Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/5)-(7/2/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/4)-(5/2/3)-(1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4/6)-(5/2/3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/6/4)-(1) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2/5)-(1/6/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1)-(1/3/10) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(7/4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(1/3/10) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/3/10)-(7/3/1) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-5   WIN (1/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/10)-(1/3/10/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/10)-(1/3/10/6)-(1/3/10/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/10)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10)-(7/3/1)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4/8)-(7/3/1/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(5/6/3)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/4/3/7)-(5/6/4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/8/7)-(3/6/2/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M JAC'D Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 12% 7.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
2  MISS ELLIE Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Jun13 May26 (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
3  MARIANA (FR) Jan10 Dec19       (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
  (by GAY MECENE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  AUGMENTING ASSETS Dec08 Nov23 Nov16 Nov08 Sep15 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 9% 10.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWINKEY by DIALED IN)
5  DEE'S KY WILDCAT         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
6  OH EYE SEE Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 Jul05 Jun13 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
7  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
 
MVR-2   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MOON Jan04 Dec19 Dec12 Nov16 Oct24 (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
2  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Dec27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun25 May25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  SKIPSHOT LILLY Mar23 Mar02 Jan31     (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHADY BABY Jan04 Dec19 Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 ★    
5  LADY FORTUNE Dec19 Dec12 Nov28 Oct26 Oct12 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA Jan04 Sep21 Aug23 Jun25 Jun03 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 ★    
7  LACY QUEEN Jan04 Nov28 Nov12 Nov03 Sep22 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABOO HOO Dec07         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by TONALIST out of OH BOO HOO by KAFWAIN)
2  ESPECIAL         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 4.50 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of GALLEY BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov07 Oct13 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
4  DIVINE GRACE Dec11 Nov12 Oct13 Aug10 Jul01 (ewing )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CONSECRATE by SILVER CHARM)
5  SISTER CODE Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Oct11 Sep16 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 ★    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
6  DANZING CHICK Jan09         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  DELTA WISHES         (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of DELTA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MVR-4   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ADMAA Oct31 Oct04 Jul08 Jun08   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 77% 0.30    
SCR  ITSALLABOUTACTION Dec15 Oct23 Sep19 May24 Apr13 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 ★    
2  QUARANTINA Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Oct17 Sep20 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
3  BOURBON BUNS Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 Oct24 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 ★    
4  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Jun22 Jun02 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  KEEN ICE SIGHT Dec29 Nov21 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 (paquette raym)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 ★    
6  ESTILO ELEGANTE Jan03 Dec15 Sep27 Aug24 Aug15 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Dec01 Nov15 Oct06 Sep26 May06 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W W KAN DO Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 Sep24 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  OVERBEARING Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 Sep06 Aug22 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
2  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Dec06 Nov23 Nov13 Oct31 Oct18 (welsh r)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00    
3  HIDDEN RULER Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 Sep25 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  GREELEYS ICE Dec30 Dec18 Oct21 Jun25 Jun11 (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH Dec12 Nov27 Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE DRAKE Jan05 Dec14 Nov15 Oct12 Sep21 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 ★    
7  THE COOKIE MAN Jan16 Jan03 Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00    
8  YO BERBS Jan05 Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 Jul12 (brown t)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
9  RISKY BOY Jan14 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Oct04 (shephard john)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
10  TEN TWENTY NINE Jan05 Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 Nov06 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD IDEA Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct10 (dacosta jason)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  IWILLPERSEVERE Jan03 Dec04 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
3  ATOMIC TONE Dec27 Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 Sep15 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
4  RYEGATE STONE Dec14 Nov02 Oct19 Aug29 Aug06 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Dec08 Nov18 Oct13 May09 Apr11 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
6  FALCONS FURY Jan09 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
7  WE ALL SEE IT Dec20 Sep16 Aug14 Jul04 Jun04 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
8  BEHAVIN MYSELF Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (meraz antonio)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  V K STAR Jan02 Sep22 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
2  V K PRINCESS Jan02 Dec14 Oct21 Aug31 Aug10 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00    
3  UNCAPTURED FAITH Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Sep16 Jul01 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 8% 12.00    
4  SPEEDY FIRE Jan02 Dec07 Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 ★    
5  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Dec12 Nov23 May03 Apr18   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
6  SUSPICIOUS MINDS Jan05 Dec08 Nov05 Sep05 Aug18 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  HERO'S DAUGHTER Jan05 Dec28 Sep20 Aug17 Apr02 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   01/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME FLIRT Dec22 Nov29 Oct05 Sep19 Sep01 (erdel john)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
2  MY TICKET Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  BIRD GONE WEST         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
4  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 20.00    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of SINCERELY YOURS by POLES APART)
5  NOSEY POWER Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
6  ANIMO ROBERTO Jan09 Dec29 Dec14 Nov14 Oct29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 9% 10.50    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of FOUR FLOURISHES by DONERAILE COURT)
7  SPLENDID SPIRIT Jan09 Dec22 Jul28 Jun29   (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 4.00 ★    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
8  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 Nov30   (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.