The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 31, 2023
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MVR-1   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:233 :472 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THANKSDAD 5 2 21 2½   1nk 11¼ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 0.90  
4  WHO CAN WIN 4 1 11 1½   2nk 21¼ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 12% 7.50 6.50 P
2  GOING PRIMETIME 2 3 57 56½   33½ 32¾ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 21% 3.80 3.00 S
3  PLAYING BALL 3 5 32½ 35½   43¾ 43¼ (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 126 3.50 ★ 4.00  
1  JUST INSPIRED 1 4 47 46½   54¾ 56½ (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 12.00 ★ 7.20  
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY               (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-2   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:253 :491 1:141 1:27   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PACIFIC GROVE 4 1 12 12 13½ 16½ 113 (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 ★ 1.50  
6  ASHWICKEN 3 2 48 411½ 46½ 26½ 213 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 ★ 0.80 P
3  IMA SURE BET 1 3 35½ 36 35½ 37 313½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 ★ 8.30 S
5  SUPER GEUSE 2 4 22 22 23½ 410 421½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 4.40  
SCR  CULDEE               (drury thomas )FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 1.40 19% 4.30    
SCR  FRAGRANT               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50    
SCR  LITTLE FOUR               (fiesman rob)CORREA L 126 10.00    
 
MVR-3   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:23 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KADESH 2 5 2nk 1nk   11½ 15½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 10% 8.70 3.80 W
6  KHALFANI 5 1 3.2 2nk   21½ 25½ (pattah s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 20% 4.10 1.20 P
1  KEYED ON TOP 1 4 1nk 31   43 37 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 ★ 7.50 S
3  BEACH FRONT 3 2 41¼ 41¼   32½ 47½ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 2.00 14% 6.00 1.80  
4  ROCK ON KITTEN 4 3 53¾ 54¼   57 514¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 8.50  
SCR  BIG TRIP               (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-4   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:231 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DERBY INCLUDED 6 1 21 2nk   11 14¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.00 ★ 14.80  
1  INTO GOLD 1 6 32½ 31½   32½ 24¼ (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 ★ 9.00 P
2  YIPPEE KI YAY 2 5 11 1nk   21 35½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.40 S
7  HOTROD BOBBY 7 2 42½ 52¾   54½ 46½ (dacosta jason)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.50 ★ 3.50  
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND 3 4 54 42½   42½ 56¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.70  
4  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 4 7 65 64¾   68½ 612½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5.60  
5  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 5 3 711 711¾   718½ 731 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 46.20  
 
MVR-5   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
:224 :461 :593     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MYRRH 4 3 11 13   13½ 1¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 1.40  
5  TALK DIRTY 5 7 65 46   45½ 2¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
2  FREE TO RUN 2 6 21 23   23½ 31½ (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 ★ 8.40 S
3  RUN AWAY FEVER 3 5 75½ 68¾   67 44¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 39.30  
8  HALOFIED 8 8 98½ 89   79 57 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 6.00 21% 3.80 3.40  
7  AWESOME WONDER 7 1 32½ 33   35 67½ (dacosta jaso)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00 4.10  
1  LINDA LOVES LACE 1 9 54½ 56¼   56½ 79 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 12% 7.50 7.50  
6  MY BACK PAGES 6 4 85½ 99   89½ 814¼ (mcdonald r)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 31% 2.30 20.60  
9  BOUJEE KITTEN 9 2 43½ 78¾   912 921 (welsh gary )CORREA L 124 20.00 54.70  
 
MVR-6   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:23 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHEISTHEHERO 5 1 11 13½   11½ 13¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 6.00 11.80  
4  PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3 4 21 23½   21½ 23¼ (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 3.00 13% 6.80 0.80 P
2  TEMPLEMENT 1 3 44 57½   58 38 (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 31% 2.20 3.20 S
3  MALICED 2 5 56 45½   46 48¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 ★ 2.90  
5  BLINKERS 4 2 31 33½   36 512¼ (hendriks j)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★ 7.60  
SCR  MAKESCENTSTOUS               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
MVR-7   01/31/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:23 :471 1:134 1:421   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PETTIGO GIRL 4 4 35½ 23½ 1½ 15 19½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 15% 5.80 0.70 W
2  WOLF EYES 2 2 616½ 513½ 46½ 36½ 29½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 9% 10.30 12.00 P
1  ROAD TEST 1 3 25½ 33½ 34½ 46½ 312¼ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 31% 2.20 2.00 S
6  FASHION FRAME 5 1 15½ 13½ 2½ 25 414¼ (galloway khad)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 11% 7.90 6.50  
3  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 3 5 514 613¾ 59 58½ 514¼ (pappada julie )AYALA J 124 15.00 28.00  
7  NINJA KITTEN 6 6 48 410 69 613½ 620¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 10.30  
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE               (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
 
MVR-8   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:224 :464 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KICHI KITSU 5 2 22 2½   1½ 11 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 47% 1.10 4.50 W
8  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 6 3 46½ 33½   3½ 21 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 3.00 14% 6.30 3.60 P
9  SENORA PANQUEQUES 7 1 35½ 44½   44 32 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 55.00  
1  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 1 5 12 1½   2½ 44¼ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 116 2.50 11% 7.90 0.80  
2  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 2 8 57½ 58   57 56 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 25.20  
10  SPICE ICE 8 4 79½ 68½   67¼ 66¼ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★ 7.20  
4  CONSECUTIVE RUN 3 6 68 78½   710¾ 712½ (vazquez ivan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 65.60  
6  MY PIE 4 7 811 810½   815¼ 822¼ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 8.90  
SCR  BODE'S ROSE               (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCKY CHANNEL               (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.