The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - February 22, 2023

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MVR-1   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:232 :482 1:022     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON WILMA 5 1 33 4   2½ 13 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 2.50 11% 8.20 2.80 W
SOULSTONE 3 4 11 1   1½ 23 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 9% 10.70 2.80 P
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 7 2 55 5   33(hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 40% 1.50 3.60 S
FRANCIA (PER) 4 5 45 2   5410½ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00 27.90  
DANCING FOR MONEY 2 7 6 6   69 513½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 126 15.00 40.50  
I MATTER 1 6 712½ 715½   713 615¼ (gorham m)BRACHO A 126 3.50 17% 4.90 2.00  
ADRIANA ES BONITA 6 3 21 3   4715¼ (cordero-l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 8.60  
 
MVR-2   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:224 :47 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 1 4 11 11   18 112¾ (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 41% 1.40 0.40 W
1A  ALL ABOUT CROGE 10 6 6 3   38 212¾ (hernandez javie)CEDILLO MAURO 113 1.60 0.40  
AURA OF GOLD 6 1 21 21   28 315 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 5.80 S
2B  FLY HOME 9 10 1010 67   5418¼ (preston randy)ORM CORY 126 3.50 10.60  
RURAL 7 2 4 45   4518½ (preston randy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50 10.60  
KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF 5 5 7 79   718¼ 625½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 15.00 18% 4.50 48.70  
ONE MORE RING 3 3 3 55   611¼ 725½ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 118 8.00 6.60  
NIKKI'STHEFAVORITE 8 8 9 911   819¼ 826½ (reed r)HOUGHTON D 118 4.00 18.70  
GREENSFELDER 4 9 8 1012   919¼ 926¾ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 10.00 20% 4.10 19.80  
GOLDEN CHELLA 2 7 5 810   1019½ 1033½ (sullivan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 12.00 38.20  
 
MVR-3   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:231 :47 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTUCK 7 2 1 11   12 1½ (patterson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 7% 12.70 6.70 W
NYOMAN 1 3 2 32   35 2½ (villa francisco)BRACHO A 124 2.50 3.50 P
ARAZI LIKE MOVE 8 4 6 57   53(langley joshua)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 15.70  
ARTIE MY BOY 2 6 4 21   22 4(robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 18% 4.70 3.10  
1A  KREWE CHIEF 6 5 7 7   85(sullivan el)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50 3.10  
CALL PAPA 5 8 814¾ 8   76(cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00 7.60  
SILVER G T O 3 7 5 67   677 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
TOO LEGIT 4 1 3 46   45 8(spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 44% 1.30 2.30  
 
MVR-4   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
:261 :492 1:151 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD N'SWEET 2 4 21 2½ 11 11(sullivan el)BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50 41% 1.50 1.40 W
GILES 5 1 5 57 34 32(cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 7% 14.20 2.90 P
PERFETTO 4 2 11 1½ 21 23(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 17.30 2.90 S
IMTHEPRINCE 6 6 67 613½ 59 4413¾ (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 124 20.00 20.60  
ALGORIX 3 3 32 3 45 513½ 515½ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 11% 8.50 7.50  
ROSAS WAY 1 5 4 47 611 615½ 616 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 5.00 6.60  
SCR  COSMIC TREASURE               (sullivan el)BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50    
SCR  ISTILLGOTIT               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 1.60 15% 5.70    
SCR  THE WILD FLYER               (bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   02/22/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
:222 :46       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLE TITAN 1 3 11 1   19 110¾ (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 40% 1.50 6.20 W
BOURBON TEDDY 5 6 32 4   29 210¾ (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 2.00 P
TWICE AS SMART 8 8 6 510½   4312¾ (zielinski richard)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 7.10  
CHROMED IMPULSE 3 4 43 3   39 416¾ (hamm tim)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80 5.10  
PERFECT PICTURE 7 2 9 711½   612¾ 516¾ (reed larry )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 15% 5.50 7.10  
KAPHAVATA 4 5 21 2   5617 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 126 10.00 23.00  
RHYTHMIC RULER 2 7 5 611½   813¾ 719 (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 4.10  
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 6 9 7 812   712¾ 820¾ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00 6% 15.50 10.50  
WHO CAN WIN 9 1 88 912¼   922¾ 931¾ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 36.00  
 
MVR-6   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
:233 :474 1:012     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWZANO 1 5 1½ 2   2½ 1¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 10% 9.10 14.60 W
COWGIRL KIMMIE 4 3 3 1   1½ 2¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 53% 0.90 0.90 P
LILAC LACE 5 4 4 32   33(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 14% 6.30 4.00 S
ALL AMERICAN JEWEL 3 2 52 56   4421 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 2.20  
LA MUNECA 2 1 2½ 4   5100 5100 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 6.40  
SCR  JILLY FROM JERSEY               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS CONSUELA               (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
MVR-7   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:24 :482 1:012     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARRETT 5 1 2 1nk   117 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 126 2.00 33% 2.10 2.50 W
MIDNIGHT MIKEY 1 2 1 2nk   227 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 11% 8.30 2.60 P
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 6 3 4 31   3310½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 26.10  
GOLDEN MONEY 4 4 5 5   511 411 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.60  
HENRY THE CAT 2 5 3 42   410 513¾ (meyers shan)BERMUDEZ E 126 8.00 8% 11.20 6.50  
AUJARA 3 6 68 6   611 614 (gorostieta ciri)CEDILLO MAURO 116 15.00 8.20  
SCR  BLUE MONARCH               (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 20.00    
SCR  RUN BUBBA RUN               (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-8   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:223 :463 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUTUPANDSHAKEIT 4 3 1½ 1   17 1(reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00 76% 0.30 2.20 W
LOVE'S TAVITO 5 7 8 56   38 2(lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 20.00 29.60  
PISTOLPACKINPOLLY 8 6 42 2   27 3(martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 5.20 S
HATTIE M 1 8 68 66   44(huffman pat)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 2.70  
LADY GIULIANA 6 1 7 8   616 515¼ (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 116 10.00 33.50  
CURIOSITY KILLS 7 2 54 33   512½ 616¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 10.40  
UNDERCOVER LADY 3 5 32 45   716 724 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 4.70  
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 2 4 2½ 77   816½ 826¼ (suarez javier)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5.30  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.