Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-2   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/3)-(6/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/7/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/7/1/6)-(2/3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/8/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/8/1/5)-(2/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/5)-(6/8/1/2/5)-(6/8/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/1/5)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/5)-(2/4)-(1/5/6/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/5/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/5/6/2)-(7/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2)-(7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/10)-(7/8/1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST INSPIRED Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct26 (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 12.00 ★    
2  GOING PRIMETIME Jan12 Dec14 Dec06 Nov30 Nov14 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  PLAYING BALL Jan17 Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 Nov29 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 126 3.50 ★    
4  WHO CAN WIN Jan17 Dec13 Nov14 Sep05 Aug24 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY Jan17 Nov14 Oct22 Sep23 Aug23 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  THANKSDAD Jan17 Nov15 Oct22 Oct13 Sep20 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
 
MVR-2   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRAGRANT Dec11 Oct18 Sep25 Aug07 Jun23 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FLATTERMEWITHROSES by FLATTER)
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Dec05 Nov02 Sep13 Jul27 Jun14 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SNOOZE by FORESTRY)
SCR  CULDEE Jan01 Oct27 Sep30 Aug24 Jul28 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 1.40 19% 4.30    
  (by FLATTER out of BEND by ARCH)
3  IMA SURE BET Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 Nov16 Oct25 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 ★    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
SCR  LITTLE FOUR Jan12 Dec28 Dec11 Nov21 Nov04 (fiesman r)CORREA L 126 10.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of CLEVER ME by CLEVER TRICK)
5  SUPER GEUSE Sep28 Sep14 Feb11 Jan07   (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BLAGEUSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  ASHWICKEN Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 Nov04 Oct20 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
7  PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Jan12 Dec22 Nov20 Oct29 Oct06 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 ★    
  (by PERSIAN BOLD (IRE) out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MVR-3   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYED ON TOP Jan03 Dec21 Nov17 Nov02 Oct22 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 ★    
2  KADESH Jul19 Jun20 May31 May10 Apr11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 10% 8.70    
3  BEACH FRONT Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 May25 May09 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 2.00 14% 6.00    
4  ROCK ON KITTEN Jan18 Dec27 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00    
SCR  BIG TRIP Jan11 Dec15 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
6  KHALFANI Jan11 Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 (pattah)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
MVR-4   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLD Jan16 Dec19 Dec01 Nov10 Oct06 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 ★    
2  YIPPEE KI YAY Jan04         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jan16 Dec29 Dec19 Dec01 Nov17 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jan16 Sep20 Aug30 Aug19 Jul07 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
5  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jan12 Dec14 Nov14 Oct31 Sep28 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
6  DERBY INCLUDED Dec19 Dec01 Jul27 Jul01   (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.00 ★    
7  HOTROD BOBBY Dec30 Dec22 Dec03 Nov16   (dacosta jason)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDA LOVES LACE Jan05 Oct24 Oct17 Oct03 Sep27 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
2  FREE TO RUN Jan05 Dec12 Nov29 Nov23 Nov13 (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 ★    
3  RUN AWAY FEVER Jan18 Dec12 Dec05 Nov08 Oct31 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
4  MYRRH Jan18 Jan02 Nov30 Nov06 Oct16 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00    
5  TALK DIRTY Jan18 Jan05 Aug23 Aug10 Aug01 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY BACK PAGES Dec07 Nov13 Oct16 Oct04 Sep25 (mcdonald william )YARANGA Y 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  AWESOME WONDER Jan05 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 (dacosta ja)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.00    
8  HALOFIED Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
9  BOUJEE KITTEN Jan05 Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 (welsh gar)CORREA L 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKESCENTSTOUS Nov15 Oct24 Sep16 Aug15 Jun25 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  TEMPLEMENT Jan04 Nov15 Oct24 Aug15 Jul05 (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  MALICED Aug06 Jul13 Jun25 Apr26 Apr02 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 ★    
4  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Nov21 Sep07 Aug06 Jul11 May07 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
5  BLINKERS Dec18 Jul08 Jun10 May27 May02 (hendriks richard)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★    
6  SHEISTHEHERO Jan07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct26 Oct12 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 6.00    
 
MVR-7   01/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TEST Jan12 Dec27 Dec08 Nov01 Oct04 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  WOLF EYES Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct04 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
3  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Dec27 Dec08 Nov14 Oct11 Sep20 (pappada juli)AYALA J 124 15.00    
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Jan12 Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 Nov01 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
5  PETTIGO GIRL Jan12 Dec27 Dec11 Dec02 Nov10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 15% 5.80    
6  FASHION FRAME Jan12 Nov22 Oct30 Oct23 Oct12 (galloway kh)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
7  NINJA KITTEN Jan12 Dec29 Dec13 Nov22 Nov10 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Jan03 Nov15 Oct29 Oct05 Sep01 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 116 2.50 11% 7.90    
2  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Sep08 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
SCR  ROCKY CHANNEL Dec20 Nov12 Oct26 Oct05 Sep08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
4  CONSECUTIVE RUN Dec20 Dec03 Oct25 Apr02 Mar05 (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
SCR  BODE'S ROSE Jan03 Nov28 Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY PIE Dec30 Nov23 Jun13 May09 Apr13 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
7  KICHI KITSU Jan18 Nov07 Aug13 Jul26   (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 47% 1.10    
8  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Jan03 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Oct31 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
9  SENORA PANQUEQUES Jan03 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Aug03 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
10  SPICE ICE Jan17 Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 Oct26 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.