Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-3   EXA (5/7)-(5/7/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-7 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-7-4 $18.45 $6.45 54%
    SFT (5/7)-(5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3) 48 $0.10 $4.80  5-7-4-6 $22.32 $17.52 365%
TAM-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7/3)-(4/2/6/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-2-6 $18.65 $0.65 4%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   01/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:31
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR AGGRAVATOR 6 2 31 31   3.2 1½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 1.60 1.70  
ASK FOR BODE 2 5 5 5   4¾ 2½ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 32% 2.10 5.00 P
ARCADIA CALLS 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 2.50 21% 3.70 3.40 S
PALADIO 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 43 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5.10  
MR LIGHTNING BOY 1 4 4 4   5 5 (felician)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 25% 3.00 2.80  
ROCKYSBUCKAROO 4 6 6 6   6 618 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 20.00 33.80  
 
TAM-2   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:11     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL AFRAID 3 3 1 11   13 1 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 2.20  
FLAG WOMAN 4 5 4 33   23 2 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.60 23% 3.30 1.90 P
ASTONISHING ANABEL 2 2 2 21   33 3 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50 S
ELSA'S ROCKET 5 1 5 54   48 415¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00 10.60  
BINOCHE 1 4 3 4   511 524¼ (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00 12.40  
SCR  GLASS STAR               (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-3   01/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAU CLAIRE 5 2 3 32 31 12 1 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 1.50 63% 0.60 0.70 W
SILVER SPRINTER 7 7 6 7 6 5 2 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 7% 13.10 6.00 P
IRISH KITTEN 4 4 5 4 4 4 38 (mcgoey monica)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 5.60 S
I'LL GO ALL IN 6 5 4 5 52 6 4 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00 29.70  
SYLLABUS 8 8 8 8 8 7 510 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00 23.10  
MORENA DANCER 2 6 7 66 7 8 612¾ (marre)DOMINGUEZ G 122 15.00 18.10  
REDZILLA 1 3 1½ 2nk 2nk 32 714 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00 22.60  
THE SWEATY FOX 3 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 22 814¼ (stoddard britt)CASTANON L 122 3.00 4.50  
 
TAM-4   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:214 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD WATER 6 7 6 43   2½ 1¼ (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 2.50  
RAINBOW'S PRIDE 8 2 74 5   3½ 2¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 5% 19.00 3.80 P
ROCKY CHITU 1 5 2½ 1nk   1½ 3½ (cascallares n)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00 29.40  
DISCREET MAGIC 7 1 31 31   52 47 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.00 25% 3.00 9.80  
DISCREET DEVIL 2 4 1½ 2nk   41 5 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 6.00 6.10  
AZTEC LEGEND 4 6 53 6   6 610¼ (hamm timothy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.60  
EXQUISITO COCO 5 3 42 7   77 720 (morales guille)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 16.20  
MUSIC GEM 3 8 811 816¼   819 835¼ (tsirigotis ja)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 50.80  
 
TAM-5   01/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:114 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANY PORT 8 5 3 33 2nk 11 1¾ (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 4.90  
INVESTMENT INCOME 3 6 75 7 6 5 2¾ (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 61% 0.60 2.40 P
ROUNDABOUT 4 4 54 44 4 32 3 (terranova p)FERRER C 123 8.00 11.20 S
DYNA'S HONOR 6 2 43 54 5 42 44 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
I'M NERVOUS NOW 2 3 2nk 22 1nk 21 5 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 2.10  
DRY HUMOR 5 8 86 8 8 65 6 (alvarado diane)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50 8% 11.00 6.20  
ALL BIZZ 7 7 6 65 7 8 7 (dixon k)COA J 121 30.00 35.20  
BAZZARINA 1 1 1nk 12 31 7 813 (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 119 20.00 37.20  
 
TAM-6   01/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:133 1:393   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM THAT I AM 4 1 22 21 2½ 1nk 1 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 2.50 13% 6.90 0.60 W
SHIMMERING LIGHT 1 5 12 11 1½ 3.2 2 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.50 7% 12.80 7.90 P
MAPACHE G 6 7 7 5 3½ 2nk 32 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 40% 1.50 4.20 S
MISTA DONZELLA 3 4 4 42 5 5 4 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 8.00 28.10  
WATCH FOR THE LUTE 2 3 32 31 4 4 513 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 17% 5.00 4.10  
NOICATTARO 7 2 6 7 6 7 614¾ (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 121 8.00 23.60  
NIP OF BOURBON 5 6 5 6 76 6 714¾ (gonzalez alda)WALKER M 121 10.00 34.90  
SCR  TITHED               (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORGOBYTHESEA 6 2 12 1 1½ 1½ 1hd (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00 8.60  
SAVAGE (BRZ) 4 3 22 2 2½ 2½ 2hd (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00 29.70  
BIRD'S EYE VIEW 2 4 7 7 6 3½ 3 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 123 2.00 68% 0.50 1.00 S
10  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT 9 9 8 8 8 6 4 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00 6% 15.90 8.70  
D'CRAZINESS 1 1 3 34 32 42 53 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
JOE PHILLIPS 7 7 55 55 7 5 6 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 121 5.00 4.50  
ALBIE 3 5 4 44 42 7 78 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 10.00 21.30  
LORD BARNA 8 6 6 6 5 8 8 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 12.00 20.50  
CHIMNEY ROCK 5 8 9 9 9 9 9 (laurato mi)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 12.00 19.40  
SCR  BIG RED ROCKS               (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE HAWK 3 3 5 3   21 1hd (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 45% 1.20 2.30 W
OCEAN RIDE 1 6 11 1   11 2hd (mcgoey mo)CAMACHO JR 121 3.00 21% 3.70 2.00 P
CAMPTOWN RACES 5 4 6 55   32 3 (torres r)FERRER C 123 3.50 8% 11.50 5.00 S
AUBURN 4 2 21 2   42 4 (lusk brian )SPANABEL SKYLER 116 20.00 38.10  
CHUCKY 6 1 42 4   5 5 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 4.50 3.10  
FLIPPING FISH 2 5 32 6   6 626¾ (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 5.60  
SCR  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE               (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
 
TAM-9   01/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:124 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTRESS 4 3 5 4 2nk 2nk 11 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 9.70  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CANNY by BIG BROWN)
SWEET TRACK 3 1 3 2½ 1nk 1nk 21 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 5.00 14% 6.40 4.60 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMILING CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SKYVIEW DRIVE 7 7 6 6 3.2 4 31 (brown chad )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 17.00  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
BEAT THE ESTIMATES 2 6 4 5 5 3 4 (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70 6.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
10  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 9 5 2 3½ 4¼ 5 52 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TATTOOED GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
VOLATILITY 1 2 7 7 7 6 6 (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 3.40  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of TAPITAL GAINS by TAPIT)
ELLA FRANCES 5 8 8 8 6 7 7 (clement )GALLARDO A 120 12.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of STOP THE WEDDING by CONGRATS)
FANCY DRESS 6 9 9 9 8 813¾ 816 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 15.00 37.30  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
HUMOR SENSE 8 4 1 1½ 910¼ 913¾ 959¾ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 20.00 5% 19.00 58.80  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CHARADE by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  APPALACHIAN TRAIL               (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BURREN TRAIL (IRE) by SHAMARDAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.