Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $7.00 $3.00 75%
MVR-4   DD (3/6)-(6/7/4/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00  3-6 $25.40 $9.40 59%
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $27.40 $21.40 357%
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $122.00 $98.00 408%
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/2/6)-(1/4/3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-6-1 $64.10 $46.10 256%
    DD (3/9/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-3 $72.40 $54.40 302%
    PK3 (6/7/4/3)-(3/9/5)-(1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-5-3 $69.95 $51.95 289%
MVR-7   EXA (2/5)-(2/5/7/4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00  2-4 $32.20 $16.20 101%
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/7/4/6)-(2/5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-4-7 $54.00 $42.00 350%
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $147.00 $135.00 1125%
    PK3 (3/9/5)-(1/4/3)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-3-2 $60.85 $51.85 576%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUPER BROTHER 6 1 52¾ 51¾   21½ 1¾ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 ★ 1.70  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EXPANSE by DISTANT VIEW)
4  CHARTED 4 3 3.2 1nk   11½ 2¾ (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 61% 0.60 3.00 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
3  ONE MORE RING 3 5 42¼ 41¾   32 32¼ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 ★ 12.10 S
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
2  AURA OF GOLD 2 4 1nk 3.2   42 46¼ (madrigal rodr)BRACHO A 118 3.00 ★ 2.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
5  ALL ABOUT CROGE 5 2 2nk 2nk   54½ 512½ (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 20.10  
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of P D F INDYLITE by COUNT ME IN)
1  GOLDEN CHELLA 1 6 63¾ 65¼   68 612¾ (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 11% 7.70 4.40  
  (by MINESHAFT out of TWILITE RENDEZVOUS by MR. GREELEY)
 
MVR-2   02/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:121 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMASH 3 1 12 13½ 12 12½ 12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60 ★ 0.50  
1  MY REDEMPTION 2 4 22 23½ 22 22½ 22 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 47% 1.10 3.50  
6  ENJOY BASEBALL 5 5 58 513 59½ 48 35¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 12% 7.50 14.40 S
2  LAUTREC 1 3 33½ 48 34½ 37½ 410¼ (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 6.00 7.20  
5  DON'T POKE THE CAT 4 2 44½ 37½ 44½ 59 516 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 19% 4.20 4.40  
SCR  COSMIC TREASURE               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  SKIDSTREAM               (faulkner )CORREA L 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUSHING BETTY 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1nk (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 3.50 49% 1.10 2.50 W
2  RED HOT LASS 2 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 2.00 ★ 1.00 P
6  RADIANTRITHYM 5 1 31½ 31   33 31¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 5.60 S
4  AUJARA 4 3 52¾ 42   45½ 49¼ (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★ 25.00  
1  CACKI 1 5 42½ 54   57 520 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★ 2.80  
SCR  BEAV'S BOO               (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
 
MVR-4   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:132 1:264   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CREDIT RIVER 6 4 44 42½ 41¼ 3½ 1½ (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 1.60 32% 2.20 1.20 W
5  WAR NOVEL 5 1 21½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 2½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 20.30  
2  CINDY'S STORM 2 3 11½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 31¼ (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★ 6.60 S
1  GOLD HERITAGE 1 7 55½ 54 52¾ 53½ 43¼ (fadlovich me)AYALA J 124 4.00 5.40  
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM 4 5 32 32 31 42½ 55¼ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 4.50 13% 6.50 4.30  
7  GRAND DEAL 7 2 79½ 67 66¾ 67 66½ (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 18% 4.70 11.90  
3  BAD LITTLE BEAST 3 6 69½ 79 78¾ 79 79 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 13% 6.60 4.40  
 
MVR-5   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CAT'S RHYTHM 5 3 77¼ 64¾   41¼ 12¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 6% 16.60 1.10 W
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY 2 9 65¼ 52¾   1nk 22¼ (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 6.60 DQ↓7
1  BEEBLEGEE 1 8 88¼ 87¾   74¼ 37 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 15.00 30.40  
10  BEST OF YOU 9 4 98¾ 910¼   95 47¾ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00 31.40  
9  SWEET EMPIRE 8 1 44¼ 42¼   51¾ 58 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 17% 4.90 8.20  
4  NOT A WILD BRAT 4 7 55¼ 76¾   84½ 68¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 ★ 23.10  
6  PROPHETESS 6 5 34 32   61¾ 79½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 ★ 9.90  
8  DIAL AGAIN 7 2 2nk 1nk   3.2 810¾ (andrade hugo)REYES FRANK 124 4.50 17.00  
3  KISSTHECROSS 3 6 1nk 2nk   2nk 919¼ (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 50% 1.00 2.60  
SCR  ST PATTY'S SONG               (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:253 :484 1:13 1:262   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JOHN'S ROCK 4 2 42 41 42½ 32 11½ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 5.70 DQ↓4
3  HUNTER SCOTT 3 3 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 21½ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 11% 8.00 12.70 W
6  OUTLIER 5 5 32 31 31 43½ 35¾ (cash l)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 ★ 1.80 P
1  STAR HAWK 1 4 54 53½ 52¾ 54 48¾ (erdel john)RIVERA R 123 2.50 32% 2.10 1.50 S
2  IRISH UNITY 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 59½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★ 2.80  
SCR  SO DIALED IN               (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
MVR-7   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ODIE 2 5 12 11½   12 11½ (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 61% 0.60 1.00 W
4  DARK OAK 4 6 22 21½   22 21½ (hernandez rey)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 ★ 5.10 P
7  HAPPILEA 7 1 32 31½   32 32¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 ★ 6.20 S
3  GOOD ON YA 3 7 65¼ 44½   43½ 43¾ (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 5.80  
5  FIRST CITIZEN 5 4 53¾ 54¾   53¾ 56½ (vecchio caryn)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 8% 10.80 6.90  
8  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 8 3 811¼ 811   87¼ 69 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 16.70  
6  CUMBER 6 2 42¼ 64¾   66¾ 710 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★ 20.00  
1  MAKING ME CRAZY 1 8 79¼ 710¾   77¼ 810½ (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 10.00 20.10  
 
MVR-8   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OVERLOAD 3 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 1hd (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 2.30  
  (by CORFU out of PILEITON by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
5  SPLENDID SPIRIT 5 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 2hd (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 2.50 20% 4.10 3.90 P
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
4  RUNAWAY RUSSELL 4 6 52½ 54¾   44¼ 33 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 12% 7.10 6.10 S
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
1  NOSEY POWER 1 8 63½ 66¼   56¼ 43¾ (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 11.60  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  GRANDE RED 7 4 31 3½   34 54½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 4.50 12% 7.20 2.40  
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
9  MUSIC GEM 9 9 911 79¼   77¾ 67½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.00 18% 4.60 13.90  
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
2  MY TICKET 2 5 41 44½   66¼ 79¾ (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 14% 6.00 7.20  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
8  SOL OF VAQUERO 8 1 87 89¼   810¾ 810¼ (campbell l)DIAZ R 126 20.00 52.40  
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
6  ALDUIN 6 7 75 910¼   915¾ 923¾ (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 ######  
  (by CRIMSON COMIC out of LESLIE GARDENS by FORESTRY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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