Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO HAPPINESS Sep23 Jan14       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 11% 8.40    
2  GEOMETRIQUE Oct14 Aug21 Jun30 Jun10 May13 (riba)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 4.00 ★    
3  DOLCE SERA Sep23 Aug12 Jul04 Jun25 Jun09 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 ★    
4  MISCHIEF MOTION Aug26 Jun26       (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00    
5  UGHROUDA Oct19 Sep14 Jan30     (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 ★    
6  CHARGING LADY Nov17 Oct07 Aug19 Jul02 May19 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
AQU-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN GOOD TROUBLE Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Aug24   (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 ★    
2  BANK BUSTER Nov27 Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 Jul16 (ryan s)LUZZI J 119 8.00 ★    
3  HYPNOCURRENCY Oct23 Sep17       (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
4  HOOCHIE COO         (sciacca )DAVIS A 119 8.00 30% 2.30    
5  COOKIE CRUMBS Nov06 Oct15 Aug21     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.20 45% 1.20    
6  INDYAN PENNY Nov25 Oct27       (johnson clevela)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
7  BELLA MICHELLE Nov27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28   (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR GOLD Nov18 Nov12 Oct08 Aug20 Jul08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.40 41% 1.40    
SCR  CHARGER Dec06 Oct13 Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  ALITE Nov05 Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 Jul24 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 ★    
4  JAKE ROCKS Oct23 Oct02 Aug24 Jun30 Jun04 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 ★    
5  WILL E SUTTON Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Aug31 (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
6  EDDIE THE GREAT Oct30 Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 Jun24 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
AQU-4   12/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Oct27 Mar26 Feb24 Jan23 Jan16 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 ★    
1A  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  SPOOKY ROAD Nov25 Nov17 Nov11 Sep22 Aug20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
3  HONEY MONEY Nov20 Oct19 Oct06 Aug14 Jul20 (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 ★    
4  ALARM CLOCK Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Aug29 (follett norm)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
5  EASY TO BLESS Jun10 May19 Apr28 Apr09 Mar26 (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 3.50    
6  AEGEAN SEA Nov15 Oct26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug03 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 18% 4.70    
7  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Nov11 Nov04 Sep01 Jul20 May27 (lee joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY Dec01 Oct15 Sep25 Jul22 Feb27 (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 110 15.00 9% 10.30    
2  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Nov10 Oct23 Oct01 Sep15 Aug13 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
3  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Nov18 Oct01 Sep05 Jan08   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  SPIN A YARN Nov08 Jul11       (progno c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  PRETTY CLEVER Nov20 Sep25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
6  KHALI MAGIC Oct23 Sep25 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  CURLY GIRL Nov02 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14   (barrow pa)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
8  HAPPY SOPHIA Nov26 Nov20 Oct23 Sep29 Aug14 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 3.00 ★    
9  VALLELUJAH Nov20 Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
AQU-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CATILLAC KID Oct17         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
2  MILAGROSO         (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00    
3  LIEUTENANT SAM Nov17         (bond harold )HARKIE K 119 20.00    
4  FIRE KING Nov02 Sep23 Aug04     (camejo m)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  BRAD'S BET Nov17 Jun18       (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
6  IN MY SHADOW         (fisher linda)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
7  DISARMED Nov12 Oct21 Sep04 Jul27   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  MAX FOSTER Oct27 Sep29 Aug26     (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 ★    
9  SARATOGA STRONG         (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 8.00 ★    
10  COLOR COMMISH Nov16 Nov02 Oct25     (sells ra)DAVIS A 119 6.00 ★    
11  ZUCCARACE         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
 
AQU-7   12/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLIER Dec03 Nov17 Nov12 Oct20 Sep28 (cash norman )BATISTA A 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
2  HEALING Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep05 Aug21 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
3  LOCALLY OWNED Nov12 Sep30 Aug25 Jul17 Jun11 (morley th)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
SCR  UNO Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
5  ROUGH SEA Nov12 Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 Jul09 (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN Oct16 Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 May29 (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
SCR  FAMISHED Nov04 Oct01 Aug06 Jun25 May13 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  AMATTEROFTIME Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Oct01 Sep10 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
9  NO SALT Nov12 Oct31 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
10  NO BURN Nov12 Oct02 Sep03 Jul21 Jun16 (barr)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-8   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIRCON Nov09 Nov01 Sep19 Aug29 Jul18 (progno c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 6% 14.40    
2  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jun11 May14 Apr28 Mar05   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
3  ON THE HILL Nov13 Aug27 Jul29 Jul03 May19 (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 6.00 ★    
4  THE INSTITUTE Nov23 Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 Aug31 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 7% 14.20    
5  TODAY'S FLAVOR Nov27 Sep23       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 ★    
6  WARRIORS REVENGE Nov22 Oct11 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (hennig mark)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 61% 0.60    
7  CONSTANT KNIGHT Nov26 Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 (black c)DAVIS KATIE 122 30.00    
8  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT Oct30 Feb11       (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
9  PERSISTENT DANGER Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 Jun29 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
10  MY LAST MISSION Nov27 Oct27 Aug29 Aug15 Jun29 (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 118 12.00    
11  TACO BEAN Nov13 Oct16 Sep18 Jul24 Jun05 (romero je)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
 
AQU-9   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE BRUCE Aug18 Jul31 Jul09 May20 May06 (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
2  HEREBY Dec03 Jul14 May15 Apr08   (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  REUNION TOUR Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Sep10 Aug18 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
4  DANCING WITH RICO Nov13 Oct26 May16 Apr28 Apr02 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
5  CHIEF ENGINEER Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep11 Jul30 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
6  OUR SON JAKE Oct20 Jul09 May29 May14   (mice)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 6.00 7% 13.50    
7  TIZA BROWN Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 Sep13   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
8  RED JET Dec01 Nov13 Jun17 Jun02 May21 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
9  PATRICK THE GREAT Aug11 Jul10 May29 Apr30 Apr08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
10  EIGHT AND SAND Nov13 Oct07 Sep17 Aug10   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
11  ESCAPE MISSION Nov13         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
12  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.