Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 Oct29 Sep01 (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
6  FIRST STRIKE Dec16 Oct18       (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
SCR  BALLESTEROS Jan13 Oct18 Sep14     (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
8  WADSWORTH Dec31 Oct19 Sep16 Aug06   (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
9  STORM DADDY Dec09         (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 118 50.00    
10  SATURN BOY Jan21 Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct13 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
11  PHANTOM RIDE Jan01 Nov14 Oct18 Sep21   (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
12  SCOOBIE QUANDO Jan07         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
 
TP-8   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT OF RUSH Dec28 Dec17 Nov27 Nov02 Oct09 (brenklin )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
2  SEVEN AND SEVEN Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Nov02   (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  DROP ANCHOR Feb04 Jan19 Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONEY PIT Jan21 Jan06 Nov27 Oct05 Sep12 (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00    
5  MAQAMAT Jan28 Jan19 Jan04 Dec21 Oct09 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00    
6  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Jan21 Dec07 Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 124 5.00 ★    
7  FATHER PATRICK Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep27 Sep09 (newton troy)FELIX E 124 6.00    
8  OVER PROTECTIVE Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 Dec28 Dec02 (kinmon keit)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Feb04 Jan05 Dec22 Nov17 Sep09 (hernandez jav)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 52% 0.90    
10  THISPOINTINTIME Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 Dec02 Nov03 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 Nov03 Oct07 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 124 15.00    
SCR  CHEEKERS Dec30 Oct14 Sep06 Jun14 May21 (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00    
13  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Feb04 Dec31 Nov06 Oct11 Sep16 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.