Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3/6)-(7/1/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(1/5/6)-(4/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/2/7)-(1/5/6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(4/1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(1/4/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(1/4/6/2/3)-(1/4/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/7/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(1/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(1/7/3/6)-(5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6/5)-(1/7/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/3/6)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/6)-(5/6/1)-(7/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/3/4)-(5/6/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(7/6/1/3)-(1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3/4)-(7/6/1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/3)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3/4/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/3/4/2/8)-(1/3/4/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I MATTER Feb06 Jan12 Dec28 Nov23 Oct27 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 126 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  DANCING FOR MONEY Feb06 Jan12 Dec28 Dec09 Nov11 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 15.00    
3  SOULSTONE Feb06 Jan09 Dec15 Nov30 Nov18 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 9% 10.70    
4  FRANCIA (PER) Jan30 Jan09 Jul27 Jun18   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00    
5  IRON WILMA Feb06 Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 Dec21 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 2.50 11% 8.20    
6  ADRIANA ES BONITA Feb14 Jan11 Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 ★    
7  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Feb06 Dec15 Oct11 Sep07   (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-2   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Feb04 Jan26 Dec28 Dec11   (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ENQUETE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1A  ALL ABOUT CROGE Feb08 Jan20 Dec30 Nov26 Nov11 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 113 1.60    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of P D F INDYLITE by COUNT ME IN)
2  RURAL Jan19 Dec29 Nov30     (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50    
  (by ELNAAWI out of COUNTRY SUNSHINE by IRON (FR))
2B  FLY HOME Oct05 Sep10 Aug16 Jul03 Jun02 (preston randy)ORM CORY 126 3.50 ★    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of CAPISTRANO by LOUIS QUATORZE)
3  GOLDEN CHELLA Feb08         (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TWILITE RENDEZVOUS by MR. GREELEY)
4  ONE MORE RING Feb08 Dec30 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
5  GREENSFELDER Nov14 Sep20       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 10.00 20% 4.10    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of SPEICHTSONG by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Jan18 Jun18 Apr30     (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 15.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEONA'S KNIGHT by SUAVE PROSPECT)
7  AURA OF GOLD Feb08 Jan11 Dec30 Nov27 Nov11 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
8  NIKKI'STHEFAVORITE Nov03         (reed r)HOUGHTON D 118 4.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SANDTINA by SANDPIT (BRZ))
 
MVR-3   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIE MY BOY Feb01 Jan18 Dec14 Dec07 Nov28 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
1A  KREWE CHIEF Jan23 Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50 ★    
2  NYOMAN Jan18 Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Jul19 (villa francis)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★    
3  SILVER G T O Feb01 Jan16 Jan09 Dec15 Dec06 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOO LEGIT Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 Dec07 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  CALL PAPA Feb01 Jan12 Dec13 Nov21 Nov10 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00    
6  ATTUCK Jan27 Jan04 Dec17 Dec07 Nov19 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 7% 12.70    
7  ARAZI LIKE MOVE Feb01 Jan16 Dec28 Dec04 Nov08 (langley josh)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD N'SWEET Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Nov08 Oct22 (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  COSMIC TREASURE Jan17 Dec29 Dec03 Nov08 Oct14 (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50 ★    
2  ROSAS WAY Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Jul05 Jun20 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
3  ALGORIX Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 Nov07 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
4  PERFETTO Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 Nov07 Oct25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  THE WILD FLYER Jan28 Jan02 Oct05 Aug29 Aug24 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
6  GILES Feb02 Jan03 Nov14 Nov08 Nov02 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 7% 14.20    
7  IMTHEPRINCE Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
SCR  ISTILLGOTIT Feb02 Dec13 Nov07 Oct13 Sep22 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 1.60 15% 5.70    
 
MVR-5   02/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLE TITAN Jan23 Dec19 Nov17 Oct03 Sep15 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  RHYTHMIC RULER Jan12 Dec14 Jul14 May04 Mar04 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00    
3  CHROMED IMPULSE Jan23 Dec21 Jun13 May17 Apr28 (hamm t)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  KAPHAVATA Jan30 Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 Oct26 (urieta johan)AYALA J 126 10.00    
5  BOURBON TEDDY Jan12 Dec10 Nov12 Oct28 Jul16 (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 ★    
6  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Feb07 Jan30 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 6.00 6% 15.50    
7  PERFECT PICTURE Feb07 Jan28 Jan12 Dec28 Dec02 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
8  TWICE AS SMART Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Oct28 (zielinski richar)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
9  WHO CAN WIN Jan31 Jan17 Dec13 Nov14 Sep05 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWZANO Feb06 Jan19 Nov30 Nov19 Oct25 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  JILLY FROM JERSEY Jan11 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Sep01 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
3  LA MUNECA Feb06 Jan19 Dec20 Dec08 Nov02 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 ★    
4  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Jan28 Jan03 Dec12 Nov30 Jun13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 ★    
5  COWGIRL KIMMIE Feb06 Jan09 Dec08 Nov11 Oct25 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
6  LILAC LACE Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Dec20 Jun28 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  PRINCESS CONSUELA Feb06 Jan19 Jan11 Dec17 Dec03 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
MVR-7   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Feb02 Jan16 Dec12 Jun30 Jun09 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  BLUE MONARCH Feb02 Jan11 Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 20.00    
3  HENRY THE CAT Jan16 Dec27 Sep06 Aug30 Jul25 (meyers sh)BERMUDEZ E 126 8.00 8% 11.20    
4  AUJARA Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Jul21 Jun22 (gorostieta ci)CEDILLO MAURO 116 15.00 ★    
SCR  RUN BUBBA RUN Jan30 Dec27 Dec01 Aug24 Jun29 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
6  GOLDEN MONEY Feb02 Dec12 May03 Apr15 Mar24 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 1.80 27% 2.70    
7  GARRETT Jan11 Dec12 Nov23 Jun06 May17 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
8  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-8   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUTUPANDSHAKEIT Jun01         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  FRACING NASTY Jan19 Jun02 May21 Apr02 Feb18 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00    
2  HATTIE M Jan18 Nov30 Nov10 Sep30   (huffman pat)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 ★    
3  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 (suarez javie)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 ★    
4  UNDERCOVER LADY Dec30 Nov20 Oct17     (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 ★    
5  LOVE'S TAVITO Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 Dec28 Dec11 (lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
6  LADY GIULIANA Jan23 Jan02 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 116 10.00    
7  CURIOSITY KILLS Feb07 Jan09 Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
8  PISTOLPACKINPOLLY Jan11 Nov20 Jun11     (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.