Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6/2/3)-(4/1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/5/6)-(3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(3/6)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/4)-(3/6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/7/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/7/4/3)-(3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3/2)-(6/7/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/4/3)-(3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/3)-(3/9/5)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/9/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/9/5/6/4)-(3/9/5/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/5)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5)-(1/3)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/5)-(5/9/2/4/7) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/7/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/7/4/6)-(2/5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/9/2/4/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/9/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN CHELLA         (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 5.00 11% 7.70    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TWILITE RENDEZVOUS by MR. GREELEY)
2  AURA OF GOLD Jan11 Dec30 Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 (madrigal rodr)BRACHO A 118 3.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
3  ONE MORE RING Dec30 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 Aug28 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 ★    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
4  CHARTED Jan18 Nov29       (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
5  ALL ABOUT CROGE Jan20 Dec30 Nov26 Nov11   (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of P D F INDYLITE by COUNT ME IN)
6  SUPER BROTHER Jan18 Dec21 Jul28 Jun24 Jun02 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 6.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EXPANSE by DISTANT VIEW)
 
MVR-2   02/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY REDEMPTION Jan30 Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 Oct30 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  COSMIC TREASURE Jan17 Dec29 Dec03 Nov08 Oct14 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00 ★    
2  LAUTREC Jan26 Jan03 Dec05 Nov15 Oct27 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 6.00    
3  SMASH Dec29 Dec13 Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.60 ★    
SCR  SKIDSTREAM Jan02 Dec13 Oct25 Oct11 Oct04 (faulkner )CORREA L 124 10.00 ★    
5  DON'T POKE THE CAT Jan02 Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 Oct18 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  ENJOY BASEBALL Jan16 Jan02 Dec20 Aug31 Aug07 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
MVR-3   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CACKI Jul20 Jun20 May17 Apr06   (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
2  RED HOT LASS Jan10 Dec15 Sep24 Jul29 Jun24 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 2.00 ★    
3  BLUSHING BETTY Dec19 Dec08 Nov03 Oct10 Sep20 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 3.50 49% 1.10    
4  AUJARA Jan18 Dec30 Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  BEAV'S BOO Jan09 Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Sep16 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
6  RADIANTRITHYM Jan28 Jan09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-4   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD HERITAGE Dec22 Dec13 Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 (fadlovich me)AYALA J 124 4.00    
2  CINDY'S STORM Jan17 Dec31 Dec10 Nov12 Sep28 (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 ★    
3  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jan17 Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 Oct06 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jan05 Dec22 Dec07 Oct27 Aug23 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 4.50 13% 6.50    
5  WAR NOVEL Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
6  CREDIT RIVER Jan05 Dec13 Nov04 Oct21 Jul23 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 1.60 32% 2.20    
7  GRAND DEAL Jan05 Dec19 Sep21 Aug16 Jul05 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
MVR-5   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEEBLEGEE Jan16 Dec05 Nov23 Oct29 Oct11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Nov17 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
3  KISSTHECROSS Jan04 Nov19 Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
4  NOT A WILD BRAT Dec01 Oct31 Sep26 Sep14 Aug13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 ★    
5  CAT'S RHYTHM Jan26 Jan16 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 6% 16.60    
6  PROPHETESS Dec30 Dec13 Dec05 Oct29 Oct11 (bird danny)PEREZ E 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  ST PATTY'S SONG Jan16 Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
8  DIAL AGAIN Jan16 Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 (andrade hugo)REYES FRANK 124 4.50    
9  SWEET EMPIRE Jan26 Jan16 Dec30 Oct11 Sep26 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
10  BEST OF YOU Jan16 Jan05 Dec21 Nov23 Nov16 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR HAWK Dec05 Nov10 Oct14 Sep29 Jun14 (erdel john)RIVERA R 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  IRISH UNITY Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Nov19 Nov09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★    
3  HUNTER SCOTT Dec14 Nov23 Oct25 Sep13 Aug17 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SO DIALED IN Dec06 Nov12 Oct10 Sep27 Sep05 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Jan24 Dec08 Nov18 Oct13 May09 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
6  OUTLIER Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 Dec03 Nov17 (cash l)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKING ME CRAZY Dec20 Dec05 Nov15 Nov08 Oct22 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
2  ODIE Jan10 Dec07 Nov07 Oct10 Sep22 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 61% 0.60    
3  GOOD ON YA Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Nov09 Oct10 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
4  DARK OAK Dec31 Nov06 Sep06 Aug06 Jul10 (hernandez rey)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 ★    
5  FIRST CITIZEN Jan10 Jul18 Jun05 May24 May09 (vecchio caryn)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 8% 10.80    
6  CUMBER Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 Oct22 Oct14 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
7  HAPPILEA Jan10 Dec05 Oct22 Jul13 Jun13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 ★    
8  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Dec19 Dec05 Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSEY POWER Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
2  MY TICKET Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  OVERLOAD Oct11         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by CORFU out of PILEITON by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Jan26 Jan09 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  SPLENDID SPIRIT Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Jul28 Jun29 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
6  ALDUIN         (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by CRIMSON COMIC out of LESLIE GARDENS by FORESTRY)
7  GRANDE RED Jan09 Dec07 Sep12 Aug10   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 4.50 12% 7.20    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
8  SOL OF VAQUERO Jul28         (campbell l)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
9  MUSIC GEM Jan04         (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.