Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $35.80 $11.80 49%
MVR-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00  1 $4.80 $2.80 140%
    EXA (1)-(1/7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1-3 $52.40 $44.40 555%
    TRI (1)-(1/7/4/5/3)-(1/7/4/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00  1-3-4 $40.95 $34.95 583%
    DD (1/6/4)-(1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1-1 $13.60 $7.60 127%
MVR-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/4/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-7 $132.20 $108.20 451%
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/4/3/7)-(5/6/4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-7-3 $108.30 $90.30 502%
    SFT (5/6/3)-(5/6/4/3/7)-(5/6/4/3/7)-(5/6/4/3/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  5-7-3-6 $61.98 $54.78 761%
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-7 $30.80 $6.80 28%
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-6 $50.00 $32.00 178%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:162 1:304   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KERRI'S MIRACLE 7 3 42 2nk 1nk 12½ 15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 0.80 45% 1.20 0.30 W
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
2  MISS ELLIE 2 1 11 1nk 2nk 22½ 25 (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 5.00 14% 6.30 4.20 P
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
1  I'M JAC'D 1 5 32 41¾ 31 33½ 39½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 12% 7.00 9.50 S
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
4  AUGMENTING ASSETS 4 7 65 63¼ 57 48½ 411 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 9% 10.50 18.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWINKEY by DIALED IN)
5  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 5 6 77 77¼ 77¼ 511½ 520¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★ 6.50  
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
6  OH EYE SEE 6 2 21 3.2 46 611½ 634½ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 20.00 76.20  
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
3  MARIANA (FR) 3 4 54 53¼ 67¼ 716½ 755¼ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 72.50  
  (by GAY MECENE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MVR-2   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MOON 1 5 21 1nk   12½ 12¾ (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 10.00 16.70  
5  LADY FORTUNE 5 7 63¼ 4¾   42¾ 22¾ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.60 P
6  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 6 3 52¼ 54¼   53¾ 35¾ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 ★ 8.30 S
4  SHADY BABY 4 2 31 3.2   32½ 48¼ (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 ★ 1.30  
2  BUSYBEING FABULOUS 2 4 11 2nk   22½ 59½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 35% 1.90 3.80  
7  LACY QUEEN 7 1 42 68¼   611¾ 623¼ (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 6.00 27.40  
3  SKIPSHOT LILLY 3 6 79¼ 712¾   712¾ 729¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.90  
 
MVR-3   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:231 :471       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABOO HOO 1 3 11½ 11   14 16 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 122 3.00 41% 1.40 3.30 W
  (by TONALIST out of OH BOO HOO by KAFWAIN)
6  DANZING CHICK 6 6 32 31½   24 26 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.00 27% 2.70 4.10 P
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 1 42 42   38 38½ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 117 10.00 31.40  
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
4  DIVINE GRACE 4 2 21½ 21   48 48¾ (ewing )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 10% 9.10 0.60  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CONSECRATE by SILVER CHARM)
5  SISTER CODE 5 7 65½ 66   512 512¾ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 ★ 19.80  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
2  ESPECIAL 2 4 54½ 56   614 615 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 4.50 ★ 11.70  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of GALLEY BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  DELTA WISHES 7 5 79 711   717½ 717½ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 18.00  
  (by MSHAWISH out of DELTA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MVR-4   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:144 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ADMAA 6 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 1hd (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 77% 0.30 1.40 W
3  BOURBON BUNS 2 5 67½ 65¾ 42¼ 31½ 2hd (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 ★ 10.90 P
4  LITTLE BIRD FLASH 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 3¼ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 ★ 4.70 S
6  ESTILO ELEGANTE 4 6 57½ 45 53¼ 43 41 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 3.10  
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 5 2 46 33 32 53¼ 55¾ (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★ 2.90  
2  QUARANTINA 1 4 34½ 55¼ 63¼ 65¾ 69¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 16.30  
SCR  ITSALLABOUTACTION               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 ★    
SCR  KEEN ICE SIGHT               (paquette raym)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:224 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THE COOKIE MAN 5 1 11½ 11½   14½ 11½ (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 1.80  
6  THE DRAKE 3 7 89 710½   77¼ 21½ (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 ★ 6.20 P
9  RISKY BOY 7 3 67 67   55¼ 31½ (shephard john)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 3.90  
3  HIDDEN RULER 2 2 56 56½   34½ 42¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 33% 2.00 3.40  
10  TEN TWENTY NINE 8 4 43½ 32   24½ 54¼ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
8  YO BERBS 6 5 33 43   66¼ 68½ (brown t)BRACHO A 124 15.00 30.20  
1  W W KAN DO 4 6 21½ 21½   45 79¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 42% 1.40 4.00  
2  AREYOUTALKINGTOME 1 8 78½ 812   810¼ 812 (welsh r)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 43.10  
SCR  GREELEYS ICE               (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
SCR  OVERBEARING               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH               (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JOHN'S ROCK 5 4 21 2½ 11½ 1½ 1¾ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 7.00  
7  WE ALL SEE IT 7 1 33½ 32½ 21½ 2½ 2¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 61% 0.60 0.60 P
3  ATOMIC TONE 3 5 87 86¾ 53½ 42 33¾ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 16% 5.10 3.20 S
6  FALCONS FURY 6 3 55½ 44 42 32 45½ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 17.50  
8  BEHAVIN MYSELF 8 8 77 76½ 74¼ 55 59¾ (meraz antonio)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 ★ 45.60  
2  IWILLPERSEVERE 2 6 66½ 66 63¾ 65½ 613 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 10.00 20.20  
1  GOOD IDEA 1 7 45 56 84¼ 76 713½ (dacosta jason)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
4  RYEGATE STONE 4 2 11 1½ 32 88 825¼ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★ 14.00  
 
MVR-7   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TEAM GOLD DIGGER 5 4 44½ 41¾   2nk 1½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 34% 2.00 5.30 W
7  HERO'S DAUGHTER 7 1 21 3.2   1nk 2½ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 ★ 14.50 P
3  UNCAPTURED FAITH 3 5 31 2nk   3.2 33½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 8% 12.00 1.40 S
6  SUSPICIOUS MINDS 6 3 54¾ 65¼   62¾ 44¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 26% 2.80 4.20  
4  SPEEDY FIRE 4 2 11 1nk   4¾ 55½ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 ★ 13.60  
1  V K STAR 1 7 65¼ 54¼   52¾ 67¼ (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 2.60  
2  V K PRINCESS 2 6 75¼ 75¼   74¼ 78½ (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 17.60  
 
MVR-8   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:254 :50 1:17 1:31   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ANIMO ROBERTO 6 6 63¼ 64½ 41½ 2½ 1¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 9% 10.50 2.80 W
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of FOUR FLOURISHES by DONERAILE COURT)
7  SPLENDID SPIRIT 7 4 3½ 11 11 1½ 2¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 4.00 ★ 3.20 P
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
5  NOSEY POWER 5 3 41 42 21 31 32½ (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 5.80  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
8  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 8 5 74¾ 74¾ 63½ 55 44¼ (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 ★ 5.30  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
1  BIG TIME FLIRT 1 2 1nk 21 31 43½ 57¾ (erdel john)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 14.80  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
4  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 4 1 2nk 32 52 65 610¾ (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 20.00 61.40  
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of SINCERELY YOURS by POLES APART)
3  BIRD GONE WEST 3 7 51¼ 52½ 73¾ 78 715¾ (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 2.50 65% 0.50 4.00  
  (by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
2  MY TICKET 2 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.