Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:134     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO HAPPINESS 1 5 4 31 1½ 1 12 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 11% 8.40 2.30 W
CHARGING LADY 6 3 32 2nk 2½ 2 22 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 62% 0.60 1.80 P
GEOMETRIQUE 2 6 67 6 5 4 3 (ribaud)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 4.00 6.70 S
UGHROUDA 5 2 1nk 1nk 4 57 4 (jones e)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 8.70  
DOLCE SERA 3 4 53 4 32 3 511½ (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 18.90  
MISCHIEF MOTION 4 1 2nk 5 68 613½ 618¾ (tessore br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 2.90  
 
AQU-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:004     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA MICHELLE 7 1 31 1   13 1 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 2.50 2.80  
HYPNOCURRENCY 3 2 2½ 2   23 2 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 43.50  
COOKIE CRUMBS 5 4 6 4   3 312 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.20 45% 1.20 0.55 S
IN GOOD TROUBLE 1 6 5 65   510 419¾ (diprima gr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 9.90  
BANK BUSTER 2 3 1½ 3   410 522½ (ryan s)LUZZI J 119 8.00 15.50  
INDYAN PENNY 6 5 4 54   611 622¾ (johnson cleveland)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 15.80  
HOOCHIE COO 4 7 76 710½   715½ 723¼ (sciacca ga)DAVIS A 119 8.00 30% 2.30 13.50  
 
AQU-3   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS 3 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 11 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 1.90  
WIN FOR GOLD 1 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.40 41% 1.40 0.90 P
WILL E SUTTON 4 4 3 47   410½ 310½ (kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K 120 6.00 13.30  
EDDIE THE GREAT 5 3 43 3   3 410¾ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 13% 6.60 3.40  
ALITE 2 5 5 511½   515½ 517¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 37.00  
SCR  CHARGER               (rodriguez rudy )OLVER MADISON 110 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
AQU-4   12/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:123     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 5 1 55 6   2½ 1 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 31% 2.20 4.70 W
HONEY MONEY 3 6 6 5   4 2 (atras rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 13.90 P
ALARM CLOCK 4 3 22 1½   1½ 3 (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 12.00 10.90  
SHORT SUMMER DRESS 8 4 44 31   55 4 (lee joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 7.90  
EASY TO BLESS 6 5 33 41   3 5 (ferraro ja)DAVIS A 120 3.50 2.15  
SPOOKY ROAD 1 7 87 7   66 611 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 24% 3.20 1.50  
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 2 8 77 8   77 712½ (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 4.70  
AEGEAN SEA 7 2 12 2½   810 822¾ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 18% 4.70 21.60  
 
AQU-5   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 2 6 8 8   3½ 1 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 8.30  
VALLELUJAH 9 5 6 43   2nk 2 (davis robb)DAVIS A 120 15.00 24.75  
PRETTY CLEVER 5 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 32 (begg bentle)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 15.70  
HAPPY SOPHIA 8 1 42 54   41 4 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 3.00 5.00  
KHALI MAGIC 6 9 7 66   6 5 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 23% 3.30 2.65  
BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY 1 8 9 912   9 6 (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 110 15.00 9% 10.30 18.70  
RIBOT'S VALENTINE 3 3 32 3   52 7 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 23% 3.40 2.50  
SPIN A YARN 4 2 1½ 1nk   7 815 (progno chr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 22% 3.50 4.10  
CURLY GIRL 7 7 5 7   8 916 (barrow paul)VARGAS A 118 20.00 49.50  
 
AQU-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COLOR COMMISH 10 6 42 5   2 1nk (sells rach)DAVIS A 119 6.00 9.80  
DISARMED 7 1 31 1½   1 2nk (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 37% 1.70 1.35 P
MAX FOSTER 8 9 6 43   33 33 (englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 7.80 S
BRAD'S BET 5 4 7 86   65 4 (cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00 85.50  
11  ZUCCARACE 11 7 8 7   75 5 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 12.80  
IN MY SHADOW 6 8 10 1015½   911½ 611 (fisher )HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 75.75  
LIEUTENANT SAM 3 3 2nk 3½   44 711¾ (bond ja)HARKIE K 119 20.00 32.50  
FIRE KING 4 2 1nk 2½   5 813 (camejo m)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 39% 1.60 3.25  
THE CATILLAC KID 1 5 5 64   8 914¾ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.70  
MILAGROSO 2 11 9 913   1013 1015¾ (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00 42.50  
SARATOGA STRONG 9 10 1115¼ 1116   1114½ 1119 (handal raym)VARGAS A 119 8.00 14.40  
 
AQU-7   12/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:143 1:392   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH SEA 4 3 41 21 2nk 1½ 1½ (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 3.25  
LOCALLY OWNED 3 1 5 52 3.2 2½ 2½ (morley thom)VARGAS A 121 10.00 5.30  
HEALING 2 2 31 4 5 43 3 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 14.80  
10  NO BURN 6 6 1½ 11 1nk 32 4 (barrer)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 4.50 28% 2.60 3.10  
NO SALT 5 5 6 64 6 59 515¼ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 12% 7.50 2.60  
OUTLIER 1 4 2½ 3 4 612 621¾ (cash l)BATISTA A 123 4.00 28% 2.50 3.55  
SCR  AMATTEROFTIME               (ramirez silvin)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
SCR  FAMISHED               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN               (giangiulio)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
SCR  UNO               (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
 
AQU-8   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR 5 1 11 1   1 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 1.30  
SAFALOW'S MISSION 2 9 1011 9   710 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 10.80  
WARRIORS REVENGE 6 2 4 2   2 3 (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 61% 0.60 11.90 S
10  MY LAST MISSION 10 4 52 5   38 411 (pecoraro)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 14.10  
PERSISTENT DANGER 9 6 7 7   810½ 514¼ (sells rach)DAVIS A 120 30.00 66.75  
THE INSTITUTE 4 3 64 6   49 615¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 7% 14.20 5.60  
CONSTANT KNIGHT 7 10 1111½ 1011¾   912½ 716 (black c)OLVER MADISON 122 30.00 80.25  
ZIRCON 1 8 3 4   610 817 (progno chr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 6% 14.40 7.20  
ON THE HILL 3 7 21 3   5 919¼ (bond ja)HARKIE K 118 6.00 4.60  
OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT 8 11 9 1112¼   1115 1021¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 30.75  
11  TACO BEAN 11 5 85 8   1014 1126½ (romero jesu)VARGAS A 120 20.00 32.25  
 
AQU-9   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EIGHT AND SAND 10 3 32 3½   1 1 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 3.15  
12  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY 12 1 46 43   2 2 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
REUNION TOUR 3 6 6 7   610½ 311¼ (ferraro w)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00 25.25  
OUR SON JAKE 6 12 1013¾ 1011¾   913½ 413¾ (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 6.00 7% 13.50 10.10  
TIZA BROWN 7 10 8 810¾   813 514¼ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 67.75  
11  ESCAPE MISSION 11 2 2½ 1nk   3 614¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 10.00  
PATRICK THE GREAT 9 8 56 5   410 714½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 33% 2.00 2.40  
DANCING WITH RICO 4 5 7 6   510½ 815½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 38.25  
UNCLE BRUCE 1 11 1113¾ 1115¾   1115½ 916½ (brown b)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00 63.50  
HEREBY 2 7 910¼ 910¾   1014 1024¼ (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 17% 4.90 9.60  
RED JET 8 9 1214¼ 1216   1218 1126 (younghans will)HARKIE K 122 30.00 66.50  
CHIEF ENGINEER 5 4 1½ 2nk   712 1229 (cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00 16% 5.30 5.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.