The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 24, 2023

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MVR-1   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:25 :493 1:162 1:304   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERRI'S MIRACLE 7 3 42 2nk 1nk 115 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 0.80 45% 1.20 0.30 W
MISS ELLIE 2 1 11 1nk 2nk 225 (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 5.00 14% 6.30 4.20 P
I'M JAC'D 1 5 32 4 31 33(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 12% 7.00 9.50 S
AUGMENTING ASSETS 4 7 65 6 57 4411 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 9% 10.50 18.20  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 5 6 77 7 7 511½ 520¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 6.50  
OH EYE SEE 6 2 21 3.2 46 611½ 634½ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 20.00 76.20  
MARIANA 3 4 54 5 6 716½ 755¼ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 72.50  
 
MVR-2   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:232 :474 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR MOON 1 5 21 1nk   11(doering mark)PEREZ E 124 10.00 16.70  
LADY FORTUNE 5 7 6 4¾   42(zielinski rich)AYALA J 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.60 P
BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 6 3 5 5   53(urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 8.30 S
SHADY BABY 4 2 31 3.2   34(romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 1.30  
BUSYBEING FABULOUS 2 4 11 2nk   25(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 35% 1.90 3.80  
LACY QUEEN 7 1 42 6   611¾ 623¼ (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 6.00 27.40  
SKIPSHOT LILLY 3 6 7 712¾   712¾ 729¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.90  
 
MVR-3   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
:231 :471       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABOO HOO 1 3 1 11   14 16 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 122 3.00 41% 1.40 3.30 W
DANZING CHICK 6 6 32 3   24 26 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.00 27% 2.70 4.10 P
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 1 42 42   38 3(faulkner c)AVILES YAN 117 10.00 31.40  
DIVINE GRACE 4 2 2 21   48 4(ewing mi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 10% 9.10 0.60  
SISTER CODE 5 7 6 66   512 512¾ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 19.80  
ESPECIAL 2 4 5 56   614 615 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 4.50 11.70  
DELTA WISHES 7 5 79 711   717½ 717½ (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 18.00  
 
MVR-4   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:244 :484 1:144 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ADMAA 6 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 1hd (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 77% 0.30 1.40 W
BOURBON BUNS 2 5 6 6 4 32hd (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 10.90 P
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 3¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 4.70 S
ESTILO ELEGANTE 4 6 5 45 5 43 41 (dacosta )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 3.10  
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 5 2 46 33 32 55(flick julia)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.90  
QUARANTINA 1 4 3 5 6 66(casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 16.30  
SCR  ITSALLABOUTACTION               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80    
SCR  KEEN ICE SIGHT               (paquette raymon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:224 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COOKIE MAN 5 1 1 1   11(rivera nestor)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 1.80  
THE DRAKE 3 7 89 710½   72(flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 6.20 P
RISKY BOY 7 3 67 67   53(shephard john)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 3.90  
HIDDEN RULER 2 2 56 5   34(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 33% 2.00 3.40  
10  TEN TWENTY NINE 8 4 4 32   25(clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
YO BERBS 6 5 33 43   66(brown t)BRACHO A 124 15.00 30.20  
W W KAN DO 4 6 2 2   45 7(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 42% 1.40 4.00  
AREYOUTALKINGTOME 1 8 7 812   810¼ 812 (welsh r)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 43.10  
SCR  GREELEYS ICE               (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
SCR  OVERBEARING               (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH               (clouston edwar)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:244 :481 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S ROCK 5 4 21 2½ 1 1½ 1¾ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 7.00  
WE ALL SEE IT 7 1 3 3 2 2½ 2¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 61% 0.60 0.60 P
ATOMIC TONE 3 5 87 8 5 42 3(rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 16% 5.10 3.20 S
FALCONS FURY 6 3 5 44 42 32 4(wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 17.50  
BEHAVIN MYSELF 8 8 77 7 7 55 5(meraz antonio)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 45.60  
IWILLPERSEVERE 2 6 6 66 6 6613 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 10.00 20.20  
GOOD IDEA 1 7 45 56 8 76 713½ (dacosta jason)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
RYEGATE STONE 4 2 11 1½ 32 88 825¼ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 14.00  
 
MVR-7   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:231 :473 1:004     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 5 4 4 4   2nk 1½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 34% 2.00 5.30 W
HERO'S DAUGHTER 7 1 21 3.2   1nk 2½ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 14.50 P
UNCAPTURED FAITH 3 5 31 2nk   3.2 3(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 8% 12.00 1.40 S
SUSPICIOUS MINDS 6 3 5 6   64(sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 26% 2.80 4.20  
SPEEDY FIRE 4 2 11 1nk   4¾ 5(urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 13.60  
V K STAR 1 7 6 5   56(bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 3.00 2.60  
V K PRINCESS 2 6 7 7   77(bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 17.60  
 
MVR-8   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:254 :50 1:17 1:31   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIMO ROBERTO 6 6 6 6 4 2½ 1¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 9% 10.50 2.80 W
SPLENDID SPIRIT 7 4 3½ 11 11 1½ 2¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 4.00 3.20 P
NOSEY POWER 5 3 41 42 21 31 3(spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 5.80  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 8 5 7 7 6 55 4(schuster )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 5.30  
BIG TIME FLIRT 1 2 1nk 21 31 45(erdel john)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 14.80  
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 4 1 2nk 32 52 65 610¾ (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 20.00 61.40  
BIRD GONE WEST 3 7 5 5 7 78 715¾ (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 118 2.50 65% 0.50 4.00  
MY TICKET 2 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.