Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
MVR-2   Win (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.60  
MVR-3   Win (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
MVR-4   Win (1/6/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $16.20  
MVR-5   Win (10/4/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
MVR-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
MVR-7   Win (2/9/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $7.40  
MVR-8   Win (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 5.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA 3 2 1 1   12 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 28% 2.60 1.50 W
TIDE RISING 2 3 2 2   22 2 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00 1.50 P
DOUGS MORNING PICK 4 1 33 3   32 34 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 13% 7.00 1.50 S
PLATE IT UP 1 4 4 4   47 413½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 21.10  
SCR  CHISELED JUSTICE               (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50    
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP               (cowans william )BRACHO A 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-2   01/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:22 :46       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO MARCH 1 2 1 14   1 1 (chapman k)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 2.80  
UPTOWN GUY 2 3 3 3   2 2 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 22.10  
THE WILD FLYER 3 5 69 611   413 311 (bracho jr)BRACHO A 126 6.00 6.60 S
PERFECT PICTURE 6 1 2 24   3 412 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 73% 0.40 0.70  
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY 4 4 56 510   614½ 519¾ (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 19.90  
FANELLI 5 6 4 4   513½ 620 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
SCR  BOURBON TEDDY               (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CADILLAC RIDE               (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  THE EQUINEST               (brown glenroy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:223 :454 :59     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UOTTALIKEIT 3 1 14 14   1 1 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 38% 1.60 0.50 W
MOESTER 2 5 69 39   2 2 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
GONE IN A FLASH 6 3 46 510   5 3 (gorham m)BRACHO A 124 12.00 6.80 S
1A  ELLIOT THE DRAGON 4 4 24 24   3 4 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 0.50  
KEEPING SCORE 5 2 5 610½   4 5 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00 13.00  
TEAM LEYENDECKER 1 6 36 410   6 69 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 3.00 6% 15.90 2.70  
SCR  SIMON SAYS               (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH UNITY 1 2 11 1½   14 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00 7.10  
SAINT GOAR 6 3 6 6   4 2 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 4.50  
COMPLY (NZ) 4 4 5 5   6 3 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5.10  
1A  DAVID'S GEM 5 1 3 3½   34 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 29% 2.40 1.70  
GOOD ON YA 3 5 21 2½   24 5 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 8% 12.30 4.90  
ALACRITOUS 2 6 4 4   5 613¼ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 8% 10.90 3.60  
SCR  DARK OAK               (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALPAIS               (villa francisco)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  THRU THE VINE               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50    
 
MVR-5   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MAUREENLOVESFRANK 9 2 4 2nk   2nk 1¼ (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 25% 2.90 1.30 W
POLISHED GEM 3 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.60  
INDY PRINCESS KOKO 6 3 7 6   6 3 (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
LIBERTY BELLE 1 8 5 4   43 4 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 6.00  
BOX STEP 5 1 31 5   5 54 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 6% 15.30 8.60  
ALL AMERICAN JEWEL 2 7 6 7   3 6 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 17.50  
CATABOUT 8 4 8 8   8 7 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 25.20  
DESTINY'S DARLING 4 6 2nk 3   7 8 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.50 24% 3.10 4.80  
CURT'S ANGEL 7 9 9 95   910¾ 912¾ (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 17% 5.00 11.40  
SCR  RACEDAY ATTIRE               (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
MVR-6   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 1 3 1½ 1½   12 1 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.50 24% 3.20 1.10 W
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 3 4 3 32   32 2 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 14.80  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 2 2 2½ 2½   22 3 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 8% 11.50 8.70 S
GAIL'S DANCER 8 1 55 67   6 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 3.70  
GRIZABELLA 6 7 7 7   7 512¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 31% 2.20 4.00  
BISCAYNE BAY 5 6 43 4   46 612¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 9.80  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 7 5 66 5   58 713 (calderon ivan)AYALA J 124 10.00 26.00  
PENNY SHOTS 4 8 88 812   812¾ 819¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 22.90  
 
MVR-7   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :463 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADIANTRITHYM 7 4 6 52   53 11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 10.00 2.70  
LOADED ONCE MORE 6 1 3 4   4 21 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 7.00  
FLASH TOWN 1 7 52 31   2nk 3 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7% 13.90 4.10 S
BAREBACK FUN 2 2 1½ 11   1nk 4 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.60  
BACKSPLASH 4 5 7 6   64 54 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
AUNT STELLA 3 3 2½ 21   31 65 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 3.90  
TAPALONG 5 6 42 7   78 713¾ (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 42.70  
SCR  ORBIT MARS               (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  SHELLEY'S GEM               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-8   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:224 :462 :594     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIND YOUR OWN 2 4 11 1nk   11 1¼ (delong b)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 16% 5.10 4.80 W
YEARS AGO 4 1 31 2nk   21 2¼ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 2.30  
PURDY PUMKIN 3 7 7 7   5 31 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 21.90 S
CALTHA 5 3 6 5   32 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 10.00  
GRAY ROYALITY 1 5 21 3   4 54 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 34.90  
SKY 6 2 54 6   77 6 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 19.40  
ROSE KNOWS 7 8 8 8   8 7 (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 9.40  
MIMI'S GOLDEN RING 8 6 4 4   6 811½ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 52% 0.90 1.20  
SCR  BOURBONWITHGINGER               (tooley jennife)AYALA J 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.