Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-4   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (10/4/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-8   Win (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA Jan17 Dec22 Dec06 Oct24 Sep28 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD Jan16 Dec29 Oct29 Sep29 Aug25 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
PLATE IT UP Jan11 Dec30 Dec21 Dec12 Dec01 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
TIDE RISING Dec29 Dec06 Jun11 May26 May11 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Nov29 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 May21 (cowans william )BRACHO A 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
DOUGS MORNING PICK Dec12 Nov10 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  CHISELED JUSTICE Dec14 Nov22 Sep21 Aug30 Jun03 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-2   01/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOWN GUY Dec28 Dec08 Jun20 Jun01 May04 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  CADILLAC RIDE Jan17 Oct27 Sep08 Aug24 Jun25 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  BOURBON TEDDY Jan12 Dec10 Nov12 Oct28 Jul16 (reyes martin)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
READY TO MARCH Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 Oct27 Aug31 (chapman k)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
SCR  THE EQUINEST Dec20 Dec13 Nov17 Sep11 Aug22 (brown glenroy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
THE WILD FLYER Jan02 Oct05 Aug29 Aug24 Aug02 (bracho jr)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Sep28 Sep12 Aug03 Jul24 Jul13 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
FANELLI Jul07 Jun10 May19 Apr19 Mar08 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT PICTURE Jan12 Dec28 Dec02 Nov06 Oct07 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 73% 0.40    
 
MVR-3   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UOTTALIKEIT Apr25 Apr02 Mar08 Feb12 Jan26 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
1A  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Jan11 Dec06 Nov01 Oct13 Sep13 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20    
TEAM LEYENDECKER Jan05 Dec06 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 3.00 6% 15.90    
MOESTER Dec20 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIMON SAYS Dec29 Nov29 Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
KEEPING SCORE Dec29 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Aug30 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Jan11 Dec29 Nov12 Oct10 Sep06 (gorham m)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DAVID'S GEM Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct07 Sep09 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  THRU THE VINE Jan09 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Oct31 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50    
IRISH UNITY Dec22 Dec01 Nov19 Nov09 Oct04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
SCR  DARK OAK Dec31 Nov06 Sep06 Aug06 Jul10 (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALACRITOUS Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 8% 10.90    
GOOD ON YA Dec31 Dec03 Nov09 Oct10 Sep06 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  MALPAIS Dec31 Nov26 Jun22 Jun04 May17 (villa francisco)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
COMPLY (NZ) Dec22 Oct14 Sep27 Sep08 Aug04 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
SAINT GOAR Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 Oct18 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BELLE Dec21 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Jan03 Dec12 Nov30 Jun13 May23 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
POLISHED GEM Jan03 Nov04 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
DESTINY'S DARLING Dec30 Dec02 Nov22 Nov12 Nov02 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  RACEDAY ATTIRE Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
BOX STEP Dec30 Dec20 Dec05 Nov22 Oct29 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 6% 15.30    
INDY PRINCESS KOKO Dec30 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Aug16 (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CURT'S ANGEL Jan09 Nov30 Nov01 Oct23 Oct10 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 17% 5.00    
CATABOUT Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 Oct05 Sep23 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
10  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Jan10 Dec18 Nov27 Nov11 Oct23 (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
MVR-6   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
BOOGIE BOOGEE Jan05 Dec13 Nov23 Nov03 Oct12 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 8% 11.50    
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jan05 Dec21 Dec05 Nov22 Nov03 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
PENNY SHOTS Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Nov03   (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00    
BISCAYNE BAY Dec05 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
GRIZABELLA Dec30 Dec13 Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
NORTHERN JOURNEY Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Nov17 Oct11 (calderon ivan)AYALA J 124 10.00    
GAIL'S DANCER Jan05 Dec21 Dec13 Dec05 Nov23 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
 
MVR-7   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH TOWN Dec30 Dec06 Nov09 Oct22 Oct13 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7% 13.90    
BAREBACK FUN Jan04 Dec08 Dec02 Nov03 Oct10 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
AUNT STELLA Jan04 Dec04 Nov11 Sep17 Sep02 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
BACKSPLASH Jan09 Dec08 Nov09 Oct25 Oct10 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAPALONG Oct05 Jun02 May14 Mar11 Feb25 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
LOADED ONCE MORE Jan11 Jan02 Nov22 Nov09 Oct30 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00    
SCR  ORBIT MARS Dec30 Dec08 Nov15 Nov01 Oct14 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
RADIANTRITHYM Jan09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Sep24 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 10.00    
SCR  SHELLEY'S GEM Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-8   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 Sep15 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
MIND YOUR OWN Dec13 Nov30 Oct02 Sep09 Aug12 (delong b)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
PURDY PUMKIN Jan09 Dec15 Dec01 Nov14 Oct26 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
YEARS AGO Dec29 Dec08 Nov21 Nov02 Sep10 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 3.50    
CALTHA Jan09 Sep15 Aug31 Jul11 May25 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SCR  BOURBONWITHGINGER Jan09 Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 Sep15 (tooley jennife)AYALA J 124 6.00    
SKY Jan09 Dec06 Nov14 Nov07 Oct26 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
ROSE KNOWS Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 Oct26 Sep13 (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
MIMI'S GOLDEN RING Nov23 Oct17       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.