Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.80  
MVR-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $5.00  
MVR-3   Win (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
MVR-4   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $31.60  
MVR-5   Win (6/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $4.80  
MVR-6   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $25.60  
MVR-7   Win (1/5/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
MVR-8   Win (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 3.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANKSDAD 5 2 21 2½   1nk 1 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 0.90  
WHO CAN WIN 4 1 11 1½   2nk 2 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 12% 7.50 6.50 P
GOING PRIMETIME 2 3 57 5   3 3 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 21% 3.80 3.00 S
PLAYING BALL 3 5 3 3   4 4 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 126 3.50 4.00  
JUST INSPIRED 1 4 47 4   5 5 (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 12.00 7.20  
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY               (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-2   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:253 :491 1:141 1:27   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 4 1 12 12 1 1 113 (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 1.50  
ASHWICKEN 3 2 48 411½ 4 2 213 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 0.80 P
IMA SURE BET 1 3 3 36 3 37 313½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 8.30 S
SUPER GEUSE 2 4 22 22 2 410 421½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 4.40  
SCR  CULDEE               (drury thomas )FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 1.40 19% 4.30    
SCR  FRAGRANT               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50    
SCR  LITTLE FOUR               (fiesman rob)CORREA L 126 10.00    
 
MVR-3   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KADESH 2 5 2nk 1nk   1 1 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 10% 8.70 3.80 W
KHALFANI 5 1 3.2 2nk   2 2 (pattah s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 20% 4.10 1.20 P
KEYED ON TOP 1 4 1nk 31   43 37 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 7.50 S
BEACH FRONT 3 2 4 4   3 4 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 2.00 14% 6.00 1.80  
ROCK ON KITTEN 4 3 5 5   57 514¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 8.50  
SCR  BIG TRIP               (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-4   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY INCLUDED 6 1 21 2nk   11 1 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.00 14.80  
INTO GOLD 1 6 3 3   3 2 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 9.00 P
YIPPEE KI YAY 2 5 11 1nk   21 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.40 S
HOTROD BOBBY 7 2 4 5   5 4 (dacosta jason)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.50 3.50  
KINGDOM DIAMOND 3 4 54 4   4 5 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.70  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 4 7 65 6   6 612½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5.60  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 5 3 711 711¾   718½ 731 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 46.20  
 
MVR-5   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:224 :461 :593     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYRRH 4 3 11 13   1 1¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 1.40  
TALK DIRTY 5 7 65 46   4 2¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
FREE TO RUN 2 6 21 23   2 3 (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 8.40 S
RUN AWAY FEVER 3 5 7 6   67 4 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 39.30  
HALOFIED 8 8 9 89   79 57 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 6.00 21% 3.80 3.40  
AWESOME WONDER 7 1 3 33   35 6 (dacosta jaso)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00 4.10  
LINDA LOVES LACE 1 9 5 5   5 79 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 12% 7.50 7.50  
MY BACK PAGES 6 4 8 99   8 814¼ (mcdonald r)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 31% 2.30 20.60  
BOUJEE KITTEN 9 2 4 7   912 921 (welsh gary )CORREA L 124 20.00 54.70  
 
MVR-6   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEISTHEHERO 5 1 11 1   1 1 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 6.00 11.80  
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3 4 21 2   2 2 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 3.00 13% 6.80 0.80 P
TEMPLEMENT 1 3 44 5   58 38 (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 31% 2.20 3.20 S
MALICED 2 5 56 4   46 4 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 2.90  
BLINKERS 4 2 31 3   36 512¼ (hendriks j)RIVERA R 123 4.50 7.60  
SCR  MAKESCENTSTOUS               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
MVR-7   01/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:134 1:421   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETTIGO GIRL 4 4 3 2 1½ 15 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 15% 5.80 0.70 W
WOLF EYES 2 2 616½ 513½ 4 3 2 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 9% 10.30 12.00 P
ROAD TEST 1 3 2 3 3 4 312¼ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 31% 2.20 2.00 S
FASHION FRAME 5 1 1 1 2½ 25 414¼ (galloway khad)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 11% 7.90 6.50  
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 3 5 514 613¾ 59 5 514¼ (pappada julie )AYALA J 124 15.00 28.00  
NINJA KITTEN 6 6 48 410 69 613½ 620¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 10.30  
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE               (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
 
MVR-8   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICHI KITSU 5 2 22 2½   1½ 11 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 47% 1.10 4.50 W
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 6 3 4 3   3½ 21 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 3.00 14% 6.30 3.60 P
SENORA PANQUEQUES 7 1 3 4   44 32 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 55.00  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 1 5 12 1½   2½ 4 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 116 2.50 11% 7.90 0.80  
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 2 8 5 58   57 56 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 25.20  
10  SPICE ICE 8 4 7 6   6 6 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 7.20  
CONSECUTIVE RUN 3 6 68 7   710¾ 712½ (vazquez ivan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 65.60  
MY PIE 4 7 811 810½   815¼ 822¼ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 8.90  
SCR  BODE'S ROSE               (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCKY CHANNEL               (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.